| Election Name: | 2023 Ceuta Assembly election |
| Country: | Ceuta |
| Type: | parliamentary |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2019 Ceuta Assembly election |
| Previous Year: | 2019 |
| Next Year: | 2027 |
| Seats For Election: | All 25 seats in the Assembly of Ceuta |
| Majority Seats: | 13 |
| Registered: | 63,301 1.2% |
| Turnout: | 34,685 (54.8%) 0.3 pp |
| Election Date: | 28 May 2023 |
| Leader1: | Juan Jesús Vivas |
| Party1: | People's Party (Spain) |
| Leader Since1: | October 1999 |
| Last Election1: | 9 seats, 31.1% |
| Seats1: | 9 |
| Seat Change1: | 0 |
| Popular Vote1: | 11,774 |
| Percentage1: | 34.3% |
| Swing1: | 3.2 pp |
| Leader2: | Manuel Hernández Peinado |
| Party2: | Spanish Socialist Workers' Party |
| Leader Since2: | 25 July 2015 |
| Last Election2: | 7 seats, 25.6% |
| Seats2: | 6 |
| Seat Change2: | 1 |
| Popular Vote2: | 7,198 |
| Percentage2: | 21.0% |
| Swing2: | 4.6 pp |
| Leader3: | Juan Sergio Redondo |
| Party3: | Vox (political party) |
| Leader Since3: | 22 April 2019 |
| Last Election3: | 6 seats, 22.4% |
| Seats3: | 5 |
| Seat Change3: | 1 |
| Popular Vote3: | 7,073 |
| Percentage3: | 20.6% |
| Swing3: | 1.8 pp |
| Leader4: | Fatima Hamed |
| Party4: | Movement for Dignity and Citizenship |
| Leader Since4: | 27 October 2014 |
| Last Election4: | 2 seats, 7.0% |
| Seats4: | 3 |
| Seat Change4: | 1 |
| Popular Vote4: | 3,848 |
| Percentage4: | 11.2% |
| Swing4: | 4.2 pp |
| Leader5: | Mohamed Mustafa |
| Party5: | Ceuta Ya! |
| Leader Since5: | 15 October 2021 |
| Last Election5: | 1 seat, 6.2% |
| Seats5: | 2 |
| Seat Change5: | 1 |
| Popular Vote5: | 3,442 |
| Percentage5: | 10.0% |
| Swing5: | 3.8 pp |
| Mayor-President | |
| Before Election: | Juan Jesús Vivas |
| Before Party: | People's Party (Spain) |
| After Election: | Juan Jesús Vivas |
| After Party: | People's Party (Spain) |
The 2023 Ceuta Assembly election was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 8th Assembly of the autonomous city of Ceuta. All 25 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The Assembly of Ceuta was the top-tier administrative and governing body of the autonomous city of Ceuta.[1] Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered and residing in the municipality of Ceuta and in full enjoyment of their political rights, as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allowed Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty.[2]
The 25 members of the Assembly of Ceuta were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied.[1] [2]
The Mayor-President was indirectly elected by the plenary assembly. A legal clause required that mayoral candidates earned the vote of an absolute majority of councillors, or else the candidate of the most-voted party in the assembly was to be automatically appointed to the post. In the event of a tie, the appointee would be determined by lot.[1]
The electoral law provides that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors are allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors are required to secure the signature of a determined amount of the electors registered in Ceuta. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[2]
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 13 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Ceuta.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | MDyC | CY! | Lead | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 Assembly election | 28 May 2023 | 54.8 | 34.3 | 21.0 | 20.6 | 11.2 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 10.0 | – | 13.3 | |||
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[3] [4] | 11–17 May 2023 | 250 | ? | 34.1 | 25.0 | 21.3 | 10.3 | 0.8 | – | 7.4 | – | 9.1 | ||
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[5] [6] | 4–10 May 2023 | 250 | ? | 33.4 | 25.3 | 21.6 | 10.4 | 0.8 | – | 7.4 | – | 8.1 | ||
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[7] [8] | 26 Apr–3 May 2023 | 250 | ? | 33.5 | 25.5 | 21.2 | 10.5 | 0.8 | – | 7.5 | – | 8.0 | ||
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[9] [10] | 19–25 Apr 2023 | 250 | ? | 33.5 | 25.8 | 20.8 | 10.2 | 0.6 | – | 7.8 | – | 7.7 | ||
| GAD3/RTVCE[11] | 20–24 Apr 2023 | 803 | ? | 39.3 | 19.5 | 21.3 | 10.8 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 6.0 | – | 18.0 | ||
