| Election Date: | No later than 29 October 2024 |
| Country: | Botswana |
| Type: | parliamentary |
| Ongoing: | yes |
| Election Name: | 2024 Botswana general election |
| Registered: | 1,035,964 |
| Previous Election: | 2019 Botswana general election |
| Previous Year: | 2019 |
| Outgoing Members: | 12th Parliament of Botswana |
| Seats For Election: | 61 of the 69 seats in the National Assembly |
| Majority Seats: | 31 |
| Leader1: | Mokgweetsi Masisi |
| Party1: | Botswana Democratic Party |
| Leaders Seat1: | None |
| Last Election1: | 52.65%, 38 seats |
| Seats Before1: | 38 |
| Leader2: | Duma Boko |
| Party2: | Umbrella for Democratic Change |
| Leaders Seat2: | Did not stand |
| Last Election2: | 35.88%, 15 seats |
| Seats Before2: | 7 |
| Seats Needed2: | 24 |
| Party4: | Botswana Congress Party |
| Leaders Seat4: | Maun West |
| Last Election4: | 11 seats |
| Seats Before4: | 7 |
| Seats Needed4: | 24 |
| Leader5: | Mephato Reatile |
| Party5: | Botswana Patriotic Front |
| Leaders Seat5: | Jwaneng-Mabutsane |
| Last Election5: | 4.41%, 3 seats |
| Seats Before5: | 4 |
| Seats Needed5: | 27 |
| President | |
| Before Election: | Mokgweetsi Masisi |
| Before Party: | Botswana Democratic Party |
The 2024 Botswana general election must be held no later than 29 October 2024. It will determine the composition of the 13th Parliament of Botswana as well as local councils across the country. Up for election are 61 seats of the National Assembly as well as 609 local council seats, all elected through the first-past-the-post voting system.
Since the first election in 1965, the Botswana Democratic Party has held a majority of seats, without interruption, in the National Assembly and has thus governed alone for 57 years, making Botswana a dominant-party system.
See main article: 2019 Botswana general election. The election held on October 23, 2019, saw the Botswana Democratic Party (BDP) maintain its parliamentary majority for the 12th consecutive time, securing 53% of the votes and 38 out of 57 seats, one more than in the 2014 election. The Umbrella for Democratic Change (UDC) garnered 36% of the votes and 15 seats, two fewer than its 2014 result. The election marked a significant political realignment in Botswana's political landscape. This was because the Central District (which had consistently supported the BDP, averaging around 75% of the vote since the first elections in 1965) saw large swings to the opposition due to former President Ian Khama's backing of the newly-formed Botswana Patriotic Front (BPF) and of UDC candidates, where the BPF did not stand candidates of its own.[1] The UDC and BPF won 11 out of 17 seats in the district, marking the first time ever that a party other than the BDP won a seat in the district. Nonetheless, the BDP made substantial gains in other regions, securing all seats in both Gaborone and districts in the southern parts of the country, offsetting the UDC's advances.[2] [3] The election outcome described as an upset was attributed to President Masisi's efforts to reconcile with segments of society previously at odds with Khama, such as labour unions, whose support had waned in the 2014 election. The rapprochement between the UDC leadership and Khama, who remains unpopular among urban and southern voters, led to a loss of support for the UDC among its traditional opposition base in the south.
