| Election Name: | 2023 Aragonese regional election |
| Country: | Aragon |
| Type: | parliamentary |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2019 Aragonese regional election |
| Previous Year: | 2019 |
| Next Election: | Next Aragonese regional election |
| Next Year: | Next |
| Seats For Election: | All 67 seats in the Cortes of Aragon |
| Majority Seats: | 34 |
| Opinion Polls: |
|
| Registered: | 1,019,050 0.1% |
| Turnout: | 678,112 (66.5%) 0.3 pp |
| Election Date: | 28 May 2023 |
| Leader1: | Jorge Azcón |
| Party1: | People's Party of Aragon |
| Leader Since1: | 19 December 2021 |
| Leaders Seat1: | Zaragoza |
| Last Election1: | 16 seats, 20.9% |
| Seats1: | 28 |
| Seat Change1: | 12 |
| Popular Vote1: | 237,817 |
| Percentage1: | 35.5% |
| Swing1: | 14.6 pp |
| Leader2: | Javier Lambán |
| Party2: | Socialists' Party of Aragon |
| Leader Since2: | 31 March 2012 |
| Leaders Seat2: | Zaragoza |
| Last Election2: | 24 seats, 30.8% |
| Seats2: | 23 |
| Seat Change2: | 1 |
| Popular Vote2: | 197,919 |
| Percentage2: | 29.6% |
| Swing2: | 1.2 pp |
| Leader3: | Alejandro Nolasco |
| Party3: | Vox (political party) |
| Leader Since3: | 23 December 2022 |
| Leaders Seat3: | Teruel |
| Last Election3: | 3 seats, 6.1% |
| Seats3: | 7 |
| Seat Change3: | 4 |
| Popular Vote3: | 75,349 |
| Percentage3: | 11.2% |
| Swing3: | 5.1 pp |
| Leader4: | José Luis Soro |
| Party4: | Chunta Aragonesista |
| Leader Since4: | 10 February 2012 |
| Leaders Seat4: | Zaragoza |
| Last Election4: | 3 seats, 6.3% |
| Seats4: | 3 |
| Seat Change4: | 0 |
| Popular Vote4: | 34,163 |
| Percentage4: | 5.1% |
| Swing4: | 1.2 pp |
| Leader5: | Tomás Guitarte |
| Party5: | Existe |
| Leader Since5: | 28 January 2023 |
| Leaders Seat5: | Teruel |
| Last Election5: | Did not contest |
| Seats5: | 3 |
| Seat Change5: | 3 |
| Popular Vote5: | 33,190 |
| Percentage5: | 5.0% |
| Swing5: | New party |
| Leader6: | Maru Díaz |
| Party6: | Podemos–AV |
| Leader Since6: | 27 November 2018 |
| Leaders Seat6: | Zaragoza |
| Last Election6: | 5 seats, 8.1% |
| Seats6: | 1 |
| Seat Change6: | 4 |
| Popular Vote6: | 26,923 |
| Percentage6: | 4.0% |
| Swing6: | 4.1 pp |
| Leader7: | Álvaro Sanz |
| Party7: | United Left of Aragon |
| Leader Since7: | 27 May 2017 |
| Leaders Seat7: | Zaragoza |
| Last Election7: | 1 seat, 3.3% |
| Seats7: | 1 |
| Seat Change7: | 0 |
| Popular Vote7: | 20,959 |
| Percentage7: | 3.1% |
| Swing7: | 0.2 pp |
| Leader8: | Alberto Izquierdo |
| Party8: | Aragonese Party |
| Leader Since8: | 10 March 2023 |
| Leaders Seat8: | Teruel |
| Last Election8: | 3 seats, 5.1% |
| Seats8: | 1 |
| Seat Change8: | 2 |
| Popular Vote8: | 13,988 |
| Percentage8: | 2.1% |
| Swing8: | 3.0 pp |
| Leader9: | Carlos Ortas |
| Party9: | CS–Tú Aragón |
| Leader Since9: | 22 March 2023 |
| Leaders Seat9: | Zaragoza (lost) |
| Last Election9: | 12 seats, 16.7% |
| Seats9: | 0 |
| Seat Change9: | 12 |
| Popular Vote9: | 8,595 |
| Percentage9: | 1.3% |
| Swing9: | 15.4 pp |
| President | |
| Before Election: | Javier Lambán |
| Before Party: | Socialists' Party of Aragon |
| After Election: | Jorge Azcón |
| After Party: | People's Party of Aragon |
The 2023 Aragonese regional election was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 11th Cortes of the autonomous community of Aragon. All 67 seats in the Cortes were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The election saw a victory for the People's Party (PP) which, together with the far-right Vox, was able to command a majority of seats in the Cortes. The previous government, formed by the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), Podemos, Aragonese Union (CHA) and the Aragonese Party (PAR) under two-term Aragonese president Javier Lambán, fell five seats short of a majority even with the support of United Left (IU). As a result, PP leader Jorge Azcón was able to become new regional president through a coalition with Vox.
