2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana explained

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana should not be confused with 2022 Montana House of Representatives election.

Election Name:2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana
Country:Montana
Type:legislative
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2020 United States House of Representatives election in Montana
Previous Year:2020
Next Election:2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana
Next Year:2024
Election Date:November 8, 2022
Seats For Election:Both Montana seats to the United States House of Representatives
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Last Election1:1
Seats1:2
Seat Change1: 1
Popular Vote1:245,081
Percentage1:52.86%
Swing1: 3.53%
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Last Election2:0
Seats2:0
Popular Vote2:158,745
Percentage2:34.24%
Swing2: 9.37%
Party3:Independent
Last Election3:0
Seats3:0
Popular Vote3:47,195
Percentage3:10.18%
Swing3:New

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana were held on November 8, 2022, to elect two U.S. Representatives from Montana, one from each of its congressional districts. Prior to this election cycle, Montana had one at-large district, represented by Republican Matt Rosendale. However, during the 2020 redistricting cycle, Montana regained the that it lost in 1993.

As a result, Montana became the first state relegated from multi-district to at-large status that reclaimed a second representative in the House of Representatives, in which Rosendale ran for re-election.[1] [2]

Overview

District

scope=col rowspan=3Districtscope=col colspan=2Republicanscope=col colspan=2Democraticscope=col colspan=2Othersscope=col colspan=2Totalscope=col rowspan=3Result
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2!scope=col colspan=2
scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"%
120,285 49.73% 112,271 46.42% 9,305 3.85% 241,861 100.00% align=left Republican gain
120,899 56.57% 42,905 20.08% 49,892 23.35% 213,696 100.00% align=left Republican hold
Total 241,184 52.94% 155,176 34.06% 59,197 12.99% 455,557 100.00%

District 1

See also: Montana's 1st congressional district.

Election Name:2022 Montana's 1st congressional district election
Country:Montana
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Next Election:2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana#District 1
Next Year:2024
Image1:File:Rep. Ryan Zinke official photo, 118th Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Ryan Zinke
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:123,102
Percentage1:49.7%
Nominee2:Monica Tranel
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:115,265
Percentage2:46.5%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:None
(New district)
After Election:Ryan Zinke
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 1st district is based in mountainous Western Montana, including the cities of Missoula, Bozeman and Butte.[3] Prior to redistricting in 2021, it was represented along with the rest of the state by representative Matt Rosendale. Since Rosendale ran for re-election in the 2nd district, this district was an open seat.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew
Declined

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[18] October 19, 2022
align=left Inside Elections[19] October 7, 2022
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] October 19, 2022
Politico[21] April 5, 2022
RCP[22] June 9, 2022
align=left Fox News[23] October 18, 2022
DDHQ[24] September 29, 2022
538[25] November 8, 2022
The Economist[26] September 28, 2022

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Ryan
Zinke (R)		Monica
Tranel (D)		John
Lamb (L)		Undecided
MSU Billings[27] October 3–14, 2022<343 (V)± 5.9%34%25%17%20%
Victoria Research (D)[28] September 14–19, 2022400 (LV)± 3.4%41%40%8%11%
Impact Research (D)[29] September 14–19, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%45%43%3%9%

Results

County results

Source

Ryan Zinke
Republican		Monica Tranel
Democratic		John Lamb
Libertarian		MarginTotal
align=center CountyVotes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes
Beaverhead3,00466.36%1,33029.38%1934.26%1,67436.98%4,527
Deer Lodge1,51037.96%2,25656.71%2125.33%-746-18.75%3,978
Flathead29,29061.37%16,57134.72%1,8643.91%12,71926.65%47,725
Gallatin22,28842.18%28,74754.40%1,8103.43%-6,459-12.22%52,845
Glacier1,21339.49%1,74856.90%1113.61%-535-17.42%3,072
Granite1,14964.48%53329.91%1005.61%61634.57%1,782
Lake7,38955.48%5,38840.46%5414.06%2,00115.02%13,318
Lincoln6,68771.65%2,20023.57%4464.78%4,48748.08%9,333
Madison3,29065.39%1,48329.48%2585.13%1,80735.92%5,031
Mineral1,45866.76%58026.56%1466.68%87840.20%2,184
Missoula18,84633.33%35,99163.66%1,7033.01%-17,145-30.32%56,540
Pondera46164.57%22731.79%263.64%23432.77%714
Powell1,76268.48%63924.83%1726.68%1,12343.65%2,573
Ravalli15,15864.32%7,52331.92%8863.76%7,63532.40%23,567
Sanders4,54968.67%1,61524.38%4606.94%2,93444.29%6,624
Silver Bow5,04835.68%8,43459.62%6654.70%-3,386-23.93%14,147

District 2

See also: Montana's 2nd congressional district.

