2024 Brandenburg state election explained

Election Name:	2024 Brandenburg state election
Country:	Brandenburg
Type:	parliamentary
Ongoing:	yes
Previous Election:	2019 Brandenburg state election
Previous Year:	2019
Next Election:	2029 Brandenburg state election
Next Year:	Next
Seats For Election:	All 88 seats of the Landtag of Brandenburg
Majority Seats:	45
Election Date:	22 September 2024
Party1:	Social Democratic Party of Germany
Last Election1:	25 seats, 26.2%
Party2:	Alternative for Germany
Last Election2:	23 seats, 23.5%
Party3:	Christian Democratic Union (Germany)
Last Election3:	15 seats, 15.6%
Party4:	Alliance 90/The Greens
Last Election4:	10 seats, 10.8%
Party5:	The Left (Germany)
Last Election5:	10 seats, 10.7%
Party6:	Brandenburg United Civic Movements/Free Voters
Last Election6:	5 seats, 5.0%
Government
Before Election:	Third Woidke cabinet
Before Party:	SPD–CDU–Green
Posttitle:	Government after election

The next election to the Landtag of Brandenburg is scheduled for 22 September 2024.

Background

The 2019 Brandenburg state election resulted in the formation of the Third Woidke cabinet; a Kenya coalition of the SPD, CDU, and Greens.^[1] The SPD became the strongest party with small losses, just ahead of the AfD, which gained many votes. The CDU lost significantly and fell from second to third place. Die Linke also lost significantly and ended up behind the Greens. Brandenburg United Civic Movements/Free Voters remained in state parliament with 5.0 percent. The FDP missed out with just 4.1 percent.

In the 2021 German federal election, the Social Democratic Party won all 10 constituencies across the state.

Parties and lists

Party		Shortname	Result 2019	Mandates inState Parliament	Top candidates
	Social Democratic Party of Germany	SPD	26.2%	25
	Alternative for Germany	AfD	23.5%	23
	Christian Democratic Union of Germany	CDU	15.6%	15	Jan Redmann
	Alliance 90/The Greens	GREEN	10.8%	10	Antje Töpfer, Benjamin Raschke
	The Left Brandenburg	LEFT	10.7%	10	Sebastian Walter
	Brandenburg United Civic Movements/Free Voters	BVB/Free Voters	5.0%	5	Peter Vida
	Free Democratic Party	FDP	4.1%	–	Zyon Braun
	Human Environment Animal Protection Party	Animal Protection Party	2.6%	–
		Plus	1.3% ⁠	–	Thomas Bennühr
	Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht	BSW	–	–
	The Third Way	III. Way	–	–
	German Communist Party	DKP	–	–
	German Country Economy	DLW	–	–
	Values ​​Union	WU	–	–

