2024 São Paulo mayoral election explained

Election Name:	2024 São Paulo municipal election
Country:	Brazil
Flag Image:	Bandeira da cidade de São Paulo.svg
Type:	presidential
Vote Type:	Popular
Previous Election:	2020 São Paulo mayoral election
Previous Year:	2020
Next Election:	2028 São Paulo mayoral election
Next Year:	2028
Election Date:
Module:	Embed: yes Election Name: Mayoral election Type: presidential Ongoing: yes Alliance Name: no Opinion Polls: Opinion polls Image1: Ricardo Nunes, prefeito de São Paulo.jpg Candidate1: Ricardo Nunes Party1: Brazilian Democratic Movement Alliance1: Safe Path to São Paulo Running Mate1: Colonel Mello Araújo Candidate2: Guilherme Boulos Party2: Socialism and Liberty Party Alliance2: Love for São Paulo Running Mate2: Marta Suplicy Image3: Filiação do Datena 19 12 2023 - Foto Chico Ferreira (53407967727) (cropped).jpg Candidate3: José Luiz Datena Party3: Brazilian Social Democracy Party Alliance3: PSDB-Cidadania Fdr. Running Mate3: José Aníbal Mayor Before Election: Ricardo Nunes Before Party: Brazilian Democratic Movement Module: Embed: yes Election Name: Parliamentary election Ongoing: yes Heading1: Municipal Chamber Party1: Brazilian Democratic Movement Party Leader1: Sidney Cruz Current Seats1: 11 Party2: Workers' Party (Brazil) Party Leader2: Senival Moura Current Seats2: 9 Party3: Brazil Union Party Leader3: Milton Leite Current Seats3: 7 Party4: Liberal Party (Brazil, 2006) Party Leader4: Isac Félix Current Seats4: 6 Party5: Social Democratic Party (Brazil, 2011) Party Leader5: Edir Sales Current Seats5: 6 Party6: Socialism and Liberty Party Party Leader6: Elaine Mineiro Current Seats6: 5 Party7: Republicans (Brazil) Party Leader7: Sansão Pereira Current Seats7: 3 Party8: Podemos (Brazil) Party Leader8: Milton Ferreira Current Seats8: 2 Party9: Brazilian Socialist Party Party Leader9: Eliseu Gabriel Current Seats9: 2 Party10: Progressistas Current Seats10: 2 Party11: New Party (Brazil) Party Leader11: Cris Monteiro Current Seats11: 1 Party12: Green Party (Brazil) Party Leader12: Roberto Tripoli Current Seats12: 1
Ongoing:	yes

The 2024 São Paulo municipal election will take place in the city of São Paulo, Brazil on 6 October 2024. Voters will elect a mayor, vice mayor, and 55 city council members. The incumbent mayor, Ricardo Nunes of the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB), is running for reelection.^[1]

