2022 Michigan gubernatorial election explained

See also: 2022 United States gubernatorial elections.

Election Name:2022 Michigan gubernatorial election
Country:Michigan
Type:presidential
Ongoing:No
Previous Election:2018 Michigan gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2018
Next Election:2026 Michigan gubernatorial election
Next Year:2026
Election Date:November 8, 2022
Turnout:55.2% 0.2[1]
Image1:Gretchen Whitmer (2021) (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Gretchen Whitmer
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Running Mate1:Garlin Gilchrist
Popular Vote1:2,430,505
Percentage1:54.47%
Nominee2:Tudor Dixon
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Running Mate2:Shane Hernandez
Popular Vote2:1,960,635
Percentage2:43.94%
Governor
Before Election:Gretchen Whitmer
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Gretchen Whitmer
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2022 Michigan gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Michigan. Incumbent Democratic Governor Gretchen Whitmer ran for re-election to a second term and faced former political commentator Tudor Dixon in the general election.[2] Whitmer defeated Dixon by a margin of nearly 11 percentage points, a wider margin than polls indicated as well as a wider margin than Whitmer's first victory four years prior. Whitmer won independent voters by double-digit margins, which contributed to Dixon's defeat.[3]

This was the first gubernatorial election in Michigan history in which both major party candidates for governor were women,[4] and the first since 1990 in which the winner was from the same party as the incumbent president.[5]

Process for ballot appearance and fraud allegations

In order to appear on a primary ballot for the August 2 Democratic and Republican primaries, candidates must submit between 15,000 and 30,000 signatures in addition to their filing paperwork.[6] These signatures are submitted to the Board of State Canvassers, a bipartisan and independent board that verifies petition signatures. Within seven days of the filing deadline, citizens and organizations can challenge nomination signatures submitted by candidates. Voters are only allowed to sign one nomination petition.

After the filing deadline, the Board of State Canvassers received nearly 30 challenges to nomination petitions. Among them, the Michigan Democratic Party alleged that several Republican candidates engaged in signature fraud with their petitions. This was followed by a report by the Michigan Bureau of Elections which alleged that 36 paid signature circulators faked signatures and engaged in practices that added fraudulent signatures to other candidates petitions.

An eight-hour meeting of the Board of State Canvassers reached a deadlock on whether to allow the candidates in question to stay on the ballot. Due to the deadlock, the candidates in question were not allowed to appear on the primary ballot. The rushed pace of the proceedings and the decision were criticized by Common Cause of Michigan, whose policy director suggested that the candidates in question had to plead their cases to the Board of Canvassers days after finding out about the alleged fraud themselves.[7]

Several candidates filed lawsuits appealing the decision. These suits were rejected in the Michigan Court of Appeals.[8] Three candidates appealed to the Michigan Supreme Court, but these appeals were denied.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary

Fourteen people declared their candidacy for the Republican gubernatorial nomination. At the filing deadline, 10 candidates submitted enough signatures to appear on the ballot, a state record. However, following challenges by the state Democratic party and other organizations, five candidates were deemed ineligible to appear on the ballot due to alleged fraudulent signatures. Several of these candidates, including former Detroit police chief James Craig and Michael Markey, pledged to appeal the decision to the State Supreme Court. Craig also mentioned that, should the appeal fail, he would still plan to run as a write-in candidate for both the primary and the general election. On June 15, 2022, Craig announced he was launching a write-in campaign for the nomination.[10]

On June 9, 2022, candidate Ryan Kelley was arrested by the FBI following numerous tips that he had participated in the January 6 United States Capitol attack.[11] The criminal complaint alleges that Kelley engaged in disorderly conduct on restricted grounds and engaged in acts of violence against a person or property. He agreed in June 2023 to plead guilty on a lesser charge in relation to his participation in the insurrection.[12] [13]

On August 19, 2022, Dixon announced former state representative Shane Hernandez as her running mate. However, shortly after, former gubernatorial candidates Ralph Rebandt and Garrett Soldano both announced that they were exploring the possibility of launching their own campaigns for lieutenant governor to contest Hernandez at the August 27 state GOP convention for not being conservative enough.[14] On August 22, 2022, Soldano announced that he would not seek the position of lieutenant governor at the convention.[15] Later that same day, Rebandt announced that he would seek the nomination at the convention.[16] Hernandez secured his party's nomination at the convention, despite heated opposition from supporters of Rebandt.[17]

