| Election Name: | 2024 Northern Territory general election |
| Country: | Northern Territory |
| Type: | parliamentary |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2020 Northern Territory general election |
| Previous Year: | 2020 |
| Election Date: | 24 August 2024 |
| Next Election: | 2028 Northern Territory general election |
| Next Year: | 2028 |
| Majority Seats: | 13 |
| Opinion Polls: | 2024 Northern Territory general election#Opinion polling |
| Turnout: | 68.5% (6.5 pp) |
| Leader1: | Lia Finocchiaro |
| Party1: | Country Liberal Party |
| Leaders Seat1: | Spillett |
| Popular Vote1: | 49,738 |
| Percentage1: | 48.9% |
| Swing1: | 17.6 |
| Last Election1: | 8 seats, 31.34% |
| Seats Before1: | 7 |
| Seats Needed1: | 6 |
| Seats1: | 17 |
| Seat Change1: | 9 |
| Leader2: | Eva Lawler |
| Leader Since2: | 21 December 2023 |
| Party2: | Territory Labor Party |
| Leaders Seat2: | Drysdale (lost seat) |
| Popular Vote2: | 29,292 |
| Percentage2: | 28.8% |
| Swing2: | 10.6 |
| Last Election2: | 14 seats, 39.43% |
| Seats Before2: | 14 |
| Seats2: | 4 |
| Seat Change2: | 10 |
| 1Blank: | TPP |
| 2Blank: | TPP swing |
| 1Data1: | 57.4% |
| 1Data2: | 42.6% |
| 2Data1: | 10.4 |
| 2Data2: | 10.4 |
| Leader3: | No leader |
| Leader Since3: | N/A |
| Party3: | Greens |
| Leaders Seat3: | N/A |
| Popular Vote3: | 8,272 |
| Percentage3: | 8.13% |
| Swing3: | 3.67 |
| Last Election3: | 0 seats, 4.46% |
| Seats Before3: | 0 |
| Seats Needed3: | 13 |
| Seats3: | 1 |
| Seat Change3: | 1 |
| Map Size: | 300px |
| Chief Minister | |
| Before Election: | Eva Lawler |
| Before Party: | Territory Labor Party |
| After Election: | Lia Finocchiaro |
| After Party: | Country Liberal Party |
The 2024 Northern Territory general election was held on 24 August 2024 to elect all 25 members of the Legislative Assembly in the unicameral Northern Territory Parliament. Members were elected through full preferential instant-runoff voting in single-member electorates. The election was conducted by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (NTEC).
The incumbent centre-left Labor majority government, led by Chief Minister Eva Lawler since December 2023, sought to win a third consecutive four-year term of government. They were defeated by the centre-right Country Liberal Party (CLP) opposition, led by Opposition Leader Lia Finocchiaro, in a landslide.[1] [2]
The election saw the second-worst defeat of a sitting government in the Territory's history. From 14 seats at dissolution, Labor fell to four seats, its smallest presence in the Legislative Assembly since it entered the chamber in 1977; it won no seats at the first ever Northern Territory election in 1974. Labor also tallied its lowest primary vote in the Territory and suffered a complete wipeout in the urban areas of Darwin and Palmerston. The CLP swelled to 17 seats, up from seven at dissolution, giving the party a four-seat majority. There was a large swing to the CLP across Darwin, Palmerston and Alice Springs, as well as in the surrounding rural areas and in Katherine. The CLP swept the city of Palmerston and won all but two seats in Darwin and all but one seat in Alice Springs. The swing led to Eva Lawler losing her seat of Drysdale to CLP candidate Clinton Howe. She became the third Chief Minister and the first Labor Chief Minister lose her seat at an election.[3]
Of the four remaining seats, three were won by independents and one by left-wing minor party the Greens, whose candidate Kat McNamara defeated former Chief Minister Natasha Fyles in the seat of Nightcliff. This marked the first time the Greens entered the Legislative Assembly in the history of the Northern Territory.[4]
For the first time in Northern Territory history, both major parties at the election were led by female leaders. Additionally, both leaders were from the city of Palmerston; indeed, before her move to the then-new seat of Spillett in 2016, Finocchiaro was the member for Drysdale (the seat Lawler won in 2016 after Finocchiaro transferred to Spillett). Voter turnout dropped in remote Aboriginal communities, which the NTEC attributed to voter fatigue and apathy; others suggested the rejection of the Indigenous Voice to Parliament at the 2023 referendum contributed to low turnout among Indigenous voters.[5]
With the Northern Territory election results, Labor lost its first mainland state or territory since the 2018 South Australian election.