Election Name:2022 Montana's 2nd congressional district election
Country:Montana
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2020 United States House of Representatives election in Montana
Previous Year:2020
Next Election:2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana#District 2
Next Year:2024
Image1:File:Matt Rosendale 117th U.S Congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Matt Rosendale
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:121,979
Percentage1:56.6%
Nominee2:Gary Buchanan
Party2:Independent
Popular Vote2:46,915
Percentage2:21.9%
Image3:3x4.svg
Nominee3:Penny Ronning
Party3:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote3:43,480
Percentage3:20.2%
Map2 Image:MT2 House 2022.svg
Map2 Size:300px
Map2 Caption:Precinct results
Rosendale:
Buchanan:
Ronning:
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Matt Rosendale
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Matt Rosendale
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2nd district encompasses much of the state east of the Continental Divide, including the cities of Billings, Great Falls and Helena. Incumbent Matt Rosendale, a Republican who was elected in the with 56.4% of the vote in 2020, sought re-election in this district.[30]

This was the first U.S. congressional election where the Democratic nominee finished third since the 2018 Maine Senate race.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Deceased
Withdrawn
Declined

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Results

Independents

Candidates

Declared
Disqualified

Endorsements

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political ReportNovember 16, 2021
align=left Inside ElectionsNovember 19, 2021
align=left Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 17, 2021
PoliticoApril 5, 2022
RCPJune 9, 2022
align=left Fox NewsJuly 11, 2022
DDHQJuly 20, 2022
538June 30, 2022
The EconomistSeptember 28, 2022

Results

County results

Source

Matt Rosendale
Republican		Gary Buchanan
Independent		Penny Ronning
Democratic		Sam Rankin
Libertarian		MarginTotal
align=center CountyVotes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes
Big Horn1,47645.47%50515.56%1,21437.40%511.57%2628.07%3,246
Blaine1,04056.06%20811.21%58731.64%201.08%45324.42%1,855
Broadwater2,41770.47%55916.30%39911.63%551.60%1,85854.17%3,430
Carbon3,29456.47%1,42024.34%1,03017.66%891.53%1,87432.13%5,833
Carter66387.35%466.06%374.87%131.71%61781.29%759
Cascade15,63453.76%6,39722.00%6,63822.83%4101.41%8,99630.94%29,079
Chouteau1,46363.89%39017.03%39517.25%421.83%1,06846.64%2,290
Custer2,95964.88%68415.00%84818.59%701.53%2,11146.28%4,561
Daniels60178.98%688.94%8010.51%121.58%52168.46%761
Dawson2,58372.68%42511.96%52414.74%220.62%2,05957.93%3,554
Fallon1,05384.85%877.01%947.57%70.56%95977.28%1,241
Fergus3,80870.19%92717.09%61911.41%711.31%2,88153.11%5,425
Garfield58689.06%466.99%182.74%81.22%54082.07%658
Golden Valley34878.03%5311.88%378.30%81.79%29566.14%446
Hill2,70352.58%87116.94%1,46328.46%1042.02%1,24024.12%5,141
Jefferson3,75257.91%1,61524.93%1,03115.91%811.25%2,13732.98%6,479
Judith Basin78471.66%17015.54%12711.61%131.19%61456.12%1,094
Lewis and Clark14,23742.72%11,20133.61%7,42222.27%4631.39%3,0369.11%33,323
Liberty66071.97%13414.61%11712.76%60.65%52657.36%917
McCone77083.06%596.36%929.92%60.65%67873.14%927
Meagher62868.78%17619.28%899.75%202.19%45249.51%913
Musselshell1,79379.37%25611.33%1838.10%271.20%1,53768.04%2,259
Park4,23646.98%2,14623.80%2,48727.58%1481.64%1,74919.40%9,017
Petroleum23581.31%3913.49%134.50%20.69%19667.82%289
Phillips1,37678.40%1599.06%20311.57%170.97%1,17366.84%1,755
Pondera1,08167.31%28217.56%21513.39%281.74%79949.751,606
Powder River72480.53%10812.01%626.90%50.56%61668.52%899
Prairie46776.68%6210.18%7211.82%81.31%39564.86%609
Richland2,94178.34%2346.23%53014.12%491.31%2,41164.22%3,754
Roosevelt1,39654.15%1666.44%96937.59%471.82%42716.56%2,578
Rosebud1,74764.56%41315.26%51619.07%301.11%1,23145.49%2,706
Sheridan1,09768.09%1308.07%35321.91%311.92%74446.18%1,611
Stillwater3,21470.98%76816.96%48810.78%581.28%2,44654.02%4,528
Sweet Grass1,27668.57%36219.45%20511.02%180.97%91449.11%1,861
Teton1,91765.88%48516.67%47916.46%291.00%1,43249.21%2,910
Toole1,21273.14%22213.40%19411.71%291.75%99059.75%1,657
Treasure30772.75%9121.56%225.21%20.47%21651.18%422
Valley2,21768.85%42913.32%51215.90%621.93%1,70552.95%3,220
Wheatland57668.49%16819.98%849.99%131.55%40848.51%841
Wibaux35781.32%4510.25%337.52%40.91%31271.07%439
Yellowstone32,35153.23%14,58924.00%12,99921.39%8401.38%17,76229.22%60,779

