2024 Nevada Republican presidential nominating contests explained

Election Name:2024 Nevada Republican presidential primary and caucus
Country:Nevada
Previous Election:2016 Nevada Republican presidential caucuses
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2028 Nevada Republican presidential caucuses
Next Year:2028
Outgoing Members:NH
Elected Members:VI
Module:
Embed:yes
Type:primary
Election Name:Presidential primary (non-binding)
Ongoing:Yes
Election Date:February 6, 2024
Votes For Election:No Republican National Convention delegates
Map Size:250px
Image1:Nikki Haley (53299447738) (cropped).jpg
Candidate1:Nikki Haley
Color1:fe6100
Home State1:South Carolina
Popular Vote1:24,583
Percentage1:30.63%
Candidate2:None of These Candidates
Color2:000000
Home State2:
Popular Vote2:50,763
Percentage2:63.26%
Module:
Embed:yes
Election Name:Presidential caucuses
Type:primary
Ongoing:Yes
Election Date:February 8, 2024
Votes For Election:26 Republican National Convention delegates
Map Size:250px
Image1:Donald Trump 2023 (cropped).jpg
Candidate1:Donald Trump
Color1:283681
Home State1:Florida
Popular Vote1:59,982
Percentage1:99.11%
Delegate Count1:26
Candidate2:Ryan Binkley
Color2:A04B11
Home State2:Texas
Popular Vote2:536
Percentage2:0.89%
Delegate Count2:0

The 2024 Nevada Republican presidential primary and caucus were held on February 6 and 8, 2024, respectively, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 26 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a proportional basis in the caucus.[1] They were held following the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary.[2]

On August 14, 2023, Republicans in Nevada announced that they would boycott and ignore the non-binding, state-organized primary following a controversy over the selection of a primary process over the traditional caucus format in the state's presidential preference contests. The state-run primary was held on February 6, while the Nevada Republican Party held its own caucus on February 8.

Nikki Haley lost the popular vote in the non-binding Nevada primary to None of These Candidates.[3] Although None of These Candidates received more votes, Haley was the official winner of the primary.[4] Trump won the party-organized caucus.

Background

Controversy

The Democratic-controlled Nevada Legislature, supported by former senator Harry Reid, moved to establish a presidential primary in 2021 for the Republican and Democratic parties, following the "havoc" of the 2020 Iowa Democratic presidential caucuses.[5] Previously, party-organized caucuses were used to determine delegates in presidential elections. In May 2023, the Republican Party sued the state of Nevada, because they preferred to keep using the caucuses to determine their delegate allocation.[6] [7]

The Republican primary required more than one Republican candidate to file by October 16, 2023. Nevada Republicans have said that they will instead hold a party-organized caucus on February 8, 2024. To participate in the caucus, Republican candidates needed to register their candidacy with the Nevada Republican Party in a filing window from September 1, 2023, to October 15, 2023.[6] [8]

Additionally, Haley, the only remaining major candidate on the primary ballot by the time of the election, refused to spend funds or campaign in the Nevada primaries due to not being allowed to enter the caucuses.[9] This led to early speculation "None of the Above" would win the primaries instead.

Procedure

Delegates are proportionally allocated to candidates who receive at least 3.85% of the votes in the caucus on February 8, 2024. Votes in the primary on February 6, 2024, will not be included in determining delegate allocation.

Candidates

The filing deadline for the Nevada primary was on October 16, 2023. The office of the Secretary of State of Nevada published the list of qualified candidates on October 20.[10] The filing window for the Nevada caucus was between September 1 and October 15. The party published their own list of candidates and did not allow those who filed for the state-run primary to participate.[11]

The state of Nevada, per a law enacted in 1975, will also allow voters in the primary to cast a vote for "None of these Candidates."[12] Local news outlets in Nevada reported that it was plausible that Nikki Haley could face a competitive race against "None of these candidates" because Nevada voters, including those who wished to support Trump in the caucus but couldn't vote for him in the primary, were allowed to participate in both the primary and the caucus.

Primary candidates

Caucus candidates

Campaign

In March 2023, it was reported that Trump hosted a range of Nevada Republican Party officials at Mar-a-Lago as part of his campaign's "aggressive outreach to state and local party officials in the early primary states."[16]

The two contests have led to some confusion among voters, where they have questioned why Trump is not listed on the primary ballot, with thousands of them calling in to request clarification.[17]

Endorsements

See main article: Endorsements in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries.

Caucus

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
OtherUndecided
McLaughlin & Associates[19] Dec 11–13, 2023400 (LV)± 4.9%5%15%2%75%0%3%
SSRS/CNN[20] Sep 29 – October 6, 2023650 (LV)± 5.3%2%13%6%3%4%2%65%4%2%
National Research[21] Jun 26–28, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%3%22%3%0%2%2%2%52%14%
National Research[22] May 30 – June 1, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%21%3%0%1%2%2%53%0%17%
Vote TXT[23] May 15–19, 2023112 (RV)± 4.8%21%5%2%3%51%7%11%
Susquehanna Polling & Research[24] Oct 24–27, 2022500 (LV)± 4.3%34%1%7%41%7%10%

