Election Name: | 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa |
Country: | Iowa |
Type: | legislative |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa |
Previous Year: | 2020 |
Next Election: | 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa |
Next Year: | 2024 |
Seats For Election: | All 4 Iowa seats to the United States House of Representatives |
Election Date: | November 8, 2022 |
Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
Last Election1: | 3 |
Seats1: | 4 |
Seat Change1: | 1 |
Popular Vote1: | 677,857 |
Percentage1: | 55.94% |
Swing1: | 3.52% |
Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Last Election2: | 1 |
Seats2: | 0 |
Seat Change2: | 1 |
Popular Vote2: | 526,460 |
Percentage2: | 43.45% |
Swing2: | 3.05% |
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the State of Iowa, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. These were the first congressional elections held in Iowa after the 2020 redistricting cycle.
Republicans won all four House seats, making this the first time since 1994 that Democrats had been completely shut out of Iowa's House delegation.
In the 2020 elections, Republicans flipped the 1st and 2nd congressional districts while holding the 4th, while Democrats only managed to hold onto the 3rd. Iowa is considered to be an important state in the 2022 midterm elections, as Republicans only needed a net gain of five seats to flip the House of Representatives, and the 3rd district had one of the closest House elections won by a Democrat in 2020. At an event in 2021, United States Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX), claimed that the "road to the majority...comes through Iowa."[1] However, Democrats remained optimistic, with former U.S. Representative Abby Finkenauer saying she "couldn't be more excited" about the roster of Iowa Democrats running for Congress in 2022.[2]
Election Name: | 2022 Iowa's 1st congressional district election |
Country: | Iowa |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 2 |
Previous Year: | 2020 |
Next Election: | 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 1 |
Next Year: | 2024 |
Nominee1: | Mariannette Miller-Meeks |
Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 162,947 |
Percentage1: | 53.3% |
Nominee2: | Christina Bohannan |
Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 142,173 |
Percentage2: | 46.6% |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | Mariannette Miller-Meeks |
Before Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
After Election: | Mariannette Miller-Meeks |
After Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
See also: Iowa's 1st congressional district. After redistricting, most of the old 2nd district became the 1st district. The reconfigured 1st covers southeastern Iowa, and includes Davenport, Iowa City, Muscatine, Clinton, Burlington, Fort Madison, Oskaloosa, Bettendorf, Newton and Pella. The 1st district was based in northeastern Iowa, and included the cities of Dubuque, Cedar Rapids and Waterloo. First-term Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks sought reelection in this district. Miller-Meeks flipped the 2nd district with 49.9% of the vote in 2020, defeating Democratic nominee Rita Hart by just six votes out of more than 394,000 cast, a margin of 0.002%.[3]
Source | Ranking | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
align=left | The Cook Political Report[10] | October 5, 2022 | |
align=left | Inside Elections[11] | September 1, 2022 | |
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | September 7, 2022 | |
Politico[13] | August 12, 2022 | ||
RCP[14] | September 1, 2022 | ||
align=left | Fox News[15] | October 18, 2022 | |
DDHQ[16] | September 6, 2022 | ||
FiveThirtyEight[17] | November 8, 2022 | ||
The Economist | September 28, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Mariannette | Christina Bohannan (D) | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D) | June 30 – July 4, 2022 | 375 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 39% | 38% | 22% | ||
Public Policy Polling (D) | April 5–6, 2022 | 534 (V) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 47% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Generic Democrat | Other | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selzer & Co. | October 9–12, 2022 | 155 (LV) | ± 8.4% | 50% | 41% | 1% | 8% | ||
Selzer & Co. | July 10–13, 2022 | 149 (LV) | ± 8.3% | 50% | 40% | – | 10% |
Election Name: | 2022 Iowa's 2nd congressional district election |
Country: | Iowa |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 1 |
Previous Year: | 2020 |
Next Election: | 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 2 |
Next Year: | 2024 |
Nominee1: | Ashley Hinson |
Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 172,181 |
Percentage1: | 54.1% |
Nominee2: | Liz Mathis |
Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 145,940 |
Percentage2: | 45.8% |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | Ashley Hinson |
Before Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
After Election: | Ashley Hinson |
After Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
Map Size: | 250px |
See also: Iowa's 2nd congressional district. After redistricting, most of the old 1st district became the 2nd district. The reconfigured 2nd is located in northeastern Iowa and includes Dubuque, Cedar Rapids, Waterloo and Mason City. Freshman Republican Ashley Hinson, who flipped the district with 51.2% of the vote in 2020, sought reelection in the 2nd.