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[12] [13] | 12–18 Apr 2023 | 250 | ? | 29.7 | 25.6 | 20.2 | 9.7 | 0.6 | – | 8.3 | 4.9 | 4.1 | ||
| SyM Consulting[14] [15] | 7–11 Apr 2023 | 818 | 49.6 | 24.9 | 21.9 | 31.8 | 10.7 | – | – | 7.3 | – | 6.9 | ||
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[16] [17] | 5–11 Apr 2023 | 250 | ? | 30.4 | 25.1 | 19.9 | 9.8 | 0.6 | – | 8.3 | 4.9 | 5.3 | ||
| Dialoga Consultores/CeutaTV[18] | 9 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 35.0 | 31.2 | 18.9 | 5.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 4.2 | 3.8 | ||
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[19] [20] | 27 Mar–4 Apr 2023 | 250 | ? | 31.0 | 24.7 | 19.5 | 9.8 | 0.6 | – | 8.4 | 4.8 | 6.3 | ||
| GAD3/El Pueblo de Ceuta[21] | 23 Jan–10 Feb 2023 | 1,004 | ? | 38.4 | 21.9 | 19.1 | 9.6 | 0.4 | – | 5.0 | 3.1 | 16.5 | ||
| SyM Consulting[22] [23] | 5–9 Dec 2022 | 1,279 | 52.8 | 25.4 | 20.2 | 32.8 | 7.4 | – | – | 9.3 | 1.9 | 7.4 | ||
| GAD3/El Pueblo de Ceuta[24] | 2–14 Sep 2022 | 684 | ? | 36.3 | 20.2 | 18.4 | 7.1 | 0.4 | – | 6.0 | 9.9 | 16.1 | ||
| SyM Consulting[25] [26] | 6–10 Jul 2022 | 1,116 | 53.8 | 25.4 | 20.8 | 31.9 | 9.2 | – | – | 7.2 | 2.2 | 6.5 | ||
| NC Report/El Faro de Ceuta[27] | 3 Feb 2022 | ? | 57.9 | 33.8 | 27.4 | 23.4 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5.7 | – | 6.4 | ||
| SyM Consulting[28] [29] | 16–19 Dec 2021 | 740 | 56.0 | 23.8 | 22.1 | 32.9 | 11.6 | – | – | 5.8 | – | 9.1 | ||
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[30] | 30 Sep 2021 | ? | ? | 28.6 | 23.6 | 25.7 | 10.3 | 9.0 | 1.5 | – | – | – | 2.9 | |
| SyM Consulting[31] [32] | 20–23 May 2021 | 732 | 53.2 | 26.6 | 23.3 | 28.2 | 10.1 | 7.8 | – | – | – | – | 1.6 | |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[33] | 15 Feb 2021 | 400 | ? | 31.7 | 21.1 | 22.4 | 10.2 | 10.4 | 1.9 | – | – | – | 9.3 | |
| SyM Consulting[34] [35] | 9–12 Dec 2020 | 652 | 49.8 | 25.0 | 20.1 | 28.3 | 8.9 | 12.7 | – | – | – | – | 3.3 | |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[36] | 16 Aug–26 Sep 2020 | ? | ? | 38.9 | 22.1 | 15.6 | 10.9 | 8.9 | 2.3 | – | – | – | 16.8 | |
| SyM Consulting[37] [38] | 12–13 Sep 2020 | 687 | 50.8 | 29.8 | 20.5 | 23.4 | 11.4 | 9.7 | – | – | – | – | 6.4 | |
| SyM Consulting[39] [40] | 22–23 Jun 2020 | 564 | 59.3 | 35.4 | 26.1 | 14.5 | 8.3 | 9.2 | 1.8 | – | – | – | 9.3 | |
| SyM Consulting[41] [42] | 25–26 May 2020 | 541 | 65.9 | 39.3 | 18.2 | 8.4 | 16.8 | 12.0 | 1.4 | – | – | – | 21.1 | |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[43] [44] | 1 Apr–15 May 2020 | ? | ? | 40.0 | 24.2 | 16.4 | 7.6 | 6.4 | 2.4 | – | – | – | 15.8 | |
| SyM Consulting[45] [46] | 1–2 Feb 2020 | 534 | 61.7 | 39.1 | 24.9 | 7.9 | 12.5 | 10.1 | 1.6 | – | – | – | 14.2 | |
| November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | 54.0 | 22.3 | 31.3 | 35.2 | 2.5 | – | 3.4 | 3.9 | – | – | 3.9 | ||
| 2019 Assembly election | 26 May 2019 | 54.5 | 31.1 | 25.6 | 22.4 | 7.0 | 6.2 | 4.5 | 1.5 | – | – | 5.5 | ||
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | |||
| People's Party (PP) | 11,774 | 34.34 | +3.22 | 9 | ±0 | ||
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 7,198 | 21.00 | –4.60 | 6 | –1 | ||
| Vox (Vox) | 7,073 | 20.63 | –1.74 | 5 | –1 | ||
| Movement for Dignity and Citizenship (MDyC) | 3,848 | 11.22 | +4.26 | 3 | +1 | ||
| Ceuta Now! (Ceuta Ya | )1 | 3,442 | 10.04 | +3.82 | 2 | +1 | |
| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (CS) | 239 | 0.70 | –3.84 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| We Can (Podemos)2 | 192 | 0.56 | –0.93 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Free (LB) | 122 | 0.36 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Blank ballots | 394 | 1.15 | +0.55 | ||||
| Total | 34,282 | 25 | ±0 | ||||
| Valid votes | 34,282 | 98.84 | –0.30 | ||||
| Invalid votes | 403 | 1.16 | +0.30 | ||||
| Votes cast / turnout | 34,685 | 54.79 | +0.25 | ||||
| Abstentions | 28,616 | 45.21 | –0.25 | ||||
| Registered voters | 63,301 | ||||||
| Sources[47] | |||||||
| Investiture | ||||
| Ballot → | 17 June 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Required majority → | 13 out of 25 | |||
| Absentees | ||||
| Sources[48] | ||||