2023 Gombe State gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:2023 Gombe State gubernatorial election
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2019 Gombe State gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2019
Next Election:2027 Gombe State gubernatorial election
Next Year:2027
Election Date:18 March 2023
Registered:1,575,794
Party1:All Progressives Congress
Party2:Peoples Democratic Party (Nigeria)
Map Size:220px
Governor
Before Election:Muhammad Inuwa Yahaya
Before Party:All Progressives Congress
After Election:Muhammad Inuwa Yahaya
After Party:All Progressives Congress

The 2023 Gombe State gubernatorial election will take place on 18 March 2023, to elect the Governor of Gombe State, concurrent with elections to the Gombe State House of Assembly as well as twenty-seven other gubernatorial elections and elections to all other state houses of assembly.[1] [2] The election—which was postponed from its original 11 March date—will be held three weeks after the presidential election and National Assembly elections.[3] Incumbent APC Governor Muhammad Inuwa Yahaya is running for a second term and was renominated by his party.

The primaries, scheduled for between 4 April and 9 June 2022, resulted in Yahaya being renominated by the All Progressives Congress unopposed on 26 May while the Peoples Democratic Party nominated businessman Mohammed Jibrin Barde on 25 May.

Electoral system

The Governor of Gombe State is elected using a modified two-round system. To be elected in the first round, a candidate must receive the plurality of the vote and over 25% of the vote in at least two-thirds of state local government areas. If no candidate passes this threshold, a second round will be held between the top candidate and the next candidate to have received a plurality of votes in the highest number of local government areas.

Background

Gombe State is a small, diverse northeastern state with a growing economy and vast natural areas but facing an underdeveloped yet vital agricultural sector, desertification, and some inter-ethnic violence.

Politically, the state's 2019 elections were categorized by a large swing towards the state APC. In federal elections, Buhari held the state for the APC while the APC swept all senate seats by gaining two PDP-held seats. Similarly, the APC gained two PDP-held House seats to sweep all House of Representatives elections. On the state level, the APC gained the governorship and the majority in the House of Assembly. The 2019 elections also bridged the political divide between the diverse, Christian-majority Southern region and the mainly Hausa and Fulani, Muslim-majority Northern and Central regions as the former region moved towards the APC in tandem with the latter two regions.[4] During the 2019 to 2023 term, defections rose the PDP's numbers in the federal House while increasing APC numbers in the state assembly.

Over the course of Yahaya's term, his administration stated focuses included education, security, healthcare, and agriculture development. In terms of his performance, Yahaya was praised for healthcare development and high ease of doing business but was criticized for do-nothingness during his first year in office, lack of regular and clean drinking water, the arrests of his critics, and poor handling of the 2021 Mai Tangale appointment which led to deadly religious clashes in Billiri.[5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10]

Primary elections

The primaries, along with any potential challenges to primary results, were to take place between 4 April and 3 June 2022 but the deadline was extended to 9 June.[11]

All Progressives Congress

The year ahead of the APC primary was categorized by a party crisis as the state APC was split between supporters of Senator and former Governor Mohammed Danjuma Goje on one side and the other side supporting incumbent Governor Muhammad Inuwa Yahaya.[12] The crisis forced party officials to take a side and even became violent when an attack on Goje's convoy killed 5 people in November 2021.[13] The crisis also led to some defections from the party, notably when 2019 gubernatorial candidate Jamil Isyaku Gwamna and House of Representatives member Yaya Bauchi Tango both went to the PDP. Although neither Goje nor Yahaya themselves defected, analysts stated that the prolonged party crisis and others' defections could to hurt the APC in the general election.[14] [15]

On the primary date, Yahaya was the sole candidate and won the nomination by voice vote unopposed.[16] In his acceptance speech, Yahaya thanked the party and President Muhammadu Buhari while pledging to continue the work of his administration.[17]

Nominated

Declined

Results

People's Democratic Party

Ahead of the primary, the main questions were around which candidate would receive the support of de facto Gombe PDP leader Ibrahim Hassan Dankwambo along with those perceived as having helped the party since entering opposition in 2019.[20] On the primary date, the six candidates contested an indirect primary that ended with Mohammed Jibrin emerging as the PDP nominee after results showed Jibrin winning just under 50% of the delegates' votes.[21] In late June, Jibrin picked Timothy Danlele—a retired civil servant—as his running mate.