Candidates

Confirmed candidates

scope=colgroup colspan=2	Party	scope=colgroup colspan=2	Mayoral candidate	scope=colgroup colspan=2	Vice mayoral candidate	scope=col	Coalition
	Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB15)		Ricardo Nunes Mayor of São Paulo (since 2021) Vice Mayor of São Paulo (2021) Councillor (2013–2021)		Ricardo de Mello Araújo (PL) Retired military police officer	Safe Path to São Paulo Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB) Liberal Party (PL) Republicanos Progressistas (PP) Brazil Union (UNIÃO) Social Democratic Party (PSD) Solidariedade Agir Avante Democratic Renewal Party (PRD) National Mobilization (MOBILIZA) Podemos (PODE)
	United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU16)		Altino Prazeres Metro train operator, former president of the São Paulo Metro Workers Union		Silvana Garcia Leader of housing rights movement
	Christian Democracy (DC27)		Bebetto Haddad Former municipal secretary of Sports, Leisure and Recreation		Marco Antonio Azkoul Teacher and ex-police delegate
	Brazilian Labour Renewal Party (PRTB28)		Pablo Marçal Businessman and coaching digital influencer		Antônia de Jesus Military police officer
	Workers' Cause Party (PCO29)		João Caproni Pimenta Columnist for the party news site		Francisco Muniz Musician
	New Party (NOVO30)		Marina Helena Economist, former director of the Special Secretariat of Privatizations of the Ministry of Economics		Reynaldo Priell Neto Military police officer
style=background:		Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB40)		Tabata Amaral Federal Deputy (since 2019)		Lúcia FrançaFirst Lady of State of São Paulo (2018) Secondy Lady of State of São Paulo (2015–2018)
	Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB45)		José Luiz Datena TV news presenter		José Aníbal Senator (2016–2017; 2021–2022)	Always Forward Federation Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB) Cidadania
style=background:		Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL50)		Guilherme Boulos Federal Deputy (since 2023)		Marta Suplicy (PT) Senator (2011–2019) Mayor of São Paulo (2001–2005)	Love for São Paulo Fed. PSOL REDE (PSOL, REDE) FE Brasil (PT, PCdoB, PV) Democratic Labour Party (PDT) Brazilian Woman's Party (PMB) Brazilian Communist Party (PCB)
	Popular Unity (UP80)		Ricardo Senese Metro transport operator, director at the National Federation of Metro Workers		Julia SoaresNational Coordinator of the Women's Movement Olga Benário

Withdrawn candidates

• Ricardo Salles (PL) - Former Minister of the Environment and Federal Deputy from São Paulo since 2023.^{[2] [3]}
• Padre Kelmon (DC) - Candidate for president in the 2022 Brazilian general election. He had announced his potential candidacy as a member of the Democratic Renewal Party (PRD), but the party decided to support Nunes' bid for reelection. After this, he joined the Brazilian Labour Renewal Party (PRTB) and announced his candidacy as a member of this party; however, his candidacy was replaced by the candidacy of the businessman Pablo Marçal.^[4] Eventually he gave up his political intentions and started supporting the potential candidacy of the businessman Dr. Fernando Fantauzzi (DC).^[5]
• Abraham Weintraub (PMB) - Former Minister of Education; World Bank Group Executive Director from the 15th district (2020–2022); candidate for federal deputy from São Paulo in 2022.^[6]
• Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) - Anti-corruption activist, MBL leader, and federal deputy from São Paulo since 2019.^[7]
• Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) - Businessman and potential candidate for mayor in the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election.^[8]

Outgoing Municipal Chamber

The result of the last municipal election and the current situation in the Municipal Chamber is given below:

Affiliation		Members		+/–
		data-sort-type=number style="width: 80px;"	Elected^[9]		Current^[10]
	3	11	8
	8	9	1
	didn't exist	7	7
	2	6	4
	3	6	3
	6	5	1
	4	3	1
	1	2	1
	2	2
	3	2	1
	1	1
	2	1	1
	1	extinct party	1
	1	extinct party	1
	1	extinct party	1
	3	extinct party	3
	6	extinct party	6
	8	0	8
Total		55

Debates

Below is a list of the mayoral debates scheduled or held for the 2024 election (times in).

