Election Name: | 2022 United States Senate election in Illinois |
Country: | Illinois |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2016 United States Senate election in Illinois |
Previous Year: | 2016 |
Next Election: | 2028 United States Senate election in Illinois |
Next Year: | 2028 |
Election Date: | November 8, 2022 |
Nominee1: | Tammy Duckworth |
Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 2,329,136 |
Percentage1: | 56.82% |
Nominee2: | Kathy Salvi |
Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 1,701,055 |
Percentage2: | 41.50% |
U.S. senator | |
Before Election: | Tammy Duckworth |
Before Party: | Democratic |
After Election: | Tammy Duckworth |
After Party: | Democratic |
The 2022 United States Senate election in Illinois was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Illinois.
Incumbent Democratic senator Tammy Duckworth was re-elected for a second term against former U.S. House of Representatives candidate Kathy Salvi, the Republican nominee, winning by a margin of 15.3%, 0.2% more than her 2016 margin. Duckworth became the first woman ever to be re-elected for a second term in the state's history. This was the first Illinois U.S. Senate election where both major party candidates were female.
Salvi flipped seven counties—Calhoun, McDonough, Knox, Gallatin, Pulaski, Alexander, and Madison—that had voted for Duckworth in 2016. On the other hand, Duckworth won Kendall, McLean, Peoria, and Winnebago, which had all voted against her in 2016. With Duckworth's victory, this was the first time since 1986 that a Class 3 Illinois senator was re-elected to a successive six-year term, and the first time since 1992 that any party won the seat consecutively.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Casey Chlebek | Matthew Dubiel | Peggy Hubbard | Maryann Mahlen | Bobby Piton | Kathy Salvi | Tillman | Anthony Williams | Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ogden & Fry (R) | June 24, 2022 | 518 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 1% | 6% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 20% | 2% | 0% | 53% | |||
The Trafalgar Group (R) | June 10–13, 2022 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 6% | 4% | 18% | – | 6% | 15% | 2% | 1% | 49% | |||
Ogden & Fry (R) | June 11–12, 2022 | 662 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 4% | 17% | 1% | 1% | 62% | |||
Public Policy Polling (D) | June 6–7, 2022 | 677 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 1% | 7% | 10% | – | 2% | 10% | 1% | 3% | 66% | |||
Emerson College | May 6–8, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 4% | 4% | 7% | – | 6% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 72% |
Source | Ranking | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
align=left | The Cook Political Report[16] | March 4, 2022 | |
align=left | Inside Elections[17] | April 1, 2022 | |
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | March 1, 2022 | |
Politico[19] | April 1, 2022 | ||
RCP[20] | October 26, 2022 | ||
align=left | Fox News[21] | May 12, 2022 | |
DDHQ[22] | July 20, 2022 | ||
538[23] | June 30, 2022 | ||
The Economist[24] | September 7, 2022 |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Tammy Duckworth (D) | Kathy Salvi (R) | Undecided | Margin | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight | August 25 – November 8, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 55.5% | 40.2% | 4.3% | Duckworth +15.3 | |||
270towin | October 14 – November 7, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 51.6% | 36.4% | 12.0% | Duckworth +15.2 | |||
Average | 53.6% | 38.3% | 8.1% | Duckworth +15.3 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tammy Duckworth (D) | Kathy Salvi (R) | Other | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research Co. | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 38% | 2% | 5% | ||
Civiqs | October 22–25, 2022 | 659 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 56% | 40% | 2% | 2% | ||
Emerson College | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 39% | 3% | 8% | ||
Public Policy Polling (D) | October 10–11, 2022 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 36% | 5% | 9% | ||
Research America | October 5–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 29% | 10% | 14% | ||
Emerson College | September 21–23, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 31% | 4% | 16% | ||
Victory Geek (D) | August 25–28, 2022 | 512 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 58% | 35% | – | 7% | ||
Victory Research (R) | July 17–19, 2022 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 34% | 2% | 20% |
Duckworth won 14 of 17 congressional districts.[25]
District | Duckworth | Salvi | Representative | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
69.1% | 29.6% | Bobby Rush (117th Congress) | |||
Jonathan Jackson (118th Congress) | |||||
68.9% | 29.7% | Robin Kelly | |||
68.9% | 29.5% | Marie Newman (117th Congress) | |||
Delia Ramirez (118th Congress) | |||||
69.9% | 28.3% | Chuy García | |||
70.4% | 28.2% | Mike Quigley | |||
55.3% | 43.1% | Sean Casten | |||
86% | 12.6% | Danny Davis | |||
56.3% | 42.1% | Raja Krishnamoorthi | |||
71.6% | 27% | Jan Schakowsky | |||
61.6% | 36.9% | Brad Schneider | |||
55.6% | 42.6% | Bill Foster | |||
29.4% | 68.7% | Mike Bost | |||
55.9% | 41.9% | Nikki Budzinski | |||
54.2% | 44% | Lauren Underwood | |||
32.2% | 65.6% | Mary Miller | |||
38.3% | 59.8% | Darin LaHood | |||
51.9% | 46.1% | Cheri Bustos (117th Congress) | |||
Eric Sorensen (118th Congress) |