2022 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming explained

Election Name:	2022 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming's at-large district
Country:	Wyoming
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2020 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming
Previous Year:	2020
Next Election:	2024 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming
Next Year:	2024
Election Date:	November 8, 2022
Image1:	File:Official-harriet-hageman-wy00 (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	Harriet Hageman
Party1:	Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:	132,206
Percentage1:	68.18%
Nominee2:	Lynnette Grey Bull
Party2:	Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:	47,250
Percentage2:	24.37%
Map Size:	250px
U.S. Representative
Before Election:	Liz Cheney
Before Party:	Republican Party (United States)
After Election:	Harriet Hageman
After Party:	Republican Party (United States)
Turnout:	66.6%

The 2022 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the U.S. representative for . The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

Although incumbent Republican Liz Cheney had been reelected with 68.6% of the vote in 2020,^[1] she faced backlash from her party for her opposition to Donald Trump, vocal support of Trump's second impeachment, and vote in favor and service on the January 6th Committee. She was defeated by pro-Trump candidate Harriet Hageman in the Republican primary on August 16, 2022,^[2] with a landslide 66.3% of the vote going to Hageman. Cheney's margin of defeat marked the second-worst for a House incumbent in the last 60 years, behind that of South Carolina Republican Bob Inglis in a 2010 primary runoff.^[3] Democrats nominated nonprofit founder Lynette Grey Bull, who was also their nominee in 2020.

As expected in the solidly Republican state of Wyoming, Hageman won in a landslide. However, Grey Bull did manage to flip Albany County, which she had lost in 2020.

Background

Incumbent Liz Cheney was criticized by supporters of former president Donald Trump for her vote to impeach him, as well as refusing to object to the certification of the Electoral College results in the 2020 presidential election.^[4] Following her impeachment vote, Florida Congressman Matt Gaetz appeared at a rally at the Wyoming State Capitol in support of ousting Cheney, with Donald Trump Jr. also supporting it by phone in January 2021.^[5] For the same reason, the Wyoming Republican Party later voted to censure her and requested that she resign or be primaried in the next election. Later that year, it also voted 31–29 to no longer recognize Cheney as a member due to her actions to participate in the January 6 Select Committee shortly after being removed as Conference Chair.^{[6] [7]}

In February 2021, members of the Freedom Caucus attempted to have Cheney removed from her position as Chair of the House Republican Conference in response to her impeachment vote. In a secret ballot, 61 members of the conference voted to remove, while 145 voted not to remove. Cheney retained her position in large part because of the support by these Republicans, including House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy and House Minority Whip Steve Scalise.^{[8] [9]} Eventually, however, Cheney's continued criticism of Trump lost her support by more Republicans, including McCarthy and Scalise, and McCarthy was caught on a hot mic saying "I've had it with her" in reference to Cheney. On May 12, 2021, Cheney was removed from her position as conference chair by a voice vote and replaced with Elise Stefanik.^[9]

On May 21, 2021, challenger Anthony Bouchard admitted that as a teenager he fell in love with and started dating a 14-year-old girl who he subsequently impregnated and then married. Bouchard was 18 at the time. He claimed he went public with the story because he had learned that it was being investigated by others, though the Cheney campaign denied investigating it. He compared his relationship with the unnamed girl to "the Romeo and Juliet story." The two were married but divorced three years later, and she committed suicide at age 20. Bouchard continued to raise their son after her death, though he says the two are now estranged.^{[10] [11]}

Cheney and Adam Kinzinger were censured by the Republican National Committee at its meeting in Salt Lake City on February 4, 2022, due to "actions in their positions as members of the January 6th Select Committee not befitting Republican members of Congress". The Wyoming delegation to the committee also submitted a "Rule 11" letter formalizing support for challenger Harriet Hageman and allowing the RNC to spend money allocated for Wyoming's party branch on her behalf. At the same time, support of Hageman surged following the censure of Cheney.^{[12] [13]} Hageman has referred to Donald Trump as "racist and xenophobic" and also called him "the weakest candidate" during the 2016 presidential election; at the same time Hageman endorsed Cheney and called her a "proven, courageous, constitutional conservative."^{[14] [15]}

Following Cheney's defeat, she called Hageman to concede the race. However, Hageman alleged that Cheney only left two words: "Hi Harriet". This prompted Cheney to release the full audio recording of the call which showed that she did, in fact, concede the race. The Hageman camp asserted that a technical glitch was at fault.^[16]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Harriet Hageman, lawyer, former member of the Republican National Committee and candidate for Governor of Wyoming in 2018^[17]

