| Election Name: | 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kaduna State |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2019 Nigerian general election |
| Previous Year: | 2019 |
| Next Election: | 2027 Nigerian presidential election in Kaduna State |
| Next Year: | 2027 |
| Election Date: | 25 February 2023 |
| Registered: | 4,335,208 |
| Party1: | All Progressives Congress |
| Home State1: | Lagos |
| Party2: | Labour Party (Nigeria) |
| Home State2: | Anambra |
| Party4: | New Nigeria Peoples Party |
| Home State4: | Kano |
| Party5: | Peoples Democratic Party (Nigeria) |
| Home State5: | Adamawa |
| Map Size: | 220px |
| President | |
| Before Election: | Muhammadu Buhari |
| Before Party: | All Progressives Congress |
The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kaduna State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.
Kaduna State is a large, diverse northwestern state with a growing economy and vast natural areas but facing an underdeveloped agricultural sector and intense challenges in security as the nationwide kidnapping epidemic, bandit conflict, inter-ethnic violence, and herder–farmer clashes have all heavily affected the state.[2] [3] [4] [5] [6]
Politically, the 2019 elections were categorized as a slight solidification of the Kaduna APC's control as Governor Nasir Ahmad el-Rufai won re-election with over 55% of the vote and the party retained its House of Assembly majority. Federally, the APC regained two of the three Senate seats it lost due to defections and won eleven of the sixteen House of Representatives seats. For the presidency, Kaduna was won by APC nominee Muhammadu Buhari with about 60% but swung slightly towards the PDP. The 2019 elections also showed the political divide between the diverse, Christian-majority Southern region and the mainly Hausa and Fulani, Muslim-majority Northern and Central regions as the former region moved towards the PDP while the latter two regions stuck with the APC.
| Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tinubu APC | Obi LP | Kwankwaso NNPP | Abubakar PDP | ||||||||
| BantuPage | December 2022 | N/A | 17% | 14% | 8% | 24% | – | 33% | 7% | 7% | |
| Nextier (Kaduna crosstabs of national poll) | 27 January 2023 | N/A | 42.7% | 22.6% | 4.8% | 29.0% | 0.8% | – | – | – | |
| SBM Intelligence for EiE (Kaduna crosstabs of national poll) | 22 January-6 February 2023 | N/A | 11% | 31% | 12% | 29% | – | 17% | – | – | |
| Source | Projection | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| [7] | Tossup | 24 February 2023 | |
| Dataphyte[8] | |||
| Tinubu: | 34.71% | 11 February 2023 | |
| Obi: | 16.56% | ||
| Abubakar: | 34.71% | ||
| Others: | 14.02% | ||
| Enough is Enough- | Abubakar | 17 February 2023 | |
| SBM Intelligence[9] | Abubakar | 15 December 2022 | |
| ThisDay[10] | |||
| Tinubu: | 30% | 27 December 2022 | |
| Obi: | 20% | ||
| Kwankwaso: | 20% | ||
| Abubakar: | 25% | ||
| Others/Undecided: | 5% | ||
| Tinubu | 12-19 February 2023 | ||
The results of the election by senatorial district.
| Senatorial District | Bola Tinubu APC | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Peter Obi LP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Others | Total valid votes | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||
| Kaduna Central Senatorial District | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Kaduna North Senatorial District | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Kaduna South Senatorial District | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
The results of the election by federal constituency.
| Federal Constituency | Bola Tinubu APC | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Peter Obi LP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Others | Total valid votes | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||
| Birnin Gwari/Giwa Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Chikun/Kajuru Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Igabi Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Ikara/Kubau Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Jema'a/Sanga Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Kachia/Kagarko Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Kaduna North Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Kaduna South Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Kaura Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Kauru Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Lere Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Makarfi/Kudan Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Sabon Gari Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Soba Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Zangon Kataf/Jaba Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Zaria Federal Constituency | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | |
The results of the election by local government area.
| Local government area | Bola Tinubu APC | Atiku Abubakar PDP | Peter Obi LP | Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP | Others | Total valid votes | Turnout (%) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||||
| Birnin Gwari | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Chikun | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Giwa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Igabi | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Jaba | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Jema'a | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Kachia | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Kaduna North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Kaduna South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Kagarko | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Kajuru | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Kaura | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Kauru | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Kubau | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Kudan | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Lere | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Makarfi | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Sabon Gari | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Sanga | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Soba | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Zangon Kataf | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Zaria | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | |