July 2022 Punjab provincial by-election explained

Election Name:2022 Punjab provincial by-election
Country:Punjab, Pakistan
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2018 Punjab provincial election
Previous Year:2018
Next Election:2022_Pakistan_by-elections#Punjab_Assembly
Next Year:2022 (Oct)
Seats For Election:20 of the 371 seats in the Punjab Assembly
Majority Seats:186
Elected Mps:List of members of the 17th Provincial Assembly of the Punjab
Election Date:17 July 2022
Registered:4,579,898
Turnout:49.71%
Leader2:Hamza Shahbaz
Party2:Pakistan Muslim League (N)
Leaders Seat2:Lahore-XXIII
Popular Vote2:883,632
Percentage2:39.44%
Seats Before2:175
Seats2:4
Seats After2:179
Seat Change2: 4
Leader1:Chaudhry Pervaiz Elahi
Party1:Pakistan Muslim League (Q)
Leaders Seat1:Gujrat-III
Popular Vote1:1,049,183
Percentage1:46.83%
Seats Before1:173
Seats1:15
Seats After1:188
Seat Change1: 15
Chief Minister
Posttitle:Elected Chief Minister
Before Election:Hamza Shahbaz
Before Party:PML(N)
After Election:Chaudhry Pervaiz Elahi
After Party:PML(Q)
Alliance1:PTI+
Alliance2:PDM
Last Election1:8 seats, 31.82%
Last Election2:1 seat, 25.54%
Swing1:15.01
Swing2:13.90

By-elections were held in Punjab, Pakistan on 17 July 2022 to elect 20 members of the Provincial Assembly of the Punjab. The Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf won a landslide victory on 15 of those 20 seats, leading to the collapse of Chief Minister Hamza Shahbaz's PML(N)-led coalition government, as it became 7 seats short of a majority.[1]

The by-elections were held on these seats: PP-7 (Rawalpindi-II), PP-83 (Khushab-II), PP-90 (Bhakkar-II), PP-97 (Faisalabad-I), PP-125 (Jhang-II), PP-127 (Jhang-IV), PP-140 (Sheikhupura-VI), PP-158 (Lahore-XV), PP-167 (Lahore-XXIV), PP-168 (Lahore-XXV), PP-170 (Lahore-XXVII), PP-202 (Sahiwal-VII), PP-217 (Multan-VII), PP-224 (Lodhran-I), PP-228 (Lodhran-V), PP-237 (Bahawalnagar-I), PP-272 (Muzaffargarh-V), PP-273 (Muzaffargarh-VI), PP-282 (Layyah-III) and PP-288 (Dera Ghazi Khan-IV).

In the 2018 election, 11 of these seats were won by Independents, 8 were won by candidates on the PTI-ticket, and 1 by a PML(N) candidate; the 11 independents all subsequently joined the PTI and the PML(N) seat was won by the PTI in a December 2018 by-election. The by-elections were triggered after these 20 PTI MPAs voted in favor of the opposition candidate belonging to the PML(N), Hamza Shahbaz, to become the Chief Minister of Punjab, which, according to the Supreme Court and the Election Commission of Pakistan, violated Article 63-A of the Constitution of Pakistan which concerns party defections.

Background

See main article: Constitutional crisis in Punjab, Pakistan (2022).

After the 2018 Provincial Elections, Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) won 159 seats and Pakistan Muslim League (N) (PML(N)) won 164 seats. Soon after, 25 out of 30 Independents joined PTI, but it was still 2 seats short of a majority of 186. Pakistan Muslim League (Q) (PML(Q)) with 10 seats formed alliance with PTI.[2] PTI was able to form government in Punjab.