While international observers deemed the elections "free and fair,"[4] Duma Boko contested the BDP's victory, alleging significant electoral irregularities.[5] Despite the UDC's claims of multiple voting and bribery of election officials, their petition to invalidate the results was dismissed by the High Court in December 2019. Although the Court of Appeal agreed to hear the case in January 2020, it was later dismissed for lack of jurisdiction.[6]
Following the 2019 elections, there were three opposing parties in the National Assembly—the Umbrella for Democratic Change (UDC), the Botswana Patriotic Front (BPF) and the Alliance for Progressives (AP). In August 2022, the BPF joined the UDC alliance, uniting all opposition parties in the National Assembly except for the AP.[7]
The Botswana Congress Party (BCP), a major member of the UDC since 2017, had expressed interest in leaving the UDC alliance due to disagreements between BCP leader, Dumelang Saleshando and UDC leader, Duma Boko.[8] Saleshando ceased to be the Leader of the Opposition in the National Assembly, after a group of UDC MPs joined by five BCP dissidents, voted him out of the position in July 2022.[9]
The BCP proposed forming an electoral alliance with the AP and the newly-formed, Botswana Labour Party (a minor Botswana National Front splinter party).[10] However, the AP withdrew from the coalition talks after disagreements with the BCP largely due to disagreements over constituency allocation, opting to join the UDC instead.[11] [12]
In May 2023, the BCP's central committee unanimously decided to participate in the 2024 elections separately from the UDC alliance. The party cited concerns over the UDC's disregard for intra-party democracy and the vulnerability of their party leader to capture by "private interests", as reasons for their exit.[13]
Following a party leadership retreat in April 2024, the BPF decided to leave the UDC alliance, opting for a "pact model" which would see the BPF not standing candidates in constituencies it deemed unwinnable and the UDC doing the same in constituencies which the BPF can win in, instead of running under the UDC—a proposal since rejected by UDC leadership.[14]
See also: 12th Parliament of Botswana. The 12th Parliament was inaugurated on 5 November 2019. Dumelang Saleshando had replaced Duma Boko as Leader of the Opposition in the National Assembly following Boko's defeat at the general election.
Prior to the ban on floor crossings in 2023, the National Assembly saw two BDP MPs and two UDC MPs defect to the UDC and BDP, respectively. A by-election was triggered in the Serowe West constituency after Tshekedi Khama's expulsion from parliament after he fled to South Africa with his brother (and former President), Ian Khama, causing him to miss the minimum number of sessions required to maintain his seat. The 2023 Serowe West by-election was held in July 2023 and saw the BPF retain the seat at a larger majority. Yandani Boko, former UDC MP for Mahalapye East, resigned from the National Assembly in March 2024. A by-election was not held for his seat as it was deemed too close to the dissolution of parliament, expected by August.[15] [16]
For the 2024 elections, the membership of the National Assembly consists of 61 MPs elected in single-member constituencies by first-past-the-post voting, six members appointed by the governing party and two ex-officio members (the President and the Speaker).[17]
Voters are required to be citizens of Botswana and at least 18 years old and have been resident in the country for at least 12 months prior to voter registration. People who are declared insane, hold dual citizenship, under a death sentence, convicted of an electoral offence or imprisoned for at least six months are not allowed to vote.[18] Candidates have to be citizens of Botswana, at least 21 years old, without an undischarged bankruptcy and be able to speak and read English sufficiently well to take part in parliamentary proceedings.[18] They must also obtain a nomination from at least two voters in their constituency and the support of seven. A deposit is required, which is refunded if the candidate receives at least 5% of the vote in the constituency. Members of the Ntlo ya Dikgosi cannot stand for election to the National Assembly.[18]
Botswana uses a 'periodic list' voter registration system where the election authority creates a new list of eligible voters every five years before each election, as opposed to a continuous register or civil registry. This process occurs just before the election and involves aiming to register all voters within a relatively short time frame. It is 'self-initiated' in the sense that voters must go to the electoral authority's centres nationwide to register themselves rather than the election authority going to the people.[19] In the lead-up to the general voter registration, the UDC established the Madibelatlhopho, a group of UDC supporters constituted ad hoc to oversee the voter registration process. Their aim was to prevent alleged rigging in favor of the BDP by the Independent Electoral Commission (IEC). The voter registration period for the 2024 general elections in Botswana was initially scheduled to run from 1 to 30 November 2023. However, it was indefinitely postponed due to legal challenges from the UDC.[20] [21]