2024 São Paulo mayoral election debates

	Date, time, and location	Hosts	Moderators	Participants
Key: Present Absent Invited Not invited Out of the election	scope=col style=background:		scope=col style=background:		scope=col style=background:		scope=col style=background:		scope=col style=background:		scope=col style=background:
				Marçal	Helena
scope=row style=text-align:center	1	style=max-width:12em	8 August 2024, 22:15 Morumbi, São Paulo	style=max-width:12em	Bandeirantes	style=max-width:16em	Eduardo Oinegue^[11]
scope=row style=text-align:center	2	style=max-width:12em	14 August 2024, 10:00 FAAP, São Paulo	style=max-width:12em	Estadão, Terra	style=max-width:16em	Roseann Kennedy
scope=row style=text-align:center	3	style=max-width:12em	19 August 2024, 11:00 ESPM, São Paulo	style=max-width:12em	Veja	style=max-width:16em	Marcela Rahal
scope=row style=text-align:center	4	style=max-width:12em	1 September 2024, 18:00 Bela Vista, São Paulo	style=max-width:12em	TV Gazeta, MyNews	style=max-width:16em
scope=row style=text-align:center	5	style=max-width:12em	5 September 2024, 22:00 Jardim Paulista, São Paulo	style=max-width:12em	Jovem Pan	style=max-width:16em
scope=row style=text-align:center	6	style=max-width:12em	15 September 2024, 21:00 Teatro B32, São Paulo	style=max-width:12em	TV Cultura	style=max-width:16em
scope=row style=text-align:center	7	style=max-width:12em	17 September 2024, 09:30 Osasco	style=max-width:12em	RedeTV!, UOL	style=max-width:16em	Amanda Klein
scope=row style=text-align:center	8	style=max-width:12em	20 September 2024, Osasco	style=max-width:12em	SBT	style=max-width:16em
scope=row style=text-align:center	9	style=max-width:12em	30 September 2024, 10:00	style=max-width:12em	Folha de S. Paulo, UOL	style=max-width:16em
scope=row style=text-align:center	10	style=max-width:12em	3 October 2024 Itaim Bibi, São Paulo	style=max-width:12em	Rede Globo	style=max-width:16em

