2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska explained

Election Name:	2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska
Country:	Nebraska
Type:	legislative
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska
Previous Year:	2020
Next Election:	2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska
Next Year:	2024
Seats For Election:	All 3 Nebraska seats to the United States House of Representatives
Election Date:	November 8, 2022
Party1:	Republican Party (United States)
Last Election1:	3
Seats1:	3
Popular Vote1:	411,034
Percentage1:	62.71%
Swing1:	0.54%
Party2:	Democratic Party (United States)
Last Election2:	0
Seats2:	0
Popular Vote2:	231,511
Percentage2:	35.32%
Swing2:	0.69%

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the state of Nebraska, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the Nebraska gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections.

Nebraska's primary elections took place on May 10, 2022.

Overview

scope=col rowspan=3	District	scope=col colspan=2	Republican	scope=col colspan=2	Democratic	scope=col colspan=2	Others	scope=col colspan=2	Total	scope=col rowspan=3	Result
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"	!	scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"	!	scope=col colspan=2	!	scope=col colspan=2
scope=col data-sort-type="number"	Votes !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	% !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	Votes !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	% !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	Votes !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	% !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	Votes !	scope=col data-sort-type="number"	%
	129,236	57.91%	93,929	42.09%	0	0.00%	223,165	100.0%	Republican hold
	112,663	51.33%	106,807	48.67%	0	0.00%	219,470	100.0%	Republican hold
	172,700	78.30%	34,836	15.79%	13,016	5.90%	220,552	100.0%	Republican hold
Total	411,034	62.71%	231,511	35.32%	13,016	1.96%	663,187	100.0%

District 1

Election Name:	2022 Nebraska's 1st congressional district election
Country:	Nebraska
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2022 Nebraska's 1st congressional district special election
Previous Year:	2022 (special)
Next Election:	2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska#District 1
Next Year:	2024
Image1:	File:Mike Flood 117th Congress (cropped).jpeg
Nominee1:	Mike Flood
Party1:	Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:	129,236
Percentage1:	57.91%
Nominee2:	Patty Pansing Brooks
Party2:	Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:	93,929
Percentage2:	42.09%
Map Size:	200px
U.S. Representative
Before Election:	Mike Flood
Before Party:	Republican Party (US)
After Election:	Mike Flood
After Party:	Republican Party (US)

See also: Nebraska's 1st congressional district. The 1st district is located in eastern Nebraska surrounding Omaha and its suburbs, taking in Lincoln, Bellevue, Fremont, and Norfolk. The incumbent was Republican Mike Flood, who was elected with 52.7% of the vote in a 2022 special election after the previous incumbent, Jeff Fortenberry, resigned March 31, 2022, after having been indicted and convicted on charges of lying to the FBI about campaign donations.^[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mike Flood, incumbent U.S. representative^[2]

Eliminated in primary

• Thireena Yuki Connely, teacher
• Curtis D. Huffman, welder
• John Glen Weaver, U.S. Air Force veteran^[3]

Withdrawn

• Jeff Fortenberry, former U.S. representative and convicted felon^[4]

Declined

• Mike Foley, Lieutenant Governor of Nebraska, former Nebraska State Auditor, and candidate for governor in 2014 (running for State Auditor)^[5]
• Tony Fulton, Nebraska Tax Commissioner and former state senator^[6]
• Suzanne Geist, state senator^[6]
• Mike Hilgers, Speaker of the Nebraska Legislature (running for Attorney General)^[6]
• Julie Slama, state senator^[6]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Connely	Mike Flood	Jeff Fortenberry	Curtis Huffman	Weaver	Undecided
	March 31, 2022	Fortenberry resigns and withdraws from the race
Moore Information Group (R)^[7]	February 23, 2022	405 (LV)	± 4.9%	1%	25%		36%	1%	1%		36%
				–	30%		40%	–	–	30%
Moore Information Group (R)	January 2022	– (LV)	–	–	33%		35%	–	–	33%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Patty Pansing Brooks, state senator^[8]

Eliminated in primary

• Jazari Kual, community activist^[9]

