2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky explained

Election Name:	2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky
Country:	Kentucky
Type:	legislative
Ongoing:	yes
Previous Election:	2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky
Previous Year:	2022
Election Date:	November 5, 2024
Next Election:	2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky
Next Year:	2026
Seats For Election:	All 6 Kentucky seats to the United States House of Representatives
Party1:	Republican Party (United States)
Seats Before1:	5
Party2:	Democratic Party (United States)
Seats Before2:	1

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections took place on May 21, 2024.

Background

The Kentucky Supreme Court heard arguments in September 2023 in a suit alleging that the state legislature violated the state constitution by creating a partisan gerrymander in the state's congressional map by moving the state capital Frankfort to the heavily Republican 1st district. On December 14, 2023, the court affirmed a lower court ruiling resulting in the case being dismissed.^{[1] [2]}

District 1

Election Name:	2024 Kentucky's 1st congressional district election
Country:	Kentucky
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	yes
Previous Election:	2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky#District 1
Previous Year:	2022
Next Election:	2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky#District 1
Next Year:	2026
Image1:	File:Rep. James Comer (long cropped 2).jpg
Nominee1:	James Comer
Party1:	Republican Party (United States)
Nominee2:	Erin Marshall
Party2:	Democratic Party (United States)
Map Size:	200px
U.S. Representative
Before Party:	Republican Party (United States)

See also: Kentucky's 1st congressional district. The 1st district is based in Western Kentucky and stretches into Central Kentucky, taking in Henderson, Hopkinsville, Madisonville, Paducah, Murray, and Frankfort. The incumbent is Republican James Comer, who was re-elected with 74.9% of the vote in 2022.^[3]

Republican primary

Nominee

• James Comer, incumbent U.S. representative^[4]

Results

Democratic primary

Nominee

• Erin Marshall, sales manager

Results

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	Cook Political Report^[6]		December 30, 2023
align=left	Inside Elections^[7]		January 3, 2024
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball^[8]		November 16, 2023
align=left	Elections Daily^[9]		October 26, 2023
align=left	CNalysis^[10]		December 28, 2023
align=left	Decision Desk HQ^[11]		June 1, 2024

Results

District 2

Election Name:	2024 Kentucky's 2nd congressional district election
Country:	Kentucky
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	yes
Previous Election:	2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky#District 2
Previous Year:	2022
Next Election:	2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky#District 2
Next Year:	2026
Image1:	File:Brett Guthrie, Official Photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	Brett Guthrie
Party1:	Republican Party (United States)
Nominee2:	Hank Linderman
Party2:	Democratic Party (United States)
Map Size:	200px
U.S. Representative
Before Election:	Brett Guthrie
Before Party:	Republican Party (United States)

See also: Kentucky's 2nd congressional district. The 2nd district is located in west central Kentucky, and includes Bowling Green, Owensboro, Elizabethtown, and a portion of eastern Louisville. The incumbent is Republican Brett Guthrie, who was re-elected with 71.9% of the vote in 2022.^[3]

Republican primary

Nominee

• Brett Guthrie, incumbent U.S. representative^[12]

Results

Democratic primary

Nominee

• Hank Linderman, musician and nominee for this district in 2018, 2020, and 2022

Eliminated in primary

• William Compton, Plum Springs city commissioner and candidate for this district in 2022^[14]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 1, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
	William Compton (D)	$4,569	$5,065	$248
	Hank Linderman (D)	$7,100	$16,533	$9,303
Source: Federal Election Commission

Results

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	Cook Political Report		December 30, 2023
align=left	Inside Elections		January 3, 2024
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 16, 2023
align=left	Elections Daily		October 26, 2023
align=left	CNalysis		December 28, 2023
align=left	Decision Desk HQ^[15]		June 1, 2024

Results

District 3

Election Name:	2024 Kentucky's 3rd congressional district election
Country:	Kentucky
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	yes
Previous Election:	2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky#District 3
Previous Year:	2022
Next Election:	2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky#District 3
Next Year:	2026
Image1:	Rep. Morgan McGarvey - 118th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	Morgan McGarvey
Party1:	Democratic Party (United States)
Nominee2:	Mike Craven
Party2:	Republican Party (United States)
Map Size:	200px
U.S. Representative
Before Party:	Democratic Party (United States)

