2024 Jakarta gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:2024 Jakarta gubernatorial election
Country:Indonesia
Flag Image:Coat of arms of Jakarta.svg
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2017 Jakarta gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2017
Election Date:[1]
Map Size:350px
Governor
Before Election:Heru Budi Hartono (acting)
Before Party:Independent politician

A gubernatorial election will be held in Jakarta in 2024 alongside other local elections nationwide to elect the Governor of Jakarta to a five-year term.[2]

Electoral system

In prior elections, the gubernatorial election for Jakarta, uniquely for Indonesia's local elections, required a runoff should no candidates achieve a simple majority, but this runoff requirement has been removed for the 2024 election. Instead, the election will be run on a first-past-the-post system, where a candidate with the most votes wins the election even if they fail to obtain a majority.[3] It is possible for a candidate to run uncontested, in which case the candidate is still required to win a majority of votes "against" an "empty box" option. Should the candidate fail to do so, the election will be repeated on a later date.[4]

Candidates

Under regulations, only political parties having 22 seats or more in the Jakarta Regional House of Representatives (DPRD) can put forward a candidate. Following the 2024 general election, no parties won 22 or more seats in the DPRD, and so coalitions will be required to nominate a candidate.[5] Candidates may alternatively run if they have gathered at least 618,968 copies of identity cards from local residents, which will be verified by the General Elections Commission (KPU).[6]

On 25 June 2024, the Prosperous Justice Party, the largest party in the DPRD following the 2024 election, announced that the party will be endorsing Anies Baswedan (former Governor of Jakarta in 2017–2022 and 2024 presidential candidate) with PKS executive and former leader Sohibul Iman as running mate.[7] The issue of Anies candidacy reportedly showed that PKS is open to be partnered with any political parties.[8] On 22 July 2024, the National Democrat Party declared its endorsement for Anies Baswedan for the 2024 Jakarta gubernatorial election.[9]

In August, however, both Nasdem and PKS withdrew their endorsements of Anies.[10]

On 21 August 2024, the Labour Party officially declared its stance of nominating Anies Baswedan as a prospective gubernatorial candidate in the 2024 Jakarta gubernatorial election. The Labor Party supports Anies pairing up with Basuki Tjahaja Purnama or more commonly known as Ahok, Rano Karno, or Hendrar Prihadi.[11]

Declared

Candidate from Independent
for Governorfor Vice Governor
Vice Head of the National Cyber and Crypto Agency (2019–2021)Lecturer at the National Institute of Science and Technology
Five independent candidates expressed interest in registering. Only one of the five, former three-star police (comissary) general Dharma Pongrekun, who retired in 2024, submitted the required documents. According to KPU, Pongrekun submitted over 840 thousand proofs of support by the provided deadline.[12] [13] Pongrekun is running with, an academic.[14] Their candidacy is pending their submitted documents being verified until 29 May 2024.[15] In June 2024, KPU announced the discovery of issues within Pongrekun's supporting documents, and suspended his candidacy pending fixes.[16] His candidacy was confirmed by KPU on 15 August 2024.[17]

After KPU's announcement of Pongrekun's candidacy, claims emerged on social media that identity card numbers registered as Pongrekun's supporters had been obtained without consent.[18] [19]

Candidate from Golkar and PKS
for Governorfor Vice Governor
Governor of West Java (2018–2023)Minister of Agriculture (2009–2014)
Parties

After media speculations foreshadowing his candidacy,[20] Ridwan Kamil, known popularly as Kang Emil, declared his candidacy to run for Governor of Jakarta. His candidacy was supported by the Advanced Indonesia Coalition along with other parties such as PKS, PKB, PPP, and NasDem which was dubbed as KIM plus. He will be officially announced as a gubernatorial candidate in the near future along with the deputy gubernatorial candidate who is still in the process of being selected by the coalition.[21]

Emil's candidacy is viewed as a strategic move due to his high popularity in Bandung as mayor and in West Java as governor. He had successfully ruled as mayor for 2 terms and governor for one term. In his campaign, he stressed the need for a healthy competition in a democracy, as he criticize the prospect of an election where only one candidate stands or having to face an empty ballot box.[22]

