Election Name: | 2024 Curitiba municipal election | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Country: | Brazil | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Flag Image: | Bandeira de Curitiba.svg | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Type: | presidential | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Vote Type: | Popular | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Previous Election: | 2020 Curitiba mayoral election | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Previous Year: | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next Election: | 2028 Curitiba mayoral election | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next Year: | 2028 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Election Date: | | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Module: |
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Ongoing: | no |
The 2024 Curitiba mayoral election will take place on the city of Curitiba, Brazil on 6 October 2024. Voters will elect a mayor, a vice mayor, and 38 councillors. The incumbent mayor, Rafael Greca (PSD) isn't eligible for a new term, since he was elected in 2016 and reelected in 2020.
If the most voted candidate on the first round doesn't achieve more than 50% of the votes, a second round will happen on 27 October 2024. The mayor's term will begin on 1 January 2025 and end on 31 December 2028.[1]
The last mayoral election in Curitiba, held in 2020, resulted in the victory of incumbent Rafael Greca, from the Democrats (DEM), in the first round. Greca obtained 499,821 votes or 59.74% of the valid votes. In the second place, the state deputy Goura Nataraj, from the Democratic Labor Party (PDT) only obtained 110,977 or around 13.26% of the valid votes and the other candidates did not reach double digits in vote percentages.[2]
Greca's victory in the first round is linked to the enormous popularity he had and still has in the city. In December 2023, the mayor's management was approved by around 73% of Curitiba's inhabitants.[3] As he is in his second consecutive term, Greca cannot run for re-election, due to limitations imposed by the Federal Constitution. There is speculation that the current Vice Mayor of Curitiba, Eduardo Pimentel, will be his successor.[4]
In February 2024, Curitiba had around 1,419,395 people eligible to vote,[5] an increase of 5% in the electorate compared to the last election and around 80% of the city's population eligible to vote (1,773,718), according to the 2022 Brazilian Demographic Census.[6] The city is divided into ten electoral zones (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 145th, 174th, 175th, 176th, 177th and 178th).[7] Voters have until 8 May 2024 to make their first copy of the electoral title or regularize it with the biometric registration.[8]
Period of the 'party window' for councillors. During this period, the councillors are able to move to other political parties in order to run for election while not losing their respective political terms. | ||
6 April | Deadline for all parties and party federations to obtain the registration of their statutes at the Superior Electoral Court and for all candidates to have their electoral domicile in the constituency in which they wish to contest the elections with the affiliation granted by the party. | |
15 May | Start of the preliminary fundraising campaign in the form of collective financing for potential candidates. During this period, candidates are not allowed to ask for votes and are still subjected to obey the rules regarding electoral propaganda on the Internet. | |
20 July – 5 August | On this date, party conventions begin to deliberate on coalitions and choose candidates for mayors and councillors tickets. Parties have until 15 August to register their names with the Brazilian Election Justice. | |
16 August | Beginning of electoral campaigns on an equal basis, with any advertising or demonstration explicitly requesting for votes before the date being considered irregular and subject to fines. | |
30 August –3 October | Broadcasting of free electoral propaganda on radio and television. | |
6 October | Date of mayoral elections. | |
27 October | Date of a possible second round in cities with more than 200,000 voters in which the most voted candidate for mayor has not reached 50% of the valid votes. |
Party | Mayoral candidate | Running mate | Coalition | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | Progressistas (PP11) | Maria Victoria Barros
| data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | Progressistas (PP) | Walter Petruzziello
| Curitiba Better for Everyone
| |||||
data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU16) | Samuel Mattos
| data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU) | Leonardo Martinez | ||||||
