2024 Salvador mayoral election explained

Election Name:	2024 Salvador municipal election
Country:	Brazil
Flag Image:	Brasão de Salvador.svg
Type:	presidential
Vote Type:	Popular
Previous Election:	2020 Salvador mayoral election
Previous Year:	2020
Next Election:	2028 Salvador mayoral election
Next Year:	2028
Election Date:
Module:	Embed: yes Election Name: Mayoral election Type: presidential Ongoing: yes Mayor Before Election: Bruno Soares Reis Before Party: Brazil Union Module: Embed: yes Election Name: Parliamentary election Ongoing: yes Heading1: Municipal Chamber Party1: Brazil of Hope Current Seats1: 7 Party2: Brazil Union Current Seats2: 6 Party3: Progressistas Current Seats3: 5 Party4: Republicans (Brazil) Current Seats4: 5 Party5: Brazilian Social Democracy Party Current Seats5: 4 Party6: Christian Democracy (Brazil) Current Seats6: 3 Party7: Democratic Labour Party (Brazil) Current Seats7: 3 Party8: Democratic Renewal Party (Brazil) Current Seats8: 2 Party9: Liberal Party (Brazil, 2006) Current Seats9: 2 Party10: Brazilian Woman's Party Current Seats10: 1 Party11: Social Democratic Party (Brazil, 2011) Current Seats11: 1 Party12: Brazilian Socialist Party Current Seats12: 1 Party13: Socialism and Liberty Party Current Seats13: 1 Party14: Brazilian Democratic Movement Current Seats14: 1 Party15: Podemos (Brazil) Current Seats15: 1
Ongoing:	yes

The 2024 Salvador municipal election will take place in the city of Salvador, Brazil on 6 October 2024. Voters will elect a mayor, vice mayor, and 43 councillors. The incumbent mayor, Bruno Reis, of the Brazil Union (UNIÃO), is able to run for a second term.

If the most voted candidate on the first round doesn't achieve more than 50% of the votes, a second round will happen on 27 October 2024. The mayor's term will begin on 1 January 2025 and end on 31 December 2028.

Background

2020 Salvador mayoral election

The last mayoral election in Rio de Janeiro, held in 2020, resulted in a largest victory of Bruno Reis (DEM) in the first round. Reis obtained 779.408 votes or 64.20% of the valid votes against his main opponent. He had been vice mayor of the municipality under popular incumbent ACM Neto. His election was viewed as a continued endorsement of ACM Neto's mayorship.^[1]

Reis later supported ACM Neto's unsuccessful candidacy for governor in 2022.

Electoral calendar

7 March – 5 April

Period of the 'party window' for councillors. During this period, the councillors are able to move to other political parties in order to run for election while not losing their respective political terms.
6 April	Deadline for all parties and party federations to obtain the registration of their statutes at the Superior Electoral Court and for all candidates to have their electoral domicile in the constituency in which they wish to contest the elections with the affiliation granted by the party.
15 May	Start of the preliminary fundraising campaign in the form of collective financing for potential candidates. During this period, candidates are not allowed to ask for votes and are still subjected to obey the rules regarding electoral propaganda on the Internet.
20 July – 5 August	On this date, party conventions begin to deliberate on coalitions and choose candidates for mayors and councillors tickets. Parties have until 15 August to register their names with the Brazilian Election Justice.
16 August	Beginning of electoral campaigns on an equal basis, with any advertising or demonstration explicitly requesting for votes before the date being considered irregular and subject to fines.
30 August – 3 October	Broadcasting of free electoral propaganda on radio and television.
6 October	Date of mayoral elections.
27 October	Date of a possible second round in cities with more than 200,000 voters in which the most voted candidate for mayor has not reached 50% of the valid votes.

Candidates

Potential candidates

United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU)

• Victor Marinho – Researcher at the Laboratory of Marxist Studies and Research (LEMARX — FACED/UFBA).^[16]

Withdrawn candidates

Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB)

• Zé Trindade – President of the Bahia State Urban Development Company (Conder) (2021–present)^[17] and councillor of Salvador (2013–2020). He left the race as a potential candidate on 1 September 2023 due to personal and health reasons.
• Lídice da Mata – Member of the Chamber of Deputies from Bahia (1987–1991; 2007–2011; 2019–present); Senator for Bahia (2011–2019); Member of the Legislative Assembly of Bahia (1999–2007); Mayor of Salvador (1993–1997) and councillor of Salvador (1983–1987). On 1 March 2024, she announced that running for mayor in the 2024 local elections of Brazil wasn't in her plans and she was focused on other tasks as a politician.^[18] She was announced as the coordinator of Geraldo Júnior's campaign on the end of April 2024.^[19]

New Party (NOVO)

• Luciana Buck – University professor and company administrator. Her own party decided to support Reis' reelection bid and she decided to run for a seat at the Municipal Chamber of Salvador.