See also

External links

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Montana gains second U.S. House seat. Tom. Lutey. The Billings Gazette. April 26, 2021 .
  2. Web site: Rapid population growth gives Montana 2nd US House seat. AP News. April 26, 2021.
  3. Web site: MT redistricting commission officially approves final map . NBC Montana . November 12, 2021 . Emma . Wulfhorst . November 13, 2021 .
  4. News: Wilson. Reid. April 29, 2021. Trump Interior secretary Zinke files to run for Congress, again. The Hill. April 29, 2021.
  5. News: Dennison. Mike. June 3, 2021. Zinke's 2022 campaign for MT congressional seat is official. KTVH-DT. June 12, 2021.
  6. Web site: Montana's Congressional District 1: Zinke the person to beat in 2022?. November 28, 2021.
  7. News: 2022 Candidate Filing List: Non-Legislative . Montana Secretary of State . March 14, 2022.
  8. Web site: July 1, 2021. Olszewski second Republican in race for MT's new U.S. House seat. July 1, 2021. KTVH.
  9. News: Kalispell pastor running as Republican in Montana's new House district . October 22, 2021 . Sam . Wilson . Helena Independent Record .
  10. Web site: Democrat Monica Tranel running for state's new U.S. House seat. July 7, 2021. Independent-Record. July 7, 2021 .
  11. Web site: Michels . Holly . Democrat Cora Neumann running for Montana's new U.S. House seat . www.helenair.com . July 13, 2021 . August 18, 2021.
  12. Web site: Democrat Tom Winter running for U.S. House . www.helenair.com . November 3, 2021 . November 3, 2021.
  13. Web site: Bishop Leaves Race for Montana's Western U.S. House Seat . www.usnews.com . . November 18, 2021.
  14. Web site: Shane Morigeau announces candidacy for Montana Senate District 48 . Char-Koosta News . Shane For Montana . July 14, 2021.
  15. Web site: Dennison . Mike . 2 more candidates enter race for Montana's new seat in Congress . www.missoulacurrent.com . July 2, 2021 . Missoula Current . July 30, 2021.
  16. Web site: Libertarian John Lamb offers 'a third choice' in the western district House race . October 18, 2022 .
  17. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wXOTiFqI0ZI YouTube
  18. Web site: 2022 House Race Ratings . The Cook Political Report . November 16, 2021.
  19. Web site: House Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . November 22, 2021.
  20. Web site: Sabato's Crystal Ball. 2022 House Ratings. November 11, 2021. November 11, 2021.
  21. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast. April 5, 2022. Politico.
  22. Web site: Battle for the House 2022. June 9, 2022 . RCP.
  23. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . Fox News . July 11, 2022 . July 11, 2022.
  24. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . DDHQ . July 20, 2022 . July 20, 2022.
  25. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . June 30, 2022 . June 30, 2022.
  26. News: The Economist's 2022 House Election forecast . The Economist . September 28, 2022.
  27. https://www.ktvq.com/news/montana-news/rosendale-zinke-favored-in-new-msu-billings-poll MSU Billings
  28. https://twitter.com/JacobRubashkin/status/1580974402312642561 Victoria Research (D)
  29. https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1574145579743158278 Impact Research (D)
  30. News: Montana Federal Election Results. Montana Secretary of State. November 3, 2020. November 18, 2020.
  31. Web site: Wilson . Reid . In Montana, a knock-down redistricting fight over a single line . The Hill . October 22, 2021 . October 22, 2021.
  32. Web site: Austin for Congress. Pharm406.
  33. Web site: Bishop drops out of congressional race for new western district . Helena Independent Record . November 17, 2021 . Sam . Wilson .
  34. Web site: Georgiou. Maritsa. May 5, 2021. List of people considering a run for Montana's regained U.S. House seat is long. May 6, 2021. KECI.
  35. Web site: Riesinger. Russ. November 26, 2021. Ronning touts community over party in bid for Montana congressional seat. November 27, 2021. www.ktvq.com. KTVQ. en-US.
  36. News: Mark Sweeney, state senator and U.S. House candidate has died . May 9, 2022 . May 20, 2022 . Montana Public Radio . Shaylee . Ragar .
  37. Web site: Dennison . Mike . Outdoor writer Ballard will challenge GOP Congressman Rosendale . www.ktvh.com . August 3, 2021 . KTVH . August 4, 2021.
  38. Web site: Democrat Jack Ballard drops out of Montana US House race | KECI. February 24, 2022 .
  39. Web site: Campaign finance, abortion rights at center of Libertarian Rankin's run for 2nd District seat . October 14, 2022 .
  40. Web site: Gary Buchanan joins U.S. House race in bid to unseat Matt Rosendale. March 16, 2022. April 30, 2022. Independent Record.
  41. Web site: Politics1 - Online Guide to Montana Elections, Candidates & Politics.
  42. Web site: Rosendale leads U.S. House race in donations with $900k . February 2022 .
  43. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BeKj086X47w YouTube

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