data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | Workers' Cause Party (PCO29) | Felipe Bombardelli | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | Workers' Cause Party (PCO) | Paulo Costycha
| ||||||
data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | National Mobilization (MOBILIZA33) | Roberto Requião
| data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | National Mobilization (MOBILIZA) | Marcelo Henrique Pinto
| ||||||
data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | Brazilian Woman's Party (PMB35) | Cristina Graeml (under legal review)[a]
| data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | Brazilian Woman's Party (PMB) | Jairo Ferreira Filho (under legal review)[a]
| ||||||
data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB40) | Luciano Ducci
| data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | Democratic Labour Party (PDT) | Goura Nataraj
| A More Social and Human Curitiba[23] | |||||
data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | Brazil Union (UNIÃO44) | Ney Leprevost
| data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | Brazil Union (UNIÃO) | Rosangela Moro
| Curitiba Can Achieve More
| |||||
data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL50) | Andrea Caldas
| data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL) | Letícia Faria |
| |||||
data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | Social Democratic Party (PSD55) | Eduardo Pimentel
| data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | Liberal Party (PL) | Paulo Martins
| Curitiba Love and Innovation | |||||
data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | Solidarity (Solidariedade77) | Luizão Goulart | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | Solidarity (Solidariedade) | Tiago Chico |
The Workers' Party, through its National Executive, formally announced its support for the potential candidacy of former mayor Luciano Ducci on 27 May 2024. Due to this decision, it is unlikely that any of the party's potential candidates would be able to launch a candidacy. However, these former candidates can still have an appeal to the Workers' Party National Directorate, which has already signaled that it intends to support other candidacies from other parties that are supporting the government in the National Congress, such as the Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB) itself.[55] Dartora and Mongruel decided to not appeal the decision of the National Executive, putting an end once and for all to the aspirations of having their own mayoral candidacies. Only Dirceu decided to appeal to the National Directorate. The appeal does not yet have a date to be analyzed.[56] Along with the Workers' Party itself, the other parties that belong to the Brazil of Hope alliance, such as the Communist Party of Brazil (PCdoB) and the Green Party (PV), will also support Ducci's candidacy.[57] Goura Nataraj was confirmed as Luciano Ducci's running mate on 24 July 2024, after his name was approved by the National Executive of the Democratic Labour Party.
David Antunes withdrew his candidacy for mayor on 25 July 2024 in order to build a strong ticket, with strong candidates for the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba in the October elections. At the same meeting, the party declared its support for Eduardo Pimentel's candidacy. On 5 August 2024, Beto Richa withdrew his candidacy. The reasons that led him to make this decision were: a lack of party political broadcast time to present his proposals and a disagreement between some groups of Cidadania with a possible support for his candidacy. Cidadania is a party that has a national alliance (Always Forward – PSDB/Cidadania) with the Brazilian Social Democracy Party. Richa defends the neutrality of his party in the election.[58]
On 26 January 2024, the Brazilian Woman's Party (PMB) announced the journalist Cristina Graeml as a potential mayoral candidate for the Curitiba City Hall.[59] She left Gazeta do Povo, where she worked as a columnist from January 2020 to April 2024, to run for the position. However, there was uncertainty regarding the party convention that would officially confirm her candidacy in August due to a legal dispute involving the National President of PMB, Suêd Haidar, and the local party executives in Paraná. On 3 August, Haidar decided to dissolve the local PMB executives and removed Geonísio Marinho from his position as the municipal president of PMB Curitiba to prevent the convention that would officially confirm Graeml’s candidacy.[60] [61] Despite this, the convention was confirmed by the state president of the PMB Paraná Executive Committee, Fabiano dos Santos, and took place as scheduled on the evening of 5 August. Cristina Graeml’s candidacy was officially confirmed, and the slate of candidates for the Municipal Chamber of Curitiba by the PMB was also formalized at the same event.