Results

Primary

CountyNone of These
Candidates
Nikki HaleyOthersMarginTotalvotes
%%%%
Carson City59.48%1,76334.14%1,0126.37%18925.34%7512,964
Churchill65.80%96226.33%3857.87%11539.47%5771,462
Clark63.75%25,07429.64%11,6596.61%2,59634.11%13,41539,329
Douglas64.34%3,64331.74%1,7973.92%22232.60%1,8465,662
Elko76.36%2,25517.30%5116.34%18759.06%1,7442,953
Esmeralda74.12%6317.65%158.23%756.47%4885
Eureka84.04%15810.11%195.85%1173.93%139188
Humboldt75.73%77417.42%1786.85%7058.31%5961,022
Lander75.77%26916.62%597.61%2759.15%210355
Lincoln71.15%29620.67%868.18%3450.48%210416
Lyon74.93%2,41519.95%6435.12%16554.98%1,7723,223
Mineral77.18%23017.45%525.37%1659.73%178298
Nye80.56%2,17115.10%4074.34%11765.46%1,7642,695
Pershing71.79%25720.95%757.26%2650.84%182358
Storey70.75%22524.53%784.72%1546.22%147318
Washoe53.49%9,83440.68%7,4795.83%1,07212.81%2,35518,385
White Pine69.78%37423.88%1286.34%3445.90%246536

Caucus

CountyDonald TrumpRyan BinkleyMarginTotalvotes
%%%
Carson City98.31%1,9181.69%3396.62%1,8851,951
Churchill99.46%1,2870.54%798.92%1,2801,294
Clark99.34%29,9650.66%20098.67%29,76530,165
Douglas98.45%4,0131.55%6396.91%3,9504,076
Elko98.90%2,1511.10%2497.79%2,1272,175
Esmeralda97.40%752.60%294.81%7377
Eureka97.64%1242.36%395.28%121127
Humboldt99.31%8650.69%698.62%859871
Lander98.82%4171.18%597.63%412422
Lincoln99.53%2100.47%199.05%209211
Lyon99.58%3,0760.42%1399.16%3,0633,089
Mineral98.11%2601.89%596.23%255265
Nye99.66%2,0350.34%799.31%2,0282,042
Pershing98.56%3421.44%597.12%337347
Storey99.76%4180.24%199.52%417419
Washoe98.70%12,2391.30%16197.40%12,07812,400
White Pine99.32%5870.68%498.65%583591

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

Notes and References

  1. Web site: March 5, 2023 . Nevada Republican Presidential Nominating Process. February 6, 2023 . The Green Papers.
  2. Web site: Birenbaum . Gabby . February 25, 2023 . One year out, Republicans preview how Nevadans will land on presidential nomination . March 3, 2023 . The Nevada Independent . en.
  3. Web site: February 6, 2024 . Nikki Haley loses to 'none of these candidates' in the Nevada GOP primary . February 7, 2024 . NBC News . en. Korecki. Natasha.
  4. Web site: Nevada primary takeaways: 'None' beats Haley. Trump wasn't on GOP ballot. Biden wins Dems. USA Today. February 7, 2024. Hughes. Trevor. February 7, 2024. Haley still the official winner. Although "none of these candidates" received more votes, according to Nevada state law, the person who gets the most votes is declared the winner..
  5. Web site: Why Haley and Trump are on separate ballots in Nevada. The Hill. January 30, 2024. January 31, 2024. Gans. Jared. Robertson. Nick.
  6. Web site: Nevada G.O.P. Sets February Caucus, Jumping Ahead of South Carolina. August 15, 2023. August 14, 2023. Gabriel. Trip. New York Times.
  7. Web site: Sign Up for the 2024 Presidential Caucus!. August 15, 2023. August 15, 2023. Nevada GOP. Nevada GOP.
  8. Web site: Sign Up for the 2024 Presidential Caucus!. August 15, 2023. August 15, 2023. Nevada GOP. Nevada GOP.
  9. Web site: Haley campaign blasts Nevada caucuses as ‘rigged for Trump’ . The Hill. February 5, 2024. February 7, 2024. Mueller. Julia.
  10. News: 2024 Presidential Preference Primary Candidates . . October 16, 2023 . October 27, 2023 .
  11. Web site: 2024 Presidential Caucus . Nevada GOP . October 27, 2023 . August 15, 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20230815051802/https://nevadagop.org/2024-presidential-caucus/ . dead .
  12. Web site: October 18, 2016 . Not a fan of any candidate? In Nevada, you can vote for 'None of These Candidates' . January 25, 2024 . PBS NewsHour. Yang. John . en-us.
  13. News: Colvin . Jill . Pence ends White House campaign after struggling to gain traction. 'This is not my time,' he says . November 3, 2023 . . October 28, 2023.
  14. News: Vakil . Caroline . Tim Scott suspends 2024 GOP primary bid . November 13, 2023. . November 12, 2023.
  15. News: David Wildstein. Wildstein. David. Hirsh Singh ends ludicrous White House bid. October 31, 2023. New Jersey Globe. en. November 12, 2023.
  16. Web site: Gómez . Fin . March 4, 2023 . Trump met with early primary state GOP leaders in Nevada while Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis spoke to conservative group Club for Growth . March 7, 2023 . . en-US.
  17. Web site: Trump's absence on the Nevada primary ballot fuels a 'calamity' among voters. NBC News. Korecki. Natasha. February 1, 2024. February 5, 2024.
  18. https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/republican-primary/2024/nevada-caucus RealClearPolling
  19. https://www.donaldjtrump.com/news/b6bf12dd-e189-460b-865b-8d90f94c1dc6 McLaughlin & Associates
  20. https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/24024532/cnn-poll-on-nevada.pdf SSRS/CNN
  21. https://amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2023/06/POLLING-MEMO-NEVADA-JUNE-29-2023.pdf National Research
  22. https://amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2023/06/POLLING-MEMO-NV-MAY.pdf National Research
  23. https://floridapolitics.com/archives/614248-poll-donald-trump-leads-ron-desantis-by-30-points-in-nevada/ Vote TXT
  24. https://www.busr.ag/nevada-statewide-poll Susquehanna Polling & Research