Communist Party of Brazil (PCdoB)

• Olívia Santana – Member of the Legislative Assembly of Bahia (2019–present); Secretary of Labor, Employment, Income and Sports of Bahia (2017–2018); Secretary of Policies for Women of Bahia (2015–2017) and Councillor of Salvador (2005–2012). The Brazil of Hope Federation, which the Communist Party of Brazil is a part of, decided to support Junior's candidacy for mayor and nominated Fabya Reis as his running mate.

Opinion polls

First round

2024

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Reis	Júnior	Rosa	Marinho	Paixão	Damico	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"					data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
Paraná Pesquisas^[20]	12–15 July	800	67.6%	12.5%	3%	2.8%				14.2%	55.1%
Real Time Big Data	5–6 July	1,000	50%	20%	6%	0%	0%	1%		23%	30%
Futura/100% Cidades	13–20 June	1,000	63.1%	12%	2.8%	1.5%	1.1%	0.1%		19.3%	51.1%
			47.1%	9%	1.9%	2.3%	1.1%	0.2%	22.3%	16.7%	35.8%
			52.1%	9.8%	2.6%	1.9%	0.8%	0.2%	17.2%	15.4%	39.3%
5 June			The Brazil of Hope federation (PT, PCdoB and PV) decides to support Júnior's candidacy for mayor and nominates Fabya Reis as his running mate.
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Reis	Júnior	Rosa	Marinho	Paixão	Damico	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"					data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
Paraná Pesquisas^[21]	29 May–3 June	800	64%	11%	3.8%	3.3%				18%	53%
13 May			Victor Marinho is announced as a potential candidate for mayor by the United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU).^[22] Giovani Damico is announced as a potential candidate for mayor by the Brazilian Communist Party (PCB).
12–30 April			The New Party (NOVO) withdraws Buck's candidacy in order to support Reis reelection bid. She is announced as a candidate for councillor of the Municipal Chamber of Salvador.^[23] The Liberal Party (PL) announces the support for Reis' reelection bid.^[24]
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Reis	Júnior	Roma	Rosa	Buck	Paixão	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"					data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
Paraná Pesquisas^[25]	22–27 March	800	62.3%	13.8%		2.8%	2.4%			18.9%	48.5%
Real Time Big Data	25–26 March	1,000	48%	18%		7%	3%			24%	30%
			43%	18%	13%	7%	2%			17%	25%
19 March			Eslane Paixão is announced as a potential candidate for mayor by the Popular Unity (UP).
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Reis	Júnior	Roma	Rosa	Buck		Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"					data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
Atlas Intel^[26]	4–7 March	809	51.4%	18.4%		8.4%	1.8%			20%	33%
			64.4%	23%		10.4%	2.2%				41.4%
Paraná Pesquisas^[27]	18–23 January	802	59.9%	11.2%	6.1%	2.2%	1.4%			19.2%	48.7%
			62.7%	12.1%		2.9%	1.6%			20.7%	50.6%

2023

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Reis	Júnior	Rosa	Buck	Santana	da Mata	Roma	Brito	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"					data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
Atlas Intel^[28]	25–30 December	800	51.9%	12%	10%	4.3%						21.8%	39.9%
16 December			The university professor and company administrator, Luciana Buck is announced as a potential candidate for mayor by the New Party (NOVO).^[29]
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Reis	Júnior	Santana	da Mata	Brito	Roma	Bacelar	Rosa	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"					data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
Instituto Veritá	12–13 December	1,018	32%	6%	2.8%	4.4%	2.8%		1.8%		14.9%	35.4%	22.5%
Futura Inteligência	7–11 December	1,015	41.5%	5.4%	5%	10.7%	2.4%	5%		0.8%	10.3%	18.8%	30.8%
			41.3%	6%	9%		2.9%	5.4%		1.1%	15.4%	18.8%	28.7%
			49.4%	8.4%	12.5%			6.7%		1.3%	2.8%	18.9%	36.9%
1 September			Zé Trindade (PSB), president of the President of the Bahia State Urban Development Company and former councillor of Salvador, withdraws his potential candidacy for mayor.^[30]
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Reis	Júnior	Santana	da Mata	Brito	Roma	Bacelar	Rosa	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"					data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
Instituto Veritá	7–28 July	1,001	29.6%	9.2%	5.6%	5.1%	3.3%	3.1%	1.9%		2.3%	39.9%	20.4%
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Reis	Neto	da Mata	Roma	Santana	Júnior	Bacelar	Brito	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"					data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
Paraná Pesquisas^[31]	17–21 March	804	38.1%		10.2%	7%	6.6%	4.5%	3.1%	2.6%	7.3%	20.6%	27.9%
				60%	7.1%	5.7%	5.3%	3%	1.4%	1.6%	4.3%	11.5%	52.9%

Second round

These are the hypothetical scenarios of a second round.