Opinion polls

First round

2024

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Nunes	Boulos	Datena	Marçal	Amaral	M. Helena	Pimenta	Others	Abst.Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"					data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
AtlasIntel	15–20 August	1,803	21.8%	28.5%	9.5%	16.3%	12.0%	4.3%	0%	0.5%	6.2%	6.7%
Datafolha	6–8 August	1,092	23%	22%	14%	14%	7%	4%	2%	1%	14%	1%
Paraná Pesquisas	4–7 August	1,500	25.1%	23.2%	15.9%	12.5%	5.5%	3.5%	1.1%	1.2%	11.9%	1.9%
AtlasIntel	2–7 August	2,037	24.9%	32.7%	9.4%	11.4%	11.2%	3.5%		0.7%	6.2%	7.8%
Futura/100% Cidades	2–5 August	1,000	26.7%	19.9%	12.4%	14.5%	7.3%	1.2%	0.4%	1.3%	16.3%	6.8%
			27.2%	19.3%	11.8%	15.3%	9.1%	3.1%			14.2%	7.9%
			30.4%	23.5%		16.3%	8.6%	3.6%			17.6%	6.9%
5 August			The deadline for holding party conventions. After this date, parties must officially announce their candidates.^[12]
1 August			Kim Kataguiri officially withdraws from the race, stating that his candidacy was sabotaged by the Brazil Union. He announced at the same press conference his support for Ricardo Nunes' candidacy.^[13]
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Nunes	Boulos	Datena	Marçal	Amaral	Kataguiri	M. Helena	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"					data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
Quaest	25–28 July	1,002	20%	19%	19%	12%	5%	3%	3%	2%	17%	1%
			21%	19%	19%	13%	6%	2%	4%		16%	2%
			24%	22%		15%	8%	3%	5%		23%	2%
			26%	23%		15%	8%		6%		22%	3%
			33%	24%			9%		8%		26%	9%
20 July			At the PSOL party convention, with the presence of the President Lula, the "Love for São Paulo" ticket alliance and the candidates for mayor and vice mayor are confirmed – Guilherme Boulos and Marta Suplicy.^[14]
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Nunes	Boulos	Datena	Amaral	Marçal	Kataguiri	M. Helena	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"					data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
FESPSP	16–18 July	1,500	22%	26%	12%	5%	11%	3%	2%		19%	4%
Paraná Pesquisas	14–17 July	1,500	26.9%	24.7%	11.6%	6.4%	10.9%	2.4%	3.6%	1.7%	11.6%	2.2%
			27.7%	24.8%	11.8%	6.8%	11.5%		3.7%	1.9%	11.9%	2.9%
			31.9%	27.5%		7.7%	12.2%		4.4%	2.4%	13.8%	4.4%
Datafolha	2–4 July	1,092	24%	23%	11%	7%	10%	3%	5%	4%	13%	1%
			26%	25%		9%	12%		7%	5%	16%	1%
RealTime Big Data	25–28 June	1,500	28%	29%	8%	7%	12%	5%	1%	0%	10%	1%
			29%	29%	9%	8%	14%		1%		10%	Tie
Futura/100% Cidades	24–25 June	1,000	20.4%	24.2%	13.5%	5.5%	12.7%	3.2%	3%	1%	16.4%	3.8%
			24.6%	24.8%		8.5%	14.1%		3.5%		24.5%	0.2%
			25.2%	22.7%	17.5%	8.1%					26.5%	2.5%
			24.5%	24.4%		10%	12.3%				28.8%	0.1%
Quaest	22–25 June	1,002	22%	21%	17%	6%	10%	3%	4%	2%	15%	1%
			25%	23%	19%	8%		5%	4%		16%	2%
			24%	23%	16%	8%	11%		5%		13%	1%
			28%	24%		10%	13%		6%		19%	4%
			30%	25%		10%		5%	8%		22%	5%
Paraná Pesquisas	19–24 June	1,500	28.5%	25.9%	8.3%	8.7%	10%	2.7%	3.1%	1.2%	11.6%	2.6%
			31.1%	27%		11.2%	11.9%		3.9%	1.7%	13.4%	4.1%
Instituto Veritá	15–19 June	1,202	16.9%	28.9%	13.4%	4.4%	14%	4.1%	2.1%	2.3%	13.3%	12%
Instituto Gerp	13–17 June	1,000	21%	20%	9%	6%	9%	3%	2%	0%	30%	1%
Atlas/CNN	10–11 June	2,220	23.4%	35.7%	5.8%	10.7%	12.6%	6.9%	2%		2.9%	12.3%
			32.4%	37.5%		11.8%		8.2%	3.2%		6.9%	5.1%
Datafolha	27–28 May	1,092	23%	24%	8%	8%	7%	4%	4%	4%	18%	1%
			26%	24%		9%	9%		6%	5%	21%	2%
Paraná Pesquisas	24–28 May	1,500	28.1%	24.2%	12.1%	9.1%	5.1%	3.4%	3.2%	0.8%	14%	3.9%
			28.2%	24.2%	12.1%	9.3%	5.1%	3.4%	3.2%		14%	4%
			33.1%	26.9%		11.5%	6.9%		4.1%		16.7%	6.2%
Atlas/CNN	22–27 May	1,670	20.5%	37.2%	7.9%	9.9%	10.4%	7.9%	3.5%	0.5%	2.3%	16.7%
			32.6%	37.2%		11.1%		9.3%	3.7%	1.2%	5%	4.6%
24 May			The Brazilian Labour Renewal Party confirms the candidacy of Pablo Marçal.^[15]
15 May			The Brazilian Social Democracy Party confirms the candidacy of José Luiz Datena.^[16]
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Nunes	Boulos	Datena	Amaral	Marçal	Kataguiri	M. Helena	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"					data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
Futura/100% Cidades	6–7 May	1,000	27.1%	26.1%		9.7%		5.1%	4.9%		26.9%	1%
			23%	22.6%	15.2%	8.6%				0.7%	19.8%	0.4%
Paraná Pesquisas	26 April–1 May	1,200	27.3%	25.7%	15.3%	8.2%	2.3%	4%	3.6%	0.3%	13.5%	1.6%
			35.2%	29.8%		10.6%			5.7%	1.7%	17.2%	5.4%
AtlasIntel	18–22 April	1,629	33.7%	35.6%		14.7%		9.4%	3.5%		3.1%	1.9%
Instituto Badra	11–13 April	1,500	26%	17%		10%	4%	2%	4%	1%	36%	9%
			30%	20%		16%					33%	10%
			30%	21%		17%					31%	9%
Paraná Pesquisas	13–18 March	1,350	32%	30.1%		9.6%		5.7%	5.9%	1%	15.7%	1.9%
			34.3%	30.6%		10.5%			6.3%	1.3%	17%	3.7%
Datafolha	7–8 March	1,090	29%	30%		8%		4%	7%	2%	20%	1%
			30%	29%		9%			7%	1%	23%	1%
			33%	33%					8%	2%	24%	Tie
RealTime Big Data	1–2 March	2,000	29%	34%		10%		6%	1%	1%	19%	5%
Paraná Pesquisas	14–19 February	1,502	32%	33%		9.7%		5.2%	3.3%	0.7%	16.1%	1%
			34.7%	33.4%		10.5%			3.8%		17.6%	1.3%

