See also: 2022 United States Senate elections.
Election Name: | 2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire |
Country: | New Hampshire |
Type: | presidential |
Previous Election: | 2016 United States Senate election in New Hampshire |
Previous Year: | 2016 |
Next Election: | 2028 United States Senate election in New Hampshire |
Next Year: | 2028 |
Election Date: | November 8, 2022 |
Image1: | Maggie Hassan, official portrait, 115th Congress.jpg |
Nominee1: | Maggie Hassan |
Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 332,490 |
Percentage1: | 53.54% |
Nominee2: | Don Bolduc |
Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 275,631 |
Percentage2: | 44.39% |
Map Size: | x245px |
U.S. senator | |
Before Election: | Maggie Hassan |
Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
After Election: | Maggie Hassan |
After Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
The 2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New Hampshire.[1] The primary elections were held on September 13, 2022.[2] Incumbent Senator Maggie Hassan was re-elected over Republican retired brigadier general Don Bolduc by an unexpectedly large margin of 9.1% that surpassed most polls. Hassan won her initial bid for this seat in 2016 by only 1,017 votes or 0.14%.[3] This election marked the first time a Democrat won re-election to New Hampshire's class 3 Senate seat.
Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: Participant Absent Non-invitee Invitee Withdrawn | ||||||||||
Don Bolduc | Kevin Smith | Chuck Morse | Vikram Mansharamani | Bruce Fenton | ||||||
1 | June 27, 2022 | NH Journal | Michael Graham Alicia Xanthopolous Haris Alic | Link[23] | ||||||
2[24] | August 16, 2022 | Good Morning New Hampshire | Jack Heath | N/A | ||||||
3 | August 24, 2022 | Newsmax | John Bachmann | N | ||||||
4 | September 8, 2022 | New Hampshire Institute of Politics WMUR | YouTube |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Don Bolduc | Bruce Fenton | Vikram Mansharamani | Chuck Morse | Kevin Smith | Other | Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | September 7–8, 2022 | 559 (LV) | – | 33% | 4% | 6% | 23% | 9% | – | 25% | |||
University of New Hampshire | August 25–29, 2022 | 892 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 5% | 5% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 20% | |||
Saint Anselm College | August 9–11, 2022 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 32% | 4% | 2% | 16% | 4% | 2% | 39% | |||
University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 315 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 33% | 1% | – | 2% | 4% | 1% | 58% |
Source | Ranking | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
align=left | The Cook Political Report[29] | August 18, 2022 | |
align=left | Inside Elections[30] | July 1, 2022 | |
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] | August 31, 2022 | |
Politico[32] | November 3, 2022 | ||
RCP[33] | January 10, 2022 | ||
align=left | Fox News[34] | September 20, 2022 | |
DDHQ[35] | October 24, 2022 | ||
538[36] | November 1, 2022 | ||
The Economist[37] | November 1, 2022 |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Maggie Hassan (D) | Don Bolduc (R) | Other | Margin | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | October 28 – November 1, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 48.7% | 47.3% | 4.0% | Hassan +1.4 | |||
FiveThirtyEight | September 23 – November 5, 2022 | November 8, 2022 |
| 48.8% | 46.6% | 4.6% |
| Hassan +2.2 | |
270towin | October 27 – November 4, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 49.2% | 46.0% | 4.8% | Hassan +3.2 | |||
Average |
| 48.9% | 46.6% | 4.5% |
| Hassan +2.3 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Maggie Hassan (D) | Don Bolduc (R) | Other | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Phillips Academy | November 5–6, 2022 | 1,056 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 45% | 2% | 6% | ||
University of New Hampshire | November 2–6, 2022 | 2,077 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 50% | 48% | 1% | <1% | ||
InsiderAdvantage (R) | November 5, 2022 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 48% | 1% | 2% | ||
Data for Progress (D) | November 2–5, 2022 | 1,995 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 50% | 47% | 2% | – | ||
Wick Insights (R) | November 2–5, 2022 | 725 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 48% | 2% | 1% | ||
Emerson College | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 45% | 3% | 3% | ||
50% | 46% | 5% | – | ||||||
The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 47% | 4% | 3% | ||
Saint Anselm College | October 28–29, 2022 | 1,541 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 48% | 2% | 3% | ||
co/efficient (R) | October 25–26, 2022 | 1,098 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 45% | 3% | 7% | ||
UMass Lowell/YouGov | October 14–25, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 51% | 41% | 3% | 5% | ||
InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 23, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 47% | 3% | 3% | ||
Emerson College | October 18–19, 2022 | 727 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 45% | 3% | 4% | ||
50% | 45% | 5% | – | ||||||
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) | October 17–19, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | – | 4% | ||
Data for Progress (D) | October 14–19, 2022 | 1,392 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 44% | 3% | 4% | ||
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | October 2–6, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 45% | 2% | 1% | ||
The Trafalgar Group (R) | September 26–30, 2022 | 1,081 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 45% | 4% | 3% | ||
Data for Progress (D) | September 23–30, 2022 | 1,147 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 43% | 3% | 4% | ||
Saint Anselm College | September 27–28, 2022 | 901 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 43% | 4% | 4% | ||
Suffolk University | September 23–26, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 41% | 3% | 7% | ||
American Research Group | September 15–19, 2022 | 555 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 53% | 40% | – | 7% | ||
University of New Hampshire | September 15–19, 2022 | 870 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 41% | 5% | 5% | ||
Emerson College | September 14–15, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 51% | 40% | 4% | 5% | ||
Data for Progress (D) | June 22 – July 8, 2022 | 903 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 45% | – | 6% | ||