The legal dispute is ongoing, and on the last day of the convention, the local executives of PMB in Paraná and Curitiba filed a writ of mandamus with the Regional Electoral Court of Paraná (TRE-PR) to contest the legal effects of the National Executive’s intervention. On 7 August 2024, the electoral judge Cláudia Cristina Cristofani ruled that the state electoral court did not have jurisdiction over the case. She argued that, since it involved a decision by the National Executive of the Brazilian Woman's Party, the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) was the appropriate body to decide the matter and determine the status of Cristina Graeml’s candidacy. The case has not yet been scheduled for a hearing by the Superior Electoral Court.[62]
The result of the last municipal election and the current situation in the Municipal Chamber is given below:
Affiliation | Members | +/– | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
data-sort-type=number style="width: 80px;" | Elected[63] | April 2024[64] | |||
4 | 8 | 4 | |||
1 | 4 | 3 | |||
2 | 4 | 2 | |||
2 | 4 | 2 | |||
3 | 3 | ||||
0 | 2 | 2 | |||
didn't exist | 2 | 2 | |||
2 | 2 | ||||
2 | 2 | ||||
didn't exist | 1 | 1 | |||
0 | 1 | 1 | |||
0 | 1 | 1 | |||
1 | 1 | ||||
1 | 1 | ||||
2 | 1 | 1 | |||
3 | 1 | 2 | |||
1 | 0 | 1 | |||
1 | 0 | 1 | |||
1 | 0 | 1 | |||
1 | extinct party | 1 | |||
1 | extinct party | 1 | |||
1 | extinct party | 1 | |||
1 | extinct party | 1 | |||
3 | extinct party | 3 | |||
5 | extinct party | 5 | |||
Total | 38 |
Below is a list of the mayoral debates scheduled or held for the 2024 election (times in).
Due to the crisis that unfolded within the Brazilian Woman's Party (PMB) following the dissolution of the local executives by the National Directorate and the suspension of Cristina Graeml's candidacy, she was not invited to the first Band debate. The conglomerate announced the decision of not inviting Graeml to the debate on the evening of 8 August.[65] She criticized Band Paraná for considering the decision to 'uninvite' her from the debate as undemocratic, especially after she had arrived at the broadcaster at the scheduled time and was forced to return home,[66] stated that she had prepared for the debate and, while the event was being broadcast on television, she hosted a live stream on social media to answer the questions directed at the other candidates.[67]
Date, time, and location | Hosts | Moderators | Participants | |||||||||||||||
Key: Present Absent Invited Out of the election | scope=col style=background: | scope=col style=background: | scope=col style=background: | scope=col style=background: | scope=col style=background: | scope=col style=background: | scope=col style=background: | scope=col style=background: | scope=col style=background: | |||||||||
Pimentel | Ducci | Leprevost | Goulart | Caldas | Graeml | Mattos | ||||||||||||
scope=row style=text-align:center | 1 | style=max-width:12em | 8 August 2024, 22:15 Pilarzinho, Curitiba[68] | style=max-width:12em | Bandeirantes | style=max-width:16em | Alessandra Consoli[69] |
The CNN Index, developed by CNN Brazil and Ipespe Analítica, does not present sampling numbers or specific collection periods because it does not conduct its own polls. Instead, it aggregates and adjusts data from various polls conducted by different institutes, using statistical techniques and machine learning. The index provides an overview of voting intentions in 100 cities, including capitals, and is constantly updated based on the latest available data. Additionally, the CNN Index typically highlights only the top five candidates, potentially leaving out other relevant candidates.