During a political crisis in Pakistan after the successful no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Imran Khan, another motion of no confidence was filed against Chief Minister Usman Buzdar, as well as against Chaudhry Pervaiz Elahi and Dost Muhammad Mazari, the Speaker and Deputy Speaker of the Provincial Assembly, respectively. Buzdar resigned before a vote on the motion of no confidence could be held and as a consequence, an election for a new Chief Minister was scheduled on 16 April between PML(N)'s Hamza Shahbaz, the joint candidate of the Pakistan Democratic Movement, and PML(Q)'s Chaudhry Pervaiz Elahi, the joint candidate of his party and PTI. On the day of the election, 25 PTI MPAs crossed the floor to support Shahbaz, violating party policy. During the very beginning of the Assembly session on 16 April, a riot began between PTI and PML-N supporters. PTI MPAs threw ewers at the Deputy Speaker, as well as slapping him. The police entered the Assembly for the first time in its history and arrested 3 MPAs.[3] The Deputy Speaker then presided over the Assembly session in the visitors gallery and declared Shahbaz the winner by securing 197 votes.[4]

After the floor crossing, the Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP) de-seated 25 dissident PTI MPAs for defection in the light of Article 63-A of the Constitution of the Islamic Republic of Pakistan on 20 May 2022.[5] Five of these MPAs were elected on reserved seats (three for women and two for minorities) and new PTI MPAs were notified on these seats on 7 July.[6]

The ECP announced on 25 May 2022 that the by-elections would be held on 17 July 2022.[7] The government held 177 seats in the assembly. This included 165 PML(N) MPAs, 7 PPP MPAs, 1 PRHP MPA, and 4 independent MPAs. Therefore, they needed to win 9 seats to gain a majority in the assembly. On the other hand, the opposition held 173 seats. This included 163 PTI MPAs and 10 PML(Q) MPAs. Therefore, they needed to win 13 seats to gain a majority in the assembly.

Candidates

A total number of 330 candidates filed nominations for the 20 constituencies. The major contest was between Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf and Pakistan Muslim League (N).[8] The Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) withdrew its candidates in favor of PML(N)[9] whereas PML-Q withdrew its candidates in favor of PTI.[10] [11]

The nominations of 175 candidates were accepted from across Punjab and they contested in these by-elections. 3,131 Polling Stations were created in 20 Constituencies out of which 731 were for men, 700 for women, and 1700 were combined polling stations. The ECP declared 1304 polling stations sensitive and 690 highly sensitive. All polling stations from the 4 constituencies of Lahore and the constituency of Multan were declared sensitive.[12]

!No!District!Constituency!Candidates !Registered voters
1RawalpindiPP-76335,295
2KhushabPP-8310322,428
3BhakkarPP-909248,960
4FaisalabadPP-9712255,884
5JhangPP-12510251,571
6PP-12710234,596
7SheikhupuraPP-14010241,598
8LahorePP-15814236,394
9PP-16711220,348
10PP-16810151,484
11PP-1708114,652
12SahiwalPP-2028233,079
13MultanPP-2174216,996
14LodhranPP-22410232,173
15PP-2286226,088
16BahawalnagarPP-2376225,341
17MuzaffargarhPP-2729203,567
18PP-2736225,200
19LayyahPP-28210202,249
20Dera Ghazi KhanPP-2886201,995
Total201754,579,898

Results

PartyVotesSeats
No.%ContestedWon+/−
Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf1,049,18346.8320155
Pakistan Muslim League (N)883,63239.442044
Tehreek-e-Labbaik Pakistan124,0355.54190
Jamaat-e-Islami Pakistan7,6340.3490
Others & Independents175,9817.8510711
Total Valid votes2,240,46598.41
Invalid/Rejected36,2851.59
Total2,276,75010017520
Registered voters/Turnout4,579,89849.71
Source: Election Commission of Pakistan[13]

