2024 United States Senate election in Indiana explained

Election Name:	2024 United States Senate election in Indiana
Country:	Indiana
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2018 United States Senate election in Indiana
Previous Year:	2018
Next Election:	2030 United States Senate election in Indiana
Next Year:	2030
Election Date:	November 5, 2024
Image1:	File:Jim Banks official portrait (alt crop).jpg
Nominee1:	Jim Banks
Party1:	Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:	1,671,985
Percentage1:	58.70%
Nominee2:	Valerie McCray
Party2:	Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:	1,100,080
Percentage2:	38.70%
Map Size:	260px
U.S. senator
Before Election:	Mike Braun
Before Party:	Republican Party (United States)
After Election:	Jim Banks
After Party:	Republican Party (United States)

The 2024 United States Senate election in Indiana was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Indiana. Republican congressman Jim Banks was elected to his first term, defeating Democratic psychologist Valerie McCray in the general election.^[1] Banks will succeed Republican incumbent Mike Braun, who opted instead to run for governor.^[2] This was the first election for this seat in which there was no incumbent running since 1958.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jim Banks, U.S. representative for (2017–present)^[3]

Disqualified

• John Rust, former chairmain of the board for Rose Acre Farms^[4]

Declined

• Mike Braun, incumbent U.S. senator (2019–present) (ran for governor)^[2]
• Mitch Daniels, former governor of Indiana (2005–2013), former President of Purdue University (2013–2022), and former Director of the Office of Management and Budget (2001–2003)^[5]
• Eric Holcomb, Governor of Indiana (2017–present) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016^[6]
• Mike Pence, former vice president of the United States (2017–2021), former Governor of Indiana (2013–2017), and former U.S. Representative for (2001–2013)^[7] (ran for president)^[8]
• Victoria Spartz, U.S. representative for (2021–present) (ran for re-election)^[9]
• Todd Rokita, Indiana Attorney General (2021–present), former U.S. Representative for (2011–2019), former Indiana Secretary of State (2002–2010) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 (ran for re-election)^[10]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jim Banks	Mitch Daniels	Trey Hollingsworth	Todd Rokita	Victoria Spartz	Other	Undecided
Bellwether Research	December 11–17, 2022	1,000 (LV)	–	14%	–	11%		16%	12%	9%		39%
				10%		32%	9%	7%	7%	6%	29%
Response:AI	December 9–16, 2022	503 (RV)	±4.3%	14%		35%	6%	—	14%	16%	17%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Valerie McCray, psychologist and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022^[11]

Eliminated in primary

• Marc Carmichael, former state representative (1986–1991) and nominee for in 1996^[12]

Withdrew

• Keith Potts, former Indianapolis city councilor (2020–2023)^[13]

Declined

• Joe Donnelly, former U.S. Ambassador to the Holy See (2022–2024) and former U.S. Senator (2013–2019)^[14]
• Ron Klain, former White House Chief of Staff (2021–2023)^[15]

Endorsements

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
	Marc Carmichael (D)	$115,161	$98,370	$16,125
	Valerie McCray (D)	$61,506	$45,953	$15,684
	Keith Potts (D)	$99,485	$98,302	$1,183
Source: Federal Election Commission

Results

Libertarian convention

Nominee

• Andy Horning, engineer, perennial candidate, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2012^[16]

Write-in candidates

Declared

• Phillip Beachy, retired carpenter and Democratic candidate for in 2022^[17]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report^[18]		November 9, 2023
align=left	Inside Elections^[19]		November 9, 2023
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball^[20]		November 9, 2023
align=left	Decision Desk HQ/The Hill^[21]		June 8, 2024
align=left	Elections Daily^[22]		May 4, 2023
align=left	CNalysis^[23]		November 21, 2023
align=left	RealClearPolitics^[24]		August 5, 2024
Split Ticket^[25]		October 23, 2024
538^[26]		October 23, 2024

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
	Jim Banks (R)	$5,553,816	$3,713,830	$3,175,470
	Valerie McCray (D)	$61,507	$45,953	$15,685
Source: Federal Election Commission^[27]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jim Banks (R)	Valerie McCray (D)	Other	Undecided
ActiVote	October 5–28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%		57%	43%	–	–
ActiVote	September 3 – October 5, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%		56%	44%	–	–
ARW Strategies	September 23–25, 2024	600 (LV)	–		49%	35%	–	16%
Emerson College	September 12–13, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%		47%	33%	5%	14%
Emerson College	October 1–4, 2023	462 (RV)	± 4.4%		31%	22%	8%		39%

Results

On election day, Republican Banks defeated Democrat Valerie McCray by a near 20-percentage-point margin, winning all but three counties. Indiana has not elected a Democrat to the United States Senate since Joe Donnelly was elected in 2012.