5–7 August 2024 | Beto Richa withdraws his candidacy for lack of political support and party political broadcast time. Cristina Graeml's candidacy was officially confirmed by the Brazilian Woman's Party amid a legal battle that led to the dissolution of the party's local executives and the suspension of the convention. The Superior Electoral Court is set to rule on whether her candidacy can stay on the ballot in the upcoming election. | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3–4 August 2024 | Maria Victoria, Roberto Requião and Eduardo Pimentel were nominated by their respective parties as mayoral candidates. Felipe Bombardelli is nominated as a mayoral candidate by the Workers' Cause Party (PCO). | ||||||||
27 July–2 August 2024 | Andrea Caldas is nominated by the PSOL REDE Federation as a mayoral candidate. Luizão Goulart is nominated by the Solidarity as a mayoral candidate. Ney Leprevost is nominated by the Brazil Union as a mayoral candidate. | ||||||||
24–25 July 2024 | Goura Nataraj is announced as Luciano Ducci's running mate. Paulo Martins is announced as Eduardo Pimentel's running mate. Samuel de Mattos is nominated as a mayoral candidate by his party. | ||||||||
Poll aggregator | Last update | Pimentel | Ducci | Leprevost | Richa | Requião | Lead | ||
data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | |||||
IPESPE/CNN | 8 July 2024 | 22% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 7% | ||
30 May 2024 | Deltan Dallagnol's name is removed from the IPESPE/CNN aggregator due to his withdrawal from the race. | ||||||||
Poll aggregator | Last update | Pimentel | Dallagnol | Ducci | Leprevost | Richa | Lead | ||
data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | |||||
IPESPE/CNN | 30 May 2024 | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 1% | ||
27 May 2024 | The Workers' Party (PT) announces their support to Luciano Ducci's candidacy for mayor of Curitiba. It's the second time since 2012 that the party will not have a candidate for mayor. | ||||||||
Poll aggregator | Last update | Pimentel | Dallagnol | Ducci | Leprevost | Richa | Lead | ||
data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | |||||
IPESPE/CNN | 14 May 2024 | 20% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 4% | ||
3 May 2024 | Deltan Dallagnol announces the withdrawal of his potential candidacy for mayor of Curitiba. | ||||||||
Poll aggregator | Last update | Pimentel | Dallagnol | Ducci | Richa | Leprevost | Lead | ||
data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | |||||
IPESPE/CNN | 25 April 2024 | 17% | 16% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 1% | ||
22 April 2024 | 15% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 1% | |||
27 March 2024 | 16% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 2% | |||
21 March 2024 | 16% | 11% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 1% | |||
18 March 2024 | 15% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 2% | |||
1 January 2024 | The election year begins. All election polls from this date onward must be registered with the Superior Electoral Court.[70] | -- auto-translated from Portuguese by Module:CS1 translator --> | |||||||
Poll aggregator | Last update | Ducci | Moro | Pimentel | Martins | Carol | Lead | ||
data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | |||||
IPESPE/CNN | 13 December 2023 | 18% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 3% | 2% |
Polls are designed to assess what the election outcome would be if it were held on the day the respondents' data were collected. They do not aim to predict the final election result based on the confidence percentage.
2024
5–7 August | Beto Richa withdraws his candidacy for lack of political support and party political broadcast time.[71] Cristina Graeml's candidacy was officially confirmed by the Brazilian Woman's Party amid a legal battle that led to the dissolution of the party's local executives and the suspension of the convention. The Superior Electoral Court is set to rule on whether her candidacy can proceed in the upcoming election. | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3–4 August | Maria Victoria, Roberto Requião and Eduardo Pimentel were nominated by their respective parties as mayoral candidates.[72] Felipe Bombardelli is nominated as a mayoral candidate by the Workers' Cause Party (PCO). | ||||||||||||||||
27 July–2 August | Andrea Caldas is nominated by the PSOL REDE Federation as a mayoral candidate. Luizão Goulart is nominated by the Solidarity as a mayoral candidate.[73] Ney Leprevost is nominated by the Brazil Union as a mayoral candidate. | ||||||||||||||||