Eliminated in primary

• Robyn Belinskey, businesswoman^[18]
• Anthony Bouchard, state senator from the 6th district^[19]
• Liz Cheney, incumbent U.S. Representative, vice chair of the House January 6 Committee and former chair of the House Republican Conference^[20]
• Denton Knapp, retired U.S. Army colonel^[21]

Withdrawn

• Chuck Gray, state representative for the 57th district^{[22] [23]} (running for Secretary of State)^[24]
• Bryan Miller, chair of the Sheridan County Republican Party and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 and 2020 (endorsed Hageman)^[25]
• Darin Smith, attorney, Christian Broadcasting Network executive and candidate for this seat in 2016 (endorsed Hageman)^[25]

Declined

• Bo Biteman, state senator from the 21st district (endorsed Hageman)^[26]
• Edward Buchanan, Secretary of State of Wyoming^[27]
• William Perry Pendley, former Acting Director of the Bureau of Land Management^[28]

Debates and forums

Wyoming PBS has had a tradition of hosting one debate for each for the Democratic and Republican primaries for all candidates on the ballot in their respective primaries, as well as one general election debate for all candidates on the ballot. All Republican candidates on the ballot who did not withdraw were included in the sole debate. This debate was not open to the public, but was open to media outlets.^[29] Due to Liz Cheney's role as Vice Chair in the hearings for the United States House Select Committee on the January 6 Attack which were broadcast, different MSNBC hosts would later show debate clips of her defending her work in the committee.^[30]

Polling

Aggregate polls

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Anthony Bouchard	Liz Cheney	Chuck Gray	Harriet Hageman	Darin Smith	Other	Undecided
University of Wyoming	July 25 – August 6, 2022	562 (LV)	± 4.1%	2%	28%	–		57%	–	1%	12%
WPA Intelligence (R)	July 12–14, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	5%	31%	–		59%	–	–	5%
				5%	36%	–		54%	–	–	5%
				5%	39%	–		51%	–	–	5%
Mason-Dixon	July 7–11, 2022	1,100 (LV)	± 3.0%	5%	30%	–		52%	–	2%	11%
Fabrizio Lee (R)	June 1–2, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	8%	28%	–		56%	–	<1%	7%
WPA Intelligence (R)	May 24–25, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	12%	26%	–		56%	–	–	6%
Fabrizio Lee (R)	December 14–15, 2021	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	13%	26%	–		34%	–	2%	26%
	September 14, 2021	Gray suspends his campaign
	September 9, 2021	Smith withdraws and endorses Hageman
McLaughlin & Associates (R)	July 26, 2021	300 (LV)	± 5.6%	17%		23%	18%	–	7%	5%		30%
				–	23%		25%	–	14%	–		39%
				–	24%		63%	–	–	–	14%
Remington Research Group (R)	July 25–26, 2021	766 (LV)	± 3.3%	18%	19%	14%	–		24%	–		25%
				–	20%	–	–		70%	–	10%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)	January 25–26, 2021	– (LV)	–		28%	21%	17%	–	–	–		34%
					50%	23%	–	–	–	–	27%
				–	23%		50%	–	–	–	27%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Lynnette Grey Bull, nonprofit founder, member of the Northern Arapaho tribe, and nominee in 2020^[31]

Eliminated in primary

• Steve Helling, attorney and pro-Trump activist
• Meghan Jensen, chair of the Sweetwater County Democratic Party

Results

Independent and third-party candidates

Constitution Party

Nominee

• Marissa Selvig, former mayor of Pavillion^{[32] [33]}

Eliminated at convention

• Joe Shogrin, Laramie County contact for the Wyoming Constitution Party^[34]

Libertarian Party

Nominee

• Richard Brubaker, nominee for this seat in 2012, 2014, 2018, and 2020

Independents

Failed to qualify for ballot

• Casey William Hardison, chemist^[35]

General election

In the general election, Hageman faced Democratic nominee and Native American activist Lynnette Grey Bull, who was Cheney's opponent in 2020. However, Hageman was overwhelmingly favored in November.^[36] Republicans had a nearly 7-to-1 advantage in registration over Democrats,^[37] and Trump carried the state in 2020 with almost 70 percent of the vote, his strongest state-level performance in the nation.

Hageman won the 2022 election. She is the fourth consecutive Republican woman to represent Wyoming in the House. Barbara Cubin won the seat in 1994, followed by Cynthia Lummis in 2008, followed by Cheney in 2016, and followed by Hageman.