Emil was recommended by Golkar, the party he has became a member since 2021, to run for Governor. He gained a wide support within the Advanced Indonesia Coalition and outside of the coalition. However, he is still waiting for the official announcement regarding who will be his running mate as vice governor candidate.[23] When asked about his running mate, Emil told the media that his running mate will came from Advanced Indonesia Coalition plus members with the intial of 'S'.[24] It was later revealed that Ridwan Kamil has picked former Minister of Agriculture Suswono as his running mate[25] and the pair will be declared on 19 August 2024.[26]

Potential

The following are notable individuals who have been mentioned as a potential candidate or expressed interest to run in the 2024 Jakarta gubernatorial election, prior to the opening of registration for the pairs of candidates for Governor and Vice Governor.

Declined

The following are the individuals who have been named as a potential candidate, but publicly declined to run or ran for another elected office:

Political map

Parliamentary seats

Following the 2024 Indonesian general election, 11 political parties are represented in the Jakarta Regional House of Representatives:[49]

Political partiesAmount
Seat(s)% (2019)
bgcolor=#Prosperous Justice Party (PKS)
Hex:
  1. FF4F00
2
bgcolor=#Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P)
Hex:
  1. BD2016
10
bgcolor=#Great Indonesia Movement Party (Gerindra)
5
bgcolor=#Nasdem Party (Nasdem)
Hex:
  1. 27408B
4
bgcolor=#Party of Functional Groups (Golkar)
4
bgcolor=#National Awakening Party (PKB)
5
bgcolor=#National Mandate Party (PAN)
1
bgcolor=#Democratic Party (Demokrat)
Hex:
  1. 2643A3
2
bgcolor=#Indonesian Solidarity Party (PSI)
0
bgcolor=#United Development Party (PPP)
0
bgcolor=Perindo Party (Perindo)
New

Opinion polls

Pre-election polls

Poll sourceDateSample sizeOthersLeadError margin
AniesRismaAHYRKAhok
Litbang Kompas[50] 15–20 June 202440029.8%1.0%-8.5%20.0%40.7%9.8%± 4.9%
Arus Survei Indonesia[51] 23–29 April 202440029%4%-30.5%-13.8%0.2%N/A
Survei Proximity Indonesia16–25 May 202480018.5%--12.5%14%55%4.5%N/A
Lembaga Survei Jakarta8–15 January 2024TBA18.4%19.2%-23.4%8.7%30.3%4.2%N/A
Populi Center[52] 26 January–1 February 202260047.5%3.5%1.7%-8.5%38.8%0.2%± 4%
Jakarta Research
Center[53]
7–14 September 202180028.0%35.5%5.6%--22.2%7.5%± 3.4%
Jakarta Research
Center[54]
1–10 April 202180032.4%37.1%7.8%--13.6%4.7%± 3.4%
Nusantara Strategic
Network[55]
20–27 February 202140031.8%34.0%3.3%--20.3%2.2%± 4.9%
Median[56] 31 January–3 February 202140040.5%16.5%--8.5%12.0%24.0%± 4.9%
Median[57] 31 January–3 February 202140045.0%36.0%---19.0%9.0%± 4.9%