Result by Constituency

DistrictAssembly ConstituencyWinnerRunner-upMarginTurnout%
CandidatePartyVotes%CandidatePartyVotes%
RawalpindiPP-7 RawalpindiRaja Sagheer AhmedPML(N)68,90643.29Muhammad Shabbir AwanPTI68,85743.274947.46
KhushabPP-83 KhushabHasan Aslam AwanPTI50,74932.90Muhammad Asif MalikIND43,58728.267,16247.84
BhakkarPP-90 BhakkarIrfan Ullah Khan NiaziPTI77,86547.48Saeed Akbar Khan NiwaniPML(N)66,51340.5611,35265.86
FaisalabadPP-97 FaisalabadAli Afzal SahiPTI67,02250.08Muhammad Ajmal CheemaPML(N)54,26640.5512,75652.30
JhangPP-125 JhangMian Muhammad Azam CheelaPTI82,29755.59Faisal Hayat JabboanaPML(N)52,27735.3130,02058.84
PP-127 JhangMehar Muhammad NawazPTI71,64856.87Mehar Muhammad Aslam BharwanaPML(N)47,41337.6324,23553.71
SheikhupuraPP-140 SheikhupuraKhurram Shahzad VirkPTI50,16651.09Mian Khalid MehmoodPML(N)32,10532.6918,06140.65
LahorePP-158 LahoreMian Akram UsmanPTI37,46349.02Rana Ahsan SharafatPML(N)31,90641.755,55732.33
PP-167 LahoreShabbir GujjarPTI40,51154.78Nazir Ahmed ChohanPML(N)26,47335.8014,03833.56
PP-168 LahoreMalik Asad Ali KhokharPML(N)26,16953.11Malik Nawaz AwanPTI15,76832.0010,40132.53
PP-170 LahoreMalik Zaheer AbbasPTI24,68853.37Muhammad Amin ZulqarnainPML(N)17,51937.887,16940.34
SahiwalPP-202 SahiwalMuhammad Gulam SarwarPTI62,29847.89Nauman Ahmad LangrialPML(N)59,19145.503,10755.81
MultanPP-217 MultanZain QureshiPTI47,34951.76Salman NaeemPML(N)40,42544.196,92442.16
LodhranPP-224 LodhranAmir Iqbal ShahPTI69,88152.61Zawar Hussain WarraichPML(N)56,21442.3213,66757.21
PP-228 LodhranSyed Rafi UddinIND45,02035.63Izzat Javaid KhanPTI38,33830.346,68255.88
BahawalnagarPP-237 BahawalnagarMian Fida Hussain WattooPML(N)66,88154.09Aftab MehmoodPTI31,14825.1935,73354.87
MuzaffargarhPP-272 MuzaffargarhMuhammad Moazam Ali Khan JatoiPTI46,06944.04Zehra Basit BukhariPML(N)36,40134.809,66851.38
PP-273 MuzaffargarhSyed Muhammad Sibtain RazaPML(N)59,67949.78Yasir Khan JatoiPTI51,23242.748,44753.23
LayyahPP-282 LayyahQaisar Abbas Khan MagsiPTI57,71847.93Muhammad Tahir RandhawaPML(N)38,75832.1918,96059.54
Dera Ghazi KhanPP-288 Dera Ghazi KhanMuhammad Saif-ud-Din KhosaPTI58,11659.75Abdul Qadir Khan KhosaPML(N)32,21233.1225,90448.15

Constituency-wise Detailed Result

Detailed results of each constituency are as follows:

Aftermath

In the aftermath of the by-election, it was claimed that PTI MPA from PP-257 (Rahim Yar Khan-II), Chaudhry Masood Ahmad had become a turncoat after his loyalty was allegedly bought, whereafter he soon fled to Turkey.[14] Allegations of rigging were also put forward by PTI in the PP-7 (Rawalpindi-II) constituency, where the PML(N) candidate emerged as the victor with a margin of 49 votes.[15] A plea for a recount was also presented, which was subsequently rejected by the ECP.[16] 2 PML(N) MPAs, Faisal Niazi from PP-209 (Khanewal-VII) and Jaleel Ahmed Sharaqpuri from PP-139 (Sheikhupura-V), also resigned from their seats before the election for Chief Minister.[17] [18]

Election for Chief Minister

The election for Chief Minister took place on 22 July 2022 among members of the Provincial Assembly.[19] Controversially, the votes of ten PML(Q) MPAs were rejected by Deputy Speaker Dost Muhammad Mazari, citing an interpretation of Article 63A of the Constitution and a letter from the leader Shujaat Hussain stating he had "issued directions to all my provincial members to cast their votes in favour of Muhammad Hamza Shahbaz Sharif". This resulted in a majority of valid votes, 179, for Hamza Shahbaz to Pervaiz Elahi's 176. Article 63A states:

The PTI filed a petition with the Supreme Court of Pakistan, stating that as PML(Q) leader Hussain was not a member of the Punjab Assembly, he did not have the authority to make the decision to back Shahbaz under section 2 of the constitutional article cited, as only the Parliamentary Party has the authority to decide which candidate its members are to vote for.[20] [21] Additionally, under a 17 May Supreme Court ruling, although defecting lawmakers' votes will not be counted for purposes of voting in Article 63A, section 1, subsection b,[22] none of the 10 PML(Q) members had been deemed to have defected, as that would have required a letter stating as such from the leader, which was Shujaat Hussain. As a consequence of the court proceedings, Shahbaz was made a “trustee Chief Minister” until the three-judge bench of Chief Justice Umar Ata Bandial, Justice Munib Akhtar, and Justice Ijaz-ul-Ahsan, could reach a decision.

