2022 United States Senate election in Idaho explained

Election Name:	2022 United States Senate election in Idaho
Country:	Idaho
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2016 United States Senate election in Idaho
Previous Year:	2016
Next Election:	2028 United States Senate election in Idaho
Next Year:	2028
Election Date:	November 8, 2022
Image1:	File:Mike Crapo 2019 (looser crop).jpg
Nominee1:	Mike Crapo
Party1:	Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:	358,539
Percentage1:	60.68%
Nominee2:	David Roth
Party2:	Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:	169,808
Percentage2:	28.74%
Image3:	3x4.svg
Nominee3:	Scott Cleveland
Party3:	Independent (United States)
Popular Vote3:	49,917
Percentage3:	8.45%
Map Size:	250px
U.S. Senator
Before Election:	Mike Crapo
Before Party:	Republican Party (United States)
After Election:	Mike Crapo
After Party:	Republican Party (United States)

The 2022 United States Senate election in Idaho was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Idaho. Incumbent Republican Senator Mike Crapo was first elected in 1998 and ran for re-election to a fifth term in office.^{[1] [2]} Primary elections were held on May 17, 2022. Crapo easily won renomination, while former Idaho House of Representatives candidate David Roth won the Democratic primary with 57.8% of the vote. Crapo ultimately won the election, but this was the lowest share of the vote he had ever received for this seat, partially because of an independent candidate, Scott Cleveland, taking away some of his votes.^[3]

The election resulted in both the worst performance by a Republican, and the best performance by a Democrat in the Class 3 seat since 1992. It was also the best performance by a third-party or independent candidate since Glen H. Taylor's write-in campaign in 1956.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mike Crapo, incumbent U.S. Senator^{[1] [2]}

Eliminated in primary

• Brenda Bourn^[4]
• Natalie Fleming, independent candidate for Idaho's 1st congressional district in 2018 and U.S. Senate in 2020^{[5] [6]}
• Scott Trotter, business owner^[7]
• Ramont Turnbull, development manager^[8]

Failed to file

• Mike Little, Iraq War veteran^{[9] [10]}

Withdrawn

• Jeremy Gilbert, law firm operations director and U.S. Army veteran^{[11] [12]}

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• David Roth, nominee for state representative from the 33rd district in 2020^[13]

Eliminated in primary

• Ben Pursley, real estate developer^[13]

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Idaho Sierra Law, environmental activist and perennial candidate

Results

Constitution primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Ray Writz, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016 and 2020

Results

Independents

Candidates

Declared

• Scott Cleveland, entrepreneur^{[14] [10]}

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report^[15]		March 4, 2022
align=left	Inside Elections^[16]		April 1, 2022
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball^[17]		March 1, 2022
Politico^[18]		April 1, 2022
RCP^[19]		February 24, 2022
align=left	Fox News^[20]		May 12, 2022
DDHQ^[21]		July 20, 2022
538^[22]		June 30, 2022
The Economist^[23]		September 7, 2022

