2022 Tauranga by-election explained

Election Name:2022 Tauranga by-election
Country:New Zealand
Flag Year:2018
Type:By-election
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2020 New Zealand general election
Previous Year:2020
Next Election:2023 New Zealand general election
Next Year:2023
Seats For Election: constituency of the House of Representatives
Election Date:18 June 2022
Turnout:20,784 (40.19%)
Candidate1:Sam Uffindell
Party1:New Zealand National Party
Percentage1:55.87%
Swing1: 13.11
Popular Vote1:11,613
Candidate2:Jan Tinetti
Party2:New Zealand Labour Party
Percentage2:25.30%
Swing2: 13.23
Popular Vote2:5,259
Candidate3:Cameron Luxton
Party3:ACT New Zealand
Popular Vote3:2,133
Percentage3:10.26%
Swing3: 6.29
MP
Before Election:Simon Bridges
Before Party:New Zealand National Party
After Election:Sam Uffindell
After Party:New Zealand National Party

The 2022 Tauranga by-election for the New Zealand House of Representatives was held on 18 June 2022[1] in the Tauranga electorate, after the sitting member, former National Party leader Simon Bridges, resigned from parliament.[2] The National Party's Sam Uffindell won the by-election in a landslide result, ahead of the Labour Party's Jan Tinetti.

Background

The Tauranga electorate is based around the eponymous city of Tauranga as well as Mount Maunganui and Omanu Beach. It was created in 1881, disestablished in 1890 and reestablished in 1908. Since the 1908 election the electorate has voted mostly conservatively with the exception of 1935 wherein Charles Burnett was voted from the Labour Party. Winston Peters, former Deputy Prime Minister, was the Tauranga MP from 1984 to 2005 — representing the National Party from 1984 to 1993, at which stage Peters left the party to establish New Zealand First. In 2005 the electorate was regained for National by Bob Clarkson[3] and it has been held by the party since.

In 2020 the incumbent MP Simon Bridges was reelected with a majority of 1,856 votes (4.23%),[4] National's lowest majority in the electorate since 2005.

Outgoing member

Bridges took over the electorate from Clarkson in 2008 and was reelected in every triennial election since. On 15 March 2022, Bridges announced his retirement from politics, thereby causing a by-election.[2] Bridges served as a cabinet minister during the Fifth National Government of New Zealand, Bridges was Minister of Economic Development, Minister for Transport, and Minister for Communications.[5] Following the 2017 election and the formation of the Sixth Labour Government Bridges was elected National Party leader and became Leader of the Opposition between 2018 and 2020, at which stage Todd Muller took over leadership.[6]

Election schedule

Key dates relating to the by-election are as follows:[7]

15 March 2022 (Tuesday) Incumbent Member Simon Bridges foreshadows his resignation
6 April 2022 (Wednesday) Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern announces the by-election will be held on 18 June 2022
10 May 2022 (Tuesday)Regulated period for election expenses starts day after notice of vacancy published
11 May 2022 (Wednesday)Writ Day – Governor General issues writ directing the Electoral Commission to hold the Tauranga by-election.Voters enrolled after this date cast a special declaration vote.
17 May 2022 (Tuesday)Nominations close (12:00) for candidates in the Tauranga by-election.Tauranga by-election candidates announced by the Electoral Commission.
1 June 2022 (Wednesday)Overseas voting starts
4 June 2022 (Saturday)Advance voting starts
17 June 2022 (Friday)All political advertising ceases and election signs taken down by midnight.Last day for overseas voters to enrol.
18 June 2022 (Saturday)Election day – polling places open from 9:00 to 19:00.Results progressively released after 19:00.
1 July 2022 (Friday)Official results declared
7 July 2022 (Thursday)Writ returned, official declaration of successful candidate and elected member

Candidates

National in a press release, announced the timeline for candidate nomination submissions, starting from 29 March and ending 13 April. The candidate will be decided on 1 May.[8] Rotorua Lakes District Councillor Tania Tapsell was speculated as a potential candidate. Tapsell unsuccessfully contested the East Coast electorate in the 2020 election.[9] [10] On 31 March, she said she would not run.[11] Waipā District Councillor Susan O'Regan, daughter of former National MP and Tauranga candidate Katherine O'Regan, ruled out a bid on 7 April.[12] Former Tauranga City Councillor Kevin Clout said that he was "seriously considering" putting his hand up for the National candidacy.[13] Tauranga Business Chamber CEO and former City Councillor Matt Cowley announced on 13 April that he would seek the National Party's nomination for the election.[14] On 29 April, the top four National candidates were announced as Clout, Cowley, Sam Uffindell, and Tom Rutherford.[15] Uffindell was selected on 1 May.[16]

