2022 Vermont gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:2022 Vermont gubernatorial election
Country:Vermont
Ongoing:no
Type:presidential
Election Date:November 8, 2022
Previous Year:2020
Previous Election:2020 Vermont gubernatorial election
Next Year:2024
Next Election:2024 Vermont gubernatorial election
Image1:Phil Scott 2019 (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Phil Scott
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:202,147
Percentage1:70.91%
Nominee2:Brenda Siegel
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Alliance2:Vermont Progressive Party
Popular Vote2:68,248
Percentage2:23.94%
Governor
Before Election:Phil Scott
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Phil Scott
After Party:Republican Party (United States)
Turnout:57.62%

The 2022 Vermont gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Vermont. Incumbent Republican governor Phil Scott won re-election to a fourth term in a landslide, defeating Democratic nominee Brenda Siegel.[1] [2]

This race was one of six Republican-held governorships up for election in 2022 in a state carried by Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election. During the 2022 season, Scott enjoyed one of the highest approval ratings of any governor in the nation, and was expected to easily win reelection. As such, he carried every municipality in the state, this time with the largest margin in a Vermont gubernatorial race since Howard Dean's landslide in 1996. Scott's 47-point victory margin was the largest for a Republican candidate since 1950, even while Democratic congressman Peter Welch won the concurrent U.S. Senate election by a 40-point margin.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Results

Progressive primary

Candidates

Withdrew after winning primary

Replacement nominee

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Results

Independents

Candidates

Declared

Write-ins

Due to Vermont's completely unrestricted write-in laws, many high school students across the United States were legally able to run for governor.

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[15] March 4, 2022
align=left Inside Elections[16] July 22, 2022
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] August 18, 2022
align=left Politico[18] November 3, 2022
align=left RCP[19] November 1, 2022
align=left Fox News[20] August 22, 2022
538[21] August 26, 2022
Elections Daily[22] November 7, 2022

Polling

Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Phil
Scott (R)
Brenda
Siegel (D/P)
OtherUndecided
Data for Progress (D)October 21–26, 20221,039 (LV)± 3.0%65%24%5%6%
University of New HampshireSeptember 29 – October 3 2022865 (LV)± 3.5%48%31%9%13%
The Trafalgar Group (R)September 3–7, 20221,072 (LV)± 2.9%68%15%5%12%
University of New HampshireJuly 21–25, 2022651 (LV)± 3.8%60%16%8%16%
Phil Scott vs. generic opponent

Results

See also

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. News: Cutler, Calvin . May 17, 2022 . Phil Scott to seek 4th term as Vermont governor . . live . May 17, 2022 . https://archive.today/20220517144824/https://www.wcax.com/2022/05/17/phil-scott-seek-4th-term-vermont-governor/ . May 17, 2022.
  2. Web site: Brenda Siegel wins Democratic nomination for Governor Vermont Business Magazine . 2022-10-17 . vermontbiz.com.
  3. Web site: 2022 Primary Candidate Listing. Vermont Secretary of State. May 9, 2022.
  4. Web site: Buckle up: Vermont's Robust August Primary Contests Take Shape .
  5. Web site: General Election 2022 . 2022-08-30 . The Vermont Progressive Party . en-US.
  6. Web site: General Election Candidates . 2022-08-30 . sos.vermont.gov.
  7. Web site: Cutler . Calvin . Three Vt. Democratic primary winners to run as fusion candidates . August 25, 2022 . 2022-08-30 . wcax.com . en.
  8. Web site: Vermont activist Brenda Siegel launches Democratic bid for governor. Sarah. Mearhoff. May 2, 2022. VTDigger.
  9. Web site: Gunzburger. Ron. Politics1 - Online Guide to Vermont Politics. 2021-06-06. www.politics1.com. en.
  10. Web site: Senate President Pro Tem Becca Balint to run for Congress | Vermont Business Magazine. December 13, 2021. Vermont Biz.
  11. Web site: December 6, 2021. Lt. Gov. Molly Gray announces run for Vermont's sole US House seat. December 6, 2021. myNBC5.com. en-US.
  12. Web site: Racine Mulls Run for Governor . The Vermont Political Observer . February 21, 2022 . February 24, 2022 .
  13. Web site: Vt. Democrats testing the waters for Gov. Scott challenge. Cutler, Calvin. March 4, 2022. WCAX.com.
  14. Web site: 14-year-old Nevada boy is running for governor in Vermont (because legally, he can). March 28, 2022. Hall, Dave. Fox 5 Vegas.
  15. Web site: 2022 Governor Race Ratings . The Cook Political Report . January 14, 2021.
  16. Web site: February 19, 2021 . Gubernatorial Ratings . Inside Elections.
  17. Web site: 2022 Gubernatorial race ratings . Sabato's Crystal Ball . March 11, 2021.
  18. Web site: Vermont Governor Race 2022. April 1, 2022 . Politico.
  19. Web site: January 10, 2022 . 2022 Governor Races. January 10, 2022 . RCP.
  20. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . Fox News . August 22, 2022 . August 22, 2022.
  21. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . June 30, 2022 . June 30, 2022.
  22. Web site: Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings . Szymanski . Joe . Elections Daily . November 7, 2022 . November 28, 2022.