2022 United States Senate election in Maryland explained

See main article: 2022 United States Senate elections.

Election Name:	2022 United States Senate election in Maryland
Country:	Maryland
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Time Zone:	EST
Previous Election:	2016 United States Senate election in Maryland
Previous Year:	2016
Next Election:	2028 United States Senate election in Maryland
Next Year:	2028
Election Date:	November 8, 2022
Image1:	Chris Van Hollen official portrait 115th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	Chris Van Hollen
Party1:	Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:	1,316,897
Percentage1:	65.77%
Nominee2:	Chris Chaffee
Party2:	Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:	682,293
Percentage2:	34.07%
Map Size:	300px
U.S. senator
Before Election:	Chris Van Hollen
Before Party:	Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:	Chris Van Hollen
After Party:	Democratic Party (United States)

The 2022 United States Senate election in Maryland was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent Maryland. The Democratic and Republican primaries were held on July 19, 2022.^[1]

Incumbent Democratic Senator Chris Van Hollen was first elected in 2016 with 60.9% of the vote, winning the seat of retiring incumbent Barbara Mikulski. He ran for a second term against Chris Chaffee, the Republican nominee.

Shortly after polls closed on November 8, 2022, the Associated Press called the race for Van Hollen.^[2] He overperformed his 2016 numbers and flipped four counties that he lost in his first election: Anne Arundel (home to the state capital Annapolis), Frederick, Kent, and Talbot.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Chris Van Hollen, incumbent U.S. senator^{[3] [4]}

Eliminated in primary

• Michelle Laurence Smith, federal employee and business owner^[5]

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Chris Chaffee, homebuilding contractor and perennial candidate^[6]

Eliminated in primary

• George Davis, engineer
• Nnabu Eze, IT contractor and perennial candidate^{[7] [8]}
• Lorie Friend, nurse^[6]
• Reba Hawkins, business owner and candidate for in 2020
• Jon McGreevey, a.k.a. Ryan Dark White, adult bookstore employee and believer in the QAnon conspiracy theory^{[9] [10] [11]}
• Joseph Perez, IT project manager^[6]
• Todd Puglisi, grocery store clerk
• James Tarantin, entrepreneur^[12]
• John Thormann, contractual consultant^[8]

Declined

• Andy Harris, U.S. Representative for Maryland's 1st congressional district (2011–present) (ran for re-election)^[13]
• Larry Hogan, Governor of Maryland (2015–2023)^[14]

Results

Other candidates

Write-in

Declared

• Scottie Griffin (Democratic)
• Andrew Wildman (unaffiliated)

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report^[15]		March 4, 2022
align=left	Inside Elections^[16]		July 1, 2022
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball^[17]		June 15, 2022
Politico^[18]		April 1, 2022
RCP^[19]		January 10, 2022
align=left	Fox News^[20]		May 12, 2022
DDHQ^[21]		July 20, 2022
538^[22]		June 30, 2022
The Economist^[23]		September 7, 2022

Polling

Chris Van Hollen vs. Larry Hogan

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Chris	Larry Hogan (R)	Other	Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)	November 29 – December 1, 2021	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	37%		49%	–	14%
Change Research (D)	September 29 – October 1, 2020	650 (V)	± 4.6%		50%	34%	–	16%
University of Maryland/Washington Post	October 9–14, 2019	819 (RV)	± 4.5%	42%		50%	3%	5%

Results

By county

County	Chris Van Hollen Democratic		Chris Chaffee Republican		Write-in		Margin		Total votes
	data-sort-type="number"		data-sort-type="number"	%	data-sort-type="number"		data-sort-type="number"	%		data-sort-type="number"		data-sort-type="number"	%	data-sort-type="number"		data-sort-type="number"	%
	Allegany		7,244		33.56		14,326		66.36		17		0.08		-7,082		-32.81		21,587
	Anne Arundel		123,696		57.39		91,471		42.44		377		0.17		32,225		14.95		215,544
	Baltimore		175,417		64.23		97,307		35.63		402		0.15		78,110		28.60		273,126
	Baltimore City		129,257		90.15		13,849		9.66		280		0.19		115,408		80.49		143,386
	Calvert		17,007		45.44		20,382		54.46		37		0.10		-3,375		-9.02		37,426
	Caroline		3,586		33.65		7,054		66.20		16		0.15		-3,468		-32.55		10,656
	Carroll		27,775		38.78		43,761		61.10		90		0.13		-15,986		-22.32		71,626
	Cecil		12,132		36.86		20,725		62.97		56		0.17		-8,593		-26.11		32,913
	Charles		38,270		70.12		16,207		29.70		97		0.18		22,063		40.43		54,574
	Dorchester		4,947		43.12		6,511		56.75		15		0.13		-1,564		-13.63		11,473
	Frederick		58,708		55.26		47,406		44.62		119		0.11		11,302		10.64		106,233
	Garrett		2,608		23.16		8,647		76.78		7		0.06		-6,039		-53.62		11,262
	Harford		45,273		43.90		57,713		55.96		150		0.14		-12,440		-12.06		103,136
	Howard		92,205		70.90		37,617		28.92		230		0.18		54,588		41.97		130,052
	Kent		4,461		52.95		3,950		46.88		14		0.17		511		6.07		8,425
	Montgomery		276,482		80.59		65,956		19.23		634		0.18		210,526		61.36		343,072
	Prince George's		218,726		91.04		21,127		8.79		398		0.17		197,599		82.25		240,251
	Queen Anne's		8,710		38.19		14,064		61.67		31		0.14		-5,354		-23.48		22,805
	Somerset		2,656		39.02		4,146		60.91		5		0.07		-1,490		-21.89		6,807
	St. Mary's		15,656		41.67		21,869		58.21		43		0.11		-6,213		-16.54		37,568
	Talbot		9,028		51.33		8,548		48.60		13		0.07		480		2.73		17,589
	Washington		19,420		40.00		29,072		59.87		64		0.13		-9,652		-19.88		48,556
	Wicomico		14,296		46.98		16,104		52.92		32		0.10		-1,808		-5.94		30,432
	Worcester		9,337		39.17		14,481		60.75		19		0.08		-5,144		-21.58		23,837
Totals	1,316,897	65.77	682,293	34.07	3,146	0.16	634,604	31.69	2,002,336