2023

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Nunes	Boulos	Amaral	Kataguiri	M. Helena	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"					data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
AtlasIntel	25–30 December	1,600	18%	29.5%	6.2%	5.3%	0.6%	18.4%	22.1%	11.5%
			23.1%	37.9%	8%	6.8%	0.7%	23.5%		14.8%
ABC Dados	18 December	1,061	16%	29%	8%	10%		12%	25%	13%
Instituto Veritá	14–16 December	1,003	5.5%	18.7%	1.2%	3.4%	2.1%	34.5%	34.4%	13.2%
			10.2%	24.2%				16.3%	49.3%	7.9%
Futura Inteligência	11–13 December	1,015	21%	25.6%	8.4%	4.4%	3.3%	9.4%	27.8%	4.6%
			21%	24.6%	8.3%	4.3%		16.1%	27.6%	3.6%
Paraná Pesquisas	6–9 December	1,046	25.4%	31.1%	8.9%	5.4%	3.1%	8.9%	17.3%	5.7%
			29.1%	32.4%	9.2%	6.4%	3.9%		19%	3.3%
Badra	2–4 October	2,500	21%	29%	7%	5%		3%	35%	8%
			20%	28%		4%		12%	36%	8%
			25%	30%	9%				36%	5%
Paraná Pesquisas	21–24 September	1,066	29%	35.1%	7.5%	5.3%		2.8%	20.3%	6.1%
20 September			The party Solidariedade announces support to Nunes' reelection.^[17]
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Nunes	Boulos	Amaral	Kataguiri	Poit	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"					data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
Datafolha	29–30 August	1,092	24%	32%	11%	8%	2%		23%	8%
5 August			Workers' Party (PT) announces support to Boulos' candidacy.^[18]
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Nunes	Boulos	E. Bolsonaro	Amaral	Kataguiri	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"					data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
Instituto Gerp	10–17 July	800	6%	26%	18%	5%	2%	4%	39%	8%
28 June			José Luiz Datena withdraws from the race.^[19]
5 June			Ricardo Salles withdraws from the race.^[20]
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Nunes	Boulos	Datena	Salles	Amaral	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"					data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
Paraná Pesquisas	30 Apr–4 May	1,208	17.8%	31.5%		10.9%	7.1%	5.4%	27.3%	13.7%
			13.6%	39.2%		20.4%	7.7%	5%		18.8%
Paraná Pesquisas	23–26 February	1,012	7.9%	26.3%	24.3%	4.8%	3.9%	13.4%	19.4%	2%
			8.6%	32%			5.1%	33.6%	20.7%	12.1%
			11.1%	32.9%		7.5%	5.2%	17.4%	25.9%	21.8%
			15%	36.7%		10.1%		8.4%	29.8%	11.7%

