| Election Name: | 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Oyo State |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2019 Nigerian general election |
| Previous Year: | 2019 |
| Next Election: | 2027 Nigerian presidential election in Oyo State |
| Next Year: | 2027 |
| Election Date: | 25 February 2023 |
| Registered: | 3,276,675 |
| Party1: | All Progressives Congress |
| Home State1: | Lagos |
| Party2: | Labour Party (Nigeria) |
| Home State2: | Anambra |
| Party4: | New Nigeria Peoples Party |
| Home State4: | Kano |
| Party5: | Peoples Democratic Party (Nigeria) |
| Home State5: | Adamawa |
| Map Size: | 220px |
| President | |
| Before Election: | Muhammadu Buhari |
| Before Party: | All Progressives Congress |
The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Oyo State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.
Oyo State is a large, Yoruba-majority southwestern state; the state has vast agricultural and service sectors but it faces large security issues from both inter-ethnic violence and conflict between herders and farmers along with a large number of out-of-school children.[2]
Politically, the 2019 elections in the state were categorized as a large swing towards the PDP as the party's presidential nominee Atiku Abubakar narrowly won the state after Buhari had won it in 2015, PDP nominee Seyi Makinde won the gubernatorial race by 17%, and the PDP gained a majority in the House of Assembly. For the Senate, the APC won back two Senate seats it lost through defections while the PDP gained a APC-held seat; in the House of Representatives, the APC won the majority of the seats.
| Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tinubu APC | Obi LP | Kwankwaso NNPP | Abubakar PDP | ||||||||
| BantuPage | December 2022 | N/A | 37% | 11% | 0% | 18% | – | 21% | 3% | 10% | |
| Nextier (Oyo crosstabs of national poll) | 27 January 2023 | N/A | 14.6% | 36.9% | 7.8% | 27.2% | 2.9% | 10.7% | – | – | |
| SBM Intelligence for EiE (Oyo crosstabs of national poll) | 22 January-6 February 2023 | N/A | 39% | 38% | – | 13% | 1% | 10% | – | – | |
| Source | Projection | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| [3] | Lean Tinubu | 24 February 2023 | |
| Dataphyte[4] | |||
| Tinubu: | 37.84% | 11 February 2023 | |
| Obi: | 19.95% | ||
| Abubakar: | 25.11% | ||
| Others: | 17.10% | ||
| Enough is Enough- | Tinubu | 17 February 2023 | |
| SBM Intelligence[5] | Tinubu | 15 December 2022 | |
| ThisDay[6] | |||
| Tinubu: | 40% | 27 December 2022 | |
| Obi: | 15% | ||
| Kwankwaso: | 10% | ||
| Abubakar: | 20% | ||
| Others/Undecided: | 15% | ||
| Tinubu | 12-19 February 2023 | ||
The results of the election by senatorial district.
| Senatorial District | Bola Tinubu APC | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Peter Obi LP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Others | Total valid votes | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||
| Oyo Central Senatorial District | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Oyo North Senatorial District | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Oyo South Senatorial District | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
The results of the election by federal constituency.
| Federal Constituency | Bola Tinubu APC | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Peter Obi LP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Others | Total valid votes | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||
| Afijio/Atiba/Oyo East/Oyo West Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Akinyele/Lagelu Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Atisbo/Saki East/Saki West Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Egbeda/Ona-Ara Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Ibadan North East/Ibadan South East Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Ibadan North Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Ibadan North West/Ibadan South West Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Ibarapa Central/Ibarapa North Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Ibarapa East/Ido Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Irepo/Olorunsogo/Orelope Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Iseyin/Kajola/Iwajowa/Itesiwaju Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Ogbomosho North/Ogbomosho South/Orire Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Ogo-Oluwa/Surulere Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Oluyole Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
The results of the election by local government area.
| Local government area | Bola Tinubu APC | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Peter Obi LP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Others | Total valid votes | Turnout (%) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||||
| Afijio | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Akinyele | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Atiba | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Atisbo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Egbeda | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Ibadan North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Ibadan North-East | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Ibadan North-West | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Ibadan South-East | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Ibadan South-West | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Ibarapa Central | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Ibarapa East | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Ibarapa North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Ido | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Irepo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Iseyin | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Itesiwaju | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Iwajowa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Kajola | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Lagelu | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Ogbomosho North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Ogbomosho South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Ogo Oluwa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Olorunsogo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Oluyole | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Ona Ara | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Orelope | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Ori Ire | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Oyo East | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Oyo West | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Saki East | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Saki West | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Surulere | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |