| Election Name: | 2024 United States Senate election in Minnesota |
| Country: | Minnesota |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2018 United States Senate election in Minnesota |
| Previous Year: | 2018 |
| Next Election: | 2030 United States Senate election in Minnesota |
| Next Year: | 2030 |
| Election Date: | November 5, 2024 |
| Image1: | Amy Klobuchar, official portrait, 113th Congress (cropped 2).jpg |
| Nominee1: | Amy Klobuchar |
| Party1: | Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party |
| Popular Vote1: | 1,792,441 |
| Percentage1: | 56.20% |
| Nominee2: | Royce White |
| Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Popular Vote2: | 1,291,712 |
| Percentage2: | 40.50% |
| Map Size: | 280px |
| U.S. Senator | |
| Before Election: | Amy Klobuchar |
| Before Party: | Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party |
| After Election: | Amy Klobuchar |
| After Party: | Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party |
The 2024 United States Senate election in Minnesota was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Minnesota. Democratic incumbent Amy Klobuchar won a fourth term in office, defeating Republican former basketball player Royce White. Primary elections took place on August 13, 2024.[1]
Klobuchar won re-election by a comfortable 15.8% margin,[2] but this was her narrowest margin of victory out of her four Senate campaigns, as well as the first time that she failed to sweep all eight of the state's congressional districts.
Minnesota is considered to be a slightly to moderately blue state at the federal level. In the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden carried Minnesota by about seven percentage points. Democrats control both U.S. Senate seats, all statewide executive offices, and both state legislative chambers.[3] [4]
Klobuchar was first elected in 2006, defeating former U.S. Representative Mark Kennedy. She won re-election in 2012 and 2018 by large margins.[5]
This race is considered to be clearly favoring Klobuchar, as she has won all three of her Senate elections by more than 20 points and typically over-performs other down-ballot candidates.[6]
Klobuchar swept the primary, earning more than 90% of the vote in every county of the state. She recorded her best performance in Pope County, while her worst performance was in Anoka County. There, she came the closest to slipping below 90%, having won 90.00471% of the vote.[10]
| Campaign finance reports as of July 24, 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | |
| Joe Fraser (R) | $68,438 | $45,860 | $22,578 | |
| Royce White (R) | $132,721 | $79,782 | $52,940 | |
| Source: Federal Election Commission | ||||
| Source | Ranking | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | The Cook Political Report[17] | November 9, 2023 | |
| align=left | Inside Elections[18] | November 9, 2023 | |
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] | November 9, 2023 | |
| align=left | Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[20] | August 26, 2024 | |
| align=left | Elections Daily[21] | May 4, 2023 | |
| align=left | CNalysis[22] | November 21, 2023 | |
| align=left | RealClearPolitics[23] | August 5, 2024 | |
| Split Ticket[24] | October 30, 2024 | ||
| 538[25] | October 31, 2024 |
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Amy Klobuchar (DFL) | Royce White (R) | Undecided | Margin | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics | October 16 - November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 52.0% | 39.0% | 9.0% | Klobuchar +13.0% | |||
| 538 | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 51.2% | 38.4% | 10.4% | Klobuchar +12.8% | |||
| 270toWin | October 16 - November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 49.7% | 36.0% | 14.3% | Klobuchar +13.7% | |||
| Average | 51.0% | 37.8% | 11.2% | Klobuchar +13.2% | |||||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Amy Klobuchar (DFL) | Royce White (R) | Other | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | November 1–4, 2024 | 2,065 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 53% | 41% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Research Co. | November 2–3, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 38% | 3% | 4% | ||
| ActiVote | October 8–31, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 56% | 44% | – | – | ||
| Chism Strategies | October 28–30, 2024 | 534 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 52% | 35% | 3% | 11% | ||
| SurveyUSA | October 24–28, 2024 | 728 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 35% | 3% | 10% | ||
| Embold Research | October 16–22, 2024 | 1,734 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 52% | 40% | 2% | 6% | ||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 12–14, 2024 | 544 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 35% | 5% | 19% | ||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | September 27 – October 2, 2024 | 551 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 38% | 6% | 11% | ||
| SurveyUSA | September 23–26, 2024 | 646 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 53% | 35% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | data-sort-value="2024-09-23" | September 16–19, 2024 | 703 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 34% | 7% | 17% | |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | September 16–18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 40% | 1% | 8% | ||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | September 6–9, 2024 | 617 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 36% | 5% | 16% | ||
| Embold Research | September 4–8, 2024 | 1,616 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 52% | 41% | – | 7% | ||
| SurveyUSA | August 27–29, 2024 | 635 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 50% | 36% | 4% | 11% | ||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 25–28, 2024 | 426 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 34% | 8% | 18% | ||
| SurveyUSA | July 23–25, 2024 | 656 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 55% | 33% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Fox News | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,071 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 57% | 40% | – | 2% | ||
| Emerson College | data-sort-value="2024-06-20" | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 37% | 4% | 10% | |
| SurveyUSA | June 12–16, 2024 | 626 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 35% | 4% | 12% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Amy Klobuchar (DFL) | Joe Fraser (R) | Other | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | July 23–25, 2024 | 656 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 33% | 4% | 10% | ||
| Emerson College | data-sort-value="2024-06-20" | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 37% | 5% | 10% | |
| SurveyUSA | June 12–16, 2024 | 626 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 36% | 4% | 11% | ||
| SurveyUSA | May 8–11, 2024 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 34% | 5% | 12% | ||
| SurveyUSA | April 3–7, 2024 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 34% | 6% | 10% | ||
| SurveyUSA | February 23–28, 2024 | 1,603 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 33% | 5% | 14% |
Klobuchar won 5 of 8 congressional districts, including one that elected a Republican.[26]
| District | Klobuchar | White | Representative | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49% | 48% | Brad Finstad | ||||
| 57% | 40% | Angie Craig | ||||
| 63% | 34% | Dean Phillips (118th Congress) | ||||
| Kelly Morrison (119th Congress) | ||||||
| 70% | 26% | Betty McCollum | ||||
| 82% | 15% | Ilhan Omar | ||||
| 45% | 52% | Tom Emmer | ||||
| 40% | 57% | Michelle Fischbach | ||||
| 48% | 49% | Pete Stauber |