2022 United States Senate election in Florida explained

Election Name:	2022 United States Senate election in Florida
Country:	Florida
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2016 United States Senate election in Florida
Previous Year:	2016
Next Election:	2028 United States Senate election in Florida
Next Year:	2028
Election Date:	November 8, 2022
Image1:	Senator Rubio official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	Marco Rubio
Party1:	Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:	4,474,847
Percentage1:	57.68%
Nominee2:	Val Demings
Party2:	Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:	3,201,522
Percentage2:	41.27%
U.S. senator
Before Election:	Marco Rubio
Before Party:	Republican Party (United States)
After Election:	Marco Rubio
After Party:	Republican Party (United States)

The 2022 United States Senate election in Florida was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Florida. Incumbent Republican Senator Marco Rubio won re-election to a third term, defeating Democratic nominee Val Demings in a landslide. Rubio was first elected in 2010, filling the seat of appointed Senator George LeMieux. Rubio won re-election to a third term, becoming the first Republican to do so in Florida history.^[1]

The primary elections for Republicans and Democrats took place on August 23 to finalize candidates for the November election.^{[2] [3]} Rubio won the uncontested Republican primary, while incumbent U.S. Representative Val Demings won the Democratic nomination.

Despite some predicting a close race early,^[4] Rubio went on to win by a comfortable 16.4%, improving upon his 2016 performance by 8.7%.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Marco Rubio, incumbent U.S. senator^[5]

Did not qualify

• Kevin DePuy, former Marine Corps sergeant^[6]
• Howard Knepper, businessman and perennial candidate^[7] (ran as a write-in candidate)
• Jake Loubriel, Florida National Guardsman^[8]
• Ervan Katari Miller, perennial candidate^[9]
• Earl Yearicks IV, maritime captain^[10]

Withdrawn

• Calvin Driggers, businessman^{[11] [12]}
• Luis Miguel, conservative writer and activist^[13] (ran for State House)
• Angela Walls-Windhauser, perennial candidate^[14]

Declined

• Pam Bondi, former Florida attorney general^[15]
• Matt Gaetz, U.S. representative^{[16] [17]} (ran for re-election)
• Brian Mast, U.S. representative^[16] (ran for re-election)
• Roger Stone, political consultant^{[18] [19]}
• Donald Trump, former president of the United States^[20] (endorsed Rubio)^[21]
• Ivanka Trump, former advisor to the President^{[22] [23]}
• Michael Waltz, U.S. representative (ran for re-election)^[24]

Endorsements

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Val Demings, U.S. representative^[25]

Eliminated in primary

• Ricardo de la Fuente, perennial candidate and son of Rocky de la Fuente^[26]
• Brian Rush, former Minority Whip of the Florida House of Representatives
• William Sanchez, immigration lawyer and former special counsel for the U.S. Department of Justice^[27]

Did not qualify

• Edward Abud, businessman^[28]
• Al Fox, president of the Alliance for Responsible Cuba Policy Foundation^[29]
• Dana Harshman, pharmacist^[30]
• Josue Larose, perennial candidate^[31]
• Coleman Watson, federal attorney and stroke survivor^{[32] [33]}
• Joshua Weil, teacher^[34]

Withdrawn

• Allen Ellison, policy consultant and nominee for in 2018 and 2020^[35] (ran for U.S. House)^[36]
• Alan Grayson, former U.S. representative and candidate in 2016^[37] (ran for U.S. House)^[38]
• Ilya Katz, Loyola University Chicago professor^[39]
• Allek Pastrana, engineer^[40] (ran for U.S. House)^[41]
• Ken Russell, Miami City Commissioner^{[42] [43]} (ran for U.S. House)

Declined

• Aramis Ayala, former state attorney for the Ninth Judicial Circuit Court of Florida (2017–2021)^[44] (ran for Attorney General)^[45]
• Charlie Crist, U.S. representative, former governor of Florida, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010, and nominee for governor in 2014 (ran for governor)^[46]
• Ted Deutch, U.S. representative^{[47] [48] [49]}
• Anna Eskamani, state representative^{[50] [51]}
• Nikki Fried, Florida commissioner of agriculture (ran for governor)^[52]
• Gwen Graham, Assistant Secretary of Education for Legislation and Congressional Affairs, former U.S. representative, and candidate for governor in 2018^[53]
• Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, former U.S. representative^[54]
• Stephanie Murphy, U.S. representative^{[55] [56]}