Second round

Guilherme Boulos and Ricardo Nunes

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Nunes	Boulos	Abst. Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"				data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
AtlasIntel	15–20 August 2024	1,803	40.9%	36.8%	22.4%	4.1%
Datafolha	6–8 August 2024	1,092	49%	36%	15%	13%
Paraná Pesquisas	4–7 August 2024	1,500	50.1%	35.5%	14.4%	14.6%
AtlasIntel	2–7 August 2024	2,037	42%	42.4%	15.6%	0.4%
Futura/100% Cidades	2–5 August 2024	1,000	50.2%	32.3%	17.5%	17.9%
Quaest	25–28 July 2024	1,002	45%	32%	23%	13%
FESPSP	16–18 July 2024	1,500	43%	36%	21%	7%
	16–18 July 2024		36%	46%	18%	10%
	16–18 July 2024		38%	46%	16%	8%
Paraná Pesquisas	14–17 July 2024	1,500	50.5%	35%	14.5%	15.5%
Datafolha	2–4 July 2024	1,092	48%	38%	14%	10%
RealTime Big Data	25–28 June 2024	1,500	46%	39%	15%	7%
Quaest	22–25 June 2024	1,002	46%	34%	20%	12%
Paraná Pesquisas	19–24 June 2024	1,500	49%	33.9%	17%	15.1%
Atlas/CNN	10–11 June 2024	2,220	44%	46%	10%	2%
Paraná Pesquisas	24–28 May 2024	1,500	48.1%	35.9%	16%	12.2%
Atlas/CNN	22–27 May 2024	1,670	46%	43.5%	10.4%	2.5%
Futura/100% Cidades	6–7 May 2024	1,000	44.4%	33.9%	21.6%	10.5%
Paraná Pesquisas	26 April–1 May 2024	1,200	46.8%	37.6%	15.7%	9.2%
Atlas/Intel	18–22 April 2024	1,629	44.8%	44.3%	10.9%	0.5%
Paraná Pesquisas	13–18 March 2024	1,350	46%	39.1%	14.9%	6.9%
RealTime Big Data	1–2 March 2024	2,000	40%	38%	22%	2%
Paraná Pesquisas	14–19 February 2024	1,502	43.3%	39.6%	17.1%	3.7%
AtlasIntel	25–30 December 2023	1,600	37.2%	33.8%	29%	3.4%
Instituto Veritá	14–16 December 2023	1,003	24.4%	27.6%	47.9%	3.2%
Paraná Pesquisas	6–9 December 2023	1,046	41.3%	39.8%	19%	1.5%

Guilherme Boulos and Pablo Marçal

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Boulos	Marçal	Abst. Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"				data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
AtlasIntel	15–20 August 2024	1,803	38.4%	35.4%	26.2%	3%
AtlasIntel	2–7 August 2024	2,037	44.1%	35.2%	20.7%	8.9%
Futura/100% Cidades	2–5 August 2024	1,000	40.1%	30.7%	29.2%	9.4%
Quaest	25–28 July 2024	1,002	37%	33%	30%	4%
Paraná Pesquisas	14–17 July 2024	1,500	44.8%	33.7%	21.5%	11.1%
RealTime Big Data	25–28 June 2024	1,500	40%	33%	27%	7%
Paraná Pesquisas	19–24 June 2024	1,500	45.5%	29.3%	25.1%	16.2%
Atlas/CNN	10–11 June 2024	2,220	48%	38%	14%	10%

Guilherme Boulos and Tabata Amaral

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Boulos	Amaral	Abst. Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"				data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
AtlasIntel	15–20 August 2024	1,803	29.8%	29.1%	31%	0.7%
AtlasIntel	2–7 August 2024	2,037	37.7%	27.4%	34.9%	10.3%
Futura/100% Cidades	2–5 August 2024	1,000	33.9%	31.7%	34.4%	2.2%
RealTime Big Data	25–28 June 2024	1,500	40%	44%	16%	4%
Paraná Pesquisas	19–24 June 2024	1,500	40%	34%	26%	6%
Atlas/CNN	10–11 June 2024	2,220	40%	34%	26%	6%
Paraná Pesquisas	24–28 May 2024	1,500	41.7%	32.2%	26.1%	9.5%
Atlas/CNN	22–27 May 2024	1,670	37.7%	25.5%	36.8%	12.2%
Futura/100% Cidades	6–7 May 2024	1,000	35.4%	32%	32.6%	3.4%
Paraná Pesquisas	26 April–1 May 2024	1,200	43.6%	33.9%	22.5%	9.7%
Paraná Pesquisas	13–18 March 2024	1,350	43.3%	34.3%	22.4%	9%
Paraná Pesquisas	14–19 February 2024	1,502	43.4%	30.4%	26.1%	13%