Minister of Internal Affairs and Women Jan Tinetti, who contested the electorate at the 2017 and 2020 elections, put her name forward for the Labour candidacy.[17] and was confirmed as their candidate on 6 April.[18]

Former Deputy Prime Minister, Tauranga MP and New Zealand First leader Winston Peters has been speculated to run for the seat.[19] When asked about potentially running, he replied that it was a "fascinating question", however later stated that he hasn't "had a chance to absorb all that" and doesn't have anything to say at the moment. On 17 May, he announced that neither he nor his party would stand a candidate in the by-election.[20]

The ACT party board would hold a meeting on the by-election, revealed ACT Leader David Seymour.[21] Cameron Luxton, the previous ACT candidate for the electorate intends to put his name forward for the election.[22] Luxton was confirmed as the ACT candidate on 7 April 2022.[23]

Peter Wakeman, a perennial candidate who most often stands in Canterbury and who came third in the 1993 Tauranga by-election with 1.5% of the vote, has said he would stand as an independent candidate.[24]

Former National MP Matt King stated that his newly formed DemocracyNZ party would not be ready in time to contest the election.

The New Conservative Party announced on 11 April that co-leader Helen Houghton would run for the seat. Houghton contested Christchurch East previously.[25]

Former Tauranga City Councillor and 2019 mayoral candidate Andrew Hollis will run for the unregistered New Nation Party.[26]

The New Zealand Outdoors Party announced on 29 March that co-leader Sue Grey would contest the election. Grey previously ran in Nelson.[27]

The Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party announced on 31 March that their candidate would be Christopher Coker, who previously contested the Bay of Plenty electorate.[28]

The Māori Party announced on 13 May that they would not contest the election for safety reasons, citing claims of threats made by residents.[29]

List of candidates

Nominated candidates[30]
PartyCandidatewidth=70%Background
Allan CawoodContested in 2020
Christopher CokerContested the neighbouring Bay of Plenty seat in 2020
Tony Corbett
Gordon DicksonContested for Labour in 2014
Sue GreyParty co-leader who contested Nelson in 2020
Andrew HollisA former Tauranga City councillor and mayoral candidate in 2019
Helen HoughtonParty co-leader who contested Christchurch East in 2020
Yvette Lamare
Cameron LuxtonContested the electorate in 2020
Jan TinettiList MP since 2017 who contested Tauranga in 2017 and 2020, Minister of Internal Affairs and Minister for Women since 2020
Sam Uffindell
Peter WakemanA perennial candidate from Canterbury who stood and finished third in Tauranga in 1993

Campaigning

During the regulated period prior to election day, parties and candidates have limits on how much they may spend on election campaigning. It is illegal in New Zealand to campaign on election day itself, or within 10 metres of an advance polling booth.[31] For the Tauranga by-election, the regulated period runs from 10 May to 17 June 2022, and every candidate contesting the by-election is permitted to spend $57,200 on campaigning during the regulated period.[32]

Opinion polling

Poll sourceDate(s)Allan
Cawood
Chris
Coker
Tony
Corbett
Sue
Grey
Andrew
Hollis
Helen
Houghton
Yvette
Lamare
Cameron
Luxton
Jan
Tinetti
Sam
Uffindell
Peter
Wakeman
Undecided
Newshub–Reid Research[33] [34] 19–29 May 20221.9%3.4%3.9%7.4%21.9%56.9%31.4%
Q+A Kantar Public[35] 31 May – 8 June 20221%2%0.3%3%3%1%0.9%7%35%45%0.5%13%