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Results

Minor parties

Campaign

Immediately after the primaries in June 2022, observers stated that the nominees were focusing on unifying their respective parties. Although the main feud between Yahaya and Senator Mohammed Danjuma Goje ended before the primaries, Goje's indifference to campaigning for Yahaya if he remained aggrieved began to be viewed as a potential liability for the APC by pundits while analysts noted that the PDP was concerned about the internal APC truce.[28] A few months later in November, analysis again focused on internal party divides as Goje remained absent from Yahaya's campaign while Jibrin had sided with Rivers State Governor Nyesom Wike in his dispute with PDP presidential nominee Atiku Abubakar.[29] The PDP divide had greatly escalated after a leaked audio alleged showed Jibrin insulting opposing PDP figures coupled with pre-existing tension between Jibrin and primary runner-up Jamil Isyaku Gwamna.[30] Despite reconciliation attempts, Gwamna left the PDP in early December with groups of supporters to rejoin the APC amid a wave of departures from the PDP throughout December.[31] [32]

Just days after the presidential election—in which PDP nominee Atiku Abubakar won Gombe State, Yahaya issued a broad apology to the state's Christian community during a meeting organised by the Gombe CAN chapter. In the presidential election, predominantly Christian areas like Billiri had mainly voted for PDP nominee Atiku Abubakar and LP nominee Peter Obi in the wake of years of criticism of the Gombe APC for alleged anti-Christian discrimination, most notably during the 2020 Chief Judge scandal and the 2021 Mai Tangale crisis.[33] Nevertheless, the EiE-SBM forecast projected Jibrin to win based on "events in the presidential election and the end of Muhammadu Buhari’s influence on northern politics." On the other hand, a piece from Leadership noted that Khamisu Mailantarki (NNPP) could split the opposition vote.[34]

Projections

SourceProjectionAs of
[35] Lean Jibrin17 March 2023
Enough is Enough-
Jibrin2 March 2023

Conduct

Electoral timetable

General election

Results

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial DistrictMuhammad Inuwa Yahaya
APC
Mohammed Jibrin
PDP
OthersTotal Valid Votes
VotesPercentageVotesPercentageVotesPercentage
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" Gombe Central Senatorial Districtbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBD
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" Gombe North Senatorial Districtbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBD
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" Gombe South Senatorial Districtbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal ConstituencyMuhammad Inuwa Yahaya
APC
Mohammed Jibrin
PDP
OthersTotal Valid Votes
VotesPercentageVotesPercentageVotesPercentage
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" Akko Federal Constituencybgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBD
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" Balanga/Billiri Federal Constituencybgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBD
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" Dukku/Nafada Federal Constituencybgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBD
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" Gombe/Kwami/Funakaye Federal Constituencybgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBD
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" Kaltungo/Shongom Federal Constituencybgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBD
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" Yamaltu/Deba Federal Constituencybgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

LGAMuhammad Inuwa Yahaya
APC
Mohammed Jibrin
PDP
OthersTotal Valid VotesTurnout Percentage
VotesPercentageVotesPercentageVotesPercentage
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" Akkobgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" 50919bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" 36759bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center"
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" Balangabgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" 25341bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" 20085bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" Billiribgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" 14752bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" 23066bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" Dukkubgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" 35207bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" 14181bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" Funakayebgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" 30371bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" 17332bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" Gombebgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" 58645bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" 31605bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" Kaltungobgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" 21015bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" 21321bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" Kwamibgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" 33956bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" 17454bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" Nafadabgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" 15025bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" 9378bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" Shongombgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" 13609bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" 13412bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %
bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" Yamaltu/Debabgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" 15443bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" 28538bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %bgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" TBDbgcolor=#c4b5bb align="center" %
Totals 342,821 % 204,593 % TBD % TBD %

