2022 United States Senate election in Kansas explained

Election Name:2022 United States Senate election in Kansas
Country:Kansas
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States Senate election in Kansas
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2028 United States Senate election in Kansas
Next Year:2028
Election Date:November 8, 2022
Image1:Jerry Moran, official portrait, 112th Congress (cropped2).jpg
Nominee1:Jerry Moran
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:602,976
Percentage1:60.00%
Nominee2:Mark Holland
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:372,214
Percentage2:37.04%
Map Size:251px
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Jerry Moran
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Jerry Moran
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2022 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Kansas. Incumbent Republican Senator Jerry Moran was first elected in 2010, winning the seat vacated by Sam Brownback, and ran for re-election to a third term in office. Democrat Mark Holland, the former mayor of Kansas City, was Moran's opponent in the general election.[1] [2]

Moran ultimately won the election,[3] but his 60% share of the vote represented another decline from his first victory in 2010, and he lost Johnson County, a major suburban county that had been recently trending left in elections, for the first time in his career. Even so, he still won re-election by an overwhelming margin, despite incumbent Democratic governor Laura Kelly winning re-election on the same ballot. This was the first election since 2002 where the winner of the United States Senate election in Kansas was of a different party from the winner of the concurrent gubernatorial election, and the first election since 1968 where the winner of the United States Senate election in Kansas for the Class 3 Senate seat was of a different party from the winner of the concurrent gubernatorial election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Results

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[13] November 19, 2021
align=left Inside Elections[14] January 7, 2022
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] November 3, 2021
Politico[16] April 1, 2022
RCP[17] January 10, 2022
align=left Fox News[18] May 12, 2022
DDHQ[19] July 20, 2022
538[20] June 30, 2022
The Economist[21] September 7, 2022

Polling

Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Jerry
Moran (R)
Mark
Holland (D)
OtherUndecided
Emerson CollegeOctober 27–29, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%54%33%5%8%
Emerson CollegeSeptember 15–18, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%45%33%4%18%
Echelon InsightsAugust 31 – September 7, 2022392 (LV)± 7.5%54%35%11%
Battleground Connect (R)August 8–10, 20221,074 (LV)± 3.0%58%37%5%

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Moran won all four congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.[22]

DistrictMoranHollandRepresentative
67.97%29.06%Tracey Mann
61.46%35.41%Jake LaTurner
49.75%47.44%Sharice Davids
63.61%33.42%Ron Estes

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. News: Kraske. Steve. October 1, 2021. Former Kansas City, Kansas, Mayor Mark Holland is making a bid for the U.S. Senate. KCUR-FM. live. https://web.archive.org/web/20211015022714/https://www.kcur.org/news/2021-10-01/former-kansas-city-kansas-mayor-mark-holland-is-making-a-bid-for-the-u-s-senate. October 15, 2021.
  2. Web site: Torres . Aarón . Ex-KCK Mayor Mark Holland wins Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate, will face Moran . 2022-08-02 . 2022-08-03.
  3. News: 2022-11-08 . Kansas U.S. Senate Election Results . en-US . The New York Times . 2022-11-09 . 0362-4331.
  4. Web site: Moran. Jerry. November 4, 2020. Statement of candidacy 2020. live. January 8, 2021. Federal Election Commission. https://web.archive.org/web/20201105194047/https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/S0KS00091/1471480 . 2020-11-05 .
  5. News: November 11, 2020. Aide: Kansas Sen. Moran plans to seek reelection in 2022. Associated Press. live. January 8, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20201222154331/https://apnews.com/article/senate-elections-kansas-elections-jerry-moran-topeka-218d8ca36097f4e669bc54126a723b0e. December 22, 2020.
  6. News: Casteel . Chris . State senator Nathan Dahm joins race against incumbent Sen. James Lankford . 29 September 2021 . The Oklahoman . 28 September 2021.
  7. News: Kaut . Steve . Former KCK Mayor Mark Holland to run for US Senate seat in Kansas . KSHB . 11 November 2021 . 13 November 2021.
  8. Web site: Jerry Moran has Democratic opponents for 2022. He also has $4M+ and a Trump endorsement on his side.. Andrew. Bahl. The Topeka Capital-Journal.
  9. Web site: Mann, Moran officially launch re-election bids. KVOE (AM). May 6, 2022. May 14, 2022.
  10. Web site: Senate . Buskirk US . Paul Buskirk US Senate Kansas . 2022-06-04 . Buskirk US Senate democratic party . en-US.
  11. Web site: Candidates Johnson County Election Office . 2022-06-04 . jocoelection.org.
  12. Web site: 2022 LPKS Candidates . . April 23, 2022 . June 21, 2022 . August 9, 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220809015350/https://lpks.org/2022-lpks-candidates/ . dead .
  13. Web site: 2022 Senate Race ratings . The Cook Political Report . January 14, 2021.
  14. Web site: Senate ratings . Inside Elections . January 18, 2021.
  15. Web site: 2022 Senate . Sabato's Crystal Ball . January 28, 2021.
  16. Web site: Kansas Senate Race 2022. April 1, 2022 . Politico.
  17. Web site: Battle for the Senate 2022. January 10, 2022 . RCP.
  18. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . Fox News . May 12, 2022 . May 12, 2022.
  19. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . DDHQ . July 20, 2022 . July 20, 2022.
  20. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . June 30, 2022 . June 30, 2022.
  21. News: Economist's 2022 Senate forecast . The Economist . September 7, 2022 . September 7, 2022.
  22. Results . docs.google.com .