Results

By county

County	Mike Crapo Republican		David Roth Democratic		Scott Cleveland Independent		Ray Writz Constitution		Idaho Sierra Law Libertarian		Margin		Total votes
	data-sort-type=number		data-sort-type=number	%	data-sort-type=number		data-sort-type=number	%	data-sort-type=number		data-sort-type=number	%		data-sort-type=number		data-sort-type=number	%	data-sort-type=number		data-sort-type=number	%	data-sort-type=number		data-sort-type=number	%
	Ada		87,579		47.46		76,656		41.54		17,551		9.51		1,561		0.85		1,174		0.64		10,923		5.92		184,521
	Adams		1,425		70.86		367		18.25		150		7.46		56		2.78		13		0.65		1,058		52.61		2,011
	Bannock		14,480		56.91		9,054		35.59		1,299		5.11		377		1.48		233		0.92		5,426		21.33		25,443
	Bear Lake		1,871		83.38		196		8.73		87		3.88		70		3.12		20		0.89		1,675		74.64		2,244
	Benewah		2,662		76.85		503		14.52		151		4.36		110		3.18		38		1.10		2,159		62.33		3,464
	Bingham		9,491		77.10		1,750		14.22		771		6.26		223		1.81		75		0.61		7,741		62.88		12,310
	Blaine		3,121		32.21		6,006		61.99		336		3.47		99		1.02		127		1.31		-2,885		-29.78		9,689
	Boise		2,172		63.19		673		19.58		478		13.91		83		2.41		31		0.90		1,499		43.61		3,437
	Bonner		13,348		64.29		5,467		26.33		1,502		7.23		300		1.45		144		0.69		7,881		37.96		20,761
	Bonneville		24,579		69.36		7,866		22.20		2,248		6.34		520		1.47		226		0.64		16,713		47.16		35,439
	Boundary		3,939		75.75		732		14.08		403		7.75		93		1.79		33		0.63		3,207		61.67		5,200
	Butte		783		78.85		114		11.48		59		5.94		28		2.82		9		0.91		669		67.37		993
	Camas		367		71.12		95		18.41		29		5.62		21		4.07		4		0.78		272		52.71		516
	Canyon		36,558		62.78		12,961		22.26		7,299		12.53		976		1.68		435		0.75		23,597		40.52		58,229
	Caribou		1,735		81.99		205		9.69		109		5.15		54		2.55		13		0.61		1,530		72.31		2,116
	Cassia		4,619		79.69		584		10.08		398		6.87		154		2.66		41		0.71		4,035		69.62		5,796
	Clark		161		78.16		19		9.22		15		7.28		9		4.37		2		0.97		142		68.93		206
	Clearwater		2,389		76.57		526		16.86		119		3.81		72		2.31		14		0.45		1,863		59.71		3,120
	Custer		1,447		72.03		359		17.87		113		5.62		79		3.93		11		0.55		1,088		54.16		2,009
	Elmore		4,380		66.31		1,334		20.20		688		10.42		141		2.13		62		0.94		3,046		46.12		6,605
	Franklin		3,588		83.34		302		7.02		257		5.97		135		3.14		23		0.53		3,286		76.33		4,305
	Fremont		3,399		80.17		480		11.32		247		5.83		87		2.05		27		0.64		2,919		68.84		4,240
	Gem		5,118		67.60		1,076		14.21		1,173		15.49		133		1.76		71		0.94		3,945		52.11		7,571
	Gooding		2,941		72.67		609		15.05		374		9.24		91		2.25		32		0.79		2,332		57.62		4,047
	Idaho		5,741		76.91		962		12.89		535		7.17		177		2.37		50		0.67		4,779		64.02		7,465
	Jefferson		7,396		81.33		836		9.19		585		6.43		223		2.45		54		0.59		6,560		72.14		9,094
	Jerome		3,506		72.07		803		16.51		421		8.65		102		2.10		33		0.68		2,703		55.56		4,865
	Kootenai		42,115		67.67		13,404		21.54		5,515		8.86		836		1.34		369		0.59		28,711		46.13		62,239
	Latah		7,484		49.95		6,881		45.92		361		2.41		133		0.89		125		0.83		603		4.02		14,984
	Lemhi		2,690		73.62		674		18.45		175		4.79		82		2.24		33		0.90		2,016		55.17		3,654
	Lewis		1,097		80.72		176		12.95		58		4.27		26		1.91		2		0.15		921		67.77		1,359
	Lincoln		978		74.43		221		16.82		76		5.78		27		2.05		12		0.91		757		57.61		1,314
	Madison		6,533		78.94		972		11.74		519		6.27		195		2.36		57		0.69		5,561		67.19		8,276
	Minidoka		3,623		76.89		592		12.56		366		7.77		99		2.10		32		0.68		3,031		64.33		4,712
	Nez Perce		8,986		66.83		3,628		26.98		639		4.75		100		0.74		93		0.69		5,358		39.85		13,446
	Oneida		1,330		83.07		117		7.31		99		6.18		44		2.75		11		0.69		1,213		75.77		1,601
	Owyhee		2,376		72.55		411		12.55		382		11.66		67		2.05		39		1.19		1,965		60.00		3,275
	Payette		5,509		72.61		1,079		14.22		835		11.01		125		1.65		39		0.51		4,430		58.39		7,587
	Power		1,428		72.41		420		21.30		71		3.60		35		1.77		18		0.91		1,008		51.12		1,972
	Shoshone		2,858		69.55		1,005		24.46		172		4.19		43		1.05		31		0.75		1,853		45.10		4,109
	Teton		2,100		44.81		2,375		50.68		143		3.05		36		0.77		32		0.68		-275		-5.87		4,686
	Twin Falls		14,914		65.23		4,780		20.91		2,425		10.61		564		2.47		180		0.79		10,134		44.32		22,863
	Valley		2,829		54.20		1,974		37.82		330		6.32		50		0.96		37		0.71		855		16.38		5,220
	Washington		2,894		74.26		564		14.47		354		9.08		64		1.64		21		0.54		2,330		59.79		3,897
Totals	358,539	60.68	169,808	28.74	49,917	8.45	8,500	1.44	4,126	0.70	188,731	31.94	590,890