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Pemilu 2024 Digelar 14 Februari, Pilkada 27 November . 2023-02-21 . . id-ID.
  2. Web site: Nafi'an . Muhammad Ilman . KPU Pastikan Pilkada 2022 dan 2023 Diundur ke 2024 . 2021-11-10 . IDN Times . id.
  3. News: Syaiful . Anri . 20 March 2024 . Infografis Pilkada Jakarta Disepakati Hanya Satu Putaran . 8 April 2024 . liputan6.com . id.
  4. News: Mardika . Nando Yussele . Jika Kotak Kosong Menang, Pilkada Akan Diulang? . 16 April 2024 . hukumonline.com . 5 November 2020 . id.
  5. News: Sutrisna . Tria . 29 April 2024 . Pratama . Akhdi Martin . Tak Ada Partai yang Bisa Usung Sendiri Cagub-Cawagub pada Pilkada DKI 2024 . 18 May 2024 . KOMPAS.com . id.
  6. News: Syarifudin . Taufiq . Syarat Minimal Dukungan Cagub Independen Jakarta: 618.968 KTP . 18 May 2024 . detiknews . 10 May 2024 . id-ID.
  7. News: Muhammad . Djibril . 25 June 2024 . In Drastic Turn, PKS Nominates Anies for Jakarta Governor . 26 June 2024 . Jakarta Globe . en.
  8. News: Faturahman. Andi Adam . 25 June 2024 . Buka Peluang Ubah Pencalonan di Pilkada Jakarta, PKS Persilakan Partai Lain Sodorkan Nama . 29 June 2024 . Nasional Tempo . en.
  9. Web site: Paat . Yustinus . Erlangga . Fito . 22 July 2024 . Anies Baswedan Officially Nominated by Nasdem for Jakarta Gubernatorial Race . 22 July 2024 . Jakarta Globe.
  10. News: Yahya . Achmad Nasrudin . 9 August 2024 . Nasdem, PKS, dan PKB Merapat ke KIM, Nasib Anies di Ujung Tanduk . 10 August 2024 . KOMPAS.com . id.
  11. Web site: 21 August 2024 . Partai Buruh Usung Anies di DKI, Minta Duet dengan Ahok, Rano Karno . Labor Party Supports Anies in DKI, Asks for Duet with Ahok, Rano Karno . 21 August 2024 . CNN Indonesia.
  12. News: 15 May 2024 . Bustomi . Muhammad Isa . Sosok Dharma Pongrekun, Jenderal Bintang 3 yang Maju Cagub DKI hingga Kumpulkan 749.298 Dukungan Warga . 18 May 2024 . KOMPAS.com . id.
  13. News: Prasetyo . Adinda Jasmine . 17 May 2024 . Chairunnisa . Ninis . KPU Jakarta: Calon Independen Dharma-Kun Kantongi 840.640 Dukungan . 18 May 2024 . Tempo . id.
  14. News: Maulana . Abdul Haris . 15 May 2024 . Profil R Kun Wardana Abyoto, Bakal Calon Wakil Gubernur DKI Jakarta Jalur Independen yang Punya IQ Tinggi . 18 May 2024 . KOMPAS.com . id.
  15. News: Putri . Luthfia Miranda . 17 May 2024 . Dirgantara . Ganet . KPU DKI verifikasi administrasi Dharma Pongrekun hingga 29 Mei . 18 May 2024 . Antara News . id.
  16. News: Akbar . Adrial . KPU: Bakal Cagub DKI Dharma Pongrekun Belum Penuhi Syarat Administrasi . 8 June 2024 . detiknews . 2 June 2024 . id-ID.
  17. News: Lolos Verifikasi Pilkada Jakarta Jalur Independen, Dharma Pongrekun: karena Bantuan Tuhan dan Kekompakan Tim . 16 August 2024 . KOMPAS.com . 16 August 2024 . id.
  18. News: Wibowo . Eko Ari . Dugaan Pencatutan KTP Warga untuk Dukung Dharma Pongrekun, Dukcapil DKI Bantah Ada Kebocoran Data . 16 August 2024 . Tempo . 16 August 2024 . id.