Opinion polls

Party polling

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	AfD	CDU	Grüne	Linke	BVB/FW	FDP	BSW	Others	Lead
INSA	8–15 Jul 2024	1,000	19		24	18	7	5	4	3	17	3	5
Infratest dimap		1,153	19		23	19	7	4	3	3	16	6	4
Wahlkreisprognose		1,000	16		29	16.5	5	3.5	5.5	1.5	17	6	12.5
European Parliament election		–	13.1		27.5	18.4	6.0	4.4	–	3.2	13.8	13.6	9.1
INSA	13–21 May 2024	1,000	19		25	19	7	6	5	3	13	3	6
Infratest dimap		1,161	22		26	18	8	6	3	–	10	7	4
Wahlkreisprognose		1,100	21		27	15	7	5.5	5.5	2	9.5	7.5	6
INSA	14–22 Mar 2024	1,000	19		25	19	8	7	4	3	12	3	6
INSA		1,000	17		28	18	8	6	4	3	13	3	10
Forsa	6–10 Jan 2024	1,007	22		32	16	7	6	5	3	4	5	10
INSA	13–22 Nov 2023	1,000	20		27	18	8	6	3	3	11	4	7
Wahlkreisprognose	24 Oct–1 Nov 2023	1,017	27		32	13.5	6.5	7	6	2.5	–	5.5	5
			21.5		22	12	4.5	5	4	2.5	21.5	7	0.5
Infratest dimap	8–11 Sep 2023	1,160	20		32	18	8	8	6	4	–	4	12
Wahlkreisprognose	10–14 Aug 2023	1,003	25		30	15	7	8	7	2	–	6	5
				22		22	13	6.5	5.5	5	2	19.5	4.5	Tie
INSA	26 Jun–3 Jul 2023	1,000	21		28	18	9	10	5	3	–	6	7
IFM	22 May–1 Jun 2023	1,000		24		24	17	10	12	8	4	–	2	Tie
Infratest dimap	19–24 Apr 2023	1,200	22		23		23	9	7	5	5	–	6	data-sort-value="0"	Tie
INSA	27 Mar–4 Apr 2023	1,000	21		25	19	10	10	5	4	–	6	4
Wahlkreisprognose	7–13 Mar 2023	978	23.5		26	17	9	8	6.5	3	–	7	2.5
pmg – policy matters	28 Nov–15 Dec 2022	1,011		27	23	17	7	9	5	6	–	6	4
Wahlkreisprognose	6–18 Nov 2022	1,922		26		26	13.5	10	8	7	3.5	–	6	data-sort-value="0"	Tie
INSA	4–10 Oct 2022	1,000	22		25	17	11	10	5	4	–	6	3
Infratest dimap	22–26 Sep 2022	1,165		24		24	18	11	9	4	4	–	6	data-sort-value="0"	Tie
Wahlkreisprognose	4–11 Sep 2022	1,100		26.5	25	12	12	6	7	5	–	6.5	1.5
Wahlkreisprognose	9–17 May 2022	1,001		30	19	16	13	6	6	4.5	–	5.5	11
Infratest dimap	21–24 Apr 2022	1,182		30	19	18	10	7	4	6	–	3	11
Wahlkreisprognose	21–29 Mar 2022	1,002		29	20	15	11	6	8	5	–	6	9
Forsa	9–17 Dec 2021	1,008		28	17	14	11	11	8	6	–	5	11
Wahlkreisprognose	8–16 Dec 2021	1,040		34	19	10	9	7	8	7	–	6	15
Wahlkreisprognose	7–14 Oct 2021	980		32	19.5	9	9.5	7	9.5	7	–	6.5	12.5
2021 federal election	26 Sep 2021	–		29.5	18.1	15.3	9.0	8.5	–	9.3	–	10.3	11.4
Infratest dimap	25–30 Aug 2021	1,157		34	17	13	8	9	7	7	–	5	17
Infratest dimap	12–15 May 2021	1,183		23	18	16	16	11	4	7	–	5	5
Wahlkreisprognose	7–13 May 2021	–		22	18	14	19	9	8	5	–	5	3
Wahlkreisprognose	12–19 Mar 2021	–		24	18	14	14	10.5	9	5	–	5.5	6
Forsa	10–15 Dec 2020	1,001		23	16	20	15	12	6	4	–	4	7
Infratest dimap	12–17 Nov 2020	1,002		26	19	20	12	11	3	5	–	4	7
Wahlkreisprognose	30 Sep–7 Oct 2020	1,089		23	19	17	13.5	12.5	7.5	2	–	5.5	4
INSA	29 Sep–6 Oct 2020	1,043		21	20	17	16	13	5	4	–	4	1
Wahlkreisprognose	19–27 Aug 2020	–		26	16.5	19	11	12	7	3	–	5.5	7
Wahlkreisprognose	12–19 Jun 2020	–		28	16	22	10	10	7	3	–	4	6
Wahlkreisprognose	4–11 May 2020	–		29.5	20	23	7.5	7.5	4	4	–	4.5	6.5
Wahlkreisprognose	3–8 Apr 2020	–		28	21	20.5	8	8	6	3	–	5.5	7
Infratest dimap	31 Mar–4 Apr 2020	1,000		27	20	19	12	11	3	4	–	4	7
Forsa	20–25 Feb 2020	1,001		22	18	14	15	15	7	3	–	6	4
Infratest dimap	data-sort-value="2019-08-29"	11–16 Nov 2019	1,000		25	22	14	12	12	5	5	–	5	1
2019 state election	data-sort-value="2019-09-01"	1 Sep 2019	–		26.2	23.5	15.6	10.8	10.7	5.0	4.1	–	4.1	2.7

See also

• Politics of Brandenburg

Notes and References

1. Web site: 1 September 2019 . Who governs? These coalitions are likely in Saxony and Brandenburg . . de.