2024 New Hampshire gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:2024 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
Country:New Hampshire
Type:presidential
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2022
Next Election:2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
Next Year:2026
Election Date:November 5, 2024
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Governor
Before Election:Chris Sununu
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2024 New Hampshire gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of New Hampshire, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Chris Sununu is eligible to seek re-election to a fifth term, but has announced that he will not do so, leaving the election an open race.[1]

Along with neighboring Vermont, this race is one of two Republican-held governorships up for election in 2024 in a state Joe Biden won in the 2020 presidential election. Primary elections will take place on September 10, 2024.[2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 19, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Kelly Ayotte (R)$4,309,331$888,269$3,309,460
Chuck Morse (R)$1,284,106$284,473$999,632
Source: New Hampshire Campaign Finance System[14] [15]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Kelly
Ayotte		Chuck
Morse		Undecided
Saint Anselm CollegeAugust 13–14, 2024657 (LV)± 3.8%59%25%16%
Emerson CollegeJuly 26–28, 2024421 (RV)± 4.7%41%26%33%
Praecones AnalyticaMay 15–20, 2024420 (RV)± 6.42%50%28%22%
UMass LowellJanuary 6–16, 2024600 (LV)± 4.65%54%22%23%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Kelly
Ayotte		Robert
Burns		Frank
Edelblut		Chuck
Morse		OtherUndecided
Emerson CollegeAugust 9–11, 2023498 (RV)± 4.9%45%3%4%9%3%35%
co/efficientJune 14–16, 2023904 (LV)± 3.25%69%–9%22%––

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 19, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Joyce Craig (D)$2,375,695$1,002,724$1,369,770
Cinde Warmington (D)$1,818,938$1,304,613$514,325
Source: New Hampshire Campaign Finance System[23] [24]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Joyce
Craig		Cinde
Warmington		OtherUndecided
Saint Anselm CollegeAugust 13–14, 2024670 (LV)± 3.8%37%28%3%31%
Emerson CollegeJuly 26–28, 2024433 (RV)± 4.7%33%21%–44%
GBAOFebruary 22–26, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%37%25%–39%
Emerson CollegeAugust 9–11, 2023837 (RV)± 3.4%30%15%2%52%

Results

Third parties and independent candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[27] June 13, 2024
align=left Inside Elections[28] September 1, 2023
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[29] June 4, 2024
align=left RCP[30] July 13, 2024
align=left Elections Daily[31] July 12, 2023
align=left CNalysis[32] August 17, 2024

Polling

Kelly Ayotte vs. Joyce Craig
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Kelly
Ayotte (R)		Joyce
Craig (D)		OtherUndecided
Emerson CollegeNovember 10–13, 2023917 (RV)± 3.3%43%40%–17%
Emerson CollegeAugust 9–11, 2023837 (RV)± 3.4%46%37%–17%
Kelly Ayotte vs. Cinde Warmington
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Kelly
Ayotte (R)		Cinde
OtherUndecided
Emerson CollegeNovember 10–13, 2023917 (RV)± 3.3%44%37%–19%
Emerson CollegeAugust 9–11, 2023837 (RV)± 3.4%47%34%–19%

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. Web site: July 19, 2023 . Chris Sununu will not run for re-election for fifth term as New Hampshire governor . July 19, 2023 . CBS News . en-US.
  2. Web site: 2024 State Primary Election Dates . 2023-08-06 . www.ncsl.org.
  3. Web site: Pellish . David . Wright . Aaron . 2023-07-24 . Kelly Ayotte launches campaign for governor of New Hampshire . 2023-07-24 . CNN . en.
  4. Web site: Sexton . Adam . 2024-06-05 . Republican Shaun Fife files to run for New Hampshire governor . 2024-06-05 . . en.
  5. https://www.sos.nh.gov/sites/g/files/ehbemt561/files/documents/2024-06/cumulative-filings-6.12.24.pdf
  6. News: 2024 Election Details . New Hampshire Secretary of State . June 5, 2024.
  7. News: Tasolides . Justin . July 19, 2023 . N.H. GOP Gov. Sununu says he will not seek fifth term . . July 19, 2023.
  8. https://www.sos.nh.gov/sites/g/files/ehbemt561/files/documents/2024-06/cumulative-filings-6.12.24.pdf
  9. News: Who will run for New Hampshire governor if Chris Sununu runs for president?. Porter, Steven. April 20, 2023. Boston Globe.
  10. News: 3 August 2023 . . Kashinsky . Lisa . 3 August 2023 . Scott Brown isn’t done yet.
  11. News: Dawg . Jay . April 4, 2023 . Edelblut Considering A Run For Governor . .
  12. News: . 3 September 2023 . America the beautiful. New Hampshire the crown jewel. . Edelblut . Frank . 3 September 2023 . I have decided that I will not be running in this cycle..
  13. Web site: July 19, 2023 . Chris Sununu will not run for re-election for fifth term as New Hampshire governor - CBS Boston . July 19, 2023 . www.cbsnews.com . en-US.
  14. Web site: Campaign Finance . New Hampshire Campaign Finance System . August 19, 2024.
  15. Web site: Statement of Receipts and Expenditures . New Hampshire Campaign Finance System . August 19, 2024.
  16. Web site: Manchester Mayor Craig officially launches campaign for governor . . Sexton . Adam . en-US . July 11, 2023 . July 11, 2023.
  17. Web site: 2023-11-24 . Seacoast Restauranter Becomes Third NH Democrat To Run For Governor . 2023-12-07 . . en . Schinella, Tony.
  18. Web site: Sexton . Adam . June 1, 2023 . NH Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington launches campaign for governor . June 1, 2023 . WMUR . en-US.
  19. News: . 20 July 2023 . 20 July 2023 . Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 7/20 . Wolf . Stephen . Democratic Rep. Annie Kuster quickly ruled out running for governor next year following GOP Gov. Chris Sununu's Wednesday announcement that he wouldn't seek reelection.
  20. Web site: DeWitt . Ethan . November 14, 2022 . After six-year battle to oust Sununu, Democrats fall short again . New Hampshire Bulletin.
  21. News: 19 July 2023 . . Steven . Who will run for New Hampshire governor if Chris Sununu runs for president?. Porter . 20 April 2023 .
  22. News: Outgoing mayor of Manchester, N.H., launches exploratory committee for 2024 governor's race . Former state senator Dr. Tom Sherman, who ran for governor in 2022 and who some had said could run again, told the Globe on Monday that he won’t run for governor in 2024.. Porter, Steve. May 1, 2023. Boston Globe.
  23. Web site: Campaign Finance . New Hampshire Campaign Finance System . August 19, 2024.
  24. Web site: Statement of Receipts and Expenditures . New Hampshire Campaign Finance System . August 19, 2024.
  25. Web site: Candidate Announcement: Edmond Laplante - Running for Governor of NH . Granite Grok . 14 July 2024 . 25 June 2024.
  26. Web site: NH Secretary of State's Office . DECLARATIONS OF INTENT FILED – 2024 . 14 July 2024 . Governor Stephen Villee.
  27. Web site: 2024 Governor Race ratings . 2023-07-24 . The Cook Political Report . en.
  28. Web site: Gubernatorial Ratings . July 24, 2023 . Inside Elections.
  29. Web site: 2024 Gubernatorial race ratings . July 24, 2023 . . en.
  30. Web site: 2024 Governor Races . 2024-07-16 . www.realclearpolling.com . en.
  31. Web site: 2023-07-22 . Election Ratings . 2023-07-24 . Elections Daily . en-US.
  32. Web site: Governor Forecasts . 2024-08-17 . CNalysis . en-US.

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