  19. News: Mawardi . Isal . Heboh KTP Dicatut Dukung Dharma Pongrekun, PKS: Urusan KPU-Bawaslu . 16 August 2024 . detiknews . 16 August 2024 . id-ID.
  20. Web site: Yanwardhana . Emir . 30 July 2023 . Ridwan Kamil Dapat Restu Buat Nyalon di Pilgub Jakarta . 23 January 2024 . CNBC Indonesia . id-ID.
  21. Web site: 2 More Days, Elite Gerindra Calls Ridwan Kamil Will Declare Forward Jakarta Gubernatorial Election. VOI.id. 6 August 2024. en.
  22. Web site: Fika Nurul Ulya. Ihsanuddin. Harap Tak Lawan Kotak Kosong di Pilkada Jakarta, Ridwan Kamil: Enggak Bagus Buat Demokrasi. Kompas.com. 17 August 2024. 18 August 2024. id.
  23. Web site: Irfan Amin. Intan Umbari Prihatin. Ridwan Kamil Deklarasi Pencalonan Pilgub Jakarta Lusa. Tirto.id. 17 August 2024. 18 August 2024. id.
  24. Web site: Rahmawati . Dwi . Ridwan Kamil soal Cawagubnya: Inisial S, Partainya KIM Plus Plus . 2024-08-19 . detiknews . id-ID.
  25. Web site: PKS Bahagia, KIM Beri Jatah Wagub di Pilkada Jakarta 2024, Ini Profil Suswono . 2024-08-19 . Wartakotalive.com . id-ID.
  26. Web site: Puspitasari . Devi . Deklarasi Ridwan Kamil-Suswono Maju Pilkada Jakarta Digelar Besok Malam . 2024-08-19 . detiknews . id-ID.
  27. Web site: Assidiq . Yusuf . 2023-02-20 . Namanya Masuk Bursa Cagub DKI, Begini Komentar MenPAN-RB . 2024-06-10 . Republika Online . id.
  28. Web site: Saputro . Febrianto Adi . Hermawan . Bayu . 21 February 2021 . Alasan Demokrat tak Lagi Jagokan AHY di Pilgub Jakarta . 2 November 2021 . Republika . id-ID.
  29. Web site: Saudale . Vento . 5 April 2021 . Wijayaka . Bernadus . Demokrat Versi KLB Dukung AHY Maju Kembali di Pilkada DKI . 2 November 2021 . Berita Satu . id-ID.
  30. Web site: Rahman . Muhammad Aulia . 6 January 2022 . Paath . Carlos . Ahmad Riza Patria Dipandang Calon Potensial Maju Pilgub DKI 2024 . 3 February 2022 . Berita Satu . id.
  31. Web site: Nindita . Hasya . 9 January 2022 . Persada . Gading . Nasdem Usul Tiga Nama Calon Gubernur DKI Jakarta 2024 Gantikan Anies, Ada Ahmad Sahroni, Selain Itu? . 2024-06-10 . KOMPAS.tv . id.
  32. Web site: Ramadhan . Ardito . 2024-04-27 . Rastika . Icha . PKS Siapkan 3 Kadernya Maju Pilkada DKI, Bagaimana dengan Anies? . 2024-06-10 . KOMPAS.com . id.
  33. Web site: Putri . Luthfia Miranda . 2024-04-25 . Muryono . Sri . PDIP usulkan Risma hingga Azwar Anas maju Pilgub Jakarta . 2024-06-10 . . id.
  34. News: Amankan Tiket Cagub, Anies Rajin Komunikasi dengan Parpol . 10 August 2024 . Rmol.id . 9 August 2024 . id.
  35. News: Firmansyah . Teguh . 25 February 2024 . Pengamat: Anies dan Ahok Berpotensi Maju Lagi di Pilgub DKI 2024 . 8 April 2024 . Republika Online . id.
  36. News: Gabriela . Michelle . 7 March 2024 . Andryanto . Dian . Jika Ahok Berminat Maju di Pilkada DKI Jakarta, Status Mantan Narapidana Bisa Mengganjalnya? Ini Kata UU Pilkada . 8 April 2024 . Tempo . id.
  37. News: Achmad . Nirmala Maulana . 17 May 2024 . Prabowo . Dani . Djarot dan Risma Dinilai Lebih Berpotensi Diusung PDI-P pada Pilkada DKI 2024 ketimbang Ahok . 7 June 2024 . KOMPAS.com . id.