This was the first election for the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly where both major political parties were led by women, and the third in any Australian state or territory, after the 1995 ACT election and 2020 Queensland election.
Additionally, both leaders were from the city of Palmerston. Before her move to the then-new seat of Spillett in 2016, Finocchiaro was the member for Drysdale, the seat Lawler won in that election.
At the 2020 election, the Labor government led by Chief Minister Michael Gunner was re-elected with a reduced majority, winning 14 of the 25 seats in the parliament. The Country Liberals (CLP) won 8 seats, whilst the Territory Alliance party won 1 seat and a further 2 seats were won by independents.
Robyn Lambley, the Territory Alliance's sole representative in the parliament, left the party in October 2020 to sit as an independent.[6] Labor MLA Mark Turner was expelled from the party-room caucus in February 2021 due to what he acknowledged as an "inappropriate relationship" with a Labor Party staffer, though he remained a Labor-designated member in the assembly.[7]
A by-election was held for the seat of Daly on 11 September 2021, caused by the resignation of CLP member Ian Sloan due to health and personal issues. Labor candidate Dheran Young won the seat, the first time that an incumbent government has won a seat from the opposition in the history of the Legislative Assembly.[8]
On 10 May 2022, Chief Minister and Labor leader Michael Gunner announced his immediate resignation from both positions, citing his desire to spend more time with his family following the birth of his and his wife's second son on 29 April.[9] Following a party-room meeting on 13 May, Labor minister Natasha Fyles was elected unopposed to the leadership, and was sworn in as the new Chief Minister later that day.[10] Gunner resigned from the seat of Fannie Bay on 27 July and a by-election was held on 20 August 2022. Labor retained the seat at the by-election, with Labor candidate Brent Potter retaining the seat despite a 7 per cent swing against the party.[11]
On 17 December 2022, Labor MP for Arafura Lawrence Costa died. This triggered a by-election which was held on 18 March 2023. Manuel Brown retained the seat for Labor with a 15.6% swing towards the party on the two-party-preferred result.
In December 2023, it was revealed that Fyles holds 754 undeclared shares in South32, a company that owns a manganese mine on Groote Eylandt. Fyles faced further conflict of interest allegations and calls to resign, due to her decision earlier in 2023 to not investigate health impacts from the Groote Eylandt mine, with Leader of the Opposition Lia Finocchiaro calling her actions a 'profound betrayal of public trust'.[12] [13] Due to the controversy, Fyles resigned on 19 December 2023.
Three independents were elected at the 2020 election, the crossbench then increased to 4 when Mark Turner was expelled from the Labor Party.
A redistribution took place in preparation for the 2024 election, largely due to the rapid population growth of Palmerston, but minor changes were also made to electorates outside the town.
The first redistribution proposal was published on 23 May 2023.[14]
The parliament has fixed four-year terms, with elections to be held on the fourth Saturday of August every four years.[15]
| Government seats (14) | ||||
| Marginal | ||||
| Port Darwin | Paul Kirby | ALP | 1.9 | |
| Fong Lim | Mark Monaghan | ALP | 2.2 | |
| Arafura | Manuel Brown | ALP | 3.6 | |
| Drysdale | Eva Lawler | ALP | 5.4 | |
| Fairly safe | ||||
| Daly | Dheran Young | ALP | 6.1 | |
| Karama | Ngaree Ah Kit | ALP | 8.3 | |
| Safe | ||||
| Fannie Bay | Brent Potter | ALP | 10.9 | |
| Arnhem | Selena Uibo | ALP | 15.9 | |
| Casuarina | Lauren Moss | ALP | 16.0 | |
| Gwoja | Chansey Paech | ALP | 16.2 | |
| Johnston | Joel Bowden | ALP | 16.0 | |
| Wanguri | Nicole Manison | ALP | 17.3 | |
