2024 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico explained

Election Name:2024 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
Country:New Mexico
Type:legislative
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
Previous Year:2022
Next Election:2026 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
Next Year:2026
Seats For Election:All 3 New Mexico seats to the United States House of Representatives
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Last Election1:3
Seats1:3
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Last Election2:0
Seats2:0

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the State of New Mexico, one from all three of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections occurred on June 4, 2024.

Background

New Mexico's map faced a lawsuit alleging partisan gerrymandering diluting the voting power of Republicans in the 2nd congressional district. A state judge ruled to keep the current map in place, and that decision was upheld by the New Mexico Supreme Court with all five justices stating that the congressional map was not an "egregious" gerrymander in a ruling on November 27, 2023.[1]

District 1

See also: New Mexico's 1st congressional district.

Election Name:2024 New Mexico's 1st congressional district election
Country:New Mexico
Type:presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico#District 1
Previous Year:2022
Next Election:2026 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico#District 1
Next Year:2026
Image1:Melanie Stansbury 117th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Melanie Stansbury
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Nominee2:Steve Jones
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Melanie Stansbury
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 1st district covers the center of the state, taking in the counties of Torrance, Guadalupe, De Baca, and Lincoln, as well as eastern Bernalillo County and most of Albuquerque. The incumbent is Democrat Melanie Stansbury, who was re-elected with 55.75% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Results

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Steve Jones (R)$69,830$69,742$98
Louie Sanchez (R)$28,345$447$27,897
Source: Federal Election Commission

Results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left Cook Political Report[6] February 2, 2023
align=left Inside Elections[7] March 10, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] February 23, 2023
align=left Elections Daily[9] September 7, 2023
align=left CNalysis[10] November 16, 2023

Results

District 2

See also: New Mexico's 2nd congressional district.

Election Name:2024 New Mexico's 2nd congressional district election
Country:New Mexico
Type:presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico#District 2
Previous Year:2022
Next Election:2026 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico#District 2
Next Year:2026
Image1:File:Rep Gabriel Vasquez Official Portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Gabe Vasquez
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Nominee2:Yvette Herrell
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Gabe Vasquez
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2nd district encapsulates southern and western New Mexico, including the cities of Las Cruces, Carlsbad, and Alamogordo, as well as the southwestern suburbs of Albuquerque. The incumbent is Democrat Gabe Vasquez, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.34% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Results

Republican primary

Nominee

Results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left Cook Political ReportFebruary 2, 2023
align=left Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallFebruary 23, 2023
align=left Elections DailySeptember 7, 2023
align=left CNalysisNovember 16, 2023

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Gabe
Vasquez (D)
Yvette
Herrell (R)
Undecided
The Tarrance GroupJuly 11–14, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%46%48%6%
SurveyUSASeptember 6–12, 2023541 (LV)± 4.8%45%46%9%

Results

District 3

See also: New Mexico's 3rd congressional district.

Election Name:2024 New Mexico's 3rd congressional district election
Country:New Mexico
Type:presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico#District 3
Previous Year:2022
Next Election:2026 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico#District 3
Next Year:2026
Image1:Teresa Leger Fernandez 117th U.S Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Teresa Leger Fernandez
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Nominee2:Sharon Clahchischilliage
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Teresa Leger Fernandez
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 3rd district covers the northern and eastern parts of the state, taking in the cities of Santa Fe, Roswell, Farmington, and Clovis, as well as parts of the Navajo Nation. The incumbent is Democrat Teresa Leger Fernandez, who was re-elected with 58.16% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Results

Republican primary

Nominee

Results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left Cook Political ReportFebruary 2, 2023
align=left Inside ElectionsMarch 10, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallFebruary 23, 2023
align=left Elections DailySeptember 7, 2023
align=left CNalysisNovember 16, 2023

Results

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2023-11-27 . New Mexico Supreme Court upholds Democratic-drawn congressional map . 2024-03-12 . AP News . en.
  2. Web site: 2022 National House Vote Tracker. December 30, 2023. Cook Political Report.
  3. Web site: 2024 Election United States House - New Mexico 1st . fec.gov . . December 29, 2023.
  4. News: Record . Alex Ross Roswell Daily . Former write-in candidate files to run as GOPer against Stansbury . January 3, 2024 . . January 3, 2024 . en.
  5. News: NM Political Report . February 7, 2024 . Major party candidates file for U.S. Senate, House races. Reichbach, Matthew . February 7, 2024 .
  6. Web site: 2024 House Race Ratings: Another Competitive Fight for Control . Cook Political Report . February 3, 2023.
  7. Web site: First 2024 House Ratings . Inside Elections . March 10, 2023.
  8. Web site: Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up . Sabato's Crystal Ball . February 23, 2023. February 23, 2023.
  9. Web site: 2023-09-13 . Election Ratings . 2023-09-17 . Elections Daily . en-US.
  10. Web site: 2024 House Forecast. November 20, 2023. December 30, 2023.
  11. Web site: Boetel. Ryan. Vasquez launches re-election campaign for congressional District 2. The Albuquerque Journal. September 16, 2023.
  12. Web site: 2024 Election United States House - New Mexico 2nd . fec.gov . . December 29, 2023.
  13. Web site: Former Rep. Yvette Herrell announces run for old seat at LC rally with Kevin McCarthy. April 10, 2023. April 10, 2023. KFOX-TV.
  14. News: Diamond Eye Candidate Report . Frisk . Garrett . 21 July 2023 . 21 July 2023 . We Asked Every Member of the House if They're Running in 2024. Here's What They Said..
  15. Web site: 2024 Election United States House - New Mexico 3rd . fec.gov . . December 29, 2023.
  16. News: Reichbach . Matthew . Former State Rep. announces run for Congress . 8 September 2023 . The NM Political Report . 8 September 2023.