The bench ruled on 26 July that the Deputy Speaker's ruling was unconstitutional and that Chaudhry Pervaiz Elahi would be sworn in as the Chief Minister of Punjab.[23]

Punjab, Pakistan Chief Ministerial Election, 22 July 2022
CandidatePartySupporting PartiesVotes Obtained
Required majority →186 out of 371
Pervaiz ElahiPML(Q)PTI186
Hamza ShahbazPML(N)PPP, PRHP, Independents179

Notes

  1. News: 2022-07-18 . Pakistan: Former PM Imran Khan stuns rivals with Punjab by-election upset . en-GB . . 2022-07-19.
  2. Web site: 2018-07-31 . PML-Q decides to back PTI in Punjab . 2022-07-01 . Global Village Space . en-GB.
  3. Web site: Khawaja . Naseer . 2022-04-16 . Punjab Assembly: Police enters house, takes MPAs into custody after brawl . 2022-07-01 . ARY NEWS . en-US.
  4. Web site: Sheikh . Adnan . 2022-04-16 . Hamza Shehbaz elected Punjab CM after garnering 197 votes in session marred by melees, chaos . 2022-07-01 . . en.
  5. Web site: Chaudhry . Fahad . 2022-05-20 . ECP de-seats 25 dissident PTI MPAs for defection . 2022-07-01 . DAWN.COM . en.
  6. Web site: Virk . Saqib . Malik . Hasnaat . 2022-07-07 . PTI bags five reserved seats in PA . 2022-07-09 . The Express Tribune . en.
  7. Web site: 25 May 2022 . ECP announces schedule for by-polls on 20 Punjab Assembly seats . 2022-07-01 . www.thenews.com.pk . en.
  8. Web site: PTI vs PML-N: Who are the candidates contesting in Punjab by-polls? . 2022-07-01 . www.geo.tv . en-US.
  9. Web site: Punjab by-polls: PPP candidates to withdraw in favour of PML-N . 2022-07-02 . Latest News - The Nation . en-US.
  10. Web site: Farooq . Azhar . 2022-06-07 . PML-Q to support PTI candidates in Punjab by-polls . 2022-07-02 . ARY NEWS . en-US.
  11. Web site: PTI vs PML-N: Who are the candidates contesting in Punjab by-polls? . 2022-07-02 . www.geo.tv . en-US.
  12. Web site: 2022-07-17 . Punjab by-elections: Voting underway to decide fate of 175 candidates . 2022-07-17 . Brecorder . en.
  13. Web site: 15 July 2022 . Election Commission of Pakistan (OFFICIAL) on Twitter . 2022-07-17 . Twitter . en.
  14. Web site: 2022-07-21 . With numbers on his side, Elahi ready to settle score with Sharifs . 2022-07-21 . Minute Mirror . en-US.
  15. Web site: 20 July 2022 . RO rejects PTI recounting of votes plea in PP-7 by-election . 2022-07-21 . Dunya News . en.
  16. Web site: Yusuf . Nausheen . 21 July 2022 . ECP dismisses PTI plea seeking recount of votes in PP-7 . 2022-07-21 . www.geo.tv . en.
  17. Web site: Reporter . The Newspaper's Staff . 2022-07-16 . PML-N MPA’s resignation accepted . 2022-08-23 . DAWN.COM . en.
  18. Web site: Another setback to PMLN as MPA Sharaqpuri resigns . 2022-08-23 . www.thenews.com.pk . en.
  19. Web site: Malik . Hasnaat . Yasif . Rana . 2022-07-01 . SC orders Punjab CM re-election on July 22 . 2022-07-17 . The Express Tribune . en.
  20. Web site: 2022-07-22 . Elahi wins, but Hamza gets the prize . 2022-07-25 . The Express Tribune . en.
  21. Web site: Hayat . Muhammad Omer . Farooq . Umar . 2022-07-22 . Elahi suffers shock defeat as Hamza retains Punjab CM position after deputy speaker's contentious ruling . 2022-07-25 . Dawn . en.
  22. Web site: Bhatti . Haseeb . 2022-05-17 . Article 63-A: SC decides defecting lawmakers' votes will not be counted . 2022-07-25 . DAWN.COM . en.
  23. Web site: 2022-07-26 . SC declares ruling on Punjab CM poll null and void . 2022-07-26 . The Express Tribune . en.