The Cortes of Aragon were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Aragon, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Aragonese Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1] Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Aragon and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" or expat vote system (Spanish; Castilian: Voto rogado), under which Spaniards abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote.[2] The expat vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force.[3]
The 67 members of the Cortes of Aragon were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Huesca, Teruel and Zaragoza, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 13 seats and the remaining 28 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in the most populated province did not exceed 2.75 times that of the least populated one).[1] [4]
As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Cortes constituency was entitled the following seats:[5]
| Seats | Constituencies | |
|---|---|---|
| 35 | Zaragoza | |
| 18 | Huesca | |
| 14 | Teruel |
The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[6]
The term of the Cortes of Aragon expired four years after the date of their previous election, unless they were dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Aragon (BOA), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 26 May 2019, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 26 May 2023. The election decree was required to be published in the BOA no later than 2 May 2023, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Assembly on Sunday, 25 June 2023.[1] [4] [7]
The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Aragon and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Cortes were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[1]
In November 2021, following emerging speculation on possible snap elections in Andalusia and Castile and León to be called by the spring of 2022,[8] as well as a similar move in the Valencian Community being considered by Valencian president Ximo Puig,[9] it transpired that Lambán had been evaluating the opportunity of a simultaneous early election in Aragon in order to catch the regional People's Party (PP) leaderless and off-guard and to benefit from an improving economic situation.[10] Lambán himself ruled out such possibility on 11 November and maintained that the election would be held in May 2023.[11]
The Cortes of Aragon were officially dissolved on 4 April 2023 after the publication of the dissolution decree in the BOA, setting the election date for 28 May and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 23 June.[5]
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Cortes at the time of dissolution.[12]
| Groups | Parties | Legislators | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | Total | |||||
| Socialist Parliamentary Group | PSOE | 24 | 24 | |||
| People's Parliamentary Group in the Cortes of Aragon | PP | 16 | 16 | |||
| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry Parliamentary Group | CS | 12 | 12 | |||
| We Can–Equo Aragon Parliamentary Group | Podemos | 5 | 5 | |||
| Aragonese Union Parliamentary Group | CHA | 3 | 3 | |||
| Vox Parliamentary Group in Aragon | Vox | 3 | 3 | |||
| Aragonese Parliamentary Group | PAR | 3 | 3 | |||