24–25 July | Goura Nataraj is announced as Luciano Ducci's running mate. Paulo Martins is announced as Eduardo Pimentel's running mate.[74] Samuel de Mattos is nominated as a mayoral candidate by his party. | ||||||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Pimentel | Ducci | Leprevost | Requião | Martins | Richa | Luizão | Graeml | Goura | Others | Abst. Undec. | Lead | |||
data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | |||||||||
Paraná Pesquisas[75] | -- auto-translated from Portuguese by Module:CS1 translator --> | 29 June–3 July | 800 | 24.1% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 1.8% | 3% | 5.7% | 14.6% | 9.2% | ||||
24.8% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 15.2% | 9.4% | ||||||||
27.3% | 17.8% | 13.3% | 12% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 17.5% | 9.5% | |||||||||
27 May | The Workers' Party (PT) announces their support to Luciano Ducci's candidacy for mayor of Curitiba. It's the second time since 2012 that the party will not have a candidate for mayor.[76] | ||||||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Pimentel | Ducci | Leprevost | Requião | Martins | Richa | Luizão | Carol | Goura | Others | Abst. Undec. | Lead | |||
data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | |||||||||
Paraná Pesquisas | 8–13 May | 800 | 22.9% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 11% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 1.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 15.4% | 9.8% | ||||
26.4% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 1.6% | 5.8% | 17.3% | 11.9% | |||||||||
28.5% | 19.9% | 19.3% | 10.6% | 2.1% | 19.7% | 8.6% | |||||||||||
34.4% | 24.1% | 13.9% | 2.6% | 25% | 10.3% | ||||||||||||
30.4% | 22.9% | 22.8% | 2.5% | 21.5% | 7.5% | ||||||||||||
Futura/100% Cidades[77] | -- auto-translated from Portuguese by Module:CS1 translator --> | 7–8 May | 800 | 15.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 9.4% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 10.6% | 20% | 4% | ||
17.6% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 4.8% | 8% | 1.6% | 6.4% | 13.7% | 21.2% | 4.2% | ||||||||
17.4% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 20.2% | 3.6% | ||||||||
3 May | Deltan Dallagnol announces the withdrawal of his potential candidacy for mayor of Curitiba. | ||||||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Pimentel | Ducci | Dallagnol | Leprevost | Martins | Richa | Luizão | Carol | Goura | Others | Abst. Undec. | Lead | |||
data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | |||||||||
AtlasIntel | 18–23 April | 860 | 17.9% | 3.8% | 18.2% | 7.7% | 18% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 1,9% | 0.2% | |||
18.4% | 4.1% | 21.5% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 3.8% | 9% | 19% | 3,3% | 3.1% | ||||||||
20.2% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 18.1% | 10.8% | 3.5% | 13% | 15.9% | 2.1% | |||||||||
Instituto Opinião[78] | -- auto-translated from Portuguese by Module:CS1 translator --> | 17–19 April | 1,200 | 13.1% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 3.7% | 11.7% | 2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 18.2% | 1% | ||
19.9% | 21.1% | 19.2% | 13.9% | 26% | 1.2% | ||||||||||||
22.6% | 23.5% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 26.7% | 0.9% | ||||||||||||
Ágili Pesquisas | 21–25 March | 800 | 17.84% | 11.93% | 18.72% | 10.43% | 4.15% | 5.78% | 3.77% | 27.39% | 0.88% | ||||||
16.56% | 13.05% | 17.94% | 10.16% | 9.91% | 5.14% | 27.23% | 1.38% | ||||||||||
18.44% | 13.05% | 12.55% | 9.03% | 10.54% | 5.4% | 30.99% | 5.39% | ||||||||||
16.04% | 9.4% | 14.16% | 10.4% | 5.51% | 9.4% | 2.38% | 4.01% | 3.88% | 24.81% | 1.88% | |||||||
Paraná Pesquisas[79] | -- auto-translated from Portuguese by Module:CS1 translator --> | 15–20 March | 17.4% | 15.9% | 11% | 13.1% | 4.9% | 14.5% | 1.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 13% | 1.5% | ||||
21.1% | 20.3% | 8% | 16.4% | 2.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 19.2% | 0.8% | |||||||||
25.5% | 23.8% | 22.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 24% | 1.7% | |||||||||||
Radar Inteligência[80] | -- auto-translated from Portuguese by Module:CS1 translator --> | 11–13 March | 816 | 15.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 20.1% | 2.7% | ||
24% | 17% | 19.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 32.6% | 4.8% | |||||||||||
21.5% | 17.4% | 12% | 16.4% | 4.4% | 28.3% | 4.1% | |||||||||||