References

  1. News: 2022-07-18 . Pakistan: Former PM Imran Khan stuns rivals with Punjab by-election upset . en-GB . . 2022-07-19.
  2. Web site: 2018-07-31 . PML-Q decides to back PTI in Punjab . 2022-07-01 . Global Village Space . en-GB.
  3. Web site: Khawaja . Naseer . 2022-04-16 . Punjab Assembly: Police enters house, takes MPAs into custody after brawl . 2022-07-01 . ARY NEWS . en-US.
  4. Web site: Sheikh . Adnan . 2022-04-16 . Hamza Shehbaz elected Punjab CM after garnering 197 votes in session marred by melees, chaos . 2022-07-01 . . en.
  5. Web site: Chaudhry . Fahad . 2022-05-20 . ECP de-seats 25 dissident PTI MPAs for defection . 2022-07-01 . DAWN.COM . en.
  6. Web site: Virk . Saqib . Malik . Hasnaat . 2022-07-07 . PTI bags five reserved seats in PA . 2022-07-09 . The Express Tribune . en.
  7. Web site: 25 May 2022 . ECP announces schedule for by-polls on 20 Punjab Assembly seats . 2022-07-01 . www.thenews.com.pk . en.
  8. Web site: PTI vs PML-N: Who are the candidates contesting in Punjab by-polls? . 2022-07-01 . www.geo.tv . en-US.
  9. Web site: Punjab by-polls: PPP candidates to withdraw in favour of PML-N . 2022-07-02 . Latest News - The Nation . en-US.
  10. Web site: Farooq . Azhar . 2022-06-07 . PML-Q to support PTI candidates in Punjab by-polls . 2022-07-02 . ARY NEWS . en-US.
  11. Web site: PTI vs PML-N: Who are the candidates contesting in Punjab by-polls? . 2022-07-02 . www.geo.tv . en-US.
  12. Web site: 2022-07-17 . Punjab by-elections: Voting underway to decide fate of 175 candidates . 2022-07-17 . Brecorder . en.
  13. Web site: 15 July 2022 . Election Commission of Pakistan (OFFICIAL) on Twitter . 2022-07-17 . Twitter . en.
  14. Web site: 2022-07-21 . With numbers on his side, Elahi ready to settle score with Sharifs . 2022-07-21 . Minute Mirror . en-US.
  15. Web site: 20 July 2022 . RO rejects PTI recounting of votes plea in PP-7 by-election . 2022-07-21 . Dunya News . en.
  16. Web site: Yusuf . Nausheen . 21 July 2022 . ECP dismisses PTI plea seeking recount of votes in PP-7 . 2022-07-21 . www.geo.tv . en.
  17. Web site: Reporter . The Newspaper's Staff . 2022-07-16 . PML-N MPA’s resignation accepted . 2022-08-23 . DAWN.COM . en.
  18. Web site: Another setback to PMLN as MPA Sharaqpuri resigns . 2022-08-23 . www.thenews.com.pk . en.
  19. Web site: Malik . Hasnaat . Yasif . Rana . 2022-07-01 . SC orders Punjab CM re-election on July 22 . 2022-07-17 . The Express Tribune . en.
  20. Web site: 2022-07-22 . Elahi wins, but Hamza gets the prize . 2022-07-25 . The Express Tribune . en.
  21. Web site: Hayat . Muhammad Omer . Farooq . Umar . 2022-07-22 . Elahi suffers shock defeat as Hamza retains Punjab CM position after deputy speaker's contentious ruling . 2022-07-25 . Dawn . en.
  22. Web site: Bhatti . Haseeb . 2022-05-17 . Article 63-A: SC decides defecting lawmakers' votes will not be counted . 2022-07-25 . DAWN.COM . en.
  23. Web site: 2022-07-26 . SC declares ruling on Punjab CM poll null and void . 2022-07-26 . The Express Tribune . en.