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Anne Arundel (largest municipality: Glen Burnie)
• Frederick (largest municipality: Frederick)
• Kent (largest municipality: Chestertown)
• Talbot (largest municipality: Easton)

By congressional district

Van Hollen won 7 of 8 congressional districts.^[24]

District	Van Hollen	Chaffee	Representative
		42.7%	57.2%		Andy Harris
		60.8%	39.1%		Dutch Ruppersberger
rowspan		rowspan	62.3%	rowspan	37.5%		John Sarbanes
	91%	8.9%		Anthony Brown (117th Congress)
			Glenn Ivey (118th Congress)
		67.1%	32.8%		Steny Hoyer
		54.4%	45.5%		David Trone
		83.4%	16.4%		Kweisi Mfume
		81.9%	17.9%		Jamie Raskin

Notes

Partisan clients

See also

• Elections in Maryland
• 2022 United States elections
• 2022 Maryland gubernatorial election
• 2022 Maryland Attorney General election
• 2022 Maryland Senate elections
• 2022 Maryland Comptroller election
• 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland
• 2022 United States gubernatorial elections
• 2022 Maryland House of Delegates election

External links

Official campaign websites

• Chris Chaffee (R) for Senate
• Chris Van Hollen (D) for Senate

Notes and References

1. Web site: Voting in Maryland . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20220715010158/https://elections.maryland.gov/voting/index.html . July 15, 2022 . July 16, 2022 . State Board of Elections . State of Maryland. Note Archived site contains Primary Election information, but not 'current' version.
2. News: 2022 race calls . November 8, 2022 . . November 8, 2022.
3. Web site: Kurtz. Josh. April 16, 2021. Mizeur Collects $350K for Congressional Bid; Aruna Miller Raising Money for Possible House Run. May 7, 2021. Maryland Matters. en-US.
4. News: Kurtz . Josh . Political Notes: A Barnburner in Southern Md., Van Hollen Makes It Official, Masking Changes, Senator Pulls Chief Judge Bill . February 15, 2022 . . February 15, 2022.
5. Web site: September 11, 2020. Michelle Smith for Senate. January 19, 2021.
6. Web site: Gunzburger . Ron . Online Guide to Maryland Elections, Candidates & Politics . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20220905192236/https://politics1.com/md.htm . September 5, 2022 . October 26, 2022 . Politics1.
7. Web site: Nnabu Eze. 2021-07-13. Ballotpedia. en.
8. Web site: August 24, 2022 . Official 2022 Gubernatorial Primary Election Results for U.S. Senator . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20221016210121/https://elections.maryland.gov/elections/2022/primary_results/gen_results_2022_4.html . October 16, 2022 . October 26, 2022 . 2022 Gubernatorial Election.
9. Web site: Here are the QAnon supporters running for Congress in 2022 . . June 2, 2021 . Alex . Kaplan . July 17, 2022 .
10. News: Sheriff: US Senate candidate falsely reported child sex trafficking in Harford Co. . July 15, 2022 . . July 18, 2022.
11. Web site: MD Republican Senate candidate charged with making a false report after allegedly claiming adult bookstore trafficked children . . July 15, 2022 . July 19, 2022 .
12. Web site: James Tarantin. live. 2021-10-28. Federal Election Commission. en. https://web.archive.org/web/20211028170335/https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/S2MD00552/ . October 28, 2021 .
13. News: Harris: 'This was a sham, snap impeachment'. WBAL-TV 11. January 16, 2021. January 19, 2021.
14. Web site: 2022-02-08. AP source: GOP Maryland Gov. Hogan won't run for Senate. 2022-02-08. WBAL. en.
15. Web site: 2022 Senate Race ratings . The Cook Political Report . January 14, 2021.
16. Web site: Senate ratings . Inside Elections . January 18, 2021.
17. Web site: 2022 Senate . Sabato's Crystal Ball . January 28, 2021.
18. Web site: Maryland Senate Race 2022. April 1, 2022 . Politico.
19. Web site: Battle for the Senate 2022. January 10, 2022 . RCP.
20. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . Fox News . May 12, 2022 . May 12, 2022.
21. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . DDHQ . July 20, 2022 . July 20, 2022.
22. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . June 30, 2022 . June 30, 2022.
23. News: Economist's 2022 Senate forecast . The Economist . September 7, 2022 . September 7, 2022.
24. Results . docs.google.com .