Election Name: | 2024 Missouri gubernatorial election |
Country: | Missouri |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | yes |
Previous Election: | 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election |
Previous Year: | 2020 |
Next Election: | 2028 Missouri gubernatorial election |
Next Year: | 2028 |
Election Date: | November 5, 2024 |
Image1: | Mike Kehoe official photo.jpg |
Nominee1: | Mike Kehoe |
Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
Nominee2: | Crystal Quade |
Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Governor | |
Before Election: | Mike Parson |
Before Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
The 2024 Missouri gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of Missouri, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Mike Parson is term-limited and cannot seek re-election to a second full term in office due to having served more than two years of predecessor Eric Greitens' unexpired term following his resignation in June 2018. Primary elections took place on August 6, 2024.[1] Mike Kehoe, the incumbent lieutenant governor, won the Republican nomination.
The former bellwether state has politically trended rightward in recent years and is today a Republican stronghold at both the federal and state levels. The last Democrat to hold the office of governor in Missouri is Jay Nixon who comfortably won re-election in 2012. In 2020, Parson won by 16.41% in the first election in which Missouri elected a Republican for governor by double digits since 1988.[2]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jay Ashcroft | Bill Eigel | Mike Kehoe | Other | Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Battleground Connect | July 30–31, 2024 | 896 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 26% | 17% | 26% | 16% | 15% | |||
Remington Research Group | July 22–24, 2024 | 500 (LV) | – | 29% | 18% | 29% | – | 24% | |||
The Tyson Group | July 14–16, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 29% | 13% | 18% | – | 40% | |||
ARW Strategies (R) | June 27–30, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 19% | 19% | 24% | – | 38% | |||
Remington Research (R) | June 19–20, 2024 | 701 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 31% | 9% | 29% | – | 31% | |||
Emerson College | June 17–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 23% | 6% | 20% | 5% | 46% | |||
American Viewpoint | June 2–4, 2024 | 800 (LV) | - | 27% | 16% | 27% | - | 30% | |||
Peak Insights | May 15–18, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 22% | 14% | 20% | - | 42% | |||
American Viewpoint | May 13–15, 2024 | 600 (LV) | - | 33% | 12% | 23% | - | 32% | |||
Tyson Group | April 23–26, 2024 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | 3% | 11% | 9% | 40% | |||
YouGov/Saint Louis University | February 14–26, 2024 | 414 (LV) | ± 5.54% | 28% | 8% | 10% | 4% | 49% | |||
Remington Research (R) | February 14–15, 2024 | 706 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 35% | 5% | 22% | – | 38% | |||
ARW Strategies (R) | February 5–7, 2024 | 611 (V) | ± 3.96% | 36% | 13% | 13% | – | 38% | |||
Remington Research (R) | January 18–19, 2024 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 34% | 4% | 20% | – | 42% | |||
Show Me Victories (D) | October 26–31, 2023 | 407 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 18% | 6% | 19% | – | 49% | |||
Remington Research (R) | September 27–28, 2023 | 714 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 32% | 5% | 15% | – | 48% | |||
Remington Research (R) | July 5–7, 2023 | 706 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 34% | 4% | 14% | – | 38% | |||
Remington Research (R) | November 15–16, 2022 | 940 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 4% | 10% | – | 42% | |||
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | March 8–10, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 54% | – | 19% | 8% | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sheryl Gladney | Mike Hamra | Crystal Quade | Other | Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group | July 10-22, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 4% | 23% | 21% | 9% | 43% | |||
YouGov/Saint Louis University | February 14–26, 2024 | 396 (LV) | ± 5.57% | 4% | 5% | 21% | 4% | 66% | |||
Show Me Victories (D) | October 26–31, 2023 | 407 (RV) | ± 4.9% | – | 2% | 39% | – | 58% |
Source | Ranking | As of | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
align=left | The Cook Political Report[11] | June 13, 2024 | ||
align=left | Inside Elections[12] | July 14, 2023 | ||
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | June 4, 2024 | ||
align=left | RCP[14] | July 13, 2024 | ||
align=left | Elections Daily[15] | July 12, 2023 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jay Ashcroft (R) | Crystal Quade (D) | Other | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research (R) | March 6–8, 2024 | 713 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 53% | 36% | – | 11% | ||
Show Me Victories (D) | October 26–31, 2023 | 407 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 39% | 34% | – | 27% |