| Sanderson | Kate Worden | ALP | 18.8 | |
| Nightcliff | Natasha Fyles | ALP | 24.1 | |
| Opposition seats (7) | |||
| Marginal | |||
| Barkly | Steve Edgington | CLP | 0.1 |
| Namatjira | Bill Yan | CLP | 0.3 |
| Braitling | Joshua Burgoyne | CLP | 1.3 |
| Katherine | Jo Hersey | CLP | 2.5 |
| Brennan | Marie-Clare Boothby | CLP | 3.0 |
| Fairly safe | |||
| Nelson | Gerard Maley | CLP | 9.2 v IND |
| Safe | |||
| Spillett | Lia Finocchiaro | CLP | 13.5 |
| Crossbench seats (4) | |||
| Araluen | Robyn Lambley | IND | 0.5 v CLP |
| Blain | Mark Turner | IND | 1.3 (ALP v CLP) |
| Mulka | Yingiya Mark Guyula | IND | 5.1 v ALP |
| Goyder | Kezia Purick | IND | 6.8 v CLP |
| Government seats (17) | |||
| Marginal | |||
| Fannie Bay | Laurie Zio | CLP | 0.39 v GRN |
| Casuarina | Khoda Patel | CLP | 0.70 |
| Blain | Matthew Kerle | CLP | 1.92 v IND |
| Barkly | Steve Edgington | CLP | 1.93 |
| Sanderson | Jinson Charls | CLP | 2.20 |
| Braitling | Joshua Burgoyne | CLP | 3.85 v GRN |
| Fairly safe | |||
| Fong Lim | Tanzil Rahman | CLP | 7.46 |
| Wanguri | Oly Carlson | CLP | 8.99 |
| Safe | |||
| Karama | Brian O'Gallagher | CLP | 11.33 |
| Namatjira | Bill Yan | CLP | 11.46 |
| Port Darwin | Robyn Cahill | CLP | 11.73 |
| Katherine | Jo Hersey | CLP | 12.16 v IND |
| Goyder | Andrew Mackay | CLP | 12.66 v IND |
| Drysdale | Clinton Howe | CLP | 14.96 |
| Brennan | Marie-Clare Boothby | CLP | 23.90 |
| Nelson | Gerard Maley | CLP | 25.0 v IND |
| Spillett | Lia Finocchiaro | CLP | 29.58 |
| Opposition seats (4) | |||
| Marginal | |||
| Daly | Dheran Young | ALP | 2.29 |
| Safe | |||
| Arnhem | Selena Uibo | ALP | 14.26 |
| Gwoja | Chansey Paech | ALP | 15.84 |
| Arafura | Manuel Brown | ALP | 19.68 |
| Crossbench seats (4) | |||
| Nightcliff | Kat McNamara | GRN | 0.40 v ALP |
| Johnston | Justine Davis | IND | 7.64 v CLP |
| Araluen | Robyn Lambley | IND | 14.73 v CLP |
| Mulka | Yingiya Mark Guyula | IND | 25.20 v CLP |
At the close of nominations for the election, five parties were registered with the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (NTEC).[17]
The following members announced that they were not contesting the 2024 election:
Finocchiaro announced the first CLP candidates in May 2023.[21]
Labor confirmed they would not contest the seat of Mulka on 1 August 2024, with Chief Minister Eva Lawler citing her party's "good relationship with and respect for" incumbent MLA Yingiya Mark Guyula.[22]
Nominations closed on 8 August 2024 and the ballot draws were conducted the same day. In total, 80 candidates nominated for election, down from 111 at the previous election.[23]
This is the first election since the 2008 election where the only parties to field candidates were ALP, CLP, and the Greens.
Sitting members are listed in bold. Successful candidates are highlighted in the relevant colour. Where there is possible confusion, an asterisk is used.
| Seat | Held by | ALP candidate | CLP candidate | Greens candidate | Independent candidates | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Brown | Yanja Thompson | ||||||||
| Gagandeep Sodhi | Sean Heenan | Hugo Wells | Robyn Lambley
| ||||||
| Selena Uibo | Ian Mongunu Gumbula | ||||||||
| Lizzie Hogan | Steve Edgington | ||||||||
| Danielle Eveleigh | Matthew Kerle | Mark Turner | |||||||
| Allison Bitar | Joshua Burgoyne | Asta Hill | |||||||
| Tony Sievers | Marie-Clare Boothby | ||||||||
| Lauren Moss | Khoda Patel | Pamela McCalman | Martin Jackson | ||||||
| Dheran Young | Kris Civitarese | ||||||||
| Eva Lawler | Clinton Howe | Cindy Mebbingarri Roberts | |||||||
| Brent Potter | Laurie Zio | Suki Dorras-Walker | Leonard May | ||||||
| Mark Monaghan | Simon Niblock | Amye Un | |||||||
| Sandy Griffin | Andrew Mackay | Belinda Kolstad Mathew Salter Trevor Jenkins | |||||||
| Chansey Paech | Jarrod Jupurula Williams | ||||||||
| Joel Bowden | Gary Strachan | Billie Barton | Justine Davis | ||||||
| Ngaree Ah Kit | Brian O'Gallagher | Andy Rowan | Justine Glover | ||||||
