| Election Name: | 2022 New Mexico gubernatorial election |
| Country: | New Mexico |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2018 New Mexico gubernatorial election |
| Previous Year: | 2018 |
| Next Election: | 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election |
| Next Year: | 2026 |
| Image1: | Michelle Lujan Grisham 2021.jpg |
| Nominee1: | Michelle Lujan Grisham |
| Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Running Mate1: | Howie Morales |
| Popular Vote1: | 370,168 |
| Percentage1: | 51.97% |
| Nominee2: | Mark Ronchetti |
| Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Running Mate2: | Ant Thornton |
| Popular Vote2: | 324,701 |
| Percentage2: | 45.59% |
| Governor | |
| Before Election: | Michelle Lujan Grisham |
| Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| After Election: | Michelle Lujan Grisham |
| After Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Turnout: | 52.38% |
The 2022 New Mexico gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of New Mexico. The election coincided with various other federal and state elections. Primary elections were held on June 7.[1]
Incumbent Democratic governor Michelle Lujan Grisham won a second term by a margin of 6.38%. She was first elected in 2018 with 57.2% of the vote. Her opponent was Republican Mark Ronchetti, who was also his party's nominee in New Mexico's 2020 U.S. Senate election.
Despite losing, Ronchetti managed to carry a congressional district that elected Democrat Gabe Vasquez in the concurrent U.S. House elections. This was the first gubernatorial election in New Mexico since 1986 in which the winner was from the same party as the incumbent president, and the first time since 1978 that it was a Democrat.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jay Block | Rebecca Dow | Mark Ronchetti | Greg Zanetti | Other | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research & Polling Inc. | May 15–19, 2022 | 560 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 8% | 17% | 45% | 9% | 1% | 21% | ||
| SurveyUSA | April 29 – May 7, 2022 | 505 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 12% | 9% | 44% | 10% | 2% | 23% | ||
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | January 31 – February 1, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 2% | 9% | 60% | 7% | 3% | 19% |
Endorsements
Travis Sanchez won the Libertarian primary unopposed, but withdrew to become the Libertarian nominee for New Mexico State Auditor. Sanchez was replaced by Efren Gallardo Jr.
| Source | Ranking | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | The Cook Political Report[16] | June 8, 2022 | |
| align=left | Inside Elections[17] | November 3, 2022 | |
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | January 26, 2022 | |
| Politico[19] | April 1, 2022 | ||
| align=left | RCP[20] | June 20, 2022 | |
| align=left | Fox News[21] | August 22, 2022 | |
| 538[22] | July 31, 2022 | ||
| Elections Daily[23] | November 7, 2022 |
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Michelle | Mark Ronchetti (R) | Karen Bedonie (L) | Other | Margin | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics | October 6–21, 2022 | October 21, 2022 | 47.0% | 43.5% | – | 9.5% | Lujan Grisham +3.5 | |||
| FiveThirtyEight | June 14 – October 24, 2022 | October 24, 2022 | 48.7% | 41.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | Lujan Grisham +7.6 | |||
| Average | 47.9% | 42.3% | – | 7.4% | Lujan Grisham +5.6 | |||||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Michelle | Mark Ronchetti (R) | Karen Bedonie (L) | Other | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | October 25–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 2% | <1% | 3% | ||
| 50% | 48% | 2% | <1% | – | ||||||
| Research & Polling Inc. | October 20–27, 2022 | 1,254 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 42% | 3% | – | 5% | ||
| SurveyUSA | October 21–26, 2022 | 650 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 39% | 5% | – | 9% | ||
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 19–21, 2022 | 1,077 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 47% | 4% | – | 4% | ||
| Public Policy Polling (D) | October 6–7, 2022 | 806 (V) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 40% | 7% | – | 6% | ||
| SurveyUSA | October 1–6, 2022 | 570 (LV) | ± 5.8% | 53% | 37% | 3% | – | 7% | ||
| Cygnal (R) | September 27–29, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 44% | 5% | – | 5% | ||
| SurveyUSA | September 8–12, 2022 | 558 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 48% | 36% | 5% | – | 11% | ||
| Emerson College | September 8–11, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 43% | – | 3% | 5% | ||