On 7 November, Justice Gaolapelwe Ketlogetswe of the Francistown High Court issued a rule nisi requiring the IEC and other parties to justify why the UDC's Madibelatlhopho should be restrained from monitoring the national registration process. This decision temporarily allowed UDC observers to proceed with their plan to observe the registration cycle until the court's final determination. The court order permitted UDC clerks to daily record the names, national identity card numbers and registration booklets' serial numbers of registrants. The IEC announced a further postponement of the registration period, shifting it to occur from 13 November to 8 December 2023, to prevent UDC observers from accessing polling stations until the Court of Appeal, the country's highest court, made its final ruling.[22]
The apex court ruled in favor of the IEC, denying the UDC's request to have the Madibelatlhopho access to registration booklets and other confidential voter information. This decision overturned the previous Francistown High Court ruling that had allowed the UDC to monitor the voter registration process. However, the court found no legal basis in the Electoral Act to grant the UDC such monitoring rights. The Leader of the Opposition, Dithapelo Keorapetse, expressed disappointment with the judgment, viewing it as "a setback for democracy".[23]
The IEC oversaw the general voter registration, which began on 5 January, 2024 and ended on 3 February. Approximately 2,800 polling stations were open daily from 8 a.m. to 6 p.m. on weekdays and 8 a.m. to 4 p.m. on weekends. All citizens aged 18 years and above were eligible to register to vote.[24] The total number of people who registered during the general registration was 764,539. Following a lower-than-expected number of registered electors after the general registration, two supplementary voter registration periods were held. The first, from 26 February to 15 March, added an additional 74,404 registered electors. The second and final supplementary registration took place from 20 to 31 May and was conducted across approximately 2,800 nationwide polling stations, unlike the first, which was held at harder-to-reach district commissioners' offices and Kgotlas. This phase yielded an additional 197,021 registered electors, bringing the total number of registered voters to 1,035,964—an increase of 12 percent from the 2019 election.[25] [26]
In accordance with section 64. (1) of the Constitution of Botswana, a Delimitation Commission was appointed on 13 May 2022 (following the release of the decennial 2022 Botswana Census) to redistribute the constituencies of the National Assembly. The National Assembly passed a bill increasing the number of constituencies by four seats from 57 to 61 seats.[27] Consultations with the public and various interest groups ran from 20 June to 28 November 2022. The Commission presented its finalised report to the President on 10 February 2023.[28]
See also: Political parties in Botswana. The following table lists the political parties contesting the 2024 general election.
| Name | Ideology | Political position | Leader | 2019 result | Current seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | |||||||||
| BDP | Botswana Democratic Party | Paternalistic conservatism | Centre to centre-right | Mokgweetsi Masisi | 52.65 | ||||
| UDC | Umbrella for Democratic Change | Social democracy Left-wing populism | Centre-left to left-wing | Duma Boko | 35.88 | ||||
| BCP | Botswana Congress Party | Social democracy | Centre-left | Dumelang Saleshando | |||||
| BPF | Botswana Patriotic Front | Populism Pro-Ian Khama | Big tent | Mephato Reatile | 4.41 | ||||
| BMD | Botswana Movement for Democracy | Right-wing populism Christian right | Right-wing | Thuso Tiego | 0.27 | ||||
| BRP | Botswana Republican Party | Christian democracy Social conservatism | Centre-right to right-wing | Biggie Butale | did not exist | ||||
| Outgoing MP | 2019 party | Constituency | 2024 party | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubrey Lesaso | Shoshong | ||||
| Pono Moatlhodi | Tonota | ||||
| Ignatius Moswaane | Francistown West | ||||
| Mephato Reatile | Jwaneng-Mabutsane | ||||
| Name | Party | Constituency | Term in office | Date announced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mpho Balopi | Gaborone North | 5 November 2019–present | March 2022[29] | ||
| Thapelo Matsheka | Lobatse | 5 November 2019–present | October 2023[30] | ||
| Pono Moatlhodi | Tonota | 5 November 2019–present | August 2023[31] | ||
| Eric Molale | Goodhope-Mabule | 5 November 2019–present | January 2024[32] | ||
| Name | Party | Constituency | Term in office | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Brooks | Kgalagadi South | 5 November 2019–present | ||
| Buti Billy | Francistown East | 25 October 2014–present | ||
| Tumisang Healy | Gaborone Central | 5 November 2019–present | ||
| Wilhelmina Makwinja | Lentsweletau-Mmopane | 5 November 2019–present | ||
| Lefoko Moagi | Ramotswa | 5 November 2019–present | ||
| Molebatsi Molebatsi | Mmadinare | 5 November 2019–present | ||
| Talita Monnakgotlha | Kgalagadi North | 5 November 2019–present | ||
| Oabile Regoeng | Molepolole North | 5 November 2019–present | ||
| Machana Shamukuni | Chobe | 25 October 2014–present | ||
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | BDP | UDC | BCP | BPF | BMD | Others | Undecided | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afrobarometer | 23 Jul–10 Aug 2022 | 1,200 | 22.3% | 37.5% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 27.8% | 15.2 | |
| 2019 election | 23 October 2019 | – | 52.7% | 35.9% | 4.4% | 0.3% | 6.7% | – | 16.8 | ||