| Election Name: | 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kwara State |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2019 Nigerian general election |
| Previous Year: | 2019 |
| Next Election: | 2027 Nigerian presidential election in Kwara State |
| Next Year: | 2027 |
| Election Date: | 25 February 2023 |
| Registered: | 1,695,927 |
| Nominee1: | |
| Running Mate1: | |
| Party1: | All Progressives Congress |
| Home State1: | Lagos |
| Popular Vote1: | 263,572 |
| Percentage1: | 56.08% |
| Party2: | Peoples Democratic Party (Nigeria) |
| Home State2: | Adamawa |
| Popular Vote2: | 136,909 |
| Percentage2: | 29.13% |
| Party4: | Labour Party (Nigeria) |
| Home State4: | Anambra |
| Popular Vote4: | 31,186 |
| Percentage4: | 6.64% |
| Party5: | New Nigeria Peoples Party |
| Home State5: | Kano |
| Popular Vote5: | 3,141 |
| Percentage5: | 0.67% |
| Map Size: | 220px |
| President | |
| Before Election: | Muhammadu Buhari |
| Before Party: | All Progressives Congress |
The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kwara State was held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.
Kwara State is a large state in the North Central with a growing economy and vast natural areas but facing agricultural underdevelopment, deforestation, and insecurity.[2] [3] The state's 2019 elections had a large swing towards the state APC. Although the APC had won most 2015 elections in Kwara, the vast majority of APC officeholders left the party in 2018 to follow Senator Bukola Saraki into the PDP; despite the Saraki dynasty's longstanding control over Kwaran politics, the APC-led Ó Tó Gẹ́ movement swept the state in 2019. The APC won all three senate seats back and in the process, defeated Saraki by a wide margin. Similarly, the APC gained five PDP-held House seats to sweep all House of Representatives elections. On the state level, the APC gained the governorship and all but one seat in the House of Assembly. These results, coupled with presidential incumbent Muhammadu Buhari (APC) winning the state with nearly 70%, led to the categorization of the 2019 elections as a seismic shift in the state's politics.
| Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tinubu APC | Obi LP | Kwankwaso NNPP | Abubakar PDP | ||||||||
| BantuPage | January 2023 | N/A | 48% | 14% | 0% | 8% | – | 11% | 12% | 8% | |
| Nextier (Kwara crosstabs of national poll) | 27 January 2023 | N/A | 35.9% | 25.6% | – | 30.8% | 2.6% | 5.1% | – | – | |
| Stears | January 2023 | 500 | 26% | 11% | 2% | 6% | – | 51% | – | 6% | |
| SBM Intelligence for EiE (Kwara crosstabs of national poll) | 22 January-6 February 2023 | N/A | 29% | 11% | 1% | 13% | 1% | 46% | – | – | |
| Source | Projection | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| [4] | Likely Tinubu | 24 February 2023 | |
| Dataphyte[5] | |||
| Tinubu: | 42.54% | 11 February 2023 | |
| Obi: | 17.66% | ||
| Abubakar: | 25.21% | ||
| Others: | 14.59% | ||
| Enough is Enough- | Tinubu | 17 February 2023 | |
| SBM Intelligence[6] | Too close to call | 15 December 2022 | |
| ThisDay[7] | |||
| Tinubu: | 35% | 27 December 2022 | |
| Obi: | 10% | ||
| Kwankwaso: | 10% | ||
| Abubakar: | bgcolor=#009404 | 40% | |
| Others/Undecided: | 5% | ||
| Tinubu | 12-19 February 2023 | ||
The results of the election by senatorial district.
| Senatorial District | Bola Tinubu APC | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Peter Obi LP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Others | Total valid votes | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||
| Kwara Central Senatorial District | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Kwara North Senatorial District | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Kwara South Senatorial District | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
The results of the election by federal constituency.
| Federal Constituency | Bola Tinubu APC | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Peter Obi LP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Others | Total valid votes | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||
| Asa/Ilorin West Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Baruten/Kaiama Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Edu/Moro/Pategi Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Ekiti/Isin/Irepodun/Oke-ero Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Ilorin East/Ilorin South Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Offa/Oyun/Ifelodun Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
The results of the election by local government area.
| Local government area | Bola Tinubu APC | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Peter Obi LP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Others | Total valid votes | Turnout (%) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||||
| Asa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Baruten | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Edu | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Ekiti | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Ifelodun | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Ilorin East | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Ilorin South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Ilorin West | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Irepodun | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Isin | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Kaiama | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Moro | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Offa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Oke Ero | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Oyun | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Pategi | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |