| Election Name: | 2024 United States Senate election in Nevada |
| Country: | Nevada |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | yes |
| Previous Election: | 2018 United States Senate election in Nevada |
| Previous Year: | 2018 |
| Next Election: | 2030 United States Senate election in Nevada |
| Next Year: | 2030 |
| Election Date: | November 5, 2024 |
| Image1: | File:Senator Jacky Rosen Official Portrait (2022) (cropped).jpg |
| Nominee1: | Jacky Rosen |
| Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Nominee2: | Sam Brown |
| Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
| U.S. Senator | |
| Before Election: | Jacky Rosen |
| Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
The 2024 United States Senate election in Nevada will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Nevada. Democratic incumbent Jacky Rosen is seeking a second term. She is being challenged by Republican businessman Sam Brown. Primary elections took place on June 11, 2024.[1] The election is considered essential for Democrats' chances to retain the Senate majority in 2024.[2]
A typical swing state, Nevada is considered to be a purple state at the federal level, especially since in the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden carried Nevada by about two percentage points. Both parties have seen success in the state in recent years. Democrats control both U.S. Senate seats, majorities in both state legislative chambers, and all but one seat in its congressional delegation, while Republicans flipped the governorship in 2022.[3] [4] [5]
As of June 2024, no Republican has won any U.S. Senate race in Nevada since 2012. This race is considered to be highly competitive given the state's nearly even partisan lean; however, most polls show Rosen to be the favorite to win.[6]
| Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | |
| Jacky Rosen (D) | $27,387,983 | $17,316,743 | $10,249,429 | |
| Troy Walker (D) | $705 | $675 | $0 | |
| Source: Federal Election Commission | ||||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sam Brown | Tony Grady | Jeff Gunter | Jim Marchant | Other | Undecided | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights | June 4–5, 2024 | 424 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 50% | 4% | 15% | 8% | 12% | 12% | |||
| Kaplan Strategies | May 30, 2024 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 30% | 4% | 31% | 7% | 1% | 27% | |||
| Terrance Group | May 13–16, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 52% | – | 14% | 7% | – | 27% | |||
| Terrance Group | April 7–10, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 58% | 3% | 3% | 6% | – | 29% | |||
| Noble Predictive Insights | February 27 – March 5, 2024 | 296 (RV) | ± 5.7% | 39% | – | – | 26% | – | 35% | |||
| Tarrance Group | October 23–26, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 24% | 5% | 1% | 9% | – | 41% | |||
| Public Opinion Strategies | August 15–17, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 33% | 2% | 1% | 15% | 3% | 44% |
| Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | |
| Sam Brown (R) | $7,084,690 | $4,605,289 | $2,479,400 | |
| William Conrad (R) | $12,476 | $7,098 | $9,161 | |
| Tony Grady Jr. (R) | $278,061 | $255,593 | $22,467 | |
| Jeffrey Ross Gunter (R) | $3,317,546 | $2,980,286 | $337,260 | |
| Ronda Kennedy (R) | $27,786 | $18,620 | $9,165 | |
| Barry Lindemann (R) | $64,106 | $63,947 | $2,783 | |
| Jim Marchant (R) | $434,323 | $374,665 | $59,657 | |
| Stephanie Phillips (R) | $82,761 | $81,427 | $1,333 | |
| Source: Federal Election Commission | ||||
| Source | Ranking | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | The Cook Political Report[21] | August 15, 2024 | |
| align=left | Inside Elections[22] | November 9, 2023 | |
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | November 9, 2023 | |
| align=left | Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[24] | June 8, 2024 | |
| align=left | Elections Daily[25] | May 4, 2023 | |
| align=left | CNalysis[26] | November 21, 2023 | |
| align=left | RealClearPolitics[27] | August 5, 2024 | |
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | |
| Jacky Rosen (D) | $31,924,825 | $22,615,491 | $9,487,523 | |
| Sam Brown (R) | $9,719,083 | $6,606,956 | $3,112,128 | |
| Chris Cunningham (L) | $800 | $64 | $761 | |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[28] | ||||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jacky Rosen (D) | Sam Brown (R) | Other | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | data-sort-value="2024-08-19" | August 12-15, 2024 | 536 (LV) | ± 3.87% | 41% | 37% | 5% | 19% | |
| NYT/Siena College | August 12–15, 2024 | 677 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 37% | – | 15% | ||
| 677 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 40% | – | 11% | ||||
| Providence Polling | August 3–5, 2024 | 991 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 40% | 9% | – | ||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | data-sort-value="2024-08-06" | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 470 (LV) | ± 4.16% | 41% | 38% | 3% | 19% | |
| BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) | data-sort-value="2024-08-15" | July 26 – August 2, 2024 | 403 (LV) | – | 54% | 36% | – | 10% | |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | data-sort-value="2024-07-26" | July 22–24, 2024 | 435 (LV) | ± 4.14% | 45% | 40% | 3% | 10% | |
| Joe Biden withdraws from the presidential election | |||||||||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | data-sort-value="2024-07-22" | July 16–18, 2024 | 412 (LV) | – | 41% | 37% | 4% | 16% | |
| YouGov | July 4–12, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 47% | 40% | 1% | 11% | ||
| 731 (LV) | – | 47% | 41% | 1% | 10% | ||||
| Remington Research Group (R) | data-sort-value="2024-06-20" | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 601 (LV) | – | 48% | 46% | – | 6% | |
| National Public Affairs | data-sort-value="2024-07-03" | June 28 – July 1, 2024 | 817 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 41% | 33% | 8% | 18% | |
| Emerson College | data-sort-value="2024-06-20" | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 38% | – | 13% | |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/ Impact Research (D) | data-sort-value="2024-06-25" | June 12–18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 42% | – | 11% | |
| Primary elections held | |||||||||
| The Tyson Group | data-sort-value="2024-05-28" | May 22–25, 2024 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 33% | 4% | 16% | |
| Mainstreet Research/FAU | May 19–21, 2024 | 522 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 35% | 8% | 9% | ||
| 494 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 37% | 7% | 8% | ||||
| NYT/Siena College | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 614 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 38% | – | 22% | ||
| 614 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 41% | – | 18% | ||||
| Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 37% | – | 18% | ||
| Emerson College | March 12–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 39% | – | 21% | ||
| Noble Predictive Insights | February 27 – March 5, 2024 | 829 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 41% | 35% | – | 24% | ||
| Emerson College | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 38% | – | 22% | ||
| Change Research (D) | December 3–7, 2023 | 2,532 (V) | – | 39% | 38% | 0% | 23% | ||
| Tarrance Group (R) | October 23–26, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 40% | 5% | 10% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jacky Rosen (D) | Jim Marchant (R) | Other | Undecided | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | March 12–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 34% | – | 22% | |
| Noble Predictive Insights | February 27 – March 5, 2024 | 829 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 34% | – | 23% | |
| Emerson College | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 36% | – | 22% | |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jacky Rosen (D) | Jeff Gunter (R) | Other | Undecided | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 33% | – | 21% | |
| Emerson College | March 12–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 34% | – | 23% | |
| Emerson College | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 32% | – | 25% | |