On June 22, 2023, charges were filed against three individuals regarding the fraudulent signatures that disqualified five of the candidates in the Republican primary.[18] [19] [20]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified, write-in campaign

Failed to qualify

Withdrawn

Declined

Polling

Graphical summary
Aggregate polls

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mike
Brown
James
Craig
Tudor
Dixon
Perry
Johnson
Ryan
Kelley
Kevin
Rinke
Garrett
Soldano
OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[68] July 31 – August 1, 20221,074 (LV)± 2.9%41%10%19%18%2%11%
Mitchell Research (R)[69] July 31, 2022443 (LV)± 4.7%37%12%23%12%2%15%
Emerson College[70] July 28–30, 2022869 (LV)± 3.3%41%12%17%12%9%9%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[71] July 26–28, 20221,098 (LV)± 2.9%28%14%17%19%3%19%
co/efficient (R)[72] July 24–26, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.1%21%22%
Mitchell Research (R)[73] July 24–25, 2022436 (LV)± 5.0%28%14%22%11%1%25%
Mitchell Research (R)[74] July 17–18, 2022501 (LV)± 4.4%28%15%20%10%1%26%
The Glengariff Group, Inc.[75] July 13–15, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%19%13%15%12%2%38%
Mitchell Research (R)[76] July 7–8, 2022683 (LV)± 3.8%26%15%13%13%1%33%
Mitchell Research (R)[77] June 21–22, 2022588 (LV)± 4.0%15%13%15%8%3%46%
EPIC-MRA[78] June 10–13, 2022398 (LV)± 4.9%5%17%12%13%8%45%
Target Insyght[79] May 26–27, 2022400 (LV)± 5.0%9%19%15%6%1%49%
May 23, 2022Board of Elections announces Brandenburg, Brown, Craig, Johnson, and Markey did not file enough valid signatures to appear on the ballot
The Glengariff Group, Inc.[80] April 29 – May 1, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%2%23%2%5%5%6%8%3%44%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[81] March 29–31, 20221,072 (LV)± 3.0%2%34%3%16%7%2%15%8%12%
March 3, 2022Chenge withdraws from the race
Mitchell Research (R)[82] February 17–19, 2022539 (LV)± 4.2%3%32%4%3%4%5%10%3%37%
Strategic National (R)[83] September 18–19, 2021400 (LV)± 4.9%38%1%1%0%8%2%50%
40%1%0%10%49%
John James vs. James Craig

Results

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominated

Constitution convention

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[87] October 28, 2022
align=left Inside Elections[88] March 4, 2022
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[89] November 7, 2022
Politico[90] May 23, 2022
align=left RCP[91] October 21, 2022
align=left Fox News[92] August 22, 2022
538[93] November 8, 2022
Elections Daily[94] November 7, 2022

