| Election Name: | 2024 Saxony state election |
| Country: | Saxony |
| Type: | parliamentary |
| Ongoing: | yes |
| Previous Election: | 2019 Saxony state election |
| Previous Year: | 2019 |
| Next Election: | 2029 Saxony state election |
| Next Year: | 2029 |
| Seats For Election: | All 120 seats in the Landtag of Saxony |
| Majority Seats: | 61 |
| Election Date: | 1 September 2024 |
| Leader1: | Michael Kretschmer |
| Party1: | Christian Democratic Union of Germany |
| Last Election1: | 45 seats, 32.1% |
| Leader2: | Jörg Urban |
| Party2: | Alternative for Germany |
| Last Election2: | 38 seats, 27.5% |
| Leader3: | Rico Gebhardt |
| Party3: | The Left (Germany) |
| Last Election3: | 14 seats, 10.4% |
| Leader4: | Wolfram Günther &<br>Katja Meier |
| Party4: | Alliance 90/The Greens |
| Last Election4: | 12 seats, 8.6% |
| Leader5: | Martin Dulig |
| Party5: | Social Democratic Party of Germany |
| Last Election5: | 10 seats, 7.7% |
| Government | |
| Before Election: | Kretschmer II |
| Before Party: | CDU–Greens–SPD |
| Posttitle: | Government after election |
The next election to the Landtag of Saxony is scheduled for 1 September 2024.[1]
The 2019 election was marked by high gains for the AfD, which gained almost 28 percent of the vote and became the second strongest force. After losses, the CDU ended up with almost 32 percent as the strongest party ahead of the AfD. The Left and the SPD received 10.4 and 7.7 percent of the vote, respectively. The Greens increased and achieved their best result in a state election in Saxony with 8.6 percent, the FDP again missed entering parliament with 4.5 percent.
| Abbreviation | party | Result 2019 | Directcandidates | Applicants onthe state list | 1st place on the national list |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDU | Christian Democratic Union of Germany | 32.1% | 60 | 78 | Michael Kretschmer |
| AfD | Alternative for Germany | 27.5% | 60 | 75 | Jörg Urban |
| left | The Left | 10.4% | 60 | 47 | |
| Green | Alliance 90/The Greens | 8.6% | 60 | 30 | Katja Meier |
| SPD | Social Democratic Party of Germany | 7.7% | 60 | 54 | |
| FDP | Free Democratic Party | 4.5% | 60 | 48 | Robert Malorny |
| Free Voters | Free Voters | 3.4% | 59 | 33 | |
| The party | Die PARTEI | 1.6% | 3 | 9 | Sabine Kuechler |
| Pirates | Pirate Party Germany | 0.3% | – | 9 | Stephanie Henkel |
| ÖDP | Ecological Democratic Party | 0.3% | 2 | 11 | Jonas Bialon |
| BüSo | Civil Rights Movement Solidarity | 0.1% | 4 | 12 | Michael Gründler |
| Animal protection here! | Action Party for Animal Welfare | – | – | 3 | Uwe Werner |
| Die Basis | Grassroots Democratic Party of Germany | – | 3 | 11 | David Murcek |
| Alliance C | Alliance C – Christians for Germany | – | – | 7 | Thomas Lamowski |
| Alliance Germany | Alliance Germany | – | 3 | 16 | |
| BSW | Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht | – | 39 | 30 | Sabine Zimmermann |
| Free Saxons | Free Saxons | – | 35 | 30 | |
| V-Party³ | V-Partei³ – Party for Change, Vegetarians and Vegans | – | – | 4 | Simone Schwarzbach |
| WU | Values Union | – | 5 | 7 | Heiko Petzold |
| Other | – | 13 | – |
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | CDU | AfD | Linke | Grüne | SPD | FDP | BSW | Others | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1,000 | 34.5 | 30 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 6.5 | 4.5 | ||||
| Forsa | 7–14 Aug 2024 | 1,041 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 6 | 6 | – | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| INSA | 1,500 | 29 | 32 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 1,003 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 6 | 6 | – | 11 | 9 | 4 | ||||
| Infratest dimap | 1,157 | 29 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 7 | – | 15 | 9 | 1 | ||||
| INSA | 1,500 | 30 | 32 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| European Parliament election | data-sort-value="2024-06-09" | 9 Jun 2024 | – | 21.8 | 31.8 | 4.9 | 5.9 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 12.6 | 13.7 | 10 | ||
| Civey | 3,002 | 31 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | ||||
