2024 California's 47th congressional district election explained
| Election Name: | 2024 California's 47th congressional district election |
| Country: | California |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | yes |
| Previous Election: | 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in California#District 47 |
| Previous Year: | 2022 |
| Next Election: | 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in California#District 47 |
| Next Year: | 2026 |
| Election Date: | November 5, 2024 |
| Image1: | Dave Min official portrait (cropped).jpg |
| Candidate1: | Dave Min |
| Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Candidate2: | Scott Baugh |
| Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
| U.S. Representative |
| Before Election: | Katie Porter |
| Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
The 2024 California's 47th congressional district election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the United States representative for California's 47th congressional district, concurrently with elections for the other U.S. House districts in California and the rest of the country, as well as the 2024 U.S. Senate race in California, other elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary election will be held on March 5, 2024, concurrently with the Super Tuesday presidential primaries. The Southern California-based 47th district is centered in Orange County and includes the cities of Costa Mesa, Huntington Beach, Irvine, Newport Beach, and Seal Beach, as well as portions of Laguna Beach, Laguna Hills, and Laguna Woods.
The incumbent is Democrat Katie Porter, who was re-elected with 51.7% of the vote in 2022. She is not seeking re-election, instead choosing to run for the U.S. Senate. Porter was first elected in 2018, unseating incumbent Republican Mimi Walters. She later gained national fame for her progressive politics and frequently went viral for grilling corporate executives during congressional hearings.[1]
The general election will pit former state assemblyman Scott Baugh, a Republican, against state senator Dave Min, a Democrat. Candidates eliminated in the primary election included Democratic attorney Joanna Weiss and Republican businessman Max Ukropina.
The race is expected to be highly competitive as it is a slightly blue suburban district with no incumbent. Both House Democrats and House Republicans have listed California's 47th district among their highest-priority districts in the 2024 election.[2] [3] Democrat Joe Biden won the district with 54.5% of the vote in the 2020 presidential election.[4]
Primary election
Candidates
Advanced to general
- Scott Baugh (Republican), former state assemblyman, former chair of the Orange County Republican Party, and runner-up for this district in 2022[5]
- Dave Min (Democratic), state senator and candidate for this district in 2018[6]
Eliminated in primary
- Terry Crandall (no party preference), Santa Ana College economics professor[7]
- Tom McGrath (no party preference), chemical engineer[7]
- Long Pham (Republican), former member of the Orange County Department of Education Board of Directors and perennial candidate[7]
- Boyd Roberts (Democratic), realtor and perennial candidate[7]
- Bill Smith (no party preference), retired attorney[7]
- Max Ukropina (Republican), businessman and former aide to U.S. Representatives John Campbell and David Valadao[8]
- Joanna Weiss (Democratic), attorney and law professor[9]
- Shariq Zaidi (Democratic), security guard[7]
Withdrawn
Declined
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | Sample
size | Margin
of error | Scott
Baugh (R) | Dave
Min (D) | Max
Ukropina (R) | Joanna
Weiss (D) | Other | Undecided |
|---|
| WPA Intelligence (R) | February 12–14, 2024 | 366 (LV) | ± 5.1% | | 27% | | 22% | 9% | 16% | 9% | 17% |
| RMG Research | November 14–19, 2023 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | | 17% | | 12% | 4% | 7% | 4% | | 56% | |
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 |
|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
|---|
| Dave Min (D) | $1,731,136 | $1,507,057 | $224,079 |
| Boyd Roberts (D) | $6,762 | $8,369 | $0 |
| Joanna Weiss (D) | $2,151,268 | $1,538,667 | $612,601 |
| Scott Baugh (R) | $2,010,374 | $313,132 | $1,707,928 |
| Max Ukropina (R) | $595,201 | $436,787 | $158,414 |
| Terry Crandall (NPP) | $13,985 | $12,461 | $1,523 |
| Tom McGrath (NPP) | $14,033 | $8,895 | $5,138 |
| Bill Smith (NPP) | $15,000 | $7,770 | $7,230 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[20] | |
|---|
Results
General election
Predictions
Polling
- Scott Baugh vs. Joanna Weiss
Results
External links
- Official campaign websites
Notes and References
- News: Rep. Katie Porter's most viral moments in Congress. Kang, Hanna. January 10, 2023. The Orange County Register.