Results

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report^[10]		September 1, 2022
align=left	Inside Elections^[11]		September 1, 2022
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball^[12]		August 24, 2022
Politico^[13]		August 23, 2022
RCP^[14]		September 1, 2022
align=left	Fox News^[15]		August 22, 2022
DDHQ^[16]		September 5, 2022
FiveThirtyEight^[17]		September 6, 2022
The Economist^[18]		September 28, 2022

Results

District 2

Election Name:	2022 Nebraska's 2nd congressional district election
Country:	Nebraska
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska#District 2
Previous Year:	2020
Next Election:	2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska#District 2
Next Year:	2024
Image1:	File:Don Bacon 117th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	Don Bacon
Party1:	Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:	112,663
Percentage1:	51.33%
Nominee2:	Tony Vargas
Party2:	Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:	106,807
Percentage2:	48.67%
Map Size:	250px
U.S. Representative
Before Election:	Don Bacon
Before Party:	Republican Party (US)
After Election:	Don Bacon
After Party:	Republican Party (US)

See also: Nebraska's 2nd congressional district. The 2nd district covers the Omaha metropolitan area, including all of Douglas County, home to the city of Omaha, parts of Saunders County, and suburban parts of northern Sarpy County, including La Vista and Papillon. The incumbent was Republican Don Bacon, who was re-elected with 50.8% of the vote in 2020 on the same ballot that Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden won the district with 52.2%.

During the campaign, a research firm contracted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee inappropriately obtained the military records of Don Bacon.^[19]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Don Bacon, incumbent U.S. representative^[20]

Eliminated in primary

• Steve Kuehl^[21]

Withdrawn

• Jim Schultze, IT professional^[21]

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Tony Vargas, state senator^[22]

Eliminated in primary

• Alisha Shelton, mental health counselor and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020^[23]

Declined

• Kara Eastman, nonprofit executive and nominee for this district in 2018 and 2020 (endorsed Shelton)^[24]
• John Ewing, Douglas County treasurer and nominee for this district in 2012
• Megan Hunt, state senator (running for re-election)
• Precious McKesson, political activist and Nebraska director for the Joe Biden 2020 presidential campaign^[25]
• Crystal Rhoades, member of the Nebraska Public Service Commission
• Sage Rosenfels, former professional football player

Endorsements

Results

General election

Debates and forums

! scope="col"

Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Participants
<					----> Participant   Absent   Non-invitee  <	----> Invitee Withdrawn
					Bacon	Vargas
1^[26]	October 13, 2022	League of Women Voters and Omaha Press Club	N/A	N/A
2	October 16, 2022	KETV	N/A	^[27]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report		November 1, 2022
align=left	Inside Elections		September 1, 2022
align=left	Roll Call^[28]		August 26, 2022
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 2, 2022
Politico		October 4, 2022
RCP		September 1, 2022
align=left	Fox News		November 1, 2022
DDHQ		September 5, 2022
FiveThirtyEight^[29]		September 6, 2022
The Economist^[30]		November 5, 2022

Polling

Aggregate polls

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Don Bacon (R)	Tony Vargas (D)	Undecided
Impact Research (D)^[32]	August 3–7, 2022	501 (LV)	± 4.5%		47%	46%	7%
GBAO (D)^[33]	June 27–30, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%		48%	5%
RMG Research^[34]	May 19–20, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.5%		52%	37%	9%
Change Research (D)^[35]	May 6–10, 2022	564 (LV)	± 4.6%	39%		42%	16%
Change Research (D)^[36]	March 26–29, 2022	550 (LV)	± 4.5%	39%		40%	16%

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Generic Republican	Generic Democrat	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)^[37]	October 18, 2022	–	–	44%		47%	9%
Impact Research (D)	August 3–7, 2022	501 (LV)	± 4.5%		44%	40%	16%
Change Research (D)	March 26–29, 2022	550 (LV)	± 4.5%		40%	39%	21%

By county

County	Don Bacon Republican		Tony Vargas Democratic		Total votes
	%		%
	48.77%	93,363	51.23%	98,055	191,418
	65.37%	12,189	34.63%	6,457	18,646
Saunders	75.60%	7,111	24.40%	2,295	9,406