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Oyekanmi . Rotimi . It's Official: 2023 Presidential, National Assembly Elections to Hold Feb 25. INEC News . 27 February 2022 . 26 February 2022.
  2. Web site: Jimoh . Abbas . INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections . . 26 February 2022 . 26 February 2022.
  3. Web site: Suleiman . Qosim . It’s Official: INEC postpones Saturday’s governorship, state assembly elections . . 15 March 2023.
  4. Sule . Babayo . The 2019 General Election in Gombe State: An Analysis of the Voting Pattern, Issues, Impacts and its Implications . International Journal of Social Sciences Perspectives . 30 September 2019 . 4 . 2 . 62–75 . 10.33094/7.2017.2019.42.62.75 . 211463973 . 13 April 2022. free .
  5. Web site: Onwuamaeze . Dike . Awofadeji . Segun . Gombe, Sokoto, Jigawa Lead in Ease of Doing Business Survey . . 7 April 2022.
  6. Web site: ICYMI: Top 5, Bottom 5; How first term Governors fared in their first year (May, 2020) . . 17 June 2020 . 7 April 2022 . Inuwa’s one year in office can best be rated as less than average. Though he lays claims to initiating a couple of projects, much of what is visible are traceable to his predecessor, former Governor Dankwambo. For residents of Gombe, especially Gombe metropolis, access to potable water has been herculean, as they have continued to depend on water vendors to survive..
  7. Web site: Azubuike . Chima . Gombe defends detention of govt critic . . 22 December 2021 . 7 April 2022.
  8. Web site: Abdulaziz . Abdulaziz . Two Nigerian politicians detained for 'insulting governor' . . March 2020 . 7 April 2022.
  9. Web site: Azubuike . Chima . Gombe gov intolerant of criticism, publisher shares ordeal . . 24 May 2022 . 26 May 2022.
  10. Web site: Ayitogo . Nasir . SPECIAL REPORT: The true story of fatal religious crisis in Billiri, a peaceful Gombe community . . 11 December 2021 . 7 April 2022.
  11. Web site: James . Dominic . Primaries: INEC Grants Parties Six Extra Days, Timetable Remains Unchanged . INEC News . 28 May 2022.
  12. Web site: Ndujihe . Clifford . Goje, Inuwa's feud tears APC apart in Gombe . . 25 November 2021 . 11 April 2022.
  13. Web site: Aborisade . Sunday . Five killed, many injured in Goje, Gombe gov's men rampage . . 6 November 2021 . 11 April 2022.
  14. Web site: Okon-Ekong . Nseobong . No End in Sight to Gombe APC Crisis . . 11 April 2022.
  15. Web site: Daniel . Son . 2023: Gombe APC still in disarray – Goje insists . . 20 March 2022 . 11 April 2022.
  16. Web site: Azubuike . Chima . Gombe gov wins second term ticket by voice votes . . 26 May 2022 . 26 May 2022.
  17. Web site: Itodo . Yemi . Governor Inuwa wins APC guber primaries in Gombe . . 26 May 2022 . 26 May 2022.
  18. Web site: Azubuike . Chima . Gombe gov declares second term bid, confident of victory . . 2 August 2021 . 2 August 2021.
  19. Web site: Azubuike . Chima . 114 Gombe APC wards sue Pantami, want minister contest election . . 30 March 2022 . 30 March 2022.
  20. Web site: GOMBE 2023: Factors that’ll shape PDP primaries . . 30 June 2022.
  21. Web site: Mu’azu . Rebecca . Gombe Primaries: Jibrin Barde Picks PDP Governorship Ticket . . 7 June 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220526221052/https://von.gov.ng/2022/05/25/gombe-primaries-jibrin-barde-picks-pdp-governorship-ticket/ . 26 May 2022 . Gombe.
  22. Web site: Gombe 2023: Group Squeals Over Serving Perm Sec's Participation In PDP Screening . . 7 May 2022 . 8 May 2022.
  23. Web site: Bukar . Muhammad . Jamil Gwamna rejoins PDP, to contest Gombe governorship . . 23 February 2022 . 28 February 2022.
  24. Web site: Alowolodu . Akanji . 2023 Governorship Race: AA Picks Nuhu Milah As Gombe Candidate . Apex News Exclusive . 7 October 2022.
  25. Web site: FINAL LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR STATE ELECTIONS - Governorship & Houses of Assembly . . 6 October 2022.
  26. Web site: Aramide . Mansur . Oyewole . Rauf . Mailantarki emerges Gombe NNPP guber candidate unopposed . . 7 June 2022 . 7 June 2022.
  27. Web site: Azubuike . Chima . Gombe NNPP gov candidate names running mate . . 8 August 2022.
  28. Web site: Shittu . Sola . 2023: Gombe APC in race for survival . . 5 July 2022.
  29. Web site: Alli . Yusuf . Adeyemi . Kolade . Asishana . Justina . Oota . Linus . Adenuga . David . Shittu . Sola . Jimoh . Adekunle . 2023: Race to Government House (2) . . 21 November 2022.
  30. Web site: Shittu . Sola . Gombe 2023: Many headaches of PDP candidate Barde . . 27 November 2022.
  31. Web site: Yaya . Haruna Gimba . Gombe Politics: Jamil Gwamna, Supporters Dump PDP, Join APC . . 10 December 2022.
  32. Web site: Yaya . Haruna Gimba . Defections Threaten PDP’s Quest To Sack APC In Gombe . . 31 December 2022.
  33. Web site: Azubuike . Chima . Gov Yahaya apologises to Christians in Gombe . . 5 March 2023.
  34. Web site: Presidential Election Results May Affect Guber Races In 10 States . . 17 March 2023.
  35. Web site: Elimian . Adrian . Nigerian Gubernatorial Elections: State Ratings . . 17 March 2023.