2022 United States Senate election in Indiana explained

Election Name:2022 United States Senate election in Indiana
Country:Indiana
Type:presidential
Previous Election:2016 United States Senate election in Indiana
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2028 United States Senate election in Indiana
Next Year:2028
Election Date:November 8, 2022
Image1:Sen. Todd Young official photo (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Todd Young
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:1,090,165
Percentage1:58.62%
Nominee2:Thomas McDermott Jr.
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:704,411
Percentage2:37.87%
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Todd Young
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Todd Young
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2022 United States Senate election in Indiana was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Indiana. Incumbent Senator Todd Young won to a second term.[1]

Young announced on March 2, 2021, that he would be running for a second term.[2] He was first elected to the Senate in 2016 with 52.1% of the vote, succeeding retiring fellow Republican Dan Coats. Hammond Mayor Thomas McDermott Jr. ran for the Democratic nomination. Both ran unopposed and won their respective primaries on May 3, 2022. This was the first election since 1986 for Indiana's Class 3 U.S. Senate seat where neither Dan Coats nor Evan Bayh were on the ballot.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Removed from ballot

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Removed from ballot

On February 18, 2022, the Indiana Election Commission removed Democratic candidates Haneefah Khaaliq and Valerie McCray, as well as Republican candidate Danny Niederberger, from the primary ballot.[9] On February 4, 2022, McDermott campaign adviser Kevin Smith said the campaign would look closely at whether Khaaliq and McCray met the ballot requirements, and that avoiding a primary challenge could benefit McDermott as he entered this year with about $50,000 in campaign cash.[10] Khaaliq then conducted an investigation[11] and discovered that the individual who filed the challenge against both her and McCray was Scott Yahne, an attorney who was a close friend and ally of McDermott.[12]

As a result of the findings, Khaaliq filed a lawsuit against the Indiana Election Commission[13] and announced her decision to proceed as a write-in candidate in the 2022 general election. Khaaliq was the first African American to run for the U.S. Senate in a general election in Indiana's history.[13]

Declined

Results

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated at convention

Write-ins

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew/disqualified

General election

Incumbent Senator Todd Young sought re-election in 2022. In 2016, Young was initially perceived as the underdog when Former Senator Evan Bayh was chosen to replace Representative Baron Hill.[21] [22] Bayh, an Indiana political giant, was considered the frontrunner until he faced criticism for many of his post-senatorial activities, allowing Young to gain momentum and secure a decisive victory.[23]

In March 2021, Young announced he would seek a second term.[24]

Young's main opponent in the election was Thomas McDermott Jr., the longtime mayor of Hammond, Indiana.[25] McDermott ran as a moderate, criticizing Young for his ties to the Republican establishment and emphasizing his pro-choice stance in light of the Dobbs v. Jackson Supreme Court decision.[26] Young, on the other hand, focused on issues like inflation and border security, directing most of his attacks at President Joe Biden rather than McDermott.[27] [28] While early polls indicated a close race,[29] a poll conducted around Election Day showed Young with a comfortable lead.[30]

On October 16, three weeks before the election, the only debate was held which featured Young, McDermontt, and Libertarian Nominee James Sceniak. The Debate centered on a number of issues, including The Economy, Immigration/Border security, and Climate change, among others. Young, mainly focused on Immigration, while avoiding attacking his opponents, McDermott attacked Young relentlessly throughout the debate, even stating “When Senator Young supports spending, it is good inflation, but when he doesn't support it, that is bad inflation. The chips act is a spending bill. Todd Young helped to add to our nation inflation problem”.[31]

Young went on to win the election easily, outperforming his 2016 performance by 11 points and receiving nearly 59% of the vote to McDermott's 38%.[32]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[33] March 4, 2022
align=left Inside Elections[34] April 1, 2022
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] March 1, 2022
Politico[36] April 1, 2022
RCP[37] February 24, 2022
align=left Fox News[38] May 12, 2022
DDHQ[39] July 20, 2022
538[40] July 6, 2022
The Economist[41] September 7, 2022