See also: Kentucky's 3rd congressional district. The 3rd district encompasses nearly all of Louisville Metro, which, since the merger of 2003, is consolidated with Jefferson County, though other incorporated cities, such as Shively and St. Matthews, exist within the county. The incumbent is Democrat Morgan McGarvey, who was elected with 62.0% of the vote in 2022.^[3]

Democratic primary

Nominee

• Morgan McGarvey, incumbent U.S. representative^[14]

Eliminated in primary

• Jared Randall, high school track coach^[14]
• Geoff Young, retired state employee and perennial candidate^[14]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
	Morgan McGarvey (D)	$1,416,913	$671,715	$966,254
	Geoff Young (D)	$13,410	$13,511	$0
Source: Federal Election Commission^[16]

Results

Republican primary

Nominee

• Mike Craven, retired auto worker and perennial candidate

Eliminated in primary

• Dennis Ormerod, candidate for governor in 2023

Results

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	Cook Political Report		December 30, 2023
align=left	Inside Elections		January 3, 2024
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 16, 2023
align=left	Elections Daily		October 26, 2023
align=left	CNalysis		December 28, 2023
align=left	Decision Desk HQ^[17]		June 1, 2024

Results

District 4

Election Name:	2024 Kentucky's 4th congressional district election
Country:	Kentucky
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	yes
Previous Election:	2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky#District 4
Previous Year:	2022
Next Election:	2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky#District 4
Next Year:	2026
Image1:	Thomas Massie 1.jpg
Nominee1:	Thomas Massie
Party1:	Republican Party (United States)
Map Size:	200px
U.S. Representative
Before Party:	Republican Party (United States)

See also: Kentucky's 4th congressional district. The 4th district is located in the northeastern part of the state along the Ohio River, including the suburbs of Cincinnati and the eastern suburbs of Louisville. The incumbent is Republican Thomas Massie, who was re-elected with 65.0% of the vote in 2022.^[3]

Republican primary

Nominee

• Thomas Massie, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

• Eric Deters, suspended attorney and candidate for governor in 2023
• Michael McGinnis, marketer

Results

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	Cook Political Report		December 30, 2023
align=left	Inside Elections		January 3, 2024
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 16, 2023
align=left	Elections Daily		October 26, 2023
align=left	CNalysis		December 28, 2023
align=left	Decision Desk HQ^[19]		June 1, 2024

Results

District 5

Election Name:	2024 Kentucky's 5th congressional district election
Country:	Kentucky
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	yes
Previous Election:	2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky#District 5
Previous Year:	2022
Next Election:	2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky#District 5
Next Year:	2026
Image1:	Hal Rogers Official Photo 2010 (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	Hal Rogers
Party1:	Republican Party (United States)
Map Size:	200px
U.S. Representative
Before Election:	Hal Rogers
Before Party:	Republican Party (United States)

See also: Kentucky's 5th congressional district. The 5th district is based in the coalfields of eastern Kentucky. The incumbent is Republican House dean Hal Rogers, who was re-elected with 82.2% of the vote in 2022.^[3]

Republican primary

Nominee

• Hal Rogers, incumbent U.S. representative^[14]

Eliminated in primary

• Dana Edwards, surgeon^[20]
• David Kraftchak, airline pilot^[21]
• Brandon Monhollen, transportation manager and candidate for this district in 2022^[14]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 1, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
	Hal Rogers (R)	$638,917	$354,408	$997,474
	Dana Edwards (R)	$308,734	$311,137	$97
Source: Federal Election Commission^[22]

Results

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	Cook Political Report		December 30, 2023
align=left	Inside Elections		January 3, 2024
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 16, 2023
align=left	Elections Daily		October 26, 2023
align=left	CNalysis		December 28, 2023
align=left	Decision Desk HQ^[23]		June 1, 2024

Results

District 6

Election Name:	2024 Kentucky's 6th congressional district election
Country:	Kentucky
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	yes
Previous Election:	2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky#District 6
Previous Year:	2022
Next Election:	2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky#District 6
Next Year:	2026
Image1:	Andy Barr 116th Congress.jpg
Nominee1:	Andy Barr
Party1:	Republican Party (United States)
Nominee2:	Randy Cravens
Party2:	Democratic Party (United States)
Map Size:	200px
U.S. Representative
Before Party:	Republican Party (United States)

See also: Kentucky's 6th congressional district. The 6th district is located in central Kentucky, taking in Lexington, Richmond, and Georgetown. The incumbent is Republican Andy Barr, who was re-elected with 62.7% of the vote in 2022.^[3]