District 3

Election Name:	2022 Nebraska's 3rd congressional district election
Country:	Nebraska
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska#District 3
Previous Year:	2020
Next Election:	2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska#District 3
Next Year:	2024
Nominee1:	Adrian Smith
Party1:	Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:	172,700
Percentage1:	78.30%
Nominee2:	David Else
Party2:	Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:	34,836
Percentage2:	15.79%
Nominee3:	Mark Elworth Jr.
Party3:	Legal Marijuana Now Party
Popular Vote3:	13,016
Percentage3:	5.90%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:	Adrian Smith
Before Party:	Republican Party (US)
After Election:	Adrian Smith
After Party:	Republican Party (US)

See also: Nebraska's 3rd congressional district. The 3rd district covers most of the rural central and western part of the state, and includes Grand Island, Kearney, Hastings, North Platte, Alliance, and Scottsbluff. The incumbent was Republican Adrian Smith, who was re-elected with 78.5% of the vote in 2020.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Adrian Smith, incumbent U.S. Representative^[38]

Eliminated in primary

• Mike Calhoun^[39]

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• David Else

Eliminated in primary

• Daniel Wik, doctor^[40]

Results

Legal Marijuana Now primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mark Elworth Jr., chair of the Nebraska Legal Marijuana NOW Party, nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2016, and Democratic nominee for this district in 2020^[40]

Results

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report		September 1, 2022
align=left	Inside Elections		September 1, 2022
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball		August 24, 2022
Politico		August 23, 2022
RCP		September 1, 2022
align=left	Fox News^[41]		August 22, 2022
DDHQ		September 5, 2022
FiveThirtyEight		September 6, 2022
The Economist		September 28, 2022

Results

See also

• 2022 Nebraska elections

Notes

Partisan clients

References

• Book: Evnen . Robert B. . 2022 General Canvass Book . 8 November 2022 . Nebraska Secretary of State . 14 December 2022.

External links

• • • Web site: League of Women Voters of Nebraska . (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

• Patty Pansing Brooks (D) for Congress
• Mike Flood (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

• Don Bacon (R) for Congress
• Tony Vargas (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