Results

Independent and third-party candidates

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Qualified

• Dennis Misigoy, former chairman of the Enclave at Black Point Community Development District board of supervisors (2016–2021)^[57]

Unity Party

Candidates

Did not file

• Shantele Bennett, financial advisor and candidate for mayor of Orlando in 2019^[58]

Independent candidates

Candidates

Declared

• Steven B. Grant, former mayor of Boynton Beach (2016–2022)^[59]
• Quoc Tuan Nguyen, Florida Institute of Technology professor^[60]

Did not qualify

• Carlos Barberena, digital marketing consultant^[61]

Did not file

• Grace Granda, business consultant^[62]

Withdraw

• Jason Holic, businessman^[63]

Declined

• David Jolly, chairman of Serve America Movement and former U.S. representative^[64]
• John Morgan, attorney and medical marijuana advocate
• Joe Scarborough, MSNBC host and former U.S. representative^[65]

Write-ins

Candidates

Declared

• Jay An
• Uloma Uma Expete
• Edward Gray
• Salomon Hernandez Sr.
• Howard Knepper, businessman and perennial candidate
• Moses Quiles, security technician

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report^[66]		October 18, 2022
align=left	Inside Elections^[67]		August 25, 2022
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball^[68]		August 24, 2022
Politico^[69]		November 3, 2022
RCP^[70]		February 24, 2022
align=left	Fox News^[71]		May 12, 2022
DDHQ^[72]		July 20, 2022
538^[73]		November 4, 2022
The Economist^[74]		September 7, 2022

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Marco Rubio (R)	Val Demings (D)	Undecided	Margin
Real Clear Politics	October 17, 2022 – November 6, 2022	November 8, 2022	52.4%	43.6%	4.0%	Rubio +8.8
FiveThirtyEight	September 18, 2022 – November 4, 2022	November 8, 2022	52.3%	43.5%	4.2%	Rubio +8.8
270towin	November 4–7, 2022	November 8, 2022	51.6%	42.4%	6.0%	Rubio +9.2
Average			52.1%	43.2%	4.7%	Rubio +8.9