  38. Web site: Ucu . Karta Raharja . Rianti . Eva . 2023-07-18 . PDIP Susun Daftar Bakal Cagub DKI Jakarta, Gibran Salah Satunya . 2024-06-10 . Republika Online . id.
  39. News: Putri . Luthfia Miranda . 27 March 2024 . Muryono . Sri . Kaesang bakal dicalonkan sebagai Gubernur DKI Jakarta . 30 May 2024 . Antara News . id.
  40. Web site: Sara Ponakan Prabowo soal Cagub DKI dari Gerindra: Salah Satunya Saya . 2024-06-07 . CNN Indonesia . id-ID.
  41. News: Ardin . Ambrosius . Sandiaga Buka Peluang Jadi Cagub, Tunggu Penugasan Partai . 5 June 2024 . detikbali . 29 May 2024 . id-ID.
  42. News: Setiawanty . Intan . 20 May 2024 . Hantoro . Juli . Respons Anies Soal Sudirman Said yang Bakal Maju di Pilgub Jakarta . 20 May 2024 . Tempo . id.
  43. Web site: Girsang . Ken . 18 January 2021 . Bu Risma Dipersiapkan Buat Pilkada DKI Jakarta atau Pilpres 2024? . 2 November 2021 . JPNN . id-ID.
  44. Web site: July 17, 2023 . PDIP Sebut Gibran Hingga Risma Masuk Radar Cagub DKI . June 10, 2024 . CNN Indonesia . id-ID.
  45. Web site: Anggrainy . Firda Cynthia . 29 May 2024 . PAN Usul Zita Anjani Cawagub Jakarta, Demokrat: Semua dalam Pertimbangan . 2024-06-10 . detiknews . id-ID.
  46. Web site: Mangihot . Johannes . 31 May 2024 . Putra . Edy A. . Bantah Jadi Cagub Jakarta, Budi Djiwandono: Arahan Prabowo Lanjutkan Perjuangan di Parlemen . 2024-06-07 . KOMPAS.tv . id.
  47. Web site: Kurniawan . Kurniawan . Aryono . Ahmad Mufid . January 18, 2023 . Kembali Dikaitkan dengan Pilkada DKI Jakarta, Ini Jawaban Wali Kota Gibran . June 10, 2024 . Solopos.
  48. Web site: Dirgantara . Adhyasta . 2023-10-22 . Prabowo . Dani . Prabowo Resmi Umumkan Gibran Rakabuming Raka Jadi Cawapres . 2024-06-10 . KOMPAS.com . id.
  49. News: Perkiraan Perolehan Kursi Pileg DPRD DKI 2024: PKS Naik, PDI-P dan Gerindra Turun . 8 April 2024 . KOMPAS.com . 12 March 2024 . id.
  50. News: Bestian Nainggolan . 2024-06-20 . Survei Pilkada 2024: Celah Peluang dalam Bayang Sosok Anies dan Ahok di Pilgub Jakarta (5) . id . 24 July 2024 .
  51. News: 2024-06-20 . Sengit! Elektabilitas Anies Vs Kang Emil di Pilgub DKI, Menang Siapa? . id . 24 July 2024 .
  52. News: Annur . Cindy Mutia . 2022-02-10 . Populi Center: Elektabilitas Anies Baswedan Tertinggi di Bursa Cagub DKI Pilkada 2024 . id . 15 February 2022.
  53. News: Pilkada DKI 2024: Gibran Masuk Bursa Calon Gubernur, Elektabilitasnya?. 2 November 2021. id.
  54. News: Faqih . Fikri . 16 April 2021 . Survei Pilgub DKI: Elektabilitas Risma 37,1 Persen dan Anies 32,4 Persen . id . 2 November 2021.
  55. News: Survei Cagub DKI: Risma Teratas, Anies Petahana Lemah. 2 November 2021. id.
  56. News: Ragam Suara Parpol Saat Elektabilitas Anies di Level Semenjana. 2 November 2021. id.
  57. News: Wahyudi . Nyoman Ary . 15 February 2021 . Pilgub DKI: Jika Digelar Hari Ini, Anies Menang Jauh dari Risma . id . 2 November 2021.