| INSA | 1,000 | 30 | 34 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | ||||
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1,200 | 31.5 | 31 | 3 | 6.5 | 6 | – | 13.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | ||||
| Infratest dimap | 1,177 | 30 | 35 | 4 | 7 | 7 | – | 8 | 9 | 5 | ||||
| Forsa | 1,507 | 30 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 | ||||
| Wahlkreisprognose | 970 | 33.5 | 32 | 8.5 | 7 | 6 | 2.5 | – | 10 | 1.5 | ||||
| 30.5 | 28.5 | 6 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 2 | 15.5 | 6.5 | 2 | ||||||
| Civey | 3,004 | 33 | 37 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | – | 11 | 4 | ||||
| Civey | 3,002 | 33 | 33 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 2 | – | 11 | data-sort-value="0" | Tie | |||
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1,173 | 28.5 | 32.5 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 8.5 | 4 | – | 13.5 | 4 | ||||
| 27.5 | 31 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 6 | – | 14.5 | 11 | 3.5 | ||||||
| INSA | 1,500 | 29 | 35 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 5 | – | 7 | 6 | ||||
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1,558 | 30 | 32.5 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 5 | – | 6.5 | 2.5 | ||||
| Wahlkreisprognose | 987 | 31 | 32 | 9.5 | 7 | 9.5 | 4 | – | 7 | 1 | ||||
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1,020 | 29.5 | 31 | 8 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 3.5 | – | 8 | 1.5 | ||||
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1,000 | 34 | 30 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 3 | – | 9 | 4 | ||||
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1,204 | 35 | 28 | 7.5 | 9.5 | 9 | 3 | – | 8 | 7 | ||||
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1,023 | 33 | 27 | 5.5 | 9.5 | 12 | 4 | – | 9 | 6 | ||||
| INSA | 1,000 | 25 | 28 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 7 | – | 10 | 3 | ||||
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1,100 | 29 | 26.5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 5 | – | 9.5 | 2.5 | ||||
| Infratest dimap | 1,178 | 27 | 24 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 7 | – | 11 | 3 | ||||
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1,002 | 22 | 25.5 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 10 | – | 7.5 | 3.5 | ||||
| 2021 federal election | – | 17.2 | 24.6 | 9.3 | 8.6 | 19.3 | 11.0 | – | 9.9 | 5.3 | ||||
| INSA | 1,000 | 31 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 8 | – | 6 | 5 | ||||
| Infratest dimap | 1,179 | 35 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 6 | – | 10 | 14 | ||||
| INSA | 1,001 | 34 | 25 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 8 | – | 5 | 9 | ||||
| INSA | 1,000 | 24 | 26 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 12 | – | 8 | 2 | ||||
| Wahlkreisprognose | – | 40 | 30 | 9.5 | 8 | 7 | 1.5 | – | 4 | 10 | ||||
| INSA | 1,008 | 34 | 26 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 5 | – | 7 | 8 | ||||
| Wahlkreisprognose | – | 38 | 27.5 | 10 | 10.5 | 5 | 3 | – | 6 | 10.5 | ||||
| INSA | 1,020 | 36 | 26 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 4 | – | 6 | 10 | ||||
| Wahlkreisprognose | – | 40 | 26 | 8.5 | 9.5 | 6 | 3 | – | 7 | 14 | ||||
| Wahlkreisprognose | – | 36.5 | 29 | 9 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 4 | – | 6.5 | 7.5 | ||||
| 2019 state election | – | 32.1 | 27.5 | 10.4 | 8.6 | 7.7 | 4.5 | – | 9.2 | 4.6 |
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | None/ Unsure | Lead | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CDU | AfD | AfD | Linke | Grüne | SPD | ||||||
| Infratest dimap | 1,157 | 58 | 17 | – | – | – | – | 25 | 41 | ||
| Wahlkreisprognose | 970 | 56 | 23 | – | – | – | – | 21 | 33 | ||
| 56 | – | 29 | – | – | – | 15 | 27 | ||||
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1,173 | 57 | 26 | – | – | – | – | 17 | 31 | ||
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1,558 | 45 | 21 | – | – | – | – | 34 | 24 | ||
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1,020 | 39 | 24 | – | 4 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 15 | ||