- News: DCCC picks 29 'Frontline' members for extra help next year . . Ackley . Kate . March 10, 2023 . March 20, 2023 . en-US.
- News: Republicans release top targets of Democratic-held House seats in 2024 . . March 13, 2023 . Gibson . Brittany . March 20, 2023 . en-US.
- Web site: Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts . . 11 August 2023 . 29 September 2021.
- News: Schallhorn. Kaitlyn. Scott Baugh launches congressional bid for Rep. Katie Porter's seat. The Orange County Register. January 10, 2023 . January 20, 2023 . en-US.
- Web site: Dave Min announces bid for Porter's California House seat, nabs her endorsement. Gans. Jared. January 18, 2023. January 18, 2023. The Hill.
- News: Certified List of Candidates . California Secretary of State . December 29, 2023 . December 28, 2023 .
- Web site: Nguyen . Lilly . April 10, 2023 . Newport Beach businessman announces bid for seat in CA-47 . April 11, 2023 . Los Angeles Times.
- News: Community activist announces congressional bid in Orange County's already contested CA-47. Nguyen. Lilly. February 8, 2023. Los Angeles Times.
- News: Frisk . Garrett . California House Candidate Roundup: May 11, 2023 . Diamond Eye Candidate Report . May 11, 2023 . May 13, 2023.
- Web site: Szabo . Matt . Huntington Beach’s Dom Jones pivots into State Assembly District 72 race . . October 17, 2023.
- Web site: Former Rep. Harley Rouda Withdraws Bid For Election Following Fall . Patch Media Newport Beach-Corona Del Mar, CA . April 11, 2023 . City News Service.
- Web site: Your California budget watchlist. White. Korte. Castanos. Brown. Jeremy. Lara. Ramon. Matthew. May 15, 2023. May 15, 2023. Politico.
- Web site: 2023-05-26 . The race for Rep. Katie Porter’s open congressional seat is growing . 2024-03-19 . Orange County Register . en-US.
- Web site: 2024-03-19 . Why is an elected official in California running for Nevada's Senate seat? . 2024-03-19 . The Nevada Independent . en.
- News: Former Rep. Harley Rouda announces another Congressional bid . January 11, 2023 . .
- Web site: Supervisor Katrina Foley gets involved in congressional race, but not as a candidate . . Schallhorn . Kaitlyn . May 24, 2023 . May 24, 2023 . en-US.
- Web site: Katie Porter launches Senate campaign for Feinstein's seat . January 10, 2023. Hooper . Kelly. Politico.
- News: Schallhorn . Kaitlyn . 2023-01-10 . Rep. Katie Porter launches a U.S. Senate bid . 2023-01-10 . . en-US.
- Web site: 2024 Election United States House - California 47th . fec.gov . . November 27, 2023.
- Web site: Porter Senate Run Starts Open CA-47 Race in Lean Democrat . . January 10, 2023 . January 10, 2023 . Wasserman . David.
- Web site: First 2024 House Ratings . Inside Elections . March 10, 2023 . Gonzales . Nathan L. . Rubashkin . Jacob . Covey . Erin . Wascher . Bradley . Rothenberg . Stuart.
- Web site: Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up . Sabato's Crystal Ball . February 23, 2023 . February 23, 2023 . Kondik . Kyle . Coleman . J. Miles . Sabato . Larry J..
- Web site: 2023-08-09 . Election Ratings . 2023-08-09 . Elections Daily . en-US.
- Web site: 2024 House Forecast. November 20, 2023. November 20, 2023.