| Nick Lovering | Jo Hersey | Sam Phelan | |||||||
| Allen Fanning | Yingiya Mark Guyula | ||||||||
| Sheralee Taylor | Bill Yan | Blair McFarland | |||||||
| Anthony Venes | Gerard Maley | Beverley Ratahi | |||||||
| Natasha Fyles | Helen Secretary | Kat McNamara | George Mamouzellos Mililma May | ||||||
| Brian Manning | Robyn Cahill | Greg Dickson | Janey Davies Leah Potter | ||||||
| Kate Worden | Jinson Charls | ||||||||
| Caleb Burke | Lia Finocchiaro | ||||||||
| Shlok Sharma | Oly Carlson | Andrew Coates | Graeme Sawyer |
| Date | Firm | Primary vote | TPP | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| class=unsortable style=background:#888888 | class=unsortable style=background:#10C25B | class=unsortable style=background: | class=unsortable style=background:lightgray | ||||||||
| 2024 election | 28.8% | 48.9% | 14.2% | 8.1% | − | − | 42.6% | style=background:#F3B18C | 57.4% | ||
| May 2024 | Freshwater Strategy[25] | 29% | 39% | 22% | 9% | − | − | 46% | style=background:#F3B18C | 54% | |
| 16–18 November 2023 | Redbridge[26] | 19.7% | 40.6% | 14% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 2.4% | 43.5% | style=background:#F3B18C | 56.5% | |
| 2020 election | 39.4% | 31.3% | 10.7% | 4.5% | N/A | 14.1% | 53.3% | 46.7% | |||
The most prominent issue in the campaign was crime, which has dramatically increased in the Territory in recent years.[27] Other issues included cost of living and pet crocodiles.[28]
The Country Liberal Party (CLP) had a policy to lower the age of criminal responsibility from 12 to 10 years old, reversing the Gunner government's 2022 increase.[29] [30] [31]
See main article: Results of the 2024 Northern Territory general election.
The CLP swept Labor from power in a massive landslide, winning 58 percent of the two-party vote on a swing of 11 percent. The swing was particularly pronounced in Darwin and Palmerston. The CLP took all of Palmerston and all but two seats in Darwin, all on swings of over 10 percent. Notably, the CLP took five out of seven seats in Darwin's northern suburbs, which had been Labor's power base in the Territory since the turn of the millennium. Labor won power for the first time in 2001 by sweeping the northern suburbs, and retained all but one seat there even when defeated in 2012. It initially appeared Fyles in Nightcliff would be the only Labor member left in the Darwin/Palmerston area, but the Greens narrowly defeated her to complete Labor's urban wipeout.
Lawler herself was defeated in Drysdale by CLP challenger Clinton Howe on a swing of over 21 percent, enough on paper to turn it into a safe CLP seat in one stroke. She is the third head of government in the Territory and the fourth major-party leader to lose their own seat. All but two members of her cabinet were defeated, the only survivors being Deputy Chief Minister Chansey Paech and Selena Uibo.
Members in italics did not seek re-election.
| Seat | Pre-election | Swing | Post-election | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Member | Margin | Margin | Member | Party | |||||||
| Blain | Mark Turner | 1.3 | 3.4 | 2.1 v IND | Matthew Kerle | |||||||
| Casuarina | Lauren Moss | 16.0 | 17.1 | 1.1 | Khoda Patel | |||||||
| Drysdale | Eva Lawler | 5.4 | 20.3 | 14.9 | Clinton Howe | |||||||
| Fannie Bay | Brent Potter | 10.9 | 11.3 | 0.8 v GRN | Laurie Zio | |||||||
| Fong Lim | Mark Monaghan | 2.2 | 10.3 | 8.1 | Tanzil Rahman | |||||||
| Goyder | Kezia Purick | 6.8 | 19.3 | 12.5 v IND | Andrew Mackay | |||||||
| Johnston | Joel Bowden | 16.0 | 8.1 | 7.9 v CLP | Justine Davis | |||||||
| Karama | Ngaree Ah Kit | 8.3 | 20.4 | 12.1 | Brian O'Gallagher | |||||||
| Nightcliff | Natasha Fyles | 24.1 | 24.6 | 0.5 v ALP | ||||||||
| Port Darwin | Paul Kirby | 1.9 | 14.0 | 12.1 | Robyn Cahill | |||||||
| Sanderson | Kate Worden | 18.8 | 21.0 | 2.2 | Jinson Charls | |||||||
| Wanguri | Nicole Manison | 17.3 | 26.3 | 9.0 | Oly Carlson | |||||||