2024 Mexican Senate election explained

Election Name:2024 Mexican Senate election
Country:Mexico
Flag Year:current flag
Type:parliamentary
Previous Election:2018 Mexican general election
Previous Year:2018
Next Election:2030 Mexican Senate election
Next Year:2030
Ongoing:no
Seats For Election:All 128 seats of the Senate of the Republic
Majority Seats:65
Leader1:Mario Delgado
Party1:Morena
Last Election1:55 seats
Seats After1:60
Seat Change1: 5
Leader2:Marko Cortés Mendoza
Party2:PAN
Last Election2:22 seats
Seats After2:21
Seat Change2: 1
Leader3:Alejandro Moreno Cárdenas
Party3:PRI
Last Election3:14 seats
Seats After3:16
Seat Change3: 2
Leader4:Karen Castrejón Trujillo
Party4:PVEM
Last Election4:6 seats
Seats After4:14
Seat Change4: 8
Image5 Size:x60px
Leader5:Alberto Anaya
Party5:PT
Last Election5:6 seats
Seats After5:9
Seat Change5: 3
Leader6:Dante Delgado Rannauro
Party6:MC
Last Election6:7 seats
Seats After6:5
Seat Change6: 2
Leader7:Jesús Zambrano Grijalva
Party7:PRD
Last Election7:8 seats
Seats After7:2
Seat Change7: 6

The 2024 Mexican Senate election was held on 2 June 2024 as part of the 2024 general election. All 128 seats in the Senate of Mexico were up for election, with the winners serving six-year terms in the 66th and 67th Congresses.[1] Those elected for the first time will be eligible for re-election in the 2030 election.[2]

Before the election, the Senate was controlled by the ruling coalition—a bloc of senators from the National Regeneration Movement (Morena), the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM), the Labor Party (PT), and the defunct Social Encounter Party (PES)—who held the majority. The ruling coalition formed an electoral alliance called Sigamos Haciendo Historia, consisting of Morena, PVEM, and PT, with the goal of securing a supermajority to pass outgoing President Andrés Manuel López Obrador's "Plan C," a package of eighteen constitutional amendments.[3] Opposition parties the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI), the National Action Party (PAN), and the Party of the Democratic Revolution (PRD) formed the Fuerza y Corazón por México coalition, while Citizens' Movement (MC) participated in the elections independently.

In what many described as a wave election, Sigamos Haciendo Historia won 30 of 32 races, securing most of the first-past-the-post seats and making gains in states governed by the opposition, such as Chihuahua, Coahuila, Durango, Guanajuato, Jalisco, Nuevo León, and Yucatán.[4] However, it fell three seats short of a supermajority, with 83 of the 86 seats required.[5]

Background

Procedure

The 128 members of the Senate are elected by two methods: 96 are elected in 32 three-seat constituencies based on the country's states and the remaining 32 are elected in a single nationwide constituency by proportional representation.[6] In the three-seat constituencies, two seats are allocated to the party receiving the highest number of votes (mayoría relativa)[7] and one seat to the party receiving the second-highest number of votes (primera minoría).[8] [9] [10] Senators are elected for six-year terms and will serve in the 66th and 67th Congresses.

Senate majorities

The absolute majority, required for the approval of laws, is 65 seats, while the supermajority (two-thirds), required for constitutional amendments, is 86 seats.[11]

Parties and coalitions

Sigamos Haciendo Historia

Sigamos Haciendo Historia ("Let's Keep Making History") is the left-wing coalition comprising the National Regeneration Movement (MORENA), the Labor Party (PT) and the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM).[12]

The coalition will field common candidates for the Senate in all states except Baja California, Chiapas, Guerrero, Hidalgo, Oaxaca, Querétaro, San Luis Potosí, Sinaloa, Sonora, Tabasco, Tamaulipas and Tlaxcala. In some of those states, the decision was not due to a breakdown in negotiations but was based on calculations that the parties could take both the first and second places, thus securing a clean sweep of three seats for the coalition.[13]