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Marco Rubio (R)	Val Demings (D)	Other	Undecided
Research Co.	November 4–6, 2022	450 (LV)	± 4.6%		52%	42%	2%	4%
Data for Progress (D)	November 2–6, 2022	1,436 (LV)	± 3.0%		55%	43%	2%	–
Amber Integrated (R)	November 1–2, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%		49%	40%	4%	7%
Civiqs	October 29 – November 2, 2022	772 (LV)	± 3.9%		52%	45%	2%	1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)	November 1, 2022	550 (LV)	± 4.2%		51%	45%	1%	3%
Siena College	October 30 – November 1, 2022	659 (LV)	± 4.4%		51%	43%	2%	4%
Victory Insights	October 30 – November 1, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.8%		50%	46%	–	5%
Florida State University/YouGov	October 20–31, 2022	1,117 (RV)	–		51%	44%	–	–
University of North Florida	October 17–24, 2022	622 (LV)	± 4.7%		54%	43%	<1%	3%
Data for Progress (D)	October 19–23, 2022	1,251 (LV)	± 3.0%		51%	44%	2%	2%
Florida Atlantic University	October 12–16, 2022	719 (LV)	± 3.7%		48%	42%	3%	7%
RMG Research (R)	October 10–13, 2022	685 (LV)	± 3.7%		50%	45%	–	5%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy	September 26–28, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.5%		47%	41%	2%	10%
Siena College	September 18–25, 2022	669 (LV)	± 4.5%		48%	41%	2%	9%
Civiqs	September 17–20, 2022	617 (LV)	± 4.5%		49%	47%	3%	2%
Suffolk University	September 15–18, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%		45%	41%	4%	9%
Sachs Media	September 10, 2022	600 (LV)	–		49%	46%	–	5%
Kurt Jetta (D)	September 9–10, 2022	999 (RV)	± 3.0%		48%	40%	–	12%
		563 (LV)			50%	45%	–	5%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	815 (RV)	± 4.3%		50%	41%	–	9%
InsiderAdvantage (R)	September 5–6, 2022	550 (LV)	± 4.2%		46%	44%	–	10%
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)	August 29 – September 4, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.3%		47%	44%	–	9%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)	August 24–31, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%		49%	47%	–	4%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)	August 25–30, 2022	3,017 (LV)	± 1.8%		46%	45%	–	9%
Impact Research (D)	August 12–18, 2022	800 (LV)	± 3.5%		49%	46%	–	5%
Kurt Jetta (D)	August 12–14, 2022	996 (RV)	± 3.1%		46%	39%	–	14%
		610 (LV)	± 4.0%		52%	41%	–	7%
University of North Florida	August 8–12, 2022	1,624 (RV)	± 3.4%	44%		48%	7%	2%
Change Research (D)	August 2–5, 2022	1,031 (LV)	± 3.1%	46%	46%	–	7%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)	July 26–31, 2022	2,244 (LV)	± 2.1%	45%	45%	–	10%
Kurt Jetta (D)	July 9, 2022	906 (A)	± 3.3%		46%	38%	–	16%
		732 (RV)	± 3.6%		45%	40%	–	16%
		428 (LV)	± 4.7%		50%	42%	–	8%
Public Policy Polling (D)	May 26–27, 2022	655 (V)	± 3.8%		47%	41%	–	12%
Phillips Academy	May 7–9, 2022	543 (RV)	± 4.2%	34%		36%	–	30%
Moore Information Group (R)	March 14–19, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.0%		47%	32%	8%	12%
Saint Leo University	February 28 – March 12, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.5%		45%	27%	–	28%
Kurt Jetta (D)	March 4, 2022	1,098 (A)	± 3.0%		45%	26%	–	29%
		893 (RV)	± 3.3%		45%	27%	–	28%
		446 (LV)	± 4.6%		49%	35%	–	16%
University of North Florida	February 7–20, 2022	685 (RV)	± 3.7%		46%	34%	–	20%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy	February 7–10, 2022	625 (RV)	± 4.0%		49%	42%	–	9%
Suffolk University	January 26–29, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%		49%	41%	0%	10%
St. Pete Polls	November 18–19, 2021	2,896 (LV)	± 1.8%		51%	44%	–	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 9, 2021	867 (RV)	± 3.3%		45%	33%	3%	12%
		842 (LV)	± 3.4%		48%	36%	3%	10%
Saint Leo University	October 17–23, 2021	500 (A)	± 4.5%		47%	29%	–	25%
VCreek/AMG (R)	September 23–27, 2021	405 (LV)	± 4.9%		42%	38%	5%	15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	August 20–24, 2021	1,000 (RV)	± 3.1%		46%	34%	3%	11%
		977 (LV)	± 3.1%		48%	37%	3%	10%
Political Matrix/Listener Group (R)	August 14–18, 2021	1,000 (LV)	± 3.1%		55%	45%	–	–
St. Pete Polls	August 16–17, 2021	2,068 (RV)	± 2.2%		48%	46%	–	6%
Change Research (D)	August 14–17, 2021	1,585 (LV)	± 2.5%		47%	44%	–	9%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)	August 4–10, 2021	700 (RV)	± 3.7%		50%	39%	1%	9%
Political Matrix/Listener Group (R)	June 27, 2021	681 (LV)	± 3.9%		60%	40%	–	–

Marco Rubio vs. Aramis Ayala

Marco Rubio vs. Alan Grayson

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Marco Rubio (R)	Alan Grayson (D)	Other	Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 9, 2021	867 (RV)	± 3.3%		43%	34%	4%	12%
		842 (LV)	± 3.4%		46%	37%	4%	10%
VCreek/AMG (R)	September 23–27, 2021	405 (LV)	± 4.9%		44%	32%	10%	14%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	August 20–24, 2021	1,000 (RV)	± 3.1%		46%	33%	4%	12%
		977 (LV)	± 3.1%		48%	36%	4%	11%

Marco Rubio vs. Stephanie Murphy

Marco Rubio vs. generic Democrat

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Marco Rubio (R)	Generic Democrat	Undecided
Mason-Dixon	February 24–28, 2021	625 (RV)	± 4.0%		46%	40%	14%
Data for Progress (D)	September 15–22, 2020	620 (LV)	± 3.9%	42%		43%	15%