Notes and References

  1. News: Tauranga by-election: Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern announces date . 6 April 2022 . Bay of Plenty Times . NZ Herald.
  2. News: 'It's time' – National Party MP Simon Bridges quits, will leave Parliament in coming weeks . . 15 March 2022 . 15 March 2022 . 15 March 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220315030725/https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/its-time-national-party-mp-simon-bridges-quits-will-leave-parliament-in-coming-weeks/V3L6FUWZNJXKJQWFD2Q4J5WJ3Y/ . live .
  3. Web site: Official Count Results – Tauranga (2005). 16 March 2022. Electoral Commission.
  4. Web site: Official Count Results – Tauranga (2020). Electoral Commission. 16 March 2022. Wellington.
  5. Web site: Bridges, Simon. 16 March 2022. New Zealand Parliament. 26 January 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220126124222/https://www.parliament.nz/en/mps-and-electorates/members-of-parliament/bridges-simon/. dead.
  6. News: Live: Todd Muller beats Simon Bridges in National Party leadership contest. Stuff. 22 May 2020. 16 March 2022.
  7. Web site: Preparations begin for Tauranga by-election . 6 April 2022 . Elections . en-NZ.
  8. Web site: 23 March 2022. Tauranga candidate nominations open next week . 23 March 2022 . New Zealand National Party . en.
  9. News: Simon Bridges bows out after fighting back to the top . 16 March 2022 . Newsroom . Jo . Moir.
  10. News: Behind Simon Bridges' shock departure, and what comes next . 16 March 2022 . . Bryce . Edwards .
  11. News: Dan . Sheridan . 'It won't be me': Tapsell rules herself out of Tauranga race . 5 April 2022 . . 6 April 2022 .
  12. Web site: O'Regan: I Won't Stand . 7 April 2022 . Te Awamatu News . Mary Anne . Gill.
  13. News: Tauranga councillor Kelvin Clout considering run at Simon Bridges' Tauranga seat . 23 March 2022.
  14. Web site: Matt Cowley throws hat in by-election ring . 13 April 2022 . SunLive.
  15. Web site: Tauranga byelection: Top four National contenders to replace Simon Bridges named . 29 April 2022 . Bay of Plenty Times . New Zealand Herald . Kiri . Gillespie.
  16. Web site: Sam Uffindell to run for National in Tauranga by-election . 1 May 2022 . 1News.
  17. News: Cooke . Henry . 15 March 2022 . Former National Party leader Simon Bridges retiring from politics, will spark byelection . 15 March 2022 . . 15 March 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220315030713/https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/300541457/former-national-party-leader-simon-bridges-retiring-from-politics-will-spark-byelection . live .
  18. News: Labour candidate Jan Tinetti to run in Tauranga by-election . 6 April 2022 . 1News.
  19. News: Lynch . Jenna . Winston Peters' ticket back to Parliament? Simon Bridges' resignation to spark Tauranga by-election . en . Newshub . live . 15 March 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220315065620/https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2022/03/winston-peters-ticket-back-to-parliament-simon-bridges-resignation-to-spark-tauranga-by-election.html . 15 March 2022.
  20. Web site: ZB . Newstalk . Winston Peters rules out a run in next month's Tauranga by-election . 16 May 2022 . ZB . en-nz.
  21. News: Dan . Sheridan . Henry . Cooke . 15 March 2022 . Bridges: 'Tauranga by-election will be a straight fight between left and right' . 15 March 2022 . . en.
  22. News: Tauranga byelection candidates step forward to fill Simon Bridges' shoes . 17 March 2022 . 17 March 2022 . . . en-NZ . Sandra . Conchie . subscription .
  23. Web site: Luxton to stand for ACT in Tauranga by-election . 7 April 2022 . Stuff . Dan . Sheridan.
  24. News: Conway . Glenn . Who is Peter Wakeman? . 20 March 2022 . . 3 September 2013.
  25. Web site: 11 April 2022 . New Conservative Announces Tauranga Candidate . 10 April 2022 . www.scoop.co.nz.
  26. News: The people vying to build a political force out of the parliament occupation fury . 21 March 2022 . The Spinoff . Toby . Manhire.
  27. Web site: NZ Outdoors & Freedom Party announce Sue Grey as candidate for Tauranga . 29 March 2022 . NZ Outdoors and Freedom Party.
  28. Web site: Pot Party To Stand In Tauranga By-election . 31 March 2022 . Scoop.
  29. News: Te Pāti Māori won't stand candidate at Tauranga by-election due to 'safety issue' . 13 May 2022 . Newshub . Jamie . Ensor.
  30. Web site: Who you can vote for . 17 May 2022 . Electoral Commission.
  31. [Electoral Act 1993]
  32. Web site: Election rules for campaigning, advertising and donations . 23 April 2022 . Vote NZ . en-NZ.
  33. News: Tauranga by-election: On the campaign trail and behind the scenes with National, ACT and Labour . 4 June 2022 . Newshub . Conor . Whitten.
  34. News: Tauranga by-election: Fifth of voters would consider supporting an anti-mandate party . 11 June 2022 . Newshub . Conor . Whitten.
  35. Web site: Q+A Kantar Public Tauranga Poll . 1 News.