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Gretchen
Whitmer (D)
Tudor
Dixon (R)
Other
Margin
Real Clear Politics[95] October 30 – November 7, 2022November 8, 202248.3%47.3%4.4%Whitmer +1.0
FiveThirtyEight[96] January 3 – November 8, 2022November 8, 202249.9%45.1%5.0%Whitmer +4.8
270toWin[97] November 3–7, 2022November 8, 202250.4%46.4%3.2%Whitmer +4.0
Average49.5%46.3%4.2%Whitmer +3.2
Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Gretchen
Whitmer (D)
Tudor
Dixon (R)
OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[98] November 5–7, 20221,097 (LV)± 2.9%48%49%1%2%
Cygnal (R)[99] November 1–4, 20221,603 (LV)± 2.5%50%47%2%1%
Mitchell Research[100] November 3, 2022658 (LV)± 3.8%50%48%1%2%
Cygnal (R)[101] October 31 – November 2, 20221,754 (LV)± 2.3%51%46%2%2%
EPIC-MRA[102] October 28 – November 1, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%54%43%1%2%
Emerson College[103] October 27–31, 20221,584 (LV)± 2.5%50%45%3%3%
51%46%3%
Cygnal (R)[104] October 27–31, 20221,584 (LV)± 2.5%51%45%2%3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[105] October 30, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%45%45%5%5%
Wick Insights[106] October 26–30, 20221,137 (LV)± 3.2%49%47%2%2%
KAConsulting (R)[107] October 27–29, 2022501 (LV)± 4.4%48%41%5%7%
Cygnal (R)[108] October 25–29, 20221,543 (LV)± 2.5%51%44%2%3%
The Glengariff Group, Inc.[109] October 26–28, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%52%43%3%2%
Cygnal (R)[110] October 23–27, 20221,822 (LV)± 2.3%51%44%3%2%
Cygnal (R)[111] October 21–25, 20221,378 (LV)± 2.6%51%45%3%2%
Cygnal (R)[112] October 19–23, 20221,459 (LV)± 2.6%50%44%3%3%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[113] October 18–21, 20221,022 (LV)± 2.9%48%48%2%2%
Cygnal (R)[114] October 17–21, 20221,904 (LV)± 2.3%50%44%3%4%
Mitchell Research[115] October 19, 2022541 (LV)± 4.2%49%47%1%3%
Cygnal (R)[116] October 15–19, 20221,793 (LV)± 2.3%49%44%3%4%
CNN/SSRS[117] October 13–18, 2022901 (RV)± 4.2%55%41%4%1%
651 (LV)± 4.9%52%46%2%
Emerson College[118] October 12–14, 2022580 (LV)± 4.0%49%44%3%4%
Cygnal (R)[119] October 12–14, 2022640 (LV)± 3.9%49%44%4%4%
Wick Insights (R)[120] October 8–14, 20221,136 (LV)± 3.1%47%48%2%3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[121] October 12, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%44%44%6%7%
EPIC-MRA[122] October 6–12, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%49%38%4%9%
YouGov/CBS News[123] October 3–6, 20221,285 (RV)± 3.6%53%47%
The Glengariff Group, Inc.[124] September 26–29, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%50%32%9%9%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[125] September 24–28, 20221,075 (LV)± 2.9%51%45%4%1%
EPIC-MRA[126] September 15–19, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%55%39%6%
EPIC-MRA[127] September 7–13, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%51%40%7%2%
The Glengariff Group, Inc.[128] August 29 – September 1, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%48%35%4%13%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[129] August 22–25, 20221,080 (LV)± 2.9%49%45%3%2%
EPIC-MRA[130] August 18–23, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%50%39%11%
Blueprint Polling (D)[131] August 15–16, 2022611 (LV)± 4.0%51%39%3%8%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[132] August 8–14, 20221,365 (LV)± 4.4%51%46%3%
The Glengariff Group, Inc.[133] July 5–8, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%51%40%9%
Target Insyght[134] May 26–27, 2022600 (RV)± 4.0%58%21%21%
The Glengariff Group, Inc.[135] January 3–7, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%50%31%19%
Strategic National (R)[136] September 18–19, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%46%41%13%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Ryan Kelley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Gretchen
Whitmer (D)
Ryan
Kelley (R)
Undecided
The Glengariff Group, Inc.July 5–8, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%50%41%9%
Target InsyghtMay 26–27, 2022600 (RV)± 4.0%57%23%19%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Ralph Rebandt
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Gretchen
Whitmer (D)
Ralph
Rebandt (R)
Undecided
The Glengariff Group, Inc.July 5–8, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%52%37%10%
Target InsyghtMay 26–27, 2022600 (RV)± 4.0%58%19%23%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Kevin Rinke
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Gretchen
Whitmer (D)
Kevin
Rinke (R)
Undecided
The Glengariff Group, Inc.July 5–8, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%52%40%8%
Target InsyghtMay 26–27, 2022600 (RV)± 4.0%58%24%18%
The Glengariff Group, Inc.January 3–7, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%50%33%17%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Garrett Soldano
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Gretchen
Whitmer (D)
Garrett
Soldano (R)
Undecided
The Glengariff Group, Inc.July 5–8, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%52%38%10%
Target InsyghtMay 26–27, 2022600 (RV)± 4.0%58%22%20%
The Glengariff Group, Inc.January 3–7, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%50%33%17%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. James Craig
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Gretchen
Whitmer (D)
James
Craig (R)
Undecided
Blueprint Polling (D)[137] February 1–4, 2022632 (LV)± 3.9%44%44%12%
EPIC-MRA[138] January 15–20, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%46%41%13%
The Glengariff Group, Inc.January 3–7, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%49%39%12%
ARW Strategies (R)[139] January 4–6, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%46%46%8%
Strategic National (R)September 18–19, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%47%46%7%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[140] September 13–15, 20211,097 (LV)± 3.0%44%50%5%
EPIC-MRA[141] August 9–15, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%45%44%11%
Competitive Edge Research & Communication (R)[142] May 26 – June 4, 2021809 (LV)± 4.0%38%45%17%
Target InsyghtMay 9–11, 2021800 (RV)± 3.5%48%42%10%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. John James
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Gretchen
Whitmer (D)
John
James (R)
Undecided
Competitive Edge Research & Communication (R)May 26 – June 4, 2021809 (LV)± 4.0%50%45%5%
Target InsyghtMay 9–11, 2021800 (RV)± 3.5%49%39%12%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Candice Miller
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Gretchen
Whitmer (D)
Candice
Miller (R)
OtherUndecided
EPIC-MRA[143] February 19–25, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%46%45%9%
Denno Research[144] December 14–15, 2020600 (V)± 4.0%46%42%13%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. generic Republican
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Gretchen
Whitmer (D)
Generic
Republican
Undecided
EPIC-MRA[145] May 11–17, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%45%46%9%
ARW Strategies (R)[146] April 18–20, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%45%46%8%
Cygnal (R)[147] June 2–6, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%41%52%7%