Results

By county

County	Marco Rubio Republican		Val Demings Democratic		Dennis Misigoy Libertarian		Steven B. Grant Independent		Tuan Nguyen Independent		Write-in		Margin		Total votes
	data-sort-type=number		data-sort-type=number	%	data-sort-type=number		data-sort-type=number	%	data-sort-type=number		data-sort-type=number	%	data-sort-type=number			data-sort-type=number	%	data-sort-type=number		data-sort-type=number	%	data-sort-type=number		data-sort-type=number	%	data-sort-type=number		data-sort-type=number	%
	Alachua		39,220		40.97		55,439		57.91		439		0.46		349		0.36		285		0.30		2		0.00		-16,219		-16.94		95,734
	Baker		9,431		88.21		1,181		11.05		43		0.40		31		0.29		6		0.06		0		0.00		8,250		77.16		10,692
	Bay		51,657		77.15		14,547		21.73		300		0.45		255		0.38		196		0.29		1		0.00		37,110		55.42		66,956
	Bradford		8,156		79.88		1,942		19.02		37		0.36		55		0.54		19		0.19		1		0.01		6,214		60.86		10,210
	Brevard		165,233		61.85		98,978		37.05		1,236		0.46		1,075		0.40		631		0.24		10		0.00		66,255		24.80		267,163
	Broward		238,962		39.96		353,575		59.12		2,081		0.35		2,083		0.35		1,223		0.20		122		0.02		-114,613		-19.16		598,046
	Calhoun		4,067		84.17		700		14.49		13		0.27		40		0.83		12		0.25		0		0.00		3,367		69.68		4,832
	Charlotte		63,845		69.06		27,757		30.02		254		0.27		452		0.49		138		0.15		2		0.00		36,088		39.04		92,448
	Citrus		55,087		72.80		19,634		25.95		295		0.39		491		0.65		158		0.21		3		0.00		35,453		46.85		75,668
	Clay		65,972		73.26		23,054		25.60		441		0.49		377		0.42		201		0.22		4		0.00		42,918		47.66		90,049
	Collier		116,050		70.98		46,537		28.46		387		0.24		340		0.21		171		0.10		4		0.00		69,513		42.52		163,489
	Columbia		18,344		77.55		5,070		21.43		93		0.39		103		0.44		45		0.19		0		0.00		13,274		56.11		23,655
	DeSoto		6,469		74.71		2,097		24.22		27		0.31		51		0.59		15		0.17		0		0.00		4,372		50.49		8,659
	Dixie		5,225		85.18		826		13.47		21		0.34		52		0.85		10		0.16		0		0.00		4,399		71.72		6,134
	Duval		177,401		53.95		147,646		44.90		1,567		0.48		1,268		0.39		957		0.29		2		0.00		29,755		9.05		328,841
	Escambia		73,225		63.40		40,790		35.32		598		0.52		459		0.40		420		0.36		4		0.00		32,435		28.08		115,496
	Flagler		37,934		64.71		20,204		34.47		204		0.35		191		0.33		86		0.15		2		0.00		17,730		30.25		58,621
	Franklin		3,885		71.71		1,471		27.15		23		0.42		29		0.54		10		0.18		0		0.00		2,414		44.56		5,418
	Gadsden		6,086		35.01		11,113		63.93		63		0.36		99		0.57		23		0.13		0		0.00		-5,027		-28.92		17,384
	Gilchrist		6,657		84.85		1,087		13.85		40		0.51		47		0.60		14		0.18		1		0.01		5,570		70.99		7,846
	Glades		3,026		79.26		764		20.01		10		0.26		16		0.42		2		0.05		0		0.00		2,262		59.25		3,818
	Gulf		5,069		78.97		1,295		20.17		19		0.30		24		0.37		12		0.19		0		0.00		3,774		58.79		6,419
	Hamilton		3,030		70.76		1,215		28.37		18		0.42		15		0.35		4		0.09		0		0.00		1,815		42.39		4,282
	Hardee		4,480		81.13		981		17.77		23		0.42		30		0.54		8		0.14		0		0.00		3,499		63.36		5,522
	Hendry		6,008		72.97		2,121		25.76		36		0.44		54		0.66		14		0.17		0		0.00		3,887		47.21		8,233
	Hernando		54,822		68.40		24,298		30.32		352		0.44		462		0.58		214		0.27		1		0.00		30,524		38.08		80,149
	Highlands		28,777		72.43		10,480		26.38		146		0.37		266		0.67		62		0.16		0		0.00		18,297		46.05		39,731
	Hillsborough		253,495		52.55		222,378		46.10		2,498		0.52		2,345		0.49		1,618		0.34		9		0.00		31,117		6.45		482,343
	Holmes		6,151		90.86		556		8.21		23		0.34		34		0.50		6		0.09		0		0.00		5,596		82.64		6,770
	Indian River		50,878		65.91		25,613		33.18		268		0.35		297		0.38		133		0.17		3		0.00		25,265		32.73		77,192
	Jackson		12,188		74.87		3,956		24.30		41		0.25		80		0.49		14		0.09		0		0.00		8,232		50.57		16,279
	Jefferson		4,137		58.07		2,929		41.11		24		0.34		24		0.34		10		0.14		0		0.00		1,208		16.96		7,124
