| Election Name: | 2024 North Carolina Republican presidential primary |
| Country: | North Carolina |
| Type: | primary |
| Ongoing: | Yes |
| Previous Election: | 2020 North Carolina Republican presidential primary |
| Previous Year: | 2020 |
| Next Election: | 2028 North Carolina Republican presidential primary |
| Next Year: | 2028 |
| Election Date: | March 5, 2024 |
| Outgoing Members: | MN |
| Elected Members: | OK |
| Votes For Election: | 74 Republican National Convention delegates |
| Map Size: | 325px |
| Image1: | Donald Trump 2023 (cropped).jpg |
| Candidate1: | Donald Trump |
| Color1: | 283681 |
| Home State1: | Florida |
| Popular Vote1: | 793,978 |
| Percentage1: | 73.84%[1] |
| Delegate Count1: | 62 |
| Candidate2: | Nikki Haley |
| Color2: | fe6100 |
| Home State2: | South Carolina |
| Popular Vote2: | 250,838 |
| Percentage2: | 23.33%[2] |
| Delegate Count2: | 12 |
The 2024 North Carolina Republican presidential primary was held on March 5, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 74 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a proportional basis.[3] The contest was held on Super Tuesday alongside primaries in 14 other states.
See main article: Endorsements in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries.
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Nikki Haley | Donald Trump | Other/ Undecided | Margin | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270ToWin[4] | February 5–7, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | 21.5% | 74.5% | 4.0% | Trump +53.0 | |||
| FiveThirtyEight[5] | through February 4, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | 22.1% | 74.7% | 4.2% | Trump +52.6 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Asa Hutchinson | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capen Analytics[6] | Feb 21, 2024 | 12,580 (LV) | ± 5.0% | – | – | 36% | – | – | – | – | 64% | – | – | |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[7] | Jan 5–6, 2024 | 619 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 0% | – | 4% | – | 66% | 0% | 5% | |
| ECU Center for Survey Research[8] | Nov 29 – Dec 1, 2023 | 445 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 2% | 10% | 13% | 1% | – | 3% | – | 63% | – | 8% | |
| Morning Consult[9] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 1,342 (LV) | – | 4% | 14% | 9% | 1% | – | 5% | 1% | 67% | 0% | – | |
| Meredith College[10] | Nov 1–5, 2023 | 335 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 6% | 14% | 9% | 0% | - | 8% | 3% | 51% | 2% | 6% | |
| Morning Consult | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 1,337 (LV) | – | 3% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 61% | 0% | 2% | |
| Morning Consult | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 1,366 (LV) | – | 3% | 15% | 8% | 0% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 58% | 0% | 2% | |
| Meredith College | Sep 16–19, 2023 | 350 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 3% | 13% | 6% | 0% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 51% | 6% | 7% | |
| Morning Consult | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 1,491 (LV) | – | 3% | 15% | 6% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 2% | 57% | 0% | 1% | |
| Morning Consult | July 1–31, 2023 | 1,535 (LV) | – | 3% | 15% | 5% | 0% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 58% | 0% | 1% | |
| Morning Consult | June 1–30, 2023 | 1,454 (LV) | – | 2% | 20% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 56% | 1% | 1% | |
| Opinion Diagnostics[11] | Jun 5–7, 2023 | 408 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 2% | 22% | 7% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 44% | 2% | 11% | |
| – | 34% | – | – | – | – | – | 50% | – | 15% | |||||
| Morning Consult | May 1–31, 2023 | 1,453 (LV) | – | – | 20% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 59% | 3% | 1% | |
| Morning Consult | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 1,299 (LV) | – | – | 23% | 6% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 58% | 4% | 2% | |
| SurveyUSA[12] | Apr 25–29, 2023 | 707 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 22% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 55% | 0% | 5% | |
| Morning Consult | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 1,31 (LV) | – | – | 27% | 9% | – | 8% | 0% | 1% | 51% | 2% | 2% | |
| Morning Consult | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 1,185 (LV) | – | – | 31% | 7% | – | 6% | – | 1% | 51% | 3% | 1% | |
| Morning Consult | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 1,703 (LV) | – | – | 30% | 4% | – | 7% | – | 1% | 52% | 5% | 1% | |
| Differentiators Data[13] | Jan 9–12, 2023 | 213 (LV) | ± 4.5% | – | 47% | 4% | – | 2% | – | – | 35% | 3% | – | |
| Morning Consult | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 905 (LV) | – | – | 31% | 4% | – | 7% | – | 1% | 50% | 5% | 2% | |
| Differentiators Data[14] | Dec 8–11, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | – | 56% | – | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | – | |
| John Bolton Super PAC[15] | Jul 22–24, 2022 | 149 (LV) | – | 1% | 27% | – | – | 6% | – | – | 37% | 12% | 16% | |
| Atlantic Polling Strategies[16] | Apr 25–28, 2022 | 534 (LV) | ± 4.9% | – | 23% | 5% | – | 4% | – | 4% | 52% | 2% | 10% | |
| Spry Strategies[17] | Apr 6–10, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 19% | 8% | – | 6% | – | 1% | 45% | 9% | 12% | |
| – | 32% | 8% | – | 9% | – | 2% | – | 18% | 31% | |||||
| Cygnal (R)[18] | Apr 1–3, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 26% | 8% | – | 6% | – | – | 45% | 2% | 13% | |
| Cygnal (R)[19] | Jan 7–9, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 19% | 8% | – | 5% | – | 2% | 47% | 3% | 16% | |
| Inauguration of Joe Biden | ||||||||||||||
| BUSR/UNLV Lee Business School[20] | Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2020 | 221 (RV) | ± 7.0% | – | – | 6% | – | – | – | – | 76% | 13% | 6% | |
| – | – | 9% | – | 48% | – | – | – | 25% | 18% | |||||
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