Gretchen Whitmer vs. generic opponent

Debates

! scope="col"
DateHostModeratorLinkDemocraticRepublican
Key: Participant  Absent  Non-invitee  Invitee Withdrawn
WhitmerDixon
1Oct. 13, 2022WOOD-TVRick AlbinWOOD-TV[149]
2Oct. 25, 2022WXYZ-TV[150]
The first debate was held on Thursday, October 13 in Grand Rapids hosted by local TV station WOOD-TV. The two clashed on various issues such as abortion, the economy and COVID-19.[151] Analysts determined this debate to be a draw.[152]

The second debate was held on Tuesday, October 25 on the campus of Oakland University in Rochester. The debate was co-sponsored by Oakland University's Center for Civic Engagement and E.W. Scripps owned TV stations WXYZ-TV in Detroit, WXMI-TV in Grand Rapids and WSYM-TV in Lansing.[153] News stories about the debate specifically noted a question Whitmer gave Dixon when they argued on school safety and library books: "Do you really think books are more dangerous than guns?"[154]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of October 23, 2022
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Gretchen Whitmer (D)$36,375,114$30,507,077$4,017,640
Tudor Dixon (R)$6,764,321$3,799,440$2,964,881
Source: Michigan Department of State[155]

Results

By county

County[156] Gretchen Whitmer
Democratic
Tudor Dixon
Republican
Other Votes Margin Total
votes
%%%%
align="center" align="center" 34.71% align="center" 2,076 align="center" 63.57% align="center" 3,8021.72%103 align="center" −28.86% align="center" −1,726 align="center" 5,981
align="center" align="center" 45.86% align="center" 1,984 align="center" 52.20% align="center" 2,2581.94%84 align="center" −6.34% align="center" −274 align="center" 4,326
align="center" align="center" 39.76% align="center" 22,802 align="center" 58.58% align="center" 33,5901.66%950 align="center" −18.82% align="center" −10,788 align="center" 57,342
align="center" align="center" 41.34% align="center" 5,779 align="center" 56.65% align="center" 7,9202.01%281 align="center" −15.31% align="center" −2,141 align="center" 13,980
align="center" align="center" 42.36% align="center" 5,937 align="center" 55.85% align="center" 7,8271.78%250 align="center" −13.49% align="center" −1,890 align="center" 14,014
align="center" align="center" 37.78% align="center" 2,709 align="center" 60.17% align="center" 4,3142.05%147 align="center" −22.39% align="center" −1,605 align="center" 7,170
align="center" align="center" 38.59% align="center" 1,329 align="center" 59.70% align="center" 2,0561.71%59 align="center" −21.11% align="center" −727 align="center" 3,444
align="center" align="center" 37.63% align="center" 11,552 align="center" 60.42% align="center" 18,5471.95%598 align="center" −22.79% align="center" −6,995 align="center" 30,697
align="center" align="center" 50.36% align="center" 24,783 align="center" 47.65% align="center" 23,4481.99%978 align="center" 2.71% align="center" 1,335 align="center" 49,209
align="center" align="center" 50.95% align="center" 5,446 align="center" 47.38% align="center" 5,0641.67%179 align="center" 3.57% align="center" 382 align="center" 10,689
align="center" align="center" 46.55% align="center" 29,803 align="center" 51.79% align="center" 33,1571.66%1064 align="center" −5.24% align="center" −3,354 align="center" 64,024
align="center" align="center" 35.19% align="center" 5,676 align="center" 62.81% align="center" 10,1322.00%322 align="center" −27.62% align="center" −4,456 align="center" 16,130
align="center" align="center" 48.31% align="center" 24,916 align="center" 49.82% align="center" 25,6941.87%966 align="center" −1.51% align="center" −778 align="center" 51,576
align="center" align="center" 36.11% align="center" 7,350 align="center" 62.23% align="center" 12,6661.66%337 align="center" −26.12% align="center" −5,316 align="center" 20,353