	Lafayette		2,521		86.72		348		11.97		11		0.38		22		0.76		5		0.17		0		0.00		2,173		74.75		2,907
	Lake		103,103		64.43		55,377		34.61		619		0.39		624		0.39		287		0.18		3		0.00		47,726		29.83		160,013
	Lee		185,123		67.44		87,108		31.73		898		0.33		934		0.34		446		0.16		1		0.00		98,015		35.71		274,510
	Leon		46,511		39.59		69,677		59.31		495		0.42		428		0.36		375		0.32		1		0.00		-23,166		-19.72		117,487
	Levy		13,690		76.63		3,944		22.08		70		0.39		116		0.65		44		0.25		1		0.01		9,746		54.55		17,865
	Liberty		2,164		83.17		405		15.56		11		0.42		19		0.73		3		0.12		0		0.00		1,759		67.60		2,602
	Madison		4,476		64.16		2,442		35.01		23		0.33		26		0.37		9		0.13		0		0.00		2,034		29.16		6,976
	Manatee		108,234		63.15		61,423		35.84		737		0.43		680		0.40		312		0.18		8		0.00		46,811		27.31		171,394
	Marion		104,655		67.18		49,698		31.90		625		0.40		579		0.37		228		0.15		6		0.00		54,957		35.28		155,791
	Martin		52,312		67.44		24,639		31.77		242		0.31		259		0.33		110		0.14		2		0.00		27,673		35.68		77,564
	Miami-Dade		386,251		54.27		318,978		44.82		2,593		0.36		2,633		0.37		1,257		0.18		3		0.00		67,273		9.45		711,715
	Monroe		19,897		58.57		13,756		40.49		151		0.44		107		0.31		61		0.18		0		0.00		6,141		18.08		33,972
	Nassau		35,944		75.33		11,337		23.76		201		0.42		166		0.35		64		0.13		1		0.00		24,607		51.57		47,713
	Okaloosa		60,808		75.27		18,851		23.33		473		0.59		371		0.46		286		0.35		0		0.00		41,957		51.93		80,789
	Okeechobee		8,532		78.54		2,218		20.42		38		0.35		59		0.54		16		0.15		0		0.00		6,314		58.12		10,863
	Orange		177,105		43.51		225,569		55.42		1,758		0.43		1,388		0.34		1,224		0.30		9		0.00		-48,464		-11.91		407,053
	Osceola		51,422		50.07		49,907		48.60		532		0.52		513		0.50		312		0.30		7		0.01		1,515		1.48		102,693
	Palm Beach		267,715		49.34		269,839		49.73		1,800		0.33		2,240		0.41		1,010		0.19		14		0.00		-2,124		-0.39		542,618
	Pasco		143,760		64.05		77,664		34.60		1,063		0.47		1,325		0.59		622		0.28		7		0.00		66,096		29.45		224,441
	Pinellas		223,747		53.01		192,058		45.51		2,599		0.62		2,353		0.56		1,288		0.31		2		0.00		31,689		7.51		422,047
	Polk		144,548		62.98		82,261		35.84		980		0.43		1,210		0.53		493		0.21		6		0.00		62,287		27.14		229,498
	Putnam		19,812		74.65		6,450		24.30		96		0.36		139		0.52		43		0.16		0		0.00		13,362		50.35		26,540
	Santa Rosa		59,111		78.22		15,554		20.58		392		0.52		323		0.43		190		0.25		0		0.00		43,557		57.64		75,570
	Sarasota		129,865		59.46		86,618		39.66		744		0.34		832		0.38		355		0.16		2		0.00		43,247		19.80		218,416
	Seminole		97,761		53.41		83,285		45.50		870		0.48		650		0.36		457		0.25		5		0.00		14,476		7.91		183,028
	St. Johns		98,564		68.27		44,371		30.73		659		0.46		476		0.33		288		0.20		13		0.01		54,193		37.54		144,371
	St. Lucie		69,924		57.40		50,851		41.74		415		0.34		414		0.34		220		0.18		0		0.00		19,073		15.66		121,824
	Sumter		63,806		71.44		25,010		28.00		189		0.21		220		0.25		91		0.10		1		0.00		38,796		43.44		89,317
	Suwannee		13,125		80.49		3,018		18.51		57		0.35		83		0.51		23		0.14		0		0.00		10,107		61.98		16,306
	Taylor		6,063		79.60		1,495		19.63		25		0.33		26		0.34		8		0.11		0		0.00		4,568		59.97		7,617
	Union		3,917		86.30		580		12.78		13		0.29		22		0.48		7		0.15		0		0.00		3,337		73.52		4,539
	Volusia		139,085		61.58		84,543		37.43		943		0.42		871		0.39		417		0.18		3		0.00		54,542		24.15		225,862
	Wakulla		10,485		69.91		4,343		28.96		69		0.46		65		0.43		35		0.23		1		0.01		6,142		40.95		14,998
	Walton		28,203		81.00		6,326		18.17		124		0.36		99		0.28		65		0.19		0		0.00		21,877		62.83		34,817
	Washington		7,641		84.01		1,345		14.79		42		0.46		50		0.55		17		0.19		0		0.00		6,296		69.22		9,095
Totals	4,474,847	57.68	3,201,522	41.27	32,177	0.41	31,816	0.41	17,385	0.22	267	0.00	1,273,325	16.41	7,758,014