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Teton (largest municipality: Victor)

By congressional district

Crapo won both congressional districts.^[24]

District	Crapo	Roth	Representative
		64%	24%		Russ Fulcher
		57%	34%		Mike Simpson

See also

• 2022 United States Senate elections
• 2022 Idaho elections

External links

Official campaign websites

• Scott Cleveland (I) for Senate
• Mike Crapo (R) for Senate
• David Roth (D) for Senate

Notes and References

1. Web site: Alex Rogers, Manu Raju and Ted Barrett. Retirements shake up 2022 map as Republican senators eye exits. 2021-02-15. CNN. January 27, 2021 .
2. Web site: Brizee . Alex . Idaho's Mike Crapo will run for a fifth U.S. Senate term in 2022 midterm elections . Idaho Statesman . 5 January 2022 . 10 April 2023.
3. News: Idaho Republican U.S. Sen. Crapo wins fifth term . en-US . Washington Post . 2022-11-09 . 0190-8286.
4. Web site: BOURN, BRENDA - Candidate overview . www.fec.gov. 19 February 2022.
5. Web site: Natalie Fleming for US Senate . Facebook . 22 August 2021.
6. Web site: Natalie M Fleming for United States Senate - Idaho . Natalie M Fleming for U.S. Senate . 22 August 2021.
7. Web site: Trotter for United States Senate . FEC FORM 1 STATEMENT OF ORGANIZATION . FEC . 29 November 2021 . 11 October 2021.
8. Web site: Candidate Filing Report . Idaho Secretary of State . 3 March 2022.
9. Web site: FEC FORM 2 STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY FILING FEC-1541914 . fec.gov . Federal Election Commission . 6 November 2021.
10. Web site: These Senate seats are up for election in 2022. The Hill. January 21, 2022.
11. Web site: GILBERT, JEREMY JOSEPH - Candidate overview . fec.gov . Federal Election Commission . 18 May 2021.
12. Web site: Statement from Jeremy Gilbert . Facebook.com . Jeremy Gilbert for U.S. Senate . 19 November 2021 . 16 November 2021 . It's with a heavy heart that today I announce I will be suspending my campaign for the 2022 U.S. Senate seat in Idaho..
13. Web site: Candidate Filing Report. April 10, 2023.
14. Web site: CLEVELAND, SCOTT OH - Candidate overview FEC . FEC . 28 November 2021.
15. Web site: 2022 Senate Race ratings . The Cook Political Report . January 14, 2021.
16. Web site: Senate ratings . Inside Elections . January 18, 2021.
17. Web site: 2022 Senate . Sabato's Crystal Ball . January 28, 2021.
18. Web site: Idaho Senate Race 2022. April 1, 2022 . Politico.
19. Web site: Battle for the Senate 2022. January 10, 2022 . RCP.
20. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . Fox News . May 12, 2022 . May 12, 2022.
21. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . DDHQ . July 20, 2022 . July 20, 2022.
22. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . June 30, 2022 . June 30, 2022.
23. News: Economist's 2022 Senate forecast . The Economist . September 7, 2022 . September 7, 2022.
24. Results . docs.google.com .