Change Research (D) | June 24–27, 2022 | 704 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 40% | – | 11% | ||
University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 868 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 46% | 1% | 6% | ||
Phillips Academy | April 4–8, 2022 | 533 (A) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 40% | – | 15% | ||
471 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 54% | 39% | – | 7% | ||||
Saint Anselm College | March 23–24, 2022 | 1,265 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 39% | 7% | 10% | ||
Saint Anselm College | January 11–12, 2022 | 1,215 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 36% | 10% | 12% | ||
The Trafalgar Group (R) | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 40% | – | 14% | ||
University of New Hampshire | October 14–18, 2021 | 979 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 42% | 6% | 6% | ||
University of New Hampshire | July 15–19, 2021 | 1,540 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 51% | 41% | 1% | 6% | ||
University of New Hampshire | February 18–22, 2021 | 1,676 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 52% | 39% | 2% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Maggie Hassan (D) | Kelly Ayotte (R) | Other | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire | October 14–18, 2021 | 979 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 43% | 7% | 5% | ||
University of New Hampshire | July 15–19, 2021 | 1,540 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 45% | 3% | 3% | ||
University of New Hampshire | February 18–22, 2021 | 1,676 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 48% | 43% | 3% | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Maggie Hassan (D) | Chuck Morse (R) | Other | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D) | June 22 – July 8, 2022 | 903 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | – | 5% | ||
University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 868 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 46% | 1% | 9% | ||
Phillips Academy | April 4–8, 2022 | 533 (A) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 40% | – | 17% | ||
471 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 45% | – | 6% | ||||
Saint Anselm College | March 23–24, 2022 | 1,265 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 36% | 10% | 11% | ||
Saint Anselm College | January 11–12, 2022 | 1,215 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 41% | 27% | 17% | 15% | ||
The Trafalgar Group (R) | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 38% | – | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Maggie Hassan (D) | Kevin Smith (R) | Other | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D) | June 22 – July 8, 2022 | 903 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 45% | – | 6% | ||
University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 868 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 44% | 1% | 10% | ||
Saint Anselm College | March 23–24, 2022 | 1,265 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 34% | 10% | 12% | ||
Saint Anselm College | January 11–12, 2022 | 1,215 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 24% | 17% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Maggie Hassan (D) | Chris Sununu (R) | Other | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Anselm College | October 20–22, 2021 | 1,323 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 41% | 46% | 9% | 4% | ||
University of New Hampshire | October 14–18, 2021 | 979 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 45% | 6% | 6% | ||
Saint Anselm College | August 24–26, 2021 | 1,855 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 41% | 49% | 6% | 4% | ||
University of New Hampshire | July 15–19, 2021 | 1,540 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 49% | 1% | 2% | ||
Saint Anselm College | March 4–6, 2021 | 871 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 41% | 47% | 7% | 6% | ||
University of New Hampshire | February 18–22, 2021 | 1,676 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 46% | 48% | 2% | 5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Other | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fabrizio Ward (R) | October 17–19, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 47% | – | 4% | ||
Phillips Academy | April 4–8, 2022 | 533 (A) | ± 4.2% | 32% | 46% | – | 22% | ||
471 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 36% | 48% | – | 16% | ||||
The Tarrance Group (R) | November 16–18, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 42% | 45% | – | 13% |
Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: Participant Absent Non-invitee Invitee Withdrawn | |||||||
Maggie Hassan | Donald C. Bolduc | ||||||
1 | October 27, 2022 | NHPR | Josh Rogers, Amanda Gokee | YouTube | |||
1 | November 1, 2022 | Saint Anselm College | Adam Sexton | YouTube |
In the early months of the campaign, Hassan maintained a healthy lead in the polls. Polls began to tighten around September 2022 and by late October, a few polls even showed Bolduc with a narrow lead or had the candidates tied. Most pundits concurred that Hassan had a very slight edge and that the race would be extremely tight. However, Hassan won reelection by 9 points, a margin considerably wider than what was expected and one far greater than her 0.14 point plurality in 2016. Hassan's victory made her the first Democrat to win re-election to the class 3 Senate seat in New Hampshire history. This, along with Democrats' comfortable victories in New Hampshire's two House races, affirmed New Hampshire's transition from a closely contested swing state to a clearly Democratic leaning state at the federal level.
2022 Senate election results in New Hampshire (by county) [38] | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Maggie Hassan Democratic | Don Bolduc Republican | Other votes | Total votes | ||||
% | % | % | ||||||
13,669 | 44.4% | 16,591 | 53.9% | 537 | 1.7% | 30,797 | ||
13,708 | 50.5% | 13,014 | 48.0% | 415 | 1.5% | 27,137 | ||
20,083 | 59.1% | 13,241 | 38.9% | 684 | 2.0% | 34,008 | ||
6,059 | 47.0% | 6,491 | 50.3% | 353 | 2.7% | 12,903 | ||
26,337 | 61.6% | 15,544 | 36.3% | 891 | 2.1% | 42,772 | ||
91,776 | 53.2% | 76,862 | 44.6% | 3,738 | 2.2% | 172,376 | ||
39,367 | 55.6% | 29,965 | 42.3% | 1,526 | 2.2% | 70,858 | ||
78,047 | 50.6% | 73,244 | 47.4% | 3,096 | 2.0% | 154,387 | ||
33,240 | 58.7% | 22,217 | 39.2% | 1,161 | 2.1% | 56,618 | ||
9,907 | 51.8% | 8,759 | 45.8% | 453 | 2.4% | 19,119 |
Hassan won both congressional districts.[39]
District | Hassan | Bolduc | Representative | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
53% | 45% | Chris Pappas | ||||
54% | 44% | Annie Kuster |