Source | Ranking | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
align=left | The Cook Political Report | October 25, 2022 | |
align=left | Inside Elections | October 21, 2022 | |
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball | September 7, 2022 | |
Politico | August 12, 2022 | ||
RCP | September 1, 2022 | ||
align=left | Fox News | August 22, 2022 | |
DDHQ | September 6, 2022 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | September 7, 2022 | ||
The Economist | September 28, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ashley Hinson (R) | Liz Mathis (D) | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | July 19–20, 2022 | 594 (V) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% | ||
Public Policy Polling (D) | February 2–3, 2022 | 623 (V) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Generic Democrat | Other | Undecided | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selzer & Co. | October 9–12, 2022 | 155 (LV) | ± 8.4% | 46% | 48% | 1% | 5% | |
Public Policy Polling (D) | July 19–20, 2022 | 594 (V) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 43% | – | 7% | |
Selzer & Co. | July 10–13, 2022 | 149 (LV) | ± 8.3% | 54% | 42% | – | 5% | |
Public Policy Polling (D) | February 2–3, 2022 | 623 (V) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
Election Name: | 2022 Iowa's 3rd congressional district election |
Country: | Iowa |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 3 |
Previous Year: | 2020 |
Next Election: | 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 3 |
Next Year: | 2024 |
Nominee1: | Zach Nunn |
Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 156,262 |
Percentage1: | 50.2% |
Nominee2: | Cindy Axne |
Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 154,117 |
Percentage2: | 49.6% |
Map Size: | 250px |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | Cindy Axne |
Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
After Election: | Zach Nunn |
After Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
See also: Iowa's 3rd congressional district. Before redistricting, the 3rd district encompassed southwestern Iowa, stretching from Des Moines to the state's borders with Nebraska and Missouri. The new 3rd is still anchored in Des Moines, but now covers south-central Iowa. The incumbent was Democrat Cindy Axne, who was re-elected with 48.9% of the vote in 2020.[3]
During the campaign, a research firm contracted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee inappropriately obtained the military records of then-candidate Zach Nunn.[22]
Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
< | ----> Participant Absent Non-invitee < | ----> Invitee Withdrawn | |||||||
Hasso | Leffler | Nunn | |||||||
1 | May 3, 2022 | Polk County Republican Party WHO-DT | Dave Price | Youtube (Part 1) YouTube (Part 2) | |||||
2[29] | May 14, 2022 | KCCI | Stacey Horst and Laura Terrell | Youtube |
Source | Ranking | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
align=left | The Cook Political Report | September 1, 2022 | |
align=left | Inside Elections | November 3, 2022 | |
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball | September 7, 2022 | |
Politico | November 3, 2022 | ||
RCP | September 1, 2022 | ||
align=left | Fox News | August 22, 2022 | |
DDHQ | September 23, 2022 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | November 8, 2022 | ||
The Economist[30] | September 28, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Cindy Axne (D) | Zach Nunn (R) | Other | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Moore Information Group (R) | October 24–25, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 46% | – | 10% | ||
Moore Information Group (R) | September 21–25, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 46% | – | 10% | ||
Impact Research (D) | September 7–11, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 47% | – | 5% | ||
RMG Research | July 29 – August 5, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 49% | 2% | 8% | ||
Moore Information Group (R) | July 9–11, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 43% | 43% | – | 14% | ||
Moore Information Group (R) | September 9, 2021 | – (LV) | – | 46% | 42% | – | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Other | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selzer & Co. | October 9–12, 2022 | 155 (LV) | ± 8.4% | 49% | 48% | 0% | 3% | ||
Selzer & Co. | July 10–13, 2022 | 150 (LV) | ± 8.3% | 47% | 44% | – | 9% |
Election Name: | 2022 Iowa's 4th congressional district election |
Country: | Iowa |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 4 |
Previous Year: | 2020 |
Next Election: | 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 4 |
Next Year: | 2024 |
Nominee1: | Randy Feenstra |
Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 186,467 |
Percentage1: | 67.3% |
Nominee2: | Ryan Melton |
Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 84,230 |
Percentage2: | 30.4% |
Map Size: | 250px |
U.S. Representative | |
Before Election: | Randy Feenstra |
Before Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
After Election: | Randy Feenstra |
After Party: | Republican Party (United States) |
See also: Iowa's 4th congressional district. Before redistricting, the 4th district was based in northwestern Iowa, including Sioux City, Ames, Mason City, Fort Dodge, Boone and Carroll. The redrawn 4th also covers much of southwestern Iowa, including Council Bluffs. The incumbent was Republican Randy Feenstra, who was elected with 62.0% of the vote in 2020.[3]
Source | Ranking | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
align=left | The Cook Political Report | September 1, 2022 | |
align=left | Inside Elections | September 1, 2022 | |
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball | September 7, 2022 | |
Politico | April 5, 2022 | ||
RCP | September 1, 2022 | ||
align=left | Fox News | August 22, 2022 | |
DDHQ | September 6, 2022 | ||
FiveThirtyEight | September 7, 2022 | ||
The Economist | September 28, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Generic Democrat | Other | Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selzer & Co. | October 9–12, 2022 | 155 (LV) | ± 8.4% | 62% | 33% | 1% | 4% | ||
Selzer & Co. | July 10–13, 2022 | 149 (LV) | ± 8.3% | 55% | 36% | – | 8% |