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Todd
Young (R)		Thomas
James
Sceniak (L)		OtherUndecided
CiviqsNovember 4–7, 2022707 (LV)± 4.7%49%38%–9%4%
ARW StrategiesSeptember 25–26, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%39%37%6%–17%
Change Research (D)August 20–24, 20222,111 (LV)± 2.6%45%42%––13%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Young won 7 of 9 congressional districts.[42]

DistrictYoungMcDermottRepresentative
46.1%52%Frank J. Mrvan
65%32.4%Rudy Yakym
66.7%30.4%Jim Banks
63.6%31.4%Jim Baird
58.5%37.2%Victoria Spartz
63.9%30.5%Greg Pence
29%67.5%André Carson
67.5%30%Larry Bucshon
63.7%33.2%Trey Hollingsworth (117th Congress)
Erin Houchin (118th Congress)

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. Web site: November 8, 2022 . 2022 US Senate Election Results: Live Map . 2022-11-09 . ABC News . en.
  2. Web site: March 2, 2021. 'I'm running': Todd Young to seek re-election to US Senate. live. March 2, 2021. WANE-TV. https://web.archive.org/web/20210419214118/https://www.wane.com/news/your-local-election-hq/im-running-todd-young-to-seek-re-election-to-us-senate/ . 2021-04-19 .
  3. News: Lange. Kaitlin. August 10, 2021. Sen. Todd Young to vote against infrastructure bill after initially supporting it. The Indianapolis Star. Gannett. August 9, 2021. live. limited. August 22, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210822232528/https://www.indystar.com/story/news/politics/2021/08/09/infrastructure-bill-2021-republican-sen-young-vote-against-bill/5535991001/. August 22, 2021.
  4. News: Lange. Kaitlin. May 12, 2020. 2020 Elections: Here's who is running in Indiana's 5th Congressional District. The Indianapolis Star. Gannett. October 11, 2019. live. limited. August 22, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210121014636/https://www.indystar.com/story/news/politics/2019/10/11/2020-elections-who-running-indiana-5th-congressional-district-susan-brooks-retirement/3930392002/. January 21, 2021.
  5. Web site: Lange . Kaitlin . Sen. Young won't face primary challengers after commission removes opponent from ballot . IndyStar . The Indianapolis Star . 19 February 2022.
  6. News: Burgess. Rob. July 27, 2021. Democratic senatorial candidate visits Wabash. Chronicle-Tribune. live. August 22, 2021. https://archive.today/20210822233143/https://www.chronicle-tribune.com/democratic-senatorial-candidate-visits-wabash/article_57ad0dbf-22b1-5346-91f4-f2e50daf1cdc.html. August 22, 2021.
  7. News: August 19, 2021. Indiana mayor starts challenge to Republican US Sen. Young. Associated Press. Hammond, Ind.. live. August 22, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210819185225/https://apnews.com/article/indiana-senate-elections-9d82109066ddb4c9c6bd4ee016217d7d. August 19, 2021.
  8. News: Kukulka. Alexandra. July 26, 2021. Porter County march, rally calls for access to reproductive health care: 'Nobody should be ashamed of their own particular health care decision'. Post-Tribune. live. August 22, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210726191149/https://www.chicagotribune.com/suburbs/post-tribune/ct-ptb-nwi-now-march-porter-st-0727-20210726-c6xxsuub55cfxfhvxsbc737od4-story.html. July 26, 2021.
  9. Web site: Major party candidates for Senate will run unopposed in primary. NPR . 18 February 2022 . November 7, 2022 .
  10. Web site: 3 longshot US Senate hopefuls file for Indiana primary race. Associated Press . 4 February 2022 . November 7, 2022 .
  11. Web site: Haneefah Khaaliq on her Decision to be a Write-in Candidate in the 2022 U.S. Senate Race. Hoosiers for Haneefah Campaign . September 8, 2022 . November 7, 2022 .