Republican primary

Nominee

• Andy Barr, incumbent U.S. representative^[14]

Endorsements

Fundraising

Results

Democratic primary

Nominee

• Randy Cravens, IT major incident manager and write-in candidate for this district in 2022^[14]

Eliminated in primary

• Todd Kelly, tree nursery owner
• Don Pratt, retired grocery store owner and perennial candidate^[14]
• Jonathan Richardson, nonprofit founder^[14]
• Shauna Rudd, social worker^[14]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 1, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
	Randy Cravens (D)	$2,305	$4,397	$1,079
	Todd Kelly (D)	$45,203	$34,168	$13,035
	Shauna Rudd (D)	$53,774	$54,262	$212
Source: Federal Election Commission

Results

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	Cook Political Report		December 30, 2023
align=left	Inside Elections		January 3, 2024
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 16, 2023
align=left	Elections Daily		October 26, 2023
align=left	CNalysis		December 28, 2023
align=left	Decision Desk HQ^[25]		June 1, 2024

Results

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

• James Comer (R) for Congress
• Erin Marshall (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

• William Compton (D) for Congress
• Brett Guthrie (R) for Congress
• Hank Linderman (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

• Morgan McGarvey (D) for Congress
• Geoff Young (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates

• Eric Deters (R) for Congress
• Thomas Massie (R) for Congress
• Michael McGinnis (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates

• Dana Edwards (R) for Congress
• David Kraftchak (R) for Congress
• Hal Rogers (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates

• Andy Barr (R) for Congress
• Randy Cravens (D) for Congress
• Todd Kelly (D) for Congress
• Shauna Rudd (D) for Congress

Notes and References

1. Web site: 2023-09-19 . Kentucky Supreme Court reviews state's Republican-drawn legislative, congressional maps . 2023-11-23 . AP News . en.
2. Web site: 2023-12-14 . Kentucky Supreme Court upholds legislative, congressional boundaries passed by GOP-led legislature . 2023-12-24 . AP News . en.
3. Web site: 2022 National House Vote Tracker. November 28, 2023. Cook Political Report.
4. News: Diamond Eye Candidate Report . Frisk . Garrett . 21 July 2023 . 21 July 2023 . We Asked Every Member of the House if They're Running in 2024. Here's What They Said..
5. Web site: 2024 Election United States House - Kentucky 1st . fec.gov . . November 23, 2023.
6. Web site: 2024 House Race Ratings: Another Competitive Fight for Control . Cook Political Report . February 3, 2023.
7. Web site: First 2024 House Ratings . Inside Elections . March 10, 2023.
8. Web site: Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up . Sabato's Crystal Ball . February 23, 2023. February 23, 2023.
9. Web site: 2023-08-09 . Election Ratings . 2023-08-09 . Elections Daily . en-US.
10. Web site: 2024 House Forecast. November 20, 2023. December 11, 2023.
11. Web site: 2024 House Forecast. May 28, 2024. June 1, 2024.
12. News: Anderson . Mario . Brett Guthrie announces 2024 reelection campaign to Congress . November 16, 2023 . . November 16, 2023 . en.
13. Web site: 2024 Election United States House - Kentucky 2nd . fec.gov . . September 18, 2023.
14. Web site: Candidate Filings with the Office of the Secretary of State. Kentucky Secretary of State Office. November 15, 2023.
15. Web site: 2024 House Forecast. May 28, 2024. June 1, 2024.
16. Web site: 2024 Election United States House - Kentucky 3rd . fec.gov . . September 18, 2023.
17. Web site: 2024 House Forecast. May 28, 2024. June 1, 2024.
18. Web site: 2024 Election United States House - Kentucky 4th . fec.gov . . September 18, 2023.
19. Web site: 2024 House Forecast. May 28, 2024. June 1, 2024.
20. News: US Term Limits . Tillman . Scott . 1 September 2023 . 12 July 2023 . Dana Edwards Pledges to Support Term Limits on Congress.
21. News: US Term Limits . Tillman . Scott . November 16, 2023 . July 12, 2023 . David Kraftchak Pledges to Support Term Limits on Congress.
22. Web site: 2024 Election United States House - Kentucky 5th . fec.gov . . September 18, 2023.
23. Web site: 2024 House Forecast. May 28, 2024. June 1, 2024.
24. Web site: 2024 Election United States House - Kentucky 6th . fec.gov . . September 18, 2023.
25. Web site: 2024 House Forecast. May 28, 2024. June 1, 2024.