Bruno Reis and Geraldo Júnior

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Reis	Júnior	Abst. Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"				data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
Real Time Big Data	5–6 July 2024	1,000	52%	24%	24%	28%
Futura/100% Cidades	13–20 June 2024	1,000	68.7%	19.7%	11.7%	49%
Real Time Big Data	25–26 March 2024	1,000	51%	24%	25%	27%

Hypothetical scenario with João RomaBruno Reis and João Roma

Rejection of candidates

In some opinion polls, the interviewee can choose more than one alternative (the so-called "multiple rejection"), therefore, the sum of the percentages of all candidates can exceed 100% of the votes in some scenarios

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Júnior	Marinho	Rosa	Reis	Paixão	Marinho	Damico	Could vote in anyone	Others	Abst. Undec.
Paraná Pesquisas	12–15 July 2024	800	37.1%	24.8%	20.4%	17.9%				5.1%		17%
5 June			The Brazil of Hope federation (PT, PCdoB and PV) decides to support Júnior's candidacy for mayor and nominates Fabya Reis as his running mate.
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Júnior	Marinho	Rosa	Reis	Paixão	Marinho	Damico	Could vote in anyone	Others	Abst. Undec.
Paraná Pesquisas	29 May–3 June 2024	800	38%	27.5%	24.6%	19.8%				4%		14.4%
13 May			Victor Marinho is announced as a potential candidate for mayor by the United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU). Giovani Damico is announced as a potential candidate for mayor by the Brazilian Communist Party (PCB).
12–30 April 2024			The New Party (NOVO) withdraws Buck's candidacy in order to support Reis reelection bid. She is announced as a candidate for councillor at the Municipal Chamber of Salvador. The Liberal Party (PL) announces the support for Reis' reelection bid.
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Roma	Júnior	Reis	Rosa	Buck	Paixão		Could vote in anyone	Others	Abst. Undec.
Paraná Pesquisas	22–27 March 2024	800		36.4%	23.6%	26%	26.6%	2.5%			13.9%
19 March 2024			Eslane Paixão is announced as a potential candidate for mayor by the Popular Unity (UP).
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Roma	Júnior	Reis	Rosa	Buck	Could vote in anyone			Others	Abst. Undec.
Paraná Pesquisas	18–23 January 2024	802	30.7%	27.3%	19.5%	18%	16.1%	4.2%				18.3%

Outgoing Municipal Chamber

The result of the last municipal election and the current situation in the Municipal Chamber is given below:

Affiliation		Members		+/–
		data-sort-type=number style="width: 80px;"	2020^[32]		2024^[33]
	didn't exist	6	6
	0	5	5
	3	5	2
	3	4	1
	4	4
	1	3	2
	2	3	1
	didn't exist	2	2
	2	2
	2	2
	0	1	1
	1	1
	1	1
	1	1
	1	1
	2	1	1
	2	1	1
	1	0	1
	1	0	1
	1	0	1
	1	0	1
	1	extinct party	1
	1	extinct party	1
	2	extinct party	2
	3	extinct party	3
	7	extinct party	7
Total		43