28.3% | 23% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 40.9% | 5.3% |
Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Dallagnol | Leprevost | Ducci | Pimentel | Richa | Luizão | Martins | Carol | Goura | Others | Abst. Undec. | Lead | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | |||||||||
Instituto Veritá | 13–16 December | 900 | 17% | 16% | 10% | 12% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 20% | 1% | ||||
Ágora Pesquisa[81] | 11–19 December | 1,245 | 5% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 12% | 22% | 1% | |||
15% | 16% | 12% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 37% | 1% | ||||||||
17% | 20% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 35% | 3% | |||||||||||
Paraná Pesquisas[82] | -- auto-translated by Module:CS1 translator --> | 10–12 December | 845 | 16% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 2.7% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 0.2% | |||
19.6% | 22.1% | 15.9% | 3.4% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 14% | 2.5% | |||||||||
21.2% | 25.2% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 17.4% | 4% | |||||||||||
23.1% | 27.1% | 19.9% | 9% | 20.9% | 4% | ||||||||||||
Instituto Veritá[83] | 5–7 December | 1,002 | 24.2% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 1.5% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 37.5% | 15.5% | ||||
26.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 4.2% | 40% | 13.7% | |||||||||||
1 November | Luizão Goulart (Solidariedade) announces he will run for mayor in the 2024 Curitiba general election. | ||||||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Dallagnol | Leprevost | Ducci | Pimentel | Richa | Maria | Martins | Carol | Goura | Others | Abst. Undec. | Lead | |||
data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | |||||||||
Paraná Pesquisas[84] | 26–29 October | 805 | 25.6% | 14.7% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 15.3% | 19.8% | 10.9% | |||||||
15.5% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 13.8% | 0.8% | ||||||||
15.8% | 16.3% | 19.8% | 12.4% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 15.9% | 3.5% | |||||||||
19% | 22.4% | 14% | 6.1% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 19.5% | 3.4% | ||||||||||
19.8% | 28.1% | 17.5% | 9.4% | 25.2% | 8.3% | ||||||||||||
IRG Pesquisa[85] | 4–8 July | 1,200 | 22% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6% | 5.4% | 12.9% | 7.8% | |||||
18.2% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 10% | 13% | 6% | 6.2% | 16.9% | 2.7% | |||||||||
Instituto Veritá | July | n/a | 5.5% | 5.2% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 12.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 52% | 1.5% |
These are the hypothetical scenarios of a second round.
Luciano Ducci and Eduardo Pimentel
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Ducci | Pimentel | Abst. Undec. | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | ||||||
Futura/100% Cidades | 7–8 May 2024 | 800 | 31.6% | 39.7% | 28.7% | 8.1% | |
Instituto Opinião[86] | 17–19 April 2024 | 1,200 | 40.7% | 32.8% | 26.5% | 7.9% | |
Radar Inteligência | 11–13 March 2024 | 816 | 28.8% | 30.6% | 40,6% | 1.8% | |
Instituto Veritá | 13–16 December 2023 | 900 | 41% | 30% | 29% | 11% | |
Paraná Pesquisas | 10–12 December 2023 | 845 | 44% | 31.7% | 24.2% | 12.3% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Ducci | Leprevost | Abst. Undec. | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | ||||||
Futura/100% Cidades | 7–8 May 2024 | 800 | 34.4% | 32.8% | 32.8% | 1.6% | |
Instituto Opinião | 17–19 April 2024 | 1,200 | 39.3% | 33.4% | 27.3% | 5.9% | |
Instituto Veritá | 13–16 December 2023 | 900 | 35% | 38% | 27% | 3% | |
Paraná Pesquisas | 10–12 December 2023 | 845 | 40.4% | 35.1% | 24.5% | 5.3% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Leprevost | Pimentel | Abst. Undec. | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | data-sort-type="number" class="sortable" style="background:;" | ||||||
Futura/100% Cidades | 7–8 May 2024 | 800 | 34.8% | 35.1% | 30.1% | 0.3% | |
Instituto Opinião | 17–19 April 2024 | 1,200 | 39.4% | 31.7% | 29% | 7.7% | |
Radar Inteligência | 11–13 March 2024 | 816 | 29.4% | 31.6% | 39% | 2.2% | |
Instituto Veritá | 13–16 December 2023 | 900 | 43% | 29% | 28% | 14% | |
Paraná Pesquisas | 10–12 December 2023 | 845 | 41.8% | 32.4% | 25.8% | 9.4% |
In some opinion polls, the interviewee can choose more than one alternative (the so-called "multiple rejection"), therefore, the sum of the percentages of all candidates can exceed 100% of the votes in some scenarios.
