Election Name: | 2023 Niger State gubernatorial election |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2019 Niger State gubernatorial election |
Previous Year: | 2019 |
Next Election: | 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election |
Next Year: | 2027 |
Election Date: | 18 March 2023 |
Registered: | 2,698,344 |
Party1: | All Progressives Congress |
Party2: | Peoples Democratic Party (Nigeria) |
Map Size: | 220px |
Governor | |
Before Election: | Abubakar Sani Bello |
Before Party: | All Progressives Congress |
After Election: | Mohammed Umar Bago |
After Party: | All Progressives Congress |
The 2023 Niger State gubernatorial election will take place on 18 March 2023, to elect the Governor of Niger State, concurrent with elections to the Niger State House of Assembly as well as twenty-seven other gubernatorial elections and elections to all other state houses of assembly.[1] [2] The election—which was postponed from its original 11 March date—will be held three weeks after the presidential election and National Assembly elections.[3] Incumbent APC Governor Abubakar Sani Bello is term-limited and cannot seek re-election to a third term.
Party primaries were scheduled for between 4 April and 9 June 2022 with the All Progressives Congress nominating Mohammed Umar Bago—House of Representatives member for Chanchaga—on 26 May while the Peoples Democratic Party nominated former commissioner Isah Liman Kantigi on the same day after its primary was postponed by 24 hours.[4] [5]
The governor of Niger State is elected using a modified two-round system. To be elected in the first round, a candidate must receive the plurality of the vote and over 25% of the vote in at least two-thirds of state local government areas. If no candidate passes this threshold, a second round will be held between the top candidate and the next candidate to have received a plurality of votes in the highest number of local government areas.
Niger State is a large, diverse state in the North Central with agricultural and energy potential but facing a debilitated health sector and intense challenges in security as the nationwide kidnapping epidemic, bandit conflict, and herder–farmer clashes have all heavily affected the state with added fears of ISWAP encroachment.[6] [7]
Politically, the state's 2019 elections were a solidification of the control of the state APC. In federal elections, Buhari retained the state presidentially while the APC swept all three senate seats and ten House of Representatives seats. On the state level, the party also held the governorship and kept the majority in the House of Assembly.
Ahead of his second term, Bello pledged to focus on education, increasing agricultural production, affordable housing, and improving access to clean drinking water.[8] In terms of his performance, Bello was praised for expanding the energy sector but was criticized for failing to combat rising insecurity, poor road infrastructure, a failure to pay teacher salaries and the ensuing educator strike, having a political opponent imprisoned, and his role in the March 2022 APC leadership crisis.[9] [10] [11] [12]
The primaries, along with any potential challenges to primary results, were to take place between 4 April and 3 June 2022 but the deadline was extended to 9 June.[13] An informal zoning gentlemen's agreement sets the Niger South Senatorial District to produce the next governor as someone from Niger South has not held the governorship since 2007. While only the PDP has closed their primaries to non-Southern candidates, nearly all potential candidates are from the South and it appears as if both major parties are holding to the zoning agreement.[14]
In the days before the primary, controversy arose over the alleged manipulation of the delegate list for the primary.[15] By the primary date, the exercise was peacefully held in Minna and resulted in a 15% margin of victory for Mohammed Umar Bago, a House of Representatives member. In his acceptance speech, Bago thanked delegates while noting that the primary was only the beginning of the campaign. On 4 July, the state APC announced Yakubu Garba—the state NLC chairman—as Bago's running mate in a press release.[16]
In June 2020, Niger PDP then-Caretaker Committee Chairman Garba Umaru announced that the party had zoned their gubernatorial nomination to Niger South Senatorial District as a part of an internal party deal to cede the deputy gubernatorial slot to Niger East Senatorial District while Niger South would hold the party chairmanship until handing over to Niger North.[22] Zoning the PDP nomination to Niger South was reaffirmed in February 2022 by now-state party chairman Tanko Beji and other state party leaders.[23] By April 2022, the state party leadership also intended to use the consensus method for the nomination with a meeting resulting in Isah Liman Kantigi's emergence as the intended nominee but the plan fell through when some rival candidates rejected the arrangement and bought forms anyway.[24] [25]
On the primary date, four of the five candidates lead protests against the alleged manipulation of the delegate list in favour of Kantigi. The protests forced primary committee chairman Lawrence Ewhrudjakpo to postpone the primary until the next day.[26] On 26 May, the five candidates finally contested the indirect primary that ended with Kantigi emerging as the PDP nominee after results showed him winning over 80% of delegates' votes.[27] A few weeks later, Samuel Gomna was picked as the deputy gubernatorial nominee; it was noted that Gomna was a Christian making the ticket the first religiously diverse PDP ticket since 2007.[28] In November, a lawsuit from Mohammed Sani Idris Legbo Kutigi that challenged the primary results was dismissed.[29]