| Mixed Parliamentary Group | IU | 1 | 1 | |||
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[4] [7]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
| Candidacy | Parties and alliances | Leading candidate | Ideology | Previous result | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | ||||||||
| PSOE | Javier Lambán | Social democracy | 30.84% | [13] [14] [15] | |||||
| PP | Jorge Azcón | Conservatism Christian democracy | 20.87% | [16] [17] [18] [19] | |||||
| CS– Tú Aragón | Carlos Ortas | Liberalism | 16.67% | [20] [21] | |||||
| Podemos–AV | Maru Díaz | Left-wing populism Direct democracy Democratic socialism | 8.11% | [22] | |||||
| CHA | José Luis Soro | Aragonese nationalism Eco-socialism | 6.26% | [23] | |||||
| Vox | Alejandro Nolasco | Right-wing populism Ultranationalism National conservatism | 6.08% | [24] | |||||
| PAR | Alberto Izquierdo | Regionalism Centrism | 5.08% | [25] [26] | |||||
| IU | Álvaro Sanz | Socialism Communism | 3.32% | [27] | |||||
| Existe | Tomás Guitarte | Localism Ruralism | [28] [29] | ||||||
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 34 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Aragon.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Existe | Lead | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 regional election | 28 May 2023 | 66.5 | 29.6 | 35.5 | 1.3 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 11.2 | 2.1 | 3.1 | – | – | 5.0 | – | 5.9 | ||
| GAD3/RTVE–FORTA[34] | 12–27 May 2023 | 1,100 | ? | 28.1 | 37.1 | 1.3 | 6.0 | 5.7 | 12.1 | 2.1 | 2.9 | – | – | 2.6 | – | 9.0 | |
| NC Report/La Razón[35] | 22 May 2023 | ? | ? | 31.3 | 35.0 | – | 5.3 | 4.9 | 8.9 | – | 3.7 | – | – | 3.9 | – | 3.7 | |
| KeyData/Público[36] | 19 May 2023 | ? | 67.0 | 31.1 | 34.7 | 2.4 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 9.1 | 2.1 | 3.9 | – | – | 4.2 | – | 3.6 | |
| Data10/OKDiario[37] | 15–17 May 2023 | 1,500 | ? | 30.2 | 33.8 | 2.3 | 5.6 | 5.4 | 9.4 | 2.4 | 3.7 | – | – | 4.2 | – | 3.6 | |
| Target Point/El Debate[38] | 12–17 May 2023 | 803 | ? | 29.8 | 34.0 | ? | ? | ? | 9.8 | ? | ? | – | – | 4.1 | – | 4.2 | |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[39] [40] | 11–17 May 2023 | 600 | ? | 29.2 | 33.6 | 2.5 | 6.2 | 5.6 | 10.4 | 2.0 | 3.6 | – | – | 3.1 | – | 4.4 | |
| A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[41] | 10–17 May 2023 | 4,800 | 67.8 | 29.9 | 34.6 | 1.9 | 6.0 | 6.9 | 8.4 | 2.3 | 3.1 | – | – | 5.7 | – | 4.7 | |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[42] [43] | 10–17 May 2023 | 1,243 | ? | 32.7 | 36.4 | 1.3 | 4.5 | 6.2 | 9.7 | 1.8 | 2.5 | – | – | 3.1 | – | 3.7 | |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[44] | 8–14 May 2023 | ? | ? | 29.8 | 33.9 | 2.9 | 5.6 | 4.6 | 9.9 | 2.1 | 3.9 | – | – | 4.0 | – | 4.1 | |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[45] [46] | 4–10 May 2023 | 600 | ? | 29.2 | 33.2 | 2.5 | 6.1 | 5.6 | 10.3 | 2.0 | 3.6 | – | – | 3.6 | – | 4.0 | |
| IMOP/El Confidencial[47] | 2–3 May 2023 | 1,048 | ? | 32.6 | 34.5 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 9.2 | 2.4 | 3.8 | – | – | 2.6 | – | 1.9 | |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[48] [49] | 26 Apr–3 May 2023 | 600 | ? | 29.5 | 33.1 | 3.1 | 6.2 | 5.7 | 10.3 | 2.5 | 3.6 | – | – | 4.5 | – | 3.6 | |