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report^[38]		October 25, 2022
align=left	Inside Elections^[39]		October 11, 2021
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball^[40]		October 5, 2021
Politico^[41]		April 5, 2022
RCP^[42]		June 9, 2022
align=left	Fox News^[43]		July 11, 2022
DDHQ^[44]		July 20, 2022
538^[45]		June 30, 2022

Results

County	Harriet Hageman Republican		Lynnette Grey Bull Democratic		Richard Brubaker Libertarian		Marissa Selvig Constitution		Write-in		Margin		Total votes
	data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;"		data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;"	%	data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;"		data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;"	%	data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;"		data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;"	%		data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;"		data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;"	%	data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;"		data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;"	%	data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;"		data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;"	%
	Albany		5,699		45.17		6,085		48.23		306		2.43		214		1.70		313		2.48		-386		3.06		12,617
	Big Horn		3,449		81.46		504		11.90		97		2.29		108		2.55		76		1.79		2,945		69.56		4,234
	Campbell		10,446		84.07		1,215		9.78		320		2.58		268		2.16		177		1.42		9,231		74.29		12,426
	Carbon		3,434		73.33		892		19.05		170		3.63		126		2.69		61		1.30		2,542		54.28		4,683
	Converse		4,044		80.00		602		11.91		129		2.55		209		4.13		71		1.40		3,442		68.09		5,055
	Crook		2,814		85.82		306		9.33		69		2.10		51		1.56		39		1.19		2,508		76.49		3,279
	Fremont		8,539		63.66		3,519		26.23		420		3.13		686		5.11		250		1.86		5,020		37.43		13,414
	Goshen		3,835		79.04		766		15.79		86		1.77		76		1.57		89		1.83		3,069		63.25		4,852
	Hot Springs		1,641		75.31		367		16.84		55		2.52		74		3.40		42		1.93		1,274		58.47		2,179
	Johnson		3,003		77.82		601		15.57		100		2.59		61		1.58		94		2.44		2,402		62.25		3,859
	Laramie		17,539		58.91		9,572		32.15		914		3.07		863		2.90		883		2.97		7,967		26.76		29,771
	Lincoln		6,118		81.69		998		13.33		159		2.12		112		1.50		102		1.36		5,120		68.36		7,489
	Natrona		15,399		68.69		5,235		23.35		656		2.93		478		2.13		649		2.90		10,164		45.34		22,417
	Niobrara		936		86.43		75		6.93		16		1.48		39		3.60		17		1.57		861		79.50		1,083
	Park		9,658		76.22		1,922		15.17		313		2.47		216		1.70		562		4.44		7,736		61.05		12,671
	Platte		3,107		78.18		603		15.17		81		2.04		118		2.97		65		1.64		2,504		63.01		3,974
	Sheridan		8,497		70.33		2,704		22.38		312		2.58		218		1.80		351		2.91		5,793		47.95		12,082
	Sublette		2,768		77.97		604		17.01		71		2.00		48		1.35		59		1.66		2,164		60.96		3,550
	Sweetwater		8,362		70.71		2,555		21.60		493		4.17		225		1.90		191		1.62		5,807		49.11		11,826
	Teton		2,957		29.38		6,447		64.05		335		3.33		67		0.67		259		2.57		-3,490		-34.67		10,065
	Uinta		5,119		78.18		987		15.07		178		2.72		161		2.46		103		1.57		5,260		57.76		9,107
	Washakie		2,430		80.04		435		14.33		93		3.06		43		1.42		35		1.15		1,995		65.71		3,036
	Weston		2,412		86.39		256		9.17		47		1.68		44		1.58		33		1.18		2,156		77.22		2,792
class=sortbottom	Totals	132,206	68.18	47,250	24.37	5,420	2.80	4,505	2.32	4,521	2.33	84,956	43.81	193,902

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Albany (largest municipality: Laramie)

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

• • • Web site: League of Women Voters of Wyoming . (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)

Official campaign websites for candidates

• Richard Brubaker (L) for Congress
• Lynnette Grey Bull (D) for Congress
• Harriet Hageman (R) for Congress
• Marissa Selvig (C) for Congress