After the primaries, the major party nominees—mostly Bago (APC)—spent months attempting to reconcile with aggrieved members of their own parties. Bago went on a reconciliatory tour around the state to meet party members; these APC reconciliation attempts occurred all while the PDP conversely tried to woo aggrieved APC members into the party. Analysts questioned the effectiveness of Bago's tour, especially amid other disputes within the state APC.[35] In early 2023, campaign analysis focused on the divides between urban-rural electorates with reports stating that Bago led in his native city of Minna while Kantigi led in Nupe-majority rural communities of the state's south.[36] But the campaign was derailed by controversy in mid-February, when a video surfaced showing Kantigi issuing death threats against voters who planned to take his bribes but not eventually vote for him.[37] Later in February, attention largely switched to the presidential election on 25 February. In the election, Niger State voted for Bola Tinubu (APC); Tinubu won 48.2% of the vote, beating the 36.6% of Atiku Abubakar (PDP) and the 10.3% of Peter Obi (LP). In the wake of the result, the EiE-SBM forecast projected Bago to win.
Source | Projection | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
[38] | Lean Bago | 17 March 2023 | |
Enough is Enough- | Bago | 2 March 2023 | |
Due to widespread insecurity in the state, civil society groups raised concern about the safe conduct of the election in heavily insecure areas.[39]
The results of the election by senatorial district.
Senatorial District | Mohammed Umar Bago APC | Isah Liman Kantigi PDP | Others | Total Valid Votes | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | ||||||||||
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Niger East Senatorial District | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Niger North Senatorial District | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Niger South Senatorial District | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD |
Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
The results of the election by federal constituency.
Federal Constituency | Mohammed Umar Bago APC | Isah Liman Kantigi PDP | Others | Total Valid Votes | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | ||||||||||
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Agaie/Lapai Federal Constituency | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Agwara/Borgu Federal Constituency | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Bida/Gbako/Katcha Federal Constituency | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Bosso/Paikoro Federal Constituency | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Chanchaga Federal Constituency | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Gurara/Suleja/Tafa Federal Constituency | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Kontagora/Wushishi/Mariga/Mashegu Federal Constituency | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Lavun/Mokwa/Edati Federal Constituency | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Magama/Rijau Federal Constituency | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Shiroro/Rafi/Munya Federal Constituency | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD |
Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
The results of the election by local government area.
LGA | Mohammed Umar Bago APC | Isah Liman Kantigi PDP | Others | Total Valid Votes | Turnout Percentage | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | ||||||||||||
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Agaie | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Agwara | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Bida | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Borgu | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Bosso | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Chanchaga | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Edati | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Gbako | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Gurara | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Katcha | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Kontagora | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Lapai | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Lavun | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Magama | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Mariga | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Mashegu | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Mokwa | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Munya | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Paikoro | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Rafi | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Rijau | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Shiroro | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Suleja | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Tafa | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | Wushishi | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | TBD | bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" | % |
Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |