2024 United States Senate election in New Mexico explained

Election Name:2024 United States Senate election in New Mexico
Country:New Mexico
Type:presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2018 United States Senate election in New Mexico
Previous Year:2018
Next Election:2030 United States Senate election in New Mexico
Next Year:2030
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Image1:Heinrich Official Headshot 2019 (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Martin Heinrich
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Nominee2:Nella Domenici
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Martin Heinrich
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2024 United States Senate election in New Mexico will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Mexico. Incumbent two-term Democratic Senator Martin Heinrich, who was re-elected with 54.1% of the vote in a three-way race in 2018, is running for a third term. Primary elections took place on June 4, 2024.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Disqualified

Results

Independents and third-party candidates

Candidates

Filed paperwork

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[9] November 9, 2023
align=left Inside Elections[10] November 9, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] November 9, 2023
align=left Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[12] June 8, 2024
align=left Elections Daily[13] May 4, 2023
align=left CNalysis[14] November 21, 2023

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Martin Heinrich (D)$10,149,859$6,047,307$4,757,526
Nella Domenici (R)$3,623,275$1,497,270$2,126,005
Source: Federal Election Commission[15]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Martin
Heinrich (D)
Nella
Domenici (R)
Other Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategiesdata-sort-value="2024-08-19" August 12-15, 2024453 (LV)± 4.10%42%36%2%20%
Redfield & Wilton Strategiesdata-sort-value="2024-08-06" July 31 – August 3, 2024493 (LV)± 4.05%40%34%4%21%
1892 Polling (R) data-sort-value="2024-07-01" June 19–24, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%46%42%10%
Public Policy Polling (D)data-sort-value="2024-06-11" June 13–14, 2024555 (V)± 4.2%47%40%13%
Red Oak Strategies (R) data-sort-value="2024-06-11" May 7–19, 20241,800 (LV)± 2.3%41%38%21%
1892 Polling (R) data-sort-value="2024-07-01" March 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%48%36%

Results

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2024 State Primary Election Dates . 2023-08-06 . www.ncsl.org.
  2. Web site: Boetel . Ryan . Heinrich announces re-election campaign . Albuquerque Journal . May 4, 2023 . 4 May 2023.
  3. News: . January 17, 2024 . Daughter of former GOP senator launches Senate run in New Mexico. January 16, 2023 . Mutnick, Ally .
  4. Web site: Cook . Cathy . 2024-02-13 . Former Bernalillo County sheriff disqualified from Senate race . 2024-02-14 . . en.
  5. Web site: CHICK, CAMERON MR. - Candidate overview . FEC.gov . 14 July 2024 . en.
  6. Web site: LUNA, BENJAMIN RALPH #1728 - Candidate overview . FEC.gov . 14 July 2024 . en.
  7. Web site: ROSE, JERRY - Candidate overview . FEC.gov . 14 July 2024 . en.
  8. Web site: WAKELY, THOMAS JOHN - Candidate overview . FEC.gov . 14 July 2024 . en.
  9. Web site: 2024 Senate Race ratings . 2023-01-25 . Cook Political Report . en.
  10. Web site: January 6, 2023. January 10, 2023 . Senate Ratings . Inside Elections.
  11. Web site: January 24, 2023. February 13, 2023 . 2024 Senate . Sabato's Crystal Ball.
  12. Web site: 2024 Senate prediction map . June 8, 2024 . elections2024.thehill.com/ . . June 8, 2024.
  13. Web site: 2023-08-01 . Election Ratings . 2023-08-02 . Elections Daily . en-US.
  14. Web site: '24 Senate Forecast . November 21, 2023 . CNalysis . en-US.
  15. Web site: 2024 Election United States Senate - New Mexico . fec.gov . . July 19, 2024.