2024 San Francisco mayoral election explained

Election Name:2024 San Francisco mayoral election
Flag Image:Flag of San Francisco.svg
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2019 San Francisco mayoral election
Previous Year:2019
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Next Election:2028 San Francisco mayoral election
Next Year:2028
Reporting:92
Last Update:Nov. 13, 10:04 PM
Time Zone:PST[1]
1Blank:First round
2Blank:Maximum round
Image1:File:Daniel Lurie Headshot (cropped).jpg
Candidate1:Daniel Lurie
1Data1:98,729
26.7%
2Data1:174,478
55.3%
Candidate2:London Breed
1Data2:89,747
24.3%
2Data2:140,956
44.7%
Image4:File:Aaron Peskin.jpg
Candidate4:Aaron Peskin
1Data4:84,722
22.9%
2Data4:Eliminated
Image5:File:SupervisorMarkFarrell.jpg
Candidate5:Mark Farrell
1Data5:68,489
18.5%
2Data5:Eliminated
Color1:c0c0c0
Color2:c0c0c0
Color4:c0c0c0
Color5:c0c0c0
Mayor
Before Election:London Breed
After Election:Daniel Lurie
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2024 San Francisco mayoral election took place on November 5, 2024, to elect the mayor of San Francisco, California. It was originally scheduled for November 7, 2023, but following the passage of Proposition H in 2022, mayoral elections were rescheduled to coincide with presidential elections. The election used ranked-choice voting.

Incumbent mayor London Breed ran for re-election to a second term in office: she was considered vulnerable, as polls had consistently shown her with low approval ratings. Breed had also faced criticism for her handling of important issues in the city, including homelessness, crime, and drug addiction.[2]

On November 7, Breed conceded the race to Daniel Lurie.[3]

Background

A survey was released by the San Francisco Controller in 2023 which reported the lowest safety rating since 1996, and the lowest government rating since 2002.[4] Polling in June reported that 64% of people did not believe London Breed should be reelected and she had a 66% disapproval rating.[5] [6]

Candidates

Debates and forums

2024 San Francisco mayoral election debates and forums
DateHostModerator(s)LinkParticipants
Key:
Participant  Absent  Non-invitee  Withdrawn
London BreedMark FarrellDaniel LurieAaron PeskinAhsha Safaí
May 20, 2024
(cancelled)[17]
TogetherSF ActionKaren Breslau
Kim-Mai Cutler
June 12, 2024City Arts & LecturesHeather Knight
Manny Yekutiel
Video
June 17, 2024San Francisco
Democratic Party
Terisa Estacio
July 8, 2024Stop Crime Action
Stop Crime SF
ConnectedSF
Frank Noto
Amber Lee
Sept. 5, 2024District 8
Neighborhood Groups
Joe Fitzgerald RodriguezVideo
Sept. 11, 2024KPIX
San Francisco Examiner
KCBS
Ryan Yamamoto
Doug Sovern
Adam Shanks
Sept. 19, 2024KQED
San Francisco Chronicle
Joe Garofoli
Marisa Lagos
Scott Shafer
Video
Sept. 26, 2024Asian Pacific Islander CouncilRichard Lui
Gia Vang
Sept. 28, 2024San Francisco Latino Parity
and Equity Coalition
Chris Iglesias
Ani Rivera
Sept. 30, 2024League of Women Voters
of San Francisco
Alison Goh
Darcy Brown
Video

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
RCV
round
London
Breed
Mark
Farrell
Daniel
Lurie
Aaron
Peskin
Ahsha
Safaí
OtherUndecided
David Binder ResearchOctober 26–27, 2024600 (LV)± 4%23%17%26%18%4%5%7%
Public Policy PollingOctober 18–19, 2024621 (LV)± 4%18%15%25%25%6%11%
Sextant Strategies & ResearchOctober 15–16, 2024802 (LV)± 3.5%127%16%27%21%6%3%
227%17%27%22%7%
330%18%28%24%
433%41%26%
544%56%
Lieberman Data & Insights, Inc.October 9–19, 2024950 (LV)± 3.2%125%21%21%20%3%4%6%
David Binder ResearchSeptember 28 – October 1, 2024600 (LV)± 4.4%123%19%22%16%4%6%10%
227%23%27%18%5%
329%24%28%20%
437%27%36%
547%53%
FM3 Research (D)September 21–26, 2024415 (RV)± 4.9%138%19%21%18%4%11%
239%19%21%21%
343%34%23%
451%49%
David Binder ResearchSeptember 3–8, 2024800 (LV)± 4.0%126%28%26%14%6%
227%29%28%16%
333%33%34%
443%57%
KRON4/Emerson CollegeSeptember 5–7, 2024750 (LV)± 3.5%120.3%20.6%17.5%8.5%1.6%26.5%
FM3 Research (D)August 21–28, 2024708 (LV)± 4.0%136%23%22%14%5%
238%23%23%15%
344%27%28%
452%48%
Probolsky ResearchJuly 30–August 7, 2024300 (RV)± 5.8%128%24%19%22%3%
228%24%19%22%3%
329%24%20%22%3%
430%25%20%22%3%
530%26%21%23%
636%36%28%
751%49%
Sextant Strategies & ResearchJuly 31 – August 5, 2024804 (LV)± 3.5%28%20%17%12%5%18%
FM3 Research (D)July 9–18, 20241066 (LV)± 3.1%24%21%16%14%7%18%
130%26%20%16%8%
233%27%21%19%
341%32%26%
451%49%
Impact Research (D)June 1–6, 2024500 (LV)± 4.5%21%23%20%17%4%5%11%
543%57%
FM3 Research (D)May 10–16, 2024866 (LV)± 3.5%19%20%17%12%4%1%28%
545%55%
FM3 Research (D)April 29–May 5, 2024412 (RV)± 4.9%21%16%16%12%7%28%
129%23%23%16%9%
230%26%24%20%
339%31%30%
451%49%
Probolsky ResearchJune 16–20, 2023300 (RV)± 5.8%26%29%45%
Sextant Strategies & ResearchFebruary 14–18, 2024812 (LV)± 3.4%18%20%16%8%38%
David Binder Research (D)January 15–20, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%26%15%21%10%28%