| CIS[50] [51] | 10–26 Apr 2023 | 1,556 | ? | 31.1 | 36.2 | 1.3 | 6.4 | 5.5 | 7.3 | 1.6 | 4.2 | – | – | 3.4 | – | 5.1 | |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[52] [53] | 19–25 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 29.4 | 33.3 | 3.1 | 6.2 | 5.7 | 10.3 | 2.5 | 3.6 | – | – | 4.3 | – | 3.9 | |
| Simple Lógica/elDiario.es[54] | 12–20 Apr 2023 | 854 | 65.1 | 28.4 | 29.9 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 6.4 | 10.0 | 1.4 | 5.0 | – | – | 7.5 | – | 1.5 | |
| A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[55] | 12–19 Apr 2023 | 4,800 | 68.2 | 33.6 | 38.0 | 2.7 | 5.4 | 6.3 | 5.2 | 3.5 | 3.3 | – | – | 0.9 | – | 4.4 | |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[56] [57] | 12–18 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 29.7 | 32.3 | 3.0 | 6.5 | 5.9 | 10.9 | 3.0 | 3.3 | – | – | 4.0 | – | 2.6 | |
| NC Report/La Razón[58] | 7–14 Apr 2023 | ? | 65.7 | 29.6 | 34.9 | 2.3 | 5.5 | 4.6 | 8.8 | 2.3 | 4.1 | – | – | 5.4 | – | 5.3 | |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[59] [60] | 5–11 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 30.2 | 30.7 | 3.0 | 6.7 | 6.4 | 10.8 | 3.8 | 2.9 | – | – | 4.2 | – | 0.5 | |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[61] | 3–7 Apr 2023 | 1,200 | ? | 29.0 | 33.5 | 2.6 | 6.0 | 4.6 | 9.9 | 2.4 | 3.7 | – | – | 5.2 | – | 4.5 | |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural[62] [63] | 27 Mar–4 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 29.9 | 30.4 | 3.0 | 6.8 | 6.4 | 11.0 | 3.9 | 2.9 | – | – | 4.4 | – | 0.5 | |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[64] [65] | 27 Mar–4 Apr 2023 | 1,315 | ? | 31.2 | 33.4 | 3.5 | 5.7 | 5.2 | 9.3 | 1.8 | 4.0 | – | – | 4.6 | – | 2.2 | |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[66] | 14–30 Mar 2023 | 372 | ? | 30.3 | 28.9 | 2.9 | 6.7 | 6.4 | 10.9 | 4.0 | 3.0 | – | – | 4.2 | – | 1.4 | |
| Target Point/El Debate[67] | 15–18 Jan 2023 | 1,001 | ? | 28.7 | 34.0 | 2.2 | 6.9 | 4.6 | 10.5 | 3.1 | 3.6 | – | – | 4.6 | – | 5.3 | |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[68] | 15 Nov–29 Dec 2022 | 362 | ? | 31.9 | 27.6 | 2.9 | 6.7 | 10.6 | 4.5 | 9.5 | – | 4.0 | – | 4.3 | |||
| CIS[69] [70] | 17 Nov–2 Dec 2022 | 324 | ? | 41.7 | 26.0 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 6.3 | 1.0 | 7.3 | – | 4.7 | 0.2 | 15.7 | |||
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[71] [72] | 14–17 Nov 2022 | 1,000 | ? | 28.5 | 29.6 | 1.8 | 8.0 | 8.1 | 10.9 | 3.3 | 3.8 | – | – | 4.4 | – | 1.1 | |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[73] | 3–7 Oct 2022 | 1,200 | ? | 27.0 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 5.8 | 5.3 | 15.3 | 3.3 | 4.4 | – | – | 3.8 | – | 5.3 | |
| A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[74] | 27 Sep–6 Oct 2022 | 3,600 | 68.5 | 31.9 | 32.0 | 4.4 | 6.2 | 7.0 | 6.6 | 3.9 | 3.2 | – | – | 2.3 | – | 0.1 | |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[75] | 14 Aug–28 Sep 2022 | 204 | ? | 33.0 | 27.2 | 3.0 | 6.7 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 9.0 | – | 3.9 | – | 5.8 | |||
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[76] | 31 Mar–15 May 2022 | 180 | ? | 32.8 | 25.9 | 3.1 | 6.8 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 8.9 | – | 4.5 | – | 6.9 | |||