  12. Web site: Indiana Election Commission Public Session. Indiana Election Commission . November 7, 2022 .
  13. Web site: Enough is Enough. The Crusader Newspaper Group . 27 September 2022 . November 7, 2022 .
  14. News: Laris. Michael. Duncan. Ian. Senate confirms Pete Buttigieg to lead Transportation Dept., the first openly gay person confirmed to a Cabinet seat. en-US. Washington Post. 2021-02-02. 0190-8286.
  15. Web site: Howey. Brian. Joe Donnelly passes on a challenge to Sen. Todd Young. 2021-03-14. KPCNews. March 14, 2021 . en.
  16. Web site: 3 takeaways from Buttigieg's first week in Washington. Wren, Adam. Importantville. January 24, 2021. January 24, 2021.
  17. Web site: 2022 Candidate List . Indianan Secretary of State . 8 February 2022.
  18. Web site: Box . Terri . 2022-03-08 . The Libertarian Party of Indiana nominates candidates for 2022 WBIW . 2022-05-03 . en-US.
  19. Web site: United States Senate Election in Indiana . Ballotpedia . June 4, 2022 .
  20. Web site: Indiana 2022 General Election . The Green Papers . May 5, 2022 .
  21. Web site: says . Howard . 2016-09-19 . With Evan Bayh’s surprise entry, Indiana’s Senate race has turned from red to purple overnight . 2024-07-02 . USAPP.
  22. Web site: Jeremy . Silk Smith . 2016-08-17 . Poll: Bayh Holds Significant Lead Over Young in Indiana Senate Race . 2024-07-02 . Roll Call . en-US.
  23. Web site: Ropeik . Annie . 2016-11-09 . In Senate Loss, Bayh Couldn't Overcome Modern Image Among Voters . 2024-07-02 . WFYI Public Media . en-us.
  24. Web site: 2021-03-02 . Indiana Sen. Todd Young announces 2022 reelection campaign . 2024-07-02 . AP News . en.
  25. Web site: Lange . Kaitlin . Hammond Mayor Thomas McDermott Jr. files to run for Sen. Todd Young's seat in 2022 . 2024-07-02 . The Indianapolis Star . en-US.
  26. Web site: Democratic Senate candidate Thomas McDermott talks ‘the top issue’ — abortion access — and plans if elected . 2024-07-02 . Democratic Senate candidate Thomas McDermott talks ‘the top issue’ — abortion access — and plans if elected - Indiana Daily Student . en-US.
  27. Border Collie Todd Young for U.S. Senate . 2022-01-11 . Todd Young . 2024-07-02 . YouTube.
  28. Recapping Joe Biden's Disastrous First Year Todd Young for U.S. Senate . 2022-01-18 . Todd Young . 2024-07-02 . YouTube.
  29. Web site: Abdul . Hakim-Shabazz . New Poll Shows Close U.S. Senate Race . 2024-07-02 . Indy Politics . en-US.
  30. Web site: Wiederkehr . Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King, Dhrumil Mehta and Anna . 2018-06-28 . Indiana : U.S. Senate : 2022 Polls . 2024-07-02 . FiveThirtyEight . en.
  31. Web site: Indiana U.S. Senate Debate C-SPAN.org . 2024-07-02 . www.c-span.org.
  32. Web site: Cheang . Ko Lyn . Todd Young wins U.S. Senate seat in Indiana over Democrat Thomas McDermott . 2024-07-02 . The Indianapolis Star . en-US.
  33. Web site: 2022 Senate Race ratings . The Cook Political Report . January 14, 2021.
  34. Web site: Senate ratings . Inside Elections . January 18, 2021.
  35. Web site: 2022 Senate . Sabato's Crystal Ball . January 28, 2021.
  36. Web site: Indiana Senate Race 2022. April 1, 2022 . Politico.
  37. Web site: Battle for the Senate 2022. January 10, 2022 . RCP.
  38. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . Fox News . 12 May 2022 . May 12, 2022.
  39. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . DDHQ . July 20, 2022 . July 20, 2022.
  40. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . June 30, 2022 . June 30, 2022.
  41. News: Economist's 2022 Senate forecast . The Economist . September 7, 2022 . September 7, 2022.
  42. Results . docs.google.com .

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