Fuerza y Corazón por México

Fuerza y Corazón por México ("Strength and Heart for Mexico") is the opposition coalition, a big tent composed of the National Action Party (PAN), the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) and the Party of the Democratic Revolution (PRD).[14]

The coalition will field common candidates for the Senate in all states except Guanajuato and Oaxaca.[15]

Citizens' Movement

In a shift of strategy from the 2012 election (when it allied itself with the PRD and the PT) and the 2018 election (when it joined forces with the PAN and the PRD), the Citizens' Movement party (MC) declined to join either coalition and went into the elections on its own, including the Senate elections in all 32 states.[16] [17]

Aguascalientes

In 2018, Martha Márquez Alvarado and Juan Antonio Martín del Campo, representing the Por México al Frente electoral alliance, were elected with 35.72% of the vote. Daniel Gutiérrez Castorena, from the Juntos Haremos Historia alliance, secured the first minority seat with 28.67% of the vote.

Incumbent Senator Juan Antonio Martín del Campo and local deputy María de Jesús Díaz Marmolejo were nominated by the Fuerza y Corazón por México coalition. Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez was nominated alongside incumbent Senator Daniel Gutiérrez Castorena by the Sigamos Haciendo Historia coalition.

Senators-at-large

An additional 32 senators-at-large will be elected from nationwide lists drawn up by the parties, with the winners allocated among them in proportion to their share of the national vote in the Senate election.[6] [9] [10] The party lists can be found on the website of the National Electoral Institute.

Top ranked members on the parties' lists include:[18]

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 7 September 2023 . No habrá doble Congreso en agosto de 2024; se corrigió el error que pondría en jaque al Legislativo . Cámara de Diputados.
  2. Web site: Reelección legislativa . Sistema de Información Legislativa . Secretaría de Gobernación.
  3. Web site: 2024-06-03 . El 'tsunami guinda': Morena arrasa en las Elecciones en México 2024 . 2024-11-09 . Radio Fórmula . es-MX.
  4. Web site: 2024-06-04 . El carro completo de Morena abarca todos los distritos de 17 estados y las senadurías de 30 entidades . 2024-11-09 . Animal Politico . en.
  5. News: 2024-06-09 . Mexico Ruling Party Coalition Just Shy of Supermajority . 2024-11-09 . Bloomberg.com . en.
  6. Web site: Constitución: Artículo 56 . Secretaría de Gobernación.
  7. Web site: Mayoría relativa . Sistema de Información Legislativa . Secretaría de Gobernación . 1 June 2024.
  8. Web site: Primera minoría . Sistema de Información Legislativa . Secretaría de Gobernación . 1 June 2024.
  9. Web site: Parline Database: Mexico: Senate . Inter-Parliamentary Union.
  10. Web site: Lo que debes saber del Congreso . Sistema de Información Legislativa . Secretaría de Gobernación.
  11. Web site: Sistema Político Electoral . 2024-06-11 . Instituto Nacional Electoral . es-MX.
  12. Web site: 23 November 2023 . Morena, PT y PVEM irán en coalición parcial en 2024 . Latinus.
  13. News: Merino . Fernando . 20 February 2024 . Morena rompe alianza para candidaturas al Senado en seis estados . 26 May 2024 . El Sol de México.
  14. Web site: 21 November 2023 . PAN, PRI y PRD amarran coalición Fuerza y Corazón por México para 2024 . Expansión.
  15. News: 23 November 2023 . Queda fuera Oaxaca del convenio de coalición de Fuerza y Corazón . 26 May 2024 . Tiempo Digital.
  16. News: 29 August 2023 . "No les ayudaremos al PRI y al PAN a regresar": Movimiento Ciudadano reitera ir solo para las elecciones de 2024 . Animal Político.
  17. News: Martínez . Armando . Dante Delgado reitera que MC competirá solo en elecciones de 2024; enumera 10 razones . 27 May 2024 . Milenio . 29 August 2023.
  18. News: Cruz . Andrea . Senadores plurinominales 2024: 'Alito' Moreno, Anaya, Murat y Rubalcava están enlistados . 25 May 2024 . politico.mx . 1 March 2024.