| A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[77] | 4–18 Apr 2022 | 3,600 | 69.8 | 30.6 | 32.4 | 5.1 | 6.3 | 6.6 | 7.0 | 4.4 | 3.7 | – | – | 2.2 | – | 1.8 | |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[78] | 16 Nov–29 Dec 2021 | ? | ? | 33.5 | 26.5 | 3.3 | 7.0 | 10.3 | 4.3 | 8.7 | – | 4.3 | – | 7.0 | |||
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[79] | 30 Jun–13 Aug 2021 | 251 | ? | 30.9 | 29.5 | 3.4 | 7.3 | 10.1 | 4.7 | 8.3 | – | 3.0 | – | 1.4 | |||
| A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[80] [81] | 12–19 Apr 2021 | 3,600 | 69.3 | 32.7 | 31.2 | 4.9 | 5.9 | 7.2 | 7.5 | 4.4 | 3.8 | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | |
| SyM Consulting[82] [83] | 1–3 Mar 2021 | 1,938 | 65.7 | 33.5 | 23.2 | 5.3 | 6.9 | 6.6 | 12.8 | 5.4 | 2.5 | – | – | – | – | 10.3 | |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[84] | 12 Jul–13 Aug 2020 | ? | ? | 30.7 | 25.5 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 5.1 | 8.9 | 3.6 | 2.9 | – | – | 3.1 | – | 5.2 | |
| ? | 31.9 | 26.0 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 5.4 | 9.0 | 4.3 | 2.9 | – | – | – | – | 5.9 | ||||
| SyM Consulting[85] [86] | 28–30 May 2020 | 1,952 | 68.2 | 28.8 | 25.4 | 7.2 | 8.2 | 5.7 | 14.4 | 4.8 | 2.0 | – | – | – | – | 3.4 | |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[87] [88] | 1 Apr–15 May 2020 | ? | ? | 33.2 | 26.5 | 8.7 | 8.4 | 5.4 | 7.8 | 4.2 | 2.9 | – | – | – | – | 6.7 | |
| November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | 69.3 | 30.7 | 23.9 | 8.6 | 0.3 | 17.0 | – | 10.8 | 3.3 | 2.8 | – | 6.8 | ||||
| 2019 regional election | 26 May 2019 | 66.2 | 30.8 | 20.9 | 16.7 | 8.1 | 6.3 | 6.1 | 5.1 | 3.3 | – | – | – | – | 9.9 | ||
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Existe | Lead | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 regional election | 28 May 2023 | 19.9 | 23.9 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 7.6 | 1.4 | 2.1 | – | – | 3.4 | 30.8 | 4.0 | |||
| CIS | 10–26 Apr 2023 | 1,556 | 22.1 | 25.2 | 0.7 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 5.4 | 0.9 | 2.6 | – | – | 2.2 | 26.6 | 3.4 | 3.1 | |
| CIS | 17 Nov–2 Dec 2022 | 324 | 28.7 | 17.0 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 4.8 | – | 5.0 | – | 2.6 | 29.3 | 4.5 | 11.7 | |||
| November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | 21.8 | 16.9 | 6.1 | 0.2 | 12.1 | 0.0 | 7.6 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 28.5 | 4.9 | |||||
| 2019 regional election | 26 May 2019 | 20.8 | 14.1 | 11.3 | 5.5 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 2.2 | – | – | – | 31.9 | 6.7 | |||
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Government of Aragon.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None/ Not care | Lead | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMOP/El Confidencial | 2–3 May 2023 | 1,048 | 28.7 | 19.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9.0 | ||
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 3–7 Apr 2023 | 1,200 | 30.2 | 29.4 | – | 3.0 | 6.2 | 5.5 | – | 9.6 | – | 2.9 | 3.1 | 10.1 | – | – | 0.8 | ||
| A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[89] | 14–18 Jan 2023 | 1,400 | 33.4 | 32.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 34.3 | 1.1 | |||
| SocioMétrica/El Español[90] | 3–7 Oct 2022 | 1,200 | 24.9 | 31.7 | 4.0 | – | 6.0 | 6.1 | 11.3 | – | 5.7 | – | 3.5 | 6.8 | – | – | 6.8 | ||
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president.