References

1. Web site: Salvador/BA: apuração em tempo real de prefeito e vereador. . 2024-07-17 . noticias.uol.com.br . pt-br.
2. Web site: 2024-07-03 . Quem são os pré-candidatos a prefeito de Salvador nas eleições 2024 . 2024-07-16 . JOTA Info . pt-BR.
3. Web site: Redação . 2024-06-05 . Geraldo Jr. anuncia Fabya Reis como candidata a vice-prefeita de Salvador — Sociedade Online . 2024-07-16 . pt-BR.
4. Web site: 2023-12-26 . PSB e PSD negociam apoiar nome do MDB em Salvador, em 2024 Metrópoles . 2024-07-16 . www.metropoles.com . pt-BR.
5. Web site: Moreira . Cássio . 2024-04-11 . Geraldo Jr. agarra partidos e deve ter coligação maior que Bruno Reis . 2024-07-16 . Política ao Vivo . pt-BR.
6. Web site: Serrano . Daniel . 2024-01-08 . Pastor Isidório abre o jogo sobre pré-candidatura de Geraldo Júnior: "não dá mais para brincar" . 2024-07-16 . BNews.
7. Web site: Presidente do Podemos diz que Geraldo pode representar 'mudança de chave' . 2024-07-16 . www.trbn.com.br . pt-BR.
8. Web site: Damico . Giovani . 2024-05-15 . PRA SALVADOR MUDAR, CRIAR PODER POPULAR . 2024-07-16 . www.instagram.com.
9. Web site: TARDE . A. . 2024-06-20 . Giovani Damico retoma agenda política após morte de mulher . 2024-07-16 . A TARDE . pt-BR.
10. Web site: ”O que Bruno tem de aprovação, o governador tem de reprovação”, avalia presidente do PRD . 2024-07-16 . Política Livre . en.
11. Web site: Bruno Reis garante Republicanos em seu grupo mesmo partido não indicando a vice . 2024-07-16 . Política Livre . en.
12. Web site: PP fica na base de Bruno mesmo com possível apoio ao governo . 2024-07-16 . www.trbn.com.br . pt-BR.
13. Web site: 2024-02-26 . Bruno Reis comemora chegada do DC e PRD à base e confirma aliança com cerca de dez partidos - Bahia Notícias . 2024-07-16 . www.bahianoticias.com.br . pt-BR.
14. Web site: Sacramento . Heider . 2024-04-25 . PL deve oficializar apoio à reeleição de Bruno Reis na próxima terça (30), diz João Henrique — Sociedade Online . 2024-07-16 . pt-BR.
15. Web site: Kleber Rosa e Dona Mira lançam pré-candidatura à Prefeitura de Salvador neste sábado (13) . 2024-07-16 . Política Livre . en.
16. Web site: Pacheco . Lucas . 2024-05-17 . Eleições 2024: Salvador tem quatro pré-candidatos a prefeito após dois desistirem; saiba quem são . 2024-07-16.
17. Web site: José Trindade assume a presidência da CONDER Portal Conder . 2024-07-24 . www.conder.ba.gov.br.
18. Web site: "Tenho outras tarefas", diz Lídice da Mata por não ter sido candidata à prefeitura de Salvador - Metro 1 . 2024-07-24 . "Tenho outras tarefas", diz Lídice da Mata por não ter sido candidata à prefeitura de Salvador - Metro 1 . pt-br.
19. Web site: Geraldo Júnior confirma a escolha de Lídice da Mata para coordenadora de campanha . 2024-07-24 . Política Livre . en.
20. Web site: Souza . Renata . Eleições em Salvador: Prefeito Bruno Reis tem 67,6%, diz Paraná Pesquisas . 2024-07-24 . CNN Brasil . pt-BR.
21. Web site: PODER360 . 2024-06-04 . Bruno Reis tem 64% dos votos em Salvador, diz Paraná Pesquisas . 2024-07-24 . Poder360 . pt-br.
22. Web site: 2024-04-13 . Conheça candidatos que lançaram pré-candidaturas à Prefeitura de Salvador . 2024-07-24 . G1 . pt-br.
23. Web site: TARDE . A. . 2024-04-12 . Luciana Buck desiste de prefeitura e Novo anuncia apoio a Bruno Reis . 2024-07-24 . A TARDE . pt-BR.
24. Web site: PL oficializa apoio à reeleição de Bruno Reis . 2024-07-24 . www.correio24horas.com.br . pt-br.
25. Web site: PODER360 . 2024-03-28 . Em Salvador, Bruno Reis lidera corrida à prefeitura com folga . 2024-07-24 . Poder360 . pt-br.
26. Web site: PODER360 . 2024-03-12 . Prefeito Bruno Reis seria reeleito hoje no 1º turno em Salvador . 2024-07-24 . Poder360 . pt-br.
27. Web site: PODER360 . 2024-01-25 . Bruno Reis lidera disputa em Salvador com 60% das intenções de voto . 2024-07-24 . Poder360 . pt-br.
28. Web site: PODER360 . 2024-01-02 . Bruno Reis lidera disputa pela reeleição em Salvador, diz pesquisa . 2024-07-24 . Poder360 . pt-br.
29. Web site: 2023-12-16 . Partido Novo anuncia Luciana Buck como pré-candidata à Prefeitura de Salvador - Bahia Notícias . 2024-07-24 . www.bahianoticias.com.br . pt-BR.
30. Web site: 2023-09-01 . José Trindade desiste de candidatura para 2024 . 2024-07-23 . A Tarde.
31. Web site: PODER360 . 2023-03-23 . Bruno Reis lidera disputa para a Prefeitura de Salvador . 2024-07-23 . Poder360 . pt-br.
32. Web site: Salvador/BA: apuração em tempo real de prefeito e vereador. . 2024-07-20 . noticias.uol.com.br . pt-br.
33. Web site: Vereadores - 19ª Legislatura (2021-2024) - Câmara Municipal de Salvador . 2024-07-20 . Câmara Municipal de Salvador.