Results

2024 San Francisco mayoral election
CandidateRound 1
Votes%
London Breed (incumbent)
Mark Farrell
Henry Flynn
Keith Freedman
Dylan Hirsch-Shell
Daniel Lurie
Nelson Mei
Aaron Peskin
Paul Robertson
Ahsha Safaí
Shahram Shariati
Jon Soderstrom
Ellen Lee Zhou
Total active votes100.00%
Source: San Francisco Department of Elections

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. News: San Francisco Mayor Election Results . . November 5, 2024 . November 7, 2024 .
  2. News: . February 22, 2024 . Knight, Heather . December 12, 2023 . The Challengers Weighing a Run at San Francisco's Mayor.
  3. Web site: 2024-11-07 . San Francisco mayoral race: Breed concedes, Lurie's lead widens . . 2024-11-08 . NBC Bay Area . en-US.
  4. News: April 13, 2023 . San Franciscans say they feel less safe than in over 20 years, city survey shows . . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20230817130736/https://www.sfchronicle.com/sf/article/survey-crime-san-francisco-17894081.php . August 17, 2023.
  5. News: July 31, 2023 . Is S.F. Mayor Breed at risk of losing reelection? Here's what experts say . . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20230919012840/https://www.sfchronicle.com/sf/article/mayor-breed-2024-election-18257865.php . September 19, 2023.
  6. News: June 23, 2023 . Supervisor Ahsha Safaí Wins in a Head-to-Head Election Contest with Mayor Breed . Probolsky Research . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20230929222556/https://www.probolskyresearch.com/2023/06/23/san-francisco-voters-unhappy-with-direction-of-the-city-and-mayor-breed-2/ . September 29, 2023.
  7. News: Morris . J. D. . Moench . Mallory . March 23, 2023 . S.F. Mayor Breed may have a challenger in next year's election. Here's who is looking to run . March 24, 2023 . San Francisco Chronicle . en-US.
  8. News: Knight . Heather . February 13, 2024 . Will Voters in San Francisco Go for a Different Kind of Mayor? . February 13, 2024 . The New York Times.
  9. News: . June 20, 2024 . What to know about San Francisco's mayoral race. June 17, 2024 . Dickey, Megan Rose .
  10. Web site: Shanks . Adam . 2023-09-26 . Officially official: Lurie joins SF mayoral field . 2023-12-10 . San Francisco Examiner . en.
  11. Web site: 2024-04-03 . Sup. Aaron Peskin says he's running for San Francisco mayor . 2024-04-04 . . en-US.
  12. Web site: SF.gov. City and County of San Francisco. Candidates - November 5, 2024, Consolidated General Election . en-USS . May 22, 2024.
  13. Web site: Gaus . Annie . Ege . Mike . May 8, 2023 . Mayor London Breed Gets a Reelection Challenger . May 9, 2023 . The San Francisco Standard . en-US.
  14. Web site: Ege . Mike . January 15, 2024 . Get To Know the Longshots Running for San Francisco Mayor . en-USS . The San Francisco Standard.
  15. News: . June 20, 2024 . Gay underdogs qualify for San Francisco mayoral race. Bajko, Matthew . June 19, 2024 .
  16. Web site: This far-right, MAGA candidate could decide the race for San Francisco mayor. April 11, 2024. The San Francisco Standard. Han, Li.
  17. News: . October 23, 2024 . Morris, J.D. . May 17, 2024 . More S.F. mayor's race drama as two forums canceled.