align="center" align="center" 45.87% align="center" 6,728 align="center" 52.27% align="center" 7,6671.87%274 align="center" −6.40% align="center" −939 align="center" 14,669
align="center" align="center" 40.18% align="center" 5,357 align="center" 57.80% align="center" 7,7072.02%270 align="center" −17.62% align="center" −2,350 align="center" 13,334
align="center" align="center" 43.36% align="center" 6,303 align="center" 54.36% align="center" 7,9022.28%332 align="center" −11.00% align="center" −1,599 align="center" 14,537
align="center" align="center" 38.32% align="center" 5,057 align="center" 59.48% align="center" 7,8502.20%291 align="center" −21.16% align="center" −2,793 align="center" 13,198
align="center" align="center" 50.15% align="center" 20,664 align="center" 48.31% align="center" 19,9041.54%636 align="center" 1.84% align="center" 760 align="center" 41,204
align="center" align="center" 40.65% align="center" 2,655 align="center" 57.08% align="center" 3,7282.27%148 align="center" −16.43% align="center" −1,073 align="center" 6,531
align="center" align="center" 39.73% align="center" 6,890 align="center" 58.23% align="center" 10,0972.04%354 align="center" −18.50% align="center" −3,207 align="center" 17,341
align="center" align="center" 35.96% align="center" 4,310 align="center" 62.12% align="center" 7,4461.92%230 align="center" −26.16% align="center" −3,136 align="center" 11,986
align="center" align="center" 53.78% align="center" 28,806 align="center" 44.49% align="center" 23,8281.73%924 align="center" 9.29% align="center" 4,978 align="center" 53,558
align="center" align="center" 48.37% align="center" 9,285 align="center" 49.96% align="center" 9,5901.67%320 align="center" −1.59% align="center" −305 align="center" 19,195
align="center" align="center" 58.47% align="center" 100,325 align="center" 39.79% align="center" 68,2821.74%2,987 align="center" 18.68% align="center" 32,043 align="center" 171,594
align="center" align="center" 36.77% align="center" 4,422 align="center" 61.18% align="center" 7,3572.05%246 align="center" −24.41% align="center" −2,935 align="center" 12,025
align="center" align="center" 45.47% align="center" 2,940 align="center" 52.78% align="center" 3,4131.75%113 align="center" −7.31% align="center" −473 align="center" 6,466
align="center" align="center" 52.38% align="center" 27,396 align="center" 45.90% align="center" 24,0051.72%901 align="center" 6.48% align="center" 3,391 align="center" 52,302
align="center" align="center" 41.01% align="center" 6,285 align="center" 56.51% align="center" 8,6592.48%380 align="center" −15.50% align="center" −2,374 align="center" 15,324
align="center" align="center" 29.89% align="center" 5,575 align="center" 67.80% align="center" 12,6442.31%431 align="center" −37.91% align="center" −7,069 align="center" 18,650
align="center" align="center" 45.41% align="center" 7,030 align="center" 52.51% align="center" 8,1282.08%322 align="center" −7.10% align="center" −1,098 align="center" 15,480
align="center" align="center" 35.39% align="center" 5,310 align="center" 62.61% align="center" 9,3952.01%301 align="center" −27.22% align="center" −4,085 align="center" 15,006
align="center" align="center" 69.23% align="center" 82,408 align="center" 29.29% align="center" 34,8691.48%1,765 align="center" 39.94% align="center" 47,539 align="center" 119,042
align="center" align="center" 39.86% align="center" 10,845 align="center" 58.02% align="center" 15,7862.12%577 align="center" −18.16% align="center" −4,941 align="center" 27,208
align="center" align="center" 41.69% align="center" 5,266 align="center" 56.30% align="center" 7,1112.01%254 align="center" −14.61% align="center" −1,845 align="center" 12,631