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Miami-Dade (largest municipality: Miami)
• Osceola (largest municipality: Kissimmee)
• St. Lucie (largest municipality: Port St. Lucie)

By congressional district

Rubio won 20 of 28 congressional districts.^[75]

District	Rubio	Demings	Representative
		72%	27%		Matt Gaetz
		60%	39%		Neal Dunn
		62%	37%		Kat Cammack
		59%	40%		Aaron Bean
		64%	35%		John Rutherford
		66%	33%		Michael Waltz
	57%	42%		Stephanie Murphy (117th Congress)
			Cory Mills (118th Congress)
		63%	36%		Bill Posey
		48%	51%		Darren Soto
	39%	60%		Val Demings (117th Congress)
			Maxwell Frost (118th Congress)
		61%	38%		Daniel Webster
		68%	31%		Gus Bilirakis
		56%	42%		Anna Paulina Luna
		45%	53%		Kathy Castor
		57%	41%		Laurel Lee
		60%	39%		Vern Buchanan
		63%	35%		Greg Steube
		68%	31%		Scott Franklin
		68%	31%		Byron Donalds
		28%	71%		Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
		61%	39%		Brian Mast
		46%	53%		Lois Frankel
		48%	51%		Jared Moskowitz
		29%	69%		Frederica Wilson
		45%	54%		Debbie Wasserman Schultz
		70%	30%		Mario Díaz-Balart
		57%	42%		María Elvira Salazar
		63%	37%		Carlos A. Giménez

Voter demographics

Demings!

Rubio	No answer	% of voters
Gender
Men	37	62	1	49
Women	48	51	1	51
Age
18–24 years old	57	41	2	7
25–29 years old	58	39	2	4
30–39 years old	55	43	N/A	13
40–49 years old	41	58	1	12
50–64 years old	38	62	N/A	32
65 and older	37	62	1	33
Race
White	35	64	1	64
Black	90	9	N/A	11
Latino	41	56	2	21
Race by gender
White men	28	71	N/A	32
White women	43	57	2	32
Black men	89	11	1	5
Black women	92	8	N/A	6
Latino men	42	55	2	10
Latina women	41	57	1	11
Education
High school or less	35	63	2	15
Some college education	42	58	1	25
Associate degree	42	57	2	19
Bachelor's degree	44	54	1	24
Advanced degree	48	51	1	17
Party ID
Democrats	97	3	N/A	28
Republicans	3	97	1	42
Independents	48	49	2	30
Ideology
Liberals	91	8	1	20
Moderates	57	41	1	39
Conservatives	7	93	2	42
Marital status
Married	40	60	1	59
Unmarried	50	48	2	41
Gender by marital status
Married men	33	66	1	30
Married women	46	53	1	29
Unmarried men	48	51	3	18
Unmarried women	52	47	2	23
First-time midterm election voter
Yes	42	58	4	11
No	44	55	N/A	89
Most important issue facing the country
Crime	32	66	2	10
Inflation	28	72	1	39
Gun policy	63	36	N/A	10
Immigration	12	88	N/A	10
Abortion	81	18	N/A	24
Area type
Urban	45	54	1	46
Suburban	42	57	2	44
Rural	31	68	N/A	10
Source: CNN^[76]

