2023 Winnipeg South Centre federal by-election explained

Election Name:2023 Winnipeg South Centre federal by-election
Country:Canada
Seats For Election:Riding of Winnipeg South Centre
Type:Parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Party Colour:no
Party Name:no
Previous Election:2021 Canadian federal election
Previous Year:2021
Next Election:45th Canadian federal election
Next Year:45th
Turnout:36.82%
Candidate2:Damir Stipanovic
Popular Vote2:6,100
Percentage2:23.70%
Swing2: 4.11%
Image3:

NDP

Candidate3:Julia Riddell
Popular Vote3:3,778
Percentage3:14.68%
Swing3: 5.95%
Image1:

LPC

Candidate1:Ben Carr
Popular Vote1:14,278
Percentage1:55.49%
Swing1: 9.94%
MP
Posttitle:Elected MP
Before Election:Jim Carr
After Election:Ben Carr

A by-election was held in the federal riding of Winnipeg South Centre in Manitoba on June 19, 2023, following the death of Liberal MP and former cabinet minister Jim Carr.[1]

The by-election was held on the same day as three others; Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount, Oxford and Portage—Lisgar.[2]

Background

Constituency

The district is an urban constituency based in the city of Winnipeg.

Representation

Winnipeg South Centre has been a reliable Liberal seat since 1988, apart from 2011 to 2015 when it was held by Conservative Joyce Bateman.[3]

The riding of Winnipeg South Centre was vacated on December 12, 2022 following the death of Liberal MP and former cabinet minister Jim Carr.[4] Carr had represented the riding since 2015, when he defeated Conservative incumbent Joyce Bateman, and had been battling multiple myeloma and kidney failure since 2019. Carr also defeated Bateman in rematches in 2019 and 2021.

Campaign

Candidates

Jim Carr's son Ben Carr, an educator and former staffer to Mélanie Joly, won the Liberal nomination for the by-election.[5] [6] [7] Winnipeg city councillor Sherri Rollins briefly ran for the nomination before withdrawing and throwing her support behind Carr.[8] [9]

The Conservatives nominated Damir Stipanovic, an air traffic controller and member of the Royal Canadian Air Force Reserve.

After previously running in the same riding in the 2021 federal election, NDP candidate Julia Riddell, a clinical psychologist, and Green candidate Doug Hemmerling, a local educator, won their respective parties' nominations for the by-election.

The People's Party of Canada chose former DJ Tylor Baer to be their candidate. He contested Brandon—Souris for the party in 2021.[10]

The Rhinoceros Party chose party leader Sébastien CoRhino to be their candidate.[11]

The Longest Ballot Committee chose Winnipeg South Centre as its target for this group of by-elections; the group protests first-past-the-post voting by registering large numbers of independent candidates in one riding in an election or group of by-elections.[12] Forty-two people, including the above-mentioned Sébastien CoRhino, ran under its auspices, while Tait Palsson, who was not involved with the group, also ran an independent campaign. The forty-eight candidates in this by-election are the most ever to contest a federal election in Canada.[13]

Polling

Polling FirmLast Date
of Polling
LinkLPCCPCNDPPPCGPCOthersUndecidedMargin
of Error
Sample
Size
class=unsortable Polling Method
HTML47 28 16 2 2 1 4 ±4.7 pp 430 IVR
4929 16 2 2 1

References

  1. Web site: 2023-02-01 . Candice Bergen, former interim Conservative leader, resigning from Parliament . 2023-02-02 . CTVNews . en.
  2. Web site: 4 federal byelections set for June in Quebec, Ontario and Manitoba Globalnews.ca . 2023-05-31 . Global News . en-US.
  3. Web site: Kives . Bartley . 2 January 2023 . Ben Carr, son of late Liberal MP, mulls following in father's footsteps in Winnipeg South Centre . CBC News.
  4. Web site: Aiello . Rachel . December 12, 2022 . Liberal MP and former cabinet minister Jim Carr dies . December 12, 2022 . CTV News.
  5. Web site: Kives . Bartley . January 2, 2023 . Ben Carr, son of late Liberal MP, mulls following in father's footsteps in Winnipeg South Centre . January 3, 2023 . CBC News.
  6. Web site: 2023-02-02 . Son of late MP Jim Carr to seek Liberal party nomination to run in Winnipeg riding . 2023-02-03 . CTV News . en.
  7. Web site: Kives . Bartley . April 28, 2023 . Candidate field almost set for Winnipeg South Centre byelection . May 2, 2023 . CBC News.
  8. Web site: Froese . Ian . January 11, 2023 . Winnipeg city councillor Sherri Rollins seeks federal Liberal nomination in byelection . January 11, 2023 . CBC News.
  9. Web site: Sherri Rollins bows out of bid for Liberal nomination to replace late Winnipeg MP . 2023-02-14 . Global News . en-US.
  10. Web site: Modified . Colin Slark Posted: Last . 2021-08-23 . Aug 2021: Former DJ, 22, running for People's Party to fight for personal freedoms . 2023-06-05 . Brandon Sun . en-US.
  11. Web site: Kives . Bartley . September 3, 2021 . Rhino Party charges at broken Liberal promise by signing up independents to run in Manitoba riding . CBC News.
  12. News: Unger . Danton . 25 May 2023 . Group of political activists plan to flood by-election ballot in Winnipeg . . 28 May 2023.
  13. Web site: Froese . Ian . June 14, 2023 . Voters will choose from record-setting 48 names in Winnipeg South Centre federal byelection ballot . July 7, 2023 . CBC News.