• David Else (D) for Congress
• Adrian Smith (R) for Congress

Notes and References

1. Web site: General Election Official Results . Nebraska Secretary of State . December 4, 2020.
2. Web site: Walton. Don. January 16, 2022. Flood challenges Fortenberry, says indictment puts House seat at risk. live. January 16, 2022. Lincoln Journal Star. https://web.archive.org/web/20220116230919/https://journalstar.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/flood-challenges-fortenberry-says-indictment-puts-house-seat-at-risk/article_d2c49949-faa5-5f80-a9d7-8bb3eb7b7e9e.html . January 16, 2022 .
3. Web site: Air Force veteran announces bid for Nebraska's 1st Congressional District. February 5, 2022. www.ketv.com. KETV. en-US.
4. Web site: Solender . Andrew . 2022-03-26 . GOP Rep. Jeff Fortenberry resigns after conviction . 2022-03-26 . Axios . en.
5. News: Hammel. Paul . Nebraska auditor not running for reelection; lieutenant governor will seek his old job. 2021-11-11. Omaha World-Herald. November 11, 2021 . en.
6. Web site: Schulte. Grant. October 21, 2021. What could happen next with indicted US Rep. Fortenberry. October 23, 2021. Associated Press. en-US.
7. https://6cc214f6-79a4-4216-9927-f55391ff6b57.usrfiles.com/ugd/6cc214_9cecac743f104db5b4798e9087ec4af6.pdf Moore Information Group (R)
8. Web site: Walton . Don . Don Walton: Patty Pansing Brooks preparing bif for Fortenberry House seat . 24 October 2021.
9. Web site: Dorn. Nolan. December 6, 2021. Jazari Kual announces run for Congress . January 3, 2022. www.klkntv.com. KLKN. en-US.
10. Web site: November 1, 2022 . 2022 House Race Ratings . November 6, 2022 . The Cook Political Report.
11. Web site: September 1, 2022 . House Ratings . September 6, 2022 . The Rothenberg Political Report.
12. Web site: November 2, 2022 . 2022 House Ratings . November 6, 2022 . Sabato's Crystal Ball.
13. Web site: August 23, 2022 . 2022 Election Forecast . September 6, 2022 . Politico.
14. Web site: September 1, 2022 . Battle for the House 2022 . September 6, 2022 . RCP.
15. Web site: Numa . Rémy . 2022-08-19 . Fox News Power Rankings: GOP House majority shrinks as Democrats score key victories . 2022-09-02 . Fox News . en-US.
16. Web site: September 5, 2022 . 2022 Election Forecast . September 6, 2022 . DDHQ.
17. Web site: Silver . Nate . 2022-09-06 . 2022 House Forecast . 2022-09-06 . FiveThirtyEight . en.
18. News: The Economist's 2022 House Election forecast . November 6, 2022 . The Economist.
19. News: 2 former House GOP candidates alerted to improper requests for Air Force records.
20. Web site: Anderson. Jake. January 5, 2022. Nebraska Rep. Don Bacon running for reelection . January 5, 2022. www.ketv.com. KETV. en-US.
21. News: Sanderford . Aaron . February 28, 2022 . Bacon loses lone GOP primary challenger, gains another in Omaha-area House race . . live . March 27, 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220325180708/https://nebraskaexaminer.com/2022/02/28/bacon-loses-lone-gop-primary-challenger-gains-another-in-omaha-area-house-race/ . March 25, 2022.
22. Web site: Walton. Don. Sen. Tony Vargas will seek metro Omaha House seat. July 13, 2021. JournalStar.com. July 13, 2021 . en.
23. Web site: July 6, 2021. Alisha Shelton announces run for Nebraska's 2nd District Congressional seat. July 6, 2021. KMTV. en.
24. News: State senator, activist among possible congressional candidates in Nebraska's 2nd District . April 11, 2021 . Paul . Hammel . Omaha World-Herald . September 11, 2021.
25. News: Where the battle for the House stands . Politico . April 12, 2021 . Ally . Mutnick . Zach . Montellaro . September 11, 2021.
26. Web site: Bacon and Vargas to debate twice in October . 2022-09-01 . News From The States . en.
27. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=911d8knXJUA YouTube
28. Web site: 2022-08-26 . House ratings update: GOP majority could be slim . 2022-09-01 . Roll Call . en.
29. Web site: Silver . Nate . 2022-06-30 . 2022 House Forecast . 2022-09-02 . FiveThirtyEight . en.
30. News: The Economist's 2022 House Election forecast . The Economist . September 28, 2022.
31. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/house/2022/nebraska/2/ FiveThirtyEight
32. https://archive.today/20220811190233/https://twitter.com/allymutnick/status/1557804161114185731 Impact Research (D)
33. https://314action.org/2022/05/11/ne-02first-general-election-poll-shows-tony-vargas-leading-rep-don-bacon-bacon-out-of-step-on-roe-with-constituents/ GBAO (D)
34. https://www.termlimits.com/library/2022%20Nebraska-2%20Poll%20Executive%20Summary.pdf RMG Research
35. https://314action.org/2022/05/11/ne-02first-general-election-poll-shows-tony-vargas-leading-rep-don-bacon-bacon-out-of-step-on-roe-with-constituents/ Change Research (D)
36. https://314action.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/NE-02-Toplines-March-26-29-2022.pdf Change Research (D)
37. https://twitter.com/PollProjectUSA/status/1583580241510879233 Public Policy Polling (D)
38. Web site: The race to replace Ricketts: Who's in, who's thinking, who's out of campaign for governor. Aaron . Sanderford . Omaha.com. January 31, 2021. February 3, 2021.
39. Web site: Statewide Candidate List . Nebraska Secretary of State . 27 April 2022 . January 9, 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220109045740/https://sos.nebraska.gov/sites/sos.nebraska.gov/files/doc/elections/2022/Statewide-Candidate-List.pdf . dead .
40. News: Statewide Candidate List . Nebraska Secretary of State . February 25, 2022.
41. Web site: Numa . Rémy . 2022-08-22 . Fox News Power Rankings: GOP House majority shrinks as Democrats score key victories . 2022-09-06 . Fox News . en-US.