2024 San Francisco mayoral election explained

Election Name:2024 San Francisco mayoral election
Flag Image:Flag of San Francisco.svg
Type:presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2019 San Francisco mayoral election
Previous Year:2019
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2028 San Francisco mayoral election
Next Year:2028
Party1:Nonpartisan politician
Party2:Nonpartisan politician
Mayor
Before Election:London Breed

The 2024 San Francisco mayoral election will take place on November 5, 2024, to elect the mayor of San Francisco, California. It was originally scheduled for November 7, 2023, but following the passage of Proposition H in 2022, mayoral elections were rescheduled to coincide with presidential elections. The election will use ranked-choice voting.

Incumbent mayor London Breed is running for re-election to a second term in office. Breed is considered vulnerable, as polls have consistently shown her with low approval ratings. Breed has faced criticism for her handling of important issues in the city, including homelessness, crime, and drug addiction.[1]

Background

A survey was released by the San Francisco Controller in 2023 which reported the lowest safety rating since 1996, and the lowest government rating since 2002.[2] Polling in June reported that 64% of people did not believe London Breed should be reelected and she had a 66% disapproval rating.[3] [4]

Candidates

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
RCV
round
London
Breed
Mark
Farrell
Daniel
Lurie
Aaron
Peskin
Ahsha
Safaí
OtherUndecided
Probolsky ResearchJuly 30–August 7, 2024300 (RV)± 5.8%128%24%19%22%3%
228%24%19%22%3%
329%24%20%22%3%
430%25%20%22%3%
530%26%21%23%
636%36%28%
751%49%
Sextant Strategies & ResearchJuly 31 – August 5, 2024804 (LV)± 3.5%28%20%17%12%5%18%
FM3 Research (D)July 9–18, 20241066 (LV)± 3.1%24%21%16%14%7%18%
130%26%20%16%8%
233%27%21%19%
341%32%26%
451%49%
Impact Research (D)June 1–6, 2024500 (LV)± 4.5%21%23%20%17%4%5%11%
543%57%
FM3 Research (D)May 10–16, 2024866 (LV)± 3.5%19%20%17%12%4%1%28%
545%55%
FM3 Research (D)April 29–May 5, 2024412 (RV)± 4.9%21%16%16%12%7%28%
129%23%23%16%9%
230%26%24%20%
339%31%30%
451%49%
Probolsky ResearchJune 16–20, 2023300 (RV)± 5.8%26%29%45%
Sextant Strategies & ResearchFebruary 14–18, 2024812 (LV)± 3.4%18%20%16%8%38%
David Binder Research (D)January 15–20, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%26%15%21%10%28%

Results

2024 San Francisco mayoral election
CandidateRound 1
Votes%
London Breed (incumbent)
Mark Farrell
Henry Flynn
Keith Freedman
Dylan Hirsch-Shell
Daniel Lurie
Nelson Mei
Aaron Peskin
Paul Robertson
Ahsha Safaí
Shahram Shariati
Jon Soderstrom
Ellen Lee Zhou
Total active votes100.00%
Source: San Francisco Department of Elections

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. News: . February 22, 2024 . Knight, Heather . December 12, 2023 . The Challengers Weighing a Run at San Francisco's Mayor.
  2. News: April 13, 2023 . San Franciscans say they feel less safe than in over 20 years, city survey shows . . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20230817130736/https://www.sfchronicle.com/sf/article/survey-crime-san-francisco-17894081.php . August 17, 2023.
  3. News: July 31, 2023 . Is S.F. Mayor Breed at risk of losing reelection? Here’s what experts say . . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20230919012840/https://www.sfchronicle.com/sf/article/mayor-breed-2024-election-18257865.php . September 19, 2023.
  4. News: June 23, 2023 . Supervisor Ahsha Safaí Wins in a Head-to-Head Election Contest with Mayor Breed . Probolsky Research . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20230929222556/https://www.probolskyresearch.com/2023/06/23/san-francisco-voters-unhappy-with-direction-of-the-city-and-mayor-breed-2/ . September 29, 2023.
  5. News: Morris . J. D. . Moench . Mallory . March 23, 2023 . S.F. Mayor Breed may have a challenger in next year's election. Here's who is looking to run . March 24, 2023 . San Francisco Chronicle . en-US.
  6. News: Knight . Heather . February 13, 2024 . Will Voters in San Francisco Go for a Different Kind of Mayor? . February 13, 2024 . The New York Times.
  7. News: . June 20, 2024 . What to know about San Francisco's mayoral race. June 17, 2024 . Dickey, Megan Rose .
  8. Web site: Shanks . Adam . 2023-09-26 . Officially official: Lurie joins SF mayoral field . 2023-12-10 . San Francisco Examiner . en.
  9. Web site: 2024-04-03 . Sup. Aaron Peskin says he's running for San Francisco mayor . 2024-04-04 . . en-US.
  10. Web site: SF.gov. City and County of San Francisco. Candidates - November 5, 2024, Consolidated General Election . en-USS . May 22, 2024.
  11. Web site: Gaus . Annie . Ege . Mike . May 8, 2023 . Mayor London Breed Gets a Reelection Challenger . May 9, 2023 . The San Francisco Standard . en-US.
  12. Web site: Ege . Mike . January 15, 2024 . Get To Know the Longshots Running for San Francisco Mayor . en-USS . The San Francisco Standard.
  13. News: . June 20, 2024 . Gay underdogs qualify for San Francisco mayoral race. Bajko, Matthew . June 19, 2024 .
  14. Web site: This far-right, MAGA candidate could decide the race for San Francisco mayor. April 11, 2024. The San Francisco Standard. Han, Li.