Notes and References

1. Web site: Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 3, 2020 . Wyoming Secretary of State . November 11, 2020 . March 27, 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210327031501/https://sos.wyo.gov/Elections/Docs/2020/Results/General/2020_General_Statewide_Candidates_Summary.pdf . live .
2. Web site: Wyoming Secretary of State. Wyoming Secretary of State. Key Election Dates. August 5, 2022. August 17, 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220817022211/https://sos.wyo.gov/Elections/Docs/2022/2022_Key_Election_Dates.pdf. live.
3. News: Cheney's loss may be the second worst for a House incumbent in 60 years. CNN. Enten. Harry. August 17, 2022. August 17, 2022.
4. News: Liz Cheney suffers impeachment vote blowback at home: 'Couldn't win a primary today for dog catcher'. The Washington Times. April 1, 2021. August 17, 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220817022213/https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2021/jan/15/liz-cheney-suffers-impeachment-vote-blowback-home-/. live.
5. Web site: Reynolds. Nick. Florida Rep. Matt Gaetz coming to Wyoming as anti-Cheney effort grows. live. 2021-04-11. Casper Star-Tribune Online. January 25, 2021 . en. https://web.archive.org/web/20210125225102/https://trib.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/florida-rep-matt-gaetz-coming-to-wyoming-as-anti-cheney-effort-grows/article_58ed5a93-0650-5683-b9f3-fedeb1bb6aff.html . January 25, 2021 .
6. News: Wyoming GOP Censures Liz Cheney For Voting To Impeach Trump. NPR. February 6, 2021. April 1, 2021. Ruwitch. John. Sprunt. Barbara. June 20, 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220620093748/https://www.npr.org/2021/02/06/964933035/wyoming-gop-censures-liz-cheney-for-voting-to-impeach-trump. live.
7. News: Crane . Emily . November 16, 2021 . Wyoming GOP won't recognize Liz Cheney as member over anti-Trump stance . New York Post . March 23, 2022 . March 24, 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220324035155/https://nypost.com/2021/11/16/liz-cheney-no-longer-recognized-as-member-of-wyoming-gop/ . live .
8. Web site: Liz Cheney survives vote to remove her from GOP leadership. Cbsnews.com. February 4, 2021 . April 1, 2021. April 16, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210416154445/https://www.cbsnews.com/news/liz-cheney-republican-conference-chairwoman-vote/. live.
9. News: Strauss. Daniel. May 12, 2021. Liz Cheney removed from House leadership over Trump criticism. en-GB. The Guardian. May 12, 2021. May 14, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210514021835/https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/may/12/liz-cheney-house-leadership-republican-caucus-vote. live.
10. Web site: Eavis. Victoria. US House candidate Bouchard says he impregnated 14-year-old when he was 18. 2021-06-08. Casper Star-Tribune Online. May 21, 2021 . en. May 21, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210521195257/https://trib.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/us-house-candidate-bouchard-says-he-impregnated-14-year-old-when-he-was-18/article_c3996062-e6ad-5027-96a9-1bcd0f832eda.html. live.
11. News: Astor. Maggie. May 21, 2021. A G.O.P. challenger to Liz Cheney says he impregnated a 14-year-old when he was 18.. en-US. The New York Times. 2021-06-08. 0362-4331. May 21, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210521195150/https://www.nytimes.com/2021/05/21/us/politics/anthony-bouchard-14-year-old.html. live.
12. News: February 4, 2022 . G.O.P. Declares Jan. 6 Attack 'Legitimate Political Discourse' . . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20220204192035/https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/04/us/politics/republicans-jan-6-cheney-censure.html . February 4, 2022.
13. Web site: February 4, 2022 . RESOLUTION TO FORMALLY CENSURE LIZ CHENEY AND ADAM KINZINGER AND TO NO LONGER SUPPORT THEM AS MEMBERS OF THE REPUBLICAN PARTY . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20220204184350/https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/rnc-censure-resolution/58226d40412e4f18/full.pdf . February 4, 2022 . March 23, 2022 . New York Times.
14. News: Harriet Hageman Goes From Anti-Trump Plotter to His Champion vs. Liz Cheney . 14 August 2022 . The New York Times . September 27, 2021 . August 14, 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220814065119/https://www.nytimes.com/2021/09/27/us/politics/harriet-hageman-liz-cheney-trump.html . live . Epstein . Reid J. .
15. News: Harriet Hageman once rebuked Trump and endorsed Liz Cheney. She's now challenging her with his support . 14 August 2022 . CNN . August 14, 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220814152253/https://edition.cnn.com/2021/09/30/politics/kfile-harriet-hageman-endorsed-cheney-2016/index.html . live .