Guilherme Boulos and José Luiz Datena

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Boulos	Datena	Abst. Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"				data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
AtlasIntel	15–20 August 2024	1,803	35.6%	27.5%	36.9%	8.1%
Paraná Pesquisas	4–7 August 2024	1,500	39%	43%	18%	4%
AtlasIntel	2–7 August 2024	2,037	39.9%	29.5%	30.7%	10.4%
Futura/100% Cidades	2–5 August 2024	1,000	36.5%	35.5%	28%	1%
RealTime Big Data	25–28 June 2024	1,500	40%	38%	22%	2%
Quaest	22–25 June 2024	1,002	35%	43%	22%	8%
Atlas/CNN	10–11 June 2024	2,220	44%	27%	28%	17%
Atlas/CNN	22–27 May 2024	1,670	41.5%	27.9%	30.6%	13.6%

Ricardo Nunes and Tabata Amaral

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Nunes	Amaral	Abst. Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"				data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
AtlasIntel	15–20 August 2024	1,803	38.5%	38.8%	22.6%	0.3%
AtlasIntel	2–7 August 2024	2,037	38.3%	43.4%	18.3%	5.1%
Quaest	25–28 July 2024	1,002	47%	26%	27%	21%
RealTime Big Data	25–28 June 2024	1,500	43%	42%	15%	1%
Paraná Pesquisas	19–24 June 2024	1,500	48.3%	30.5%	21.1%	17.8%
Atlas/CNN	10–11 June 2024	2,220	42%	37%	20%	5%
Paraná Pesquisas	24–28 May 2024	1,500	49.5%	30%	20.5%	19.5%
Atlas/CNN	22–27 May 2024	1,670	42.4%	38.3%	19.3%	4.1%
Futura/100% Cidades	6–7 May 2024	1,000	43.9%	30%	26.1%	13.9%
Paraná Pesquisas	26 April–1 May 2024	1,200	49.6%	30.8%	19.7%	18.8%
Atlas/Intel	18–22 April 2024	1,629	42.6%	44.3%	13.1%	1.7%
Paraná Pesquisas	13–18 March 2024	1,350	48.4%	30%	21.6%	18.4%
Paraná Pesquisas	14–19 February 2024	1,502	48.3%	28.8%	22.9%	19.5%
AtlasIntel	25–30 December 2023	1,600	36.5%	26.3%	37.1%	10.2%

Ricardo Nunes and José Luiz Datena

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Nunes	Datena	Abst. Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"				data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
AtlasIntel	15–20 August 2024	1,803	40.8%	28.7%	30.5%	12.1%
Paraná Pesquisas	4–7 August 2024	1,500	47.2%	35%	17.8%	12.2%
AtlasIntel	2–7 August 2024	2,037	38.7%	28.9%	32.4%	9.8%
Paraná Pesquisas	14–17 July 2024	1,500	47.7%	29.3%	23%	18.4%
RealTime Big Data	25–28 June 2024	1,500	44%	37%	19%	7%
Quaest	22–25 June 2024	1,002	43%	34%	23%	9%
Atlas/CNN	10–11 June 2024	2,220	43%	30%	27%	13%
Atlas/CNN	22–27 May 2024	1,670	45.4%	21.4%	33.2%	24%

Tabata Amaral and José Luiz Datena

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Amaral	Datena	Abst. Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"				data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
Atlas/CNN	10–11 June 2024	2,220	38%	36%	26%	2%
Atlas/CNN	22–27 May 2024	1,670	39.8%	21.6%	38.6%	18.2%

Ricardo Nunes and Pablo Marçal

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Nunes	Marçal	Abst. Undec.	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"				data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;"
Quaest	25–28 July 2024	1,002	46%	22%	32%	24%
RealTime Big Data	25–28 June 2024	1,500	42%	27%	31%	15%