See also

• Elections in Florida
• Political party strength in Florida
• Florida Democratic Party
• Florida Republican Party
• Government of Florida
• 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida
• 2022 Florida gubernatorial election
• 2022 Florida House of Representatives election
• 2022 Florida Senate election
• 2022 Florida elections
• 2022 United States gubernatorial elections
• 2022 United States elections

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

• Florida Division of Elections Candidate Tracking System

Official campaign websites

• Carlos Barberena (I) for Senate
• Val Demings (D) for Senate
• Steven B. Grant (I) for Senate
• Dennis Misigoy (L) for Senate
• Quoc Tuan Nguyen (IP) for Senate
• Marco Rubio (R) for Senate

Notes and References

1. News: 2022-11-08 . Florida Governor Election Results . en-US . . 2022-11-09 . 0362-4331.
2. Web site: United States Senate election in Florida, 2022 . 2022-06-05 . Ballotpedia . en.
3. Web site: Election Dates - Division of Elections - Florida Department of State . 2022-06-28 . dos.myflorida.com.
4. Web site: Val Demings Could be Victorious in Florida Senate Race, Poll Suggests . .
5. Web site: November 9, 2020 . Sen. Marco Rubio for reelection in 2022 . November 9, 2020 . The Floridian . en-US.
6. Web site: September 28, 2021. FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1539881. live. 2021-10-06. Federal Election Commission. https://web.archive.org/web/20210929013325/http://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/S2FL00706/1539881 . September 29, 2021 .
7. Web site: April 14, 2021. Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State. live. 2021-05-20. Florida Department of State. https://web.archive.org/web/20210520003508/https://dos.elections.myflorida.com/candidates/CanDetail.asp?account=79376 . May 20, 2021 .
8. Web site: January 13, 2021 . STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY . live . January 18, 2021 . Federal Election Commission. https://web.archive.org/web/20210813005115/https://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/939/202101139398461939/202101139398461939.pdf . August 13, 2021 .
9. Web site: April 20, 2021 . FEC FORM 2 STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY . live . April 25, 2021 . Federal Election Commission. https://web.archive.org/web/20210425050619/https://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/432/202104209444016432/202104209444016432.pdf . April 25, 2021 .
10. Web site: Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State. live. 2021-06-12. Florida Department of State. https://web.archive.org/web/20210612093304/https://dos.elections.myflorida.com/candidates/CanDetail.asp?account=79505 . June 12, 2021 .
11. Web site: March 24, 2021. FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1506231. live. 2021-03-29. Federal Election Commission. https://web.archive.org/web/20210324230553/https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/S2FL00557/1506231 . March 24, 2021 .
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19. Web site: Smiley . David . December 17, 2020 . Marco Rubio may face a Florida primary challenge in 2022. Here's why. . December 19, 2020 . . en.
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22. News: Luscombe . Richard . 2021-01-24 . 'I like Ivanka': Marco Rubio sweats over rumoured Trump Senate challenge . en-GB . . 2021-02-23 . 0261-3077.
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36. Web site: Ogles . Jacob . Allen Ellison shifts from Senate bid to CD 23 campaign . floridapolitics.com . June 24, 2022 . June 21, 2022.
37. Web site: Ogles. Jacob. 2021-06-07. 'It's on': Alan Grayson slams 'corrupt' Marco Rubio, steps up Senate bid. live. 2021-06-08. Florida Politics. en-US. https://web.archive.org/web/20210607165248/https://floridapolitics.com/archives/434273-its-on-alan-grayson-slams-corrupt-marco-rubio-steps-up-senate-bid/ . June 7, 2021 .
38. Web site: Alan Grayson pushing pocketbook economics in CD 10 run. Powers. Scott. June 14, 2022. June 14, 2022.
