2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana explained

Election Name:2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana
Country:Montana
Type:legislative
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana
Previous Year:2022
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana
Next Year:2026
Seats For Election:Both Montana seats to the United States House of Representatives
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Seats Before1:2
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Seats Before2:0

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Montana, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections took place on June 4, 2024.

District 1

Election Name:2024 Montana's 1st congressional district election
Country:Montana
Type:presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana#District 1
Previous Year:2022
Next Election:2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana#District 1
Next Year:2026
Image1:Rep. Ryan Zinke official photo, 118th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Ryan Zinke
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Nominee2:Monica Tranel
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Ryan Zinke
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)

See also: Montana's 1st congressional district. The 1st district is based in mountainous Western Montana, including the cities of Missoula, Kalispell, Bozeman and Butte. The incumbent is Republican Ryan Zinke, who was elected with 49.7% of the vote in 2022.[1] He initially had expressed interest in running for U.S. Senate against incumbent Jon Tester, but chose not to do so.[2]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Mary Todd (R)$87,253$67,177$20,075
Ryan Zinke (R)$5,752,008$3,341,562$2,520,494
Source: Federal Election Commission[3]

Results

Democratic primary

Nominee

Results

Libertarian primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[5] February 2, 2023
align=left Inside Elections[6] September 15, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] February 23, 2023
align=left Elections Daily[8] September 7, 2023
align=left CNalysis[9] November 16, 2023

Results

District 2

Election Name:2024 Montana's 2nd congressional district election
Country:Montana
Type:presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana#District 2
Previous Year:2022
Next Election:2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana#District 2
Next Year:2026
Image1:Troy Downing (2023).jpg
Nominee1:Troy Downing
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Nominee2:John Driscoll
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Matt Rosendale
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)

See also: Montana's 2nd congressional district. The 2nd district encompasses much of the state east of the Continental Divide, including the cities of Billings, Great Falls and Helena. The incumbent is Republican Matt Rosendale, who was re-elected with 56.6% of the vote in 2022.[1] He announced in February 2024 that he would run for U.S. Senate against incumbent Jon Tester, but dropped out of the race one week later.[10] On March 8, 2024, Rosendale announced that he would not be seeking any office in 2024.[11]

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Elsie Arntzen (R)$871,444$805,097$66,347
Kenneth Bogner (R)$54,359$43,425$10,933
Troy Downing (R)$1,818,816$1,383,494$435,322
Ric Holden (R)$49,248$46,540$2,708
Joel Krautter (R)$76,533$67,136$9,397
Denny Rehberg (R)$601,991$453,928$148,063
Stacy Zinn (R)$41,460$3,091$38,369
Source: Federal Election Commission[19]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Elsie
Arntzen
Kenneth
Bogner
Troy
Downing
Ric
Holden
Denny
Rehberg
Stacy
Zinn
OtherUndecided
Cygnal (R)May 8–9, 2024410 (LV)± 4.8%5%4%28%2%12%8%3%40%
Guidant Polling & StrategyApril 14–17, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%10%38%26%27%
Cygnal (R)April 15–16, 2024415 (LV)± 4.8%7%4%21%1%11%3%3%51%
Moore InformationFebruary 1, 2024500 (LV)5%3%16%2%26%2%9%37%

Results

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Ming Cabrera (D)$60,007$41,424$18,582
Kevin Hamm (D)$62,689$57,628$5,061
Steve Held (D)$86,570$67,945$18,624
Source: Federal Election Commission

Results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political ReportFebruary 2, 2023
align=left Inside ElectionsSeptember 15, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallFebruary 23, 2023
align=left Elections DailySeptember 7, 2023
align=left CNalysisNovember 16, 2023

Results

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2022 National House Vote Tracker. December 29, 2023. Cook Political Report.
  2. News: Warren. Bradley. Congressman Ryan Zinke officially endorses Tim Sheehy for US Senate. Jul 5, 2023. Nonstop Local—ABC FOX. There was speculation Zinke could enter the race, but that speculation now shut down with this endorsement..
  3. Web site: 2024 Election United States House - Montana 1st . fec.gov . . February 2, 2024.
  4. Web site: Montana Democrat Monica Tranel announces run for U.S. Congress. Corrin. Warren. Noah. Bradley. July 10, 2023. July 10, 2023. KTMF. Zinke plans to run for reelection, setting up a potential rematch of the 2022 race..
  5. Web site: 2024 House Race Ratings: Another Competitive Fight for Control . Cook Political Report . February 3, 2023.
  6. Web site: First 2024 House Ratings . Inside Elections . March 10, 2023.
  7. Web site: Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up . Sabato's Crystal Ball . February 23, 2023.
  8. Web site: 2023-09-13 . Election Ratings . 2023-09-17 . Elections Daily . en-US.
  9. Web site: 2024 House Forecast. November 20, 2023. December 29, 2023.
  10. Web site: Rosendale drops Montana Senate bid . February 15, 2024 . Politico . Ally . Mutnick . Olivia . Beavers . Burgess . Everett.
  11. Web site: Schnell . Mychael . 2024-03-08 . Rosendale drops reelection bid, will retire at end of term . 2024-03-08 . The Hill . en-US.
  12. News: Troy Downing announces campaign for Congress . . November 1, 2023 . November 1, 2023.
  13. News: . West, Bowen . February 15, 2024 . February 12, 2024 . Arntzen announces run for Congress.
  14. News: Federal Primary 2024 . Montana Secretary of State . January 11, 2024.
  15. News: Warren . Bradley . Corrin . Noah . Montana State Senator Ken Bogner announces run for U.S. Congress . January 9, 2024 . . January 9, 2024 . en.
  16. News: Murray . David . Holden joins growing field in run to represent eastern House District . September 25, 2023 . . September 25, 2023.
  17. Web site: Lutey . Tom . 2024-02-21 . Denny Rehberg launches U.S. House campaign . 2024-02-21 . Billings Gazette . en.
  18. News: Buffington . Posie . Stacy Zinn announces run for Montana congressional district two . KULR8 . November 6, 2023 . November 20, 2023.
  19. Web site: 2024 Election United States House - Montana 2nd . fec.gov . . February 2, 2024.
  20. News: 6 September 2023 . . Ragar . Shaylee . 6 September 2023 . Another Democrat joins Montana's eastern district U.S. House race.
  21. Web site: Ehrlick . Darrell . Hamm announces bid for Congress . Daily Montanan . 16 May 2023.