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites

• Jim Banks (R) for Senate
• Phillip Beachy (WI) for Senate
• Andy Horning (L) for Senate
• Valerie McCray (D) for Senate

Notes and References

1. News: Indiana U.S. Senate Election Results 2024: McCray vs. Banks . November 7, 2024 . The New York Times . November 5, 2024.
2. News: Wren . Adam . Braun to run for Indiana governor, opening Senate seat in 2024 . POLITICO . en.
3. Web site: Wright . David . GOP Rep. Jim Banks announces Indiana US Senate campaign. CNN . en . 17 January 2023.
4. Web site: Jim Banks won't face Republican challenger in May. Here's who was removed from the ballot. . February 27, 2024 . February 27, 2024 . . Carloni, Brittany.
5. News: Weaver . Al . Mitch Daniels passes on Senate campaign. 31 January 2023 . The Hill.
6. Web site: Holcomb . Eric . Op/Ed: America is in what I call the Disaster Paradox. Here's how we overcome it. . . 15 June 2023 . June 15, 2023 . No, I am no genius or saint, am not running for U.S. House, Senate, or president and have never uttered the words, 'Only I can fix it.'.
7. Web site: Wren . Adam . 'He's Got a Huge Problem' . Politico . 25 July 2023 . December 19, 2022.
8. Web site: Mike Pence files paperwork to launch 2024 Republican presidential campaign . June 5, 2023. CNBC. Kevin Breuninger.
9. Web site: Weaver . Al . Victoria Spartz passes on Senate run, to retire from Congress at end of term. . February 3, 2023.
10. Web site: Indiana Attorney General Todd Rokita not seeking higher office . 2023-02-22 . The Indianapolis Star . en-US.
11. News: . September 19, 2023 . Bergquist . Garrett . July 21, 2023 . McCray prioritizes mental health issues in 2024 US Senate bid.
12. News: Marc Carmichael announces campaign for U.S. Senate. Indiana Capital Chronicle. June 6, 2023. June 7, 2023. Downard. Whitney.
13. News: Democrat Keith Potts drops out of U.S. Senate race . . 11 December 2023 . 13 December 2023 . Bonilla Muñiz, Leslie.
14. Web site: Joe Donnelly plans to stay on as ambassador to the Vatican through 2024, forgoing an Indiana governor or Senate run. . . 13 June 2023.
15. News: Klain tells Indiana Dems he's not interested in a Senate bid . 7 March 2023 . . Wren, Adam . Stokols, Eli . Egan, Lauren.
16. News: Indiana Libertarians nominate 2024 candidates . . March 3, 2024 . Bergquist, Garrett . March 2, 2024.
17. News: May 7, 2024 Primary Election Candidates . Indiana Secretary of State . January 10, 2024.
18. Web site: 2024 Senate Race ratings . 2023-01-25 . Cook Political Report . en.
19. Web site: January 6, 2023. January 10, 2023 . Senate Ratings . Inside Elections.
20. Web site: January 24, 2023. February 13, 2023 . 2024 Senate . Sabato's Crystal Ball.
21. Web site: 2024 Senate prediction map . June 8, 2024 . elections2024.thehill.com/ . . June 8, 2024.
22. Web site: 2023-08-01 . Election Ratings . 2023-08-02 . Elections Daily . en-US.
23. Web site: '24 Senate Forecast . November 21, 2023 . CNalysis . en-US.
24. Web site: Battle for the Senate 2024 . August 5, 2024 . . en-US.
25. Web site: 2024 Senate Forecast . Split Ticket . 23 October 2024.
26. Web site: 2024 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . 23 October 2024.
27. Web site: 2024 Election United States Senate - Indiana . fec.gov . . August 5, 2024.