16. News: Cheney releases concession call audio in tit-for-tat with her primary foe. Politico. August 18, 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220818035436/https://www.politico.com/news/2022/08/17/cheney-releases-concession-call-audio-to-refute-primary-opponents-claims-00052593. live.
17. News: Warren. Michael. September 9, 2021. Trump endorses Harriet Hageman in GOP primary challenge to Liz Cheney. CNN. live. September 9, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210909161546/https://edition.cnn.com/2021/09/09/politics/trump-endorses-harriet-hageman-cheney-challenger/index.html. September 9, 2021.
18. Web site: Eavis . Victoria . Sheridan businesswoman announces candidacy for 2022 US House race . . July 13, 2021 . May 18, 2021 . July 13, 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210713191535/https://trib.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/sheridan-businesswoman-announces-candidacy-for-2022-us-house-race/article_75e612e2-1c5d-5eb6-aae8-6df698f1003e.html . live .
19. Web site: Liz Cheney gets 2022 primary challenger after Trump impeachment vote. January 20, 2021. FoxNews. January 20, 2021. January 20, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210120175506/https://www.foxnews.com/politics/liz-cheney-2022-primary-challenger-anthony-bouchard. live.
20. Web site: Rep. Liz Cheney outraises challengers for 2022 primaries. 2021-05-03. AP NEWS. April 20, 2021. May 4, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210504013848/https://apnews.com/article/donald-trump-primary-elections-wyoming-elections-liz-cheney-7498c50b145cbb17caaaad205a7b6bf4. live.
21. News: Retired Army colonel launches primary challenge against Cheney. Manchester. Julia. May 10, 2021. May 10, 2021. The Hill. May 10, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210510191218/https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/552691-retired-army-colonel-launches-primary-challenge-against-cheney. live.
22. Web site: Eavis. Victoria. Rep. Chuck Gray suspends campaign to unseat Cheney. September 14, 2021. Casper Star Tribune. September 14, 2021 . September 14, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210914181503/https://trib.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/rep-chuck-gray-suspends-campaign-to-unseat-cheney/article_bdc106e0-6862-546a-8b1b-1b3c9a99806f.html. live.
23. Web site: Axelrod . Tal . Third Republican drops out of race to replace Cheney after Trump endorses challenger . TheHill . en . September 15, 2021 . October 25, 2021 . October 25, 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20211025160432/https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/572403-third-republican-drops-out-of-race-to-replace-cheney-after-trump-endorses . live .
24. Web site: Eavis . Victoria . Rep. Chuck Gray announces run for Wyoming secretary of state . 2022-05-19 . Casper Star-Tribune Online . May 18, 2022 . en . May 24, 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220524223939/https://trib.com/news/state-and-regional/rep-chuck-gray-announces-run-for-wyoming-secretary-of-state/article_11e4d8d0-d6fa-11ec-a15d-977ef8056c9d.html . live .
25. News: Eavis. Victoria. September 10, 2021. Two candidates leave House race on day of Trump endorsement. Casper Star-Tribune. September 9, 2021. live. September 10, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210910015010/https://trib.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/two-candidates-leave-house-race-on-day-of-trump-endorsement/article_667d778a-4430-5f74-8fec-a3a266ede310.html. September 10, 2021.
26. News: Caputo . Marc . McGraw . Meridith . September 9, 2021 . Trump endorsement quickly consolidates primary field facing Cheney . . live . September 10, 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210910101609/https://www.politico.com/news/2021/09/09/trump-endorsement-primary-cheney-511074 . September 10, 2021.
27. Web site: Eavis . Victoria . Buchanan not planning run against Cheney, sources say . trib.com . . January 6, 2022 . May 11, 2021 . January 6, 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220106070225/https://trib.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/buchanan-not-planning-run-against-cheney-sources-say/article_8b0e1af7-d55e-5c3a-a6cb-ff9ca330a4f4.html . live .
28. Web site: Steinhauser. Paul. April 22, 2021. Former Trump administration official mulling GOP challenge against Cheney. live. April 22, 2021. Fox News. https://web.archive.org/web/20210422165144/https://www.foxnews.com/politics/former-trump-administration-official-liz-cheney-primary-challenge . April 22, 2021 .
29. News: Wolfson. Leo. June 28, 2022. Wyoming PBS To Allow Media To Attend Debate But Not The Public . . live . July 16, 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220630112459/https://cowboystatedaily.com/2022/06/28/wyoming-pbs-to-allow-media-to-attend-debate-but-not-the-public/ . June 30, 2022.
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