5–7 August 2024 | Beto Richa withdraws his candidacy for lack of political support and party political broadcast time. Cristina Graeml's candidacy was officially confirmed by the Brazilian Woman's Party amid a legal battle that led to the dissolution of the party's local executives and the suspension of the convention. The Superior Electoral Court is set to rule on whether her candidacy can proceed in the upcoming election. | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3–4 August 2024 | Maria Victoria, Roberto Requião and Eduardo Pimentel were nominated by their respective parties as mayoral candidates. Felipe Bombardelli is nominated as a mayoral candidate by the Workers' Cause Party (PCO). | |||||||||||||||
27 July–2 August 2024 | Andrea Caldas is nominated by the PSOL REDE Federation as a mayoral candidate. Luizão Goulart is nominated by the Solidarity as a mayoral candidate. Ney Leprevost is nominated by the Brazil Union as a mayoral candidate. | |||||||||||||||
24–25 June 2024 | Goura Nataraj is announced as Luciano Ducci's running mate. Paulo Martins is announced as Eduardo Pimentel's running mate. Samuel de Mattos is nominated as a mayoral candidate by his party. | |||||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Richa | Requião | Goura | Ducci | Luizão | Caldas | Leprevost | Pimentel | Martins | Graeml | Could vote in anyone | Others | Abst. Undec. | |
Paraná Pesquisas | 29 June–3 July 2024 | 800 | 49% | 37.6% | 17.4% | 11.1% | 8% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 4% | 18.5% | 8.9% | |||
27 May 2024 | The Workers' Party (PT) announces their support to Luciano Ducci's candidacy for mayor of Curitiba. It's the second time since 2012 that the party will not have a candidate for mayor. | |||||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Richa | Requião | Goura | Ducci | Luizão | Carol | Leprevost | Pimentel | Martins | Graeml | Could vote in anyone | Others | Abst. Undec. | |
Paraná Pesquisas | 8–13 May 2024 | 800 | 56.3% | 41.3% | 12.1% | 16% | 10.3% | 12% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 37.2% | 7.8% | ||
3 May 2024 | Deltan Dallagnol announces the withdrawal of his potential candidacy for mayor of Curitiba. | |||||||||||||||
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted | Sample size | Richa | Maria | Goura | Ducci | Luizão | Carol | Leprevost | Pimentel | Martins | Dallagnol | Could vote in anyone | Others | Abst. Undec. | |
Instituto Opinião[87] | 17–19 April 2024 | 1,200 | 51.6% | 11% | 13% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 18.4% | 9.3% | |
Ágili Pesquisas | 21–25 March 2024 | 800 | 43.11% | 2.51% | 6.27% | 1.38% | 7.39% | 3.38% | 4.26% | 1.75% | 6.14% | |||||
Paraná Pesquisas[88] | 15–20 March 2024 | 47.4% | 12% | 15.9% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 5.3% | 26.9% | 13.3% | ||||
Instituto Veritá | 13–16 December 2023 | 900 | 55% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 13% | ||||
Ágora Pesquisa | 11–19 December 2023 | 1,245 | 31% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 4% | <1% | 4% | ≈8% | 20% | ||
Paraná Pesquisas | 10–12 December 2023 | 845 | 50.8% | 8.9% | 12% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 20.7% |