39. Web site: June 28, 2018. Candidate Tracking system - Florida Division of Elections - Department of State. live. 2021-05-21. Florida Department of State. https://web.archive.org/web/20210521095631/https://dos.elections.myflorida.com/candidates/CanDetail.asp?account=73653 . May 21, 2021 .
40. Web site: May 8, 2021 . FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1515525 . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20210508141556/https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/S2FL00607/1515525 . May 8, 2021 . 2021-05-11 . Federal Election Commission.
41. Web site: Powers . Scott . Democrat Tatiana Fernandez seeks to help in CD 7 . floridapolitics.com . May 28, 2022 . May 27, 2022.
42. Web site: Flechas. Joey. June 3, 2021. Miami Commissioner Ken Russell says he'll run to challenge Marco Rubio for U.S. Senate. live. June 3, 2021. Miami Herald. https://web.archive.org/web/20210603130536/https://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/state-politics/article251839898.html . June 3, 2021 .
43. Web site: Delgado . Jason . 2022-05-01 . Ken Russell leaves Senate race, announces congressional bid . 2022-05-01 . Florida Politics . en-US.
44. News: Speck. Emilee. May 3, 2021. Former State Attorney Aramis Ayala exploring run for US Senate. ClickOrlando.com. May 4, 2021.
45. Web site: Moore. Stewart. 2021-05-26. Aramis Ayala to run for Val Demings' Orlando congressional seat. live. 2021-05-26. WESH. en. https://web.archive.org/web/20210526113608/https://www.wesh.com/article/aramis-ayala-congress-run-orlando/36537973 . May 26, 2021 .
46. News: Greenwood . Max . May 4, 2021 . Crist launches bid for Florida governor, seeking to recapture his old job . . May 4, 2021.
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49. Web site: Nichol. Ryan. 2021-07-15. Ted Deutch adds nearly $125K in second quarter, holds $435K for CD 22 reelection bid. live. 2021-07-24. Florida Politics. en-US. https://web.archive.org/web/20210715163553/https://floridapolitics.com/archives/441467-deutch-125k-second-quarter/ . July 15, 2021 .
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52. Web site: Ritchie. Bruce. June 1, 2021. Florida's Nikki Fried jumps into 2022 race to challenge DeSantis. 2021-06-01. Politico. en.
53. News: Burlew . Jeff . November 20, 2018 . Gwen Graham could be statewide contender again, in four long years . . September 14, 2020.
54. News: Man . Anthony . January 2, 2021 . 2020 is over, but South Florida top political developments will reverberate long into the future . . January 18, 2021.
55. Web site: Nichols. Hans. May 12, 2021. Democratic Rep. Stephanie Murphy to announce Senate challenge to Marco Rubio. live. 2021-05-17. Axios. en. https://web.archive.org/web/20210512003917/https://www.axios.com/rubio-stephanie-murphy-florida-senate-2022-9bed5472-972d-4bbc-bee8-d0c0e47a8747.html . May 12, 2021 .
56. Web site: Caputo. Marc. May 24, 2021. Florida Rep. Stephanie Murphy will not challenge Rubio for Senate. live. 2021-05-24. Politico. en. https://web.archive.org/web/20210524170854/https://www.politico.com/news/2021/05/24/stephanie-murphy-marco-rubio-senate-490563 . May 24, 2021 .
57. Web site: May 23, 2021. FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1517879. live. 2021-05-27. Federal Election Commission. https://web.archive.org/web/20210524015549/https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/S2FL00615/1517879 . May 24, 2021 .
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59. Web site: Swisher . Skyler . March 2, 2021 . Boynton Beach Mayor Steven Grant files to challenge Sen. Marco Rubio in 2022 election . live . 2021-03-04 . Sun-Sentinel. https://web.archive.org/web/20210302213406/https://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/politics/fl-ne-boynton-mayor-senate-campaign-20210302-gckvhagaibdf7jb5u5i5zrnaoa-story.html . March 2, 2021 .
60. Web site: June 23, 2021. FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1521399. live. 2021-06-30. Federal Election Commission. https://web.archive.org/web/20210623043416/https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/S2FL00656/1521399 . June 23, 2021 .
61. Web site: September 16, 2020 . FLORIDA . September 22, 2020 . PoliticsOne.
62. Web site: GRANDA, GRACE - Candidate overview .
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