| Research & Polling Inc. | August 19–25, 2022 | 518 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 40% | 5% | – | 8% | ||
| GQR Research (D) | June 11–17, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 44% | 5% | – | 3% | ||
| Public Policy Polling (D) | June 13–14, 2022 | 642 (V) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 42% | 9% | – | 5% | ||
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | June 11–14, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 46% | – | – | 9% | ||
| SurveyUSA | April 29 – May 7, 2022 | 1,389 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 43% | – | – | 11% | ||
| Cygnal (R) | January 3–4, 2022 | 531 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 42% | – | – | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Michelle | Rebecca Dow (R) | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | April 29 – May 7, 2022 | 1,389 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 36% | 16% | ||
| Cygnal (R) | January 3–4, 2022 | 531 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 36% | 20% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Michelle | Gregory Zanetti (R) | Undecided | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | April 29 – May 7, 2022 | 1,389 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 36% | 16% | ||
| Cygnal (R) | January 3–4, 2022 | 531 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 38% | 21% |
| Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican | Libertarian | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: Participant Absent Non-invitee Invitee Withdrawn | ||||||||
| Michelle Lujan Grisham | Mark Ronchetti | Karen Bedonie | ||||||
| 1 | Oct. 13, 2022 | KOAT-TV | Doug Fernandez | Youtube | ||||
| Michelle Lujan Grisham Democrat | Mark V Ronchetti Republican | Karen E. Bedonie Libertarian | Total | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | ||||
| Bernalillo | 141,177 | 57.55% | 99,639 | 40.62% | 4484 | 1.83% | 245,300 | ||
| Catron | 471 | 23.29% | 1,493 | 73.84% | 58 | 2.87% | 2,022 | ||
| Chaves | 4,063 | 24.89% | 11,884 | 72.79% | 379 | 2.32% | 16,326 | ||
| Cibola | 3,418 | 49.75% | 3,230 | 47.02% | 222 | 3.23% | 6,870 | ||
| Colfax | 2,053 | 41.82% | 2,719 | 55.39% | 137 | 2.79% | 4,909 | ||
| Curry | 2,516 | 24.55% | 7,092 | 69.20% | 640 | 6.25% | 10,248 | ||
| De Baca | 167 | 22.03% | 566 | 74.67% | 25 | 3.30% | 758 | ||
| Doña Ana | 32,147 | 55.69% | 23,213 | 40.21% | 2364 | 4.10% | 57,724 | ||
| Eddy | 3,376 | 20.20% | 12,996 | 77.75% | 344 | 2.06% | 16,716 | ||
| Grant | 6,185 | 52.88% | 5,217 | 44.60% | 294 | 2.51% | 11,696 | ||
| Guadalupe | 915 | 52.56% | 784 | 45.03% | 42 | 2.41% | 1,741 | ||
| Harding | 129 | 30.79% | 280 | 66.83% | 10 | 2.39% | 419 | ||
| Hidalgo | 645 | 39.72% | 914 | 56.28% | 65 | 4.00% | 1,624 | ||
| Lea | 2,104 | 15.02% | 11,542 | 82.40% | 362 | 2.58% | 14,008 | ||
| Lincoln | 2,334 | 27.94% | 5,778 | 69.16% | 243 | 2.91% | 8,355 | ||
| Los Alamos | 6,192 | 61.02% | 3,751 | 36.96% | 205 | 2.02% | 10,148 | ||
| Luna | 2,445 | 41.52% | 3,250 | 55.19% | 194 | 3.29% | 5,889 | ||
| McKinley | 12,910 | 66.27% | 5,799 | 29.77% | 772 | 3.96% | 19,481 | ||
| Mora | 1,584 | 64.47% | 832 | 33.86% | 41 | 1.67% | 2,457 | ||
| Otero | 5,852 | 33.17% | 11,182 | 63.38% | 608 | 3.45% | 17,642 | ||
| Quay | 803 | 26.53% | 2,104 | 69.51% | 120 | 3.96% | 3,027 | ||
| Rio Arriba | 8,037 | 62.01% | 4,729 | 36.49% | 195 | 1.50% | 12,961 | ||
| Roosevelt | 1,087 | 23.32% | 3,177 | 68.15% | 398 | 8.54% | 4,662 | ||
| San Juan | 12,849 | 32.08% | 25,574 | 63.85% | 1631 | 4.07% | 40,054 | ||
| San Miguel | 6,531 | 68.98% | 2,785 | 29.41% | 152 | 1.61% | 9,468 | ||
| Sandoval | 30,789 | 50.28% | 29,337 | 47.91% | 1109 | 1.81% | 61,235 | ||
| Santa Fe | 52,447 | 75.35% | 16,287 | 23.40% | 868 | 1.25% | 69,602 | ||
| Sierra | 1,780 | 36.19% | 3,001 | 61.01% | 138 | 2.81% | 4,919 | ||
| Socorro | 2,950 | 48.05% | 2,988 | 48.66% | 202 | 3.29% | 6,140 | ||
| Taos | 10,188 | 76.33% | 2,964 | 22.21% | 196 | 1.47% | 13,348 | ||
| Torrance | 1,588 | 28.64% | 3,712 | 66.96% | 244 | 4.40% | 5,544 | ||
| Union | 328 | 21.87% | 1,101 | 73.40% | 71 | 4.73% | 1,500 | ||
| Valencia | 10,108 | 39.70% | 14,781 | 58.05% | 574 | 2.25% | 25,463 | ||
Lujan Grisham won 2 of 3 congressional districts with Ronchetti winning the remaining one, which elected a Democrat.[25]
| District | Lujan Grisham | Ronchetti | Representative | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.2% | 45.3% | Melanie Stansbury | ||||
| 48.4% | 48.7% | Yvette Herrell (117th Congress) | ||||
| Gabe Vasquez (118th Congress) | ||||||
| 53.9% | 43.7% | Teresa Leger Fernandez |