Results

Municipal Chamber

Notes and References

1. Web site: MDB oficializa candidatura de Ricardo Nunes à Prefeitura de SP com Bolsonaro e Tarcísio no palco. G1. pt-br. Paola. Patriarca. 3 August 2024. 3 August 2023.
2. Web site: Salles manda recado a prefeito de SP e diz que será candidato em 2024. Metrópoles. pt-br. Edoardo. Ghirotto. 3 March 2023. 12 April 2023.
3. Web site: Ricardo Salles desiste de concorrer à prefeitura de SP: Tomei uma rasteira. UOL Notícias. pt-br. 5 June 2023. 5 June 2023.
4. Web site: TARDE . A. . 2024-04-11 . PRTB desiste de padre Kelmon e aposta em Pablo Marçal em eleição de SP . 2024-05-28 . A TARDE . pt-br.
5. Web site: Kelmon . Monsenhor . 2024-05-02 . x.com . live . https://archive.today/20240528043606/https://x.com/PeKelmon/status/1786025790334730676 . 2024-05-28 . 2024-05-28 . X (formerly Twitter).
6. Web site: Weintraub lança pré-candidatura em SP e diz que irá à Justiça para concorrer sem partido . 2024-03-11 . CNN Brasil.
7. Web site: 2024-08-01 . Kim Kataguiri deixa disputa à Prefeitura de SP: 'Fui desistido e sabotado' . 2024-08-03 . UOL . pt-br.
8. Web site: Carlucci . Manoela . Prefeitura de SP: Democracia Cristã muda pré-candidato na disputa faltando três dias para prazo final de convenções . 2024-08-06 . CNN Brasil . pt-BR.
9. Web site: São Paulo/SP - Eleição 2020 definida para prefeito e vereadores. UOL. pt-br. 15 November 2020. 12 April 2023.
10. Web site: Vereadores da Câmara - Novo Site da Câmara Municipal de São Paulo . live . https://archive.today/20240424220129/https://www.saopaulo.sp.leg.br/vereadores/membros/?filtro=partido . 2024-04-24 . 2024-04-24 . Câmara Municipal de São Paulo.
11. Web site: 2024-08-08 . Band realiza debates em 19 cidades hoje; saiba como assistir . 2024-08-08 . www.band.uol.com.br . pt-BR.
12. Web site: Matos . Maria Clara . Saiba quem são os candidatos a prefeito de São Paulo; veja lista . 2024-08-08 . CNN Brasil . pt-BR.
13. Web site: 2024-06-24 . Milton Leite e União Brasil abandonam Kim Kataguiri na disputa pela Prefeitura de São Paulo . 2024-07-19 . Brasil de Fato . pt-BR.
14. Web site: Luca . Adriana De . Ao lado de Lula, Guilherme Boulos é oficializado como candidato pelo PSOL em São Paulo . 2024-07-21 . CNN Brasil . pt-BR.
15. Web site: 2024-05-25 . PRTB lança pré-candidatura do coach Pablo Marçal à Prefeitura de SP . 2024-05-28 . UOL . pt-br.
16. Web site: Datena e PSDB dizem que apresentador está confirmado como candidato a prefeito de SP. G1. pt-br. Rodrigo. Rodrigues. 15 May 2024. 16 May 2024.
17. Web site: Datafolha: Boulos lidera com 32% das intenções de voto para Prefeitura de SP; Nunes aparece em segundo, com 24%. G1. pt-br. 31 August 2023. 25 September 2023.
18. Web site: PT oficializa apoio a Boulos para eleição à prefeitura de SP. Carta Capital. pt-br. 5 August 2023. 5 August 2023.
19. Web site: CASTRO . DANIEL . 2023-06-28 . Para não pagar mico, Datena manda cancelar festa de candidatura a prefeito . 2023-07-30 . Notícias da TV . pt-BR.
20. Web site: Ricardo Salles desiste de concorrer à prefeitura de SP: Tomei uma rasteira. UOL Notícias. pt-br. 5 June 2023. 18 July 2023.