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | |||
| People's Party (PP) | 237,817 | 35.51 | +14.64 | 28 | +12 | ||
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 197,919 | 29.55 | –1.29 | 23 | –1 | ||
| Vox (Vox) | 75,349 | 11.25 | +5.17 | 7 | +4 | ||
| Aragonese Union (CHA) | 34,163 | 5.10 | –1.16 | 3 | ±0 | ||
| Exists Coalition (Existe) | 33,190 | 4.96 | New | 3 | +3 | ||
| We Can–Green Alliance (Podemos–AV) | 26,923 | 4.02 | –4.09 | 1 | –4 | ||
| United Left of Aragon (IU) | 20,959 | 3.13 | –0.19 | 1 | ±0 | ||
| Aragonese Party (PAR) | 13,988 | 2.09 | –2.99 | 1 | –2 | ||
| Citizens–You Aragon (CS–Tú Aragón) | 8,595 | 1.28 | –15.39 | 0 | –12 | ||
| Animalist Party with the Environment (PACMA)1 | 3,343 | 0.50 | –0.18 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Blank Seats to Leave Empty Seats (EB) | 2,860 | 0.43 | +0.21 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Federation of Independents of Aragon (FIA) | 1,248 | 0.19 | +0.07 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Greens Equo (Equo) | 1,156 | 0.17 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Communist Party of the Workers of Spain (PCTE) | 878 | 0.13 | +0.05 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Lower Cinca Between Everyone (ETXSBC) | 541 | 0.08 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Blank ballots | 10,846 | 1.62 | +0.64 | ||||
| Total | 669,775 | 67 | ±0 | ||||
| Valid votes | 669,775 | 98.77 | –0.56 | ||||
| Invalid votes | 8,337 | 1.23 | +0.56 | ||||
| Votes cast / turnout | 678,112 | 66.54 | +0.38 | ||||
| Abstentions | 340,938 | 33.46 | –0.38 | ||||
| Registered voters | 1,019,050 | ||||||
| Sources[91] | |||||||
| Constituency | PP | PSOE | Vox | CHA | Existe | Podemos | IU | PAR | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S |
| Huesca | 35.2 | 8 | 30.1 | 7 | 10.1 | 2 | 5.5 | 1 | 3.2 | − | 3.9 | − | 2.6 | − | 3.3 | − | |||||||||||||||
| Teruel | 31.1 | 5 | 22.8 | 4 | 10.5 | 1 | 2.0 | − | 20.7 | 3 | 1.9 | − | 2.2 | − | 6.5 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| Zaragoza | 36.2 | 15 | 30.5 | 12 | 11.6 | 4 | 5.5 | 2 | 3.0 | − | 4.4 | 1 | 3.4 | 1 | 1.1 | − | |||||||||||||||
| Total | 35.5 | 28 | 29.6 | 23 | 11.2 | 7 | 5.1 | 3 | 5.0 | 3 | 4.0 | 1 | 3.1 | 1 | 2.1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| Sources | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Investiture Jorge Azcón (PP) | |||
| Ballot → | 10 August 2023 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Required majority → | 34 out of 67 | ||
| Abstentions | |||
| Absentees | |||
| Sources[92] | |||