align="center" align="center" 39.79% align="center" 2,236 align="center" 58.40% align="center" 3,2821.81%102 align="center" −18.61% align="center" −1,046 align="center" 5,620
align="center" align="center" 52.51% align="center" 12,581 align="center" 45.61% align="center" 10,9271.87%449 align="center" 6.90% align="center" 1,654 align="center" 23,957
align="center" align="center" 44.84% align="center" 29,011 align="center" 53.22% align="center" 34,4391.94%1,255 align="center" −8.38% align="center" −5,428 align="center" 64,705
align="center" align="center" 62.10% align="center" 72,516 align="center" 36.34% align="center" 42,4361.56%1,824 align="center" 25.76% align="center" 30,080 align="center" 116,776
align="center" align="center" 33.98% align="center" 3,009 align="center" 63.43% align="center" 5,6162.59%229 align="center" −29.45% align="center" −2,607 align="center" 8,854
align="center" align="center" 54.32% align="center" 162,899 align="center" 44.08% align="center" 132,1721.60%4,801 align="center" 10.24% align="center" 30,727 align="center" 299,872
align="center" align="center" 47.91% align="center" 666 align="center" 50.43% align="center" 7011.65%23 align="center" −2.52% align="center" −35 align="center" 1,390
align="center" align="center" 39.56% align="center" 2,081 align="center" 58.08% align="center" 3,0552.36%124 align="center" −18.52% align="center" −974 align="center" 5,260
align="center" align="center" 36.49% align="center" 15,983 align="center" 61.50% align="center" 26,9402.01%879 align="center" −25.01% align="center" −10,957 align="center" 43,802
align="center" align="center" 55.19% align="center" 8,540 align="center" 43.63% align="center" 6,7521.18%182 align="center" 11.56% align="center" 1,788 align="center" 15,474
align="center" align="center" 42.58% align="center" 18,248 align="center" 55.52% align="center" 23,7961.90%813 align="center" −12.94% align="center" −5,548 align="center" 42,857
align="center" align="center" 42.75% align="center" 46,524 align="center" 55.58% align="center" 60,4941.67%1,821 align="center" −12.83% align="center" −13,970 align="center" 108,839
align="center" align="center" 33.22% align="center" 786 align="center" 64.24% align="center" 1,5202.54%60 align="center" −31.02% align="center" −734 align="center" 2,366
align="center" align="center" 42.79% align="center" 2,567 align="center" 55.43% align="center" 3,3251.78%107 align="center" −12.64% align="center" −758 align="center" 5,999
align="center" align="center" 51.82% align="center" 199,277 align="center" 46.62% align="center" 179,2581.56%6,009 align="center" 5.20% align="center" 20,019 align="center" 384,544
align="center" align="center" 47.65% align="center" 6,026 align="center" 50.32% align="center" 6,3642.02%256 align="center" −2.67% align="center" −338 align="center" 12,646
align="center" align="center" 60.19% align="center" 18,880 align="center" 38.15% align="center" 11,9671.66%522 align="center" 22.04% align="center" 6,913 align="center" 31,369
align="center" align="center" 43.49% align="center" 6,419 align="center" 54.32% align="center" 8,0182.19%324 align="center" −10.83% align="center" −1,599 align="center" 14,761
align="center" align="center" 39.22% align="center" 6,867 align="center" 58.61% align="center" 10,2622.18%381 align="center" −19.39% align="center" −3,395 align="center" 17,510
align="center" align="center" 34.59% align="center" 3,347 align="center" 63.34% align="center" 6,1292.07%200 align="center" −28.75% align="center" −2,782 align="center" 9,676
align="center" align="center" 47.30% align="center" 19,497 align="center" 50.85% align="center" 20,9641.85%763 align="center" −3.55% align="center" −1,467 align="center" 41,224
align="center" align="center" 26.79% align="center" 1,995 align="center" 71.24% align="center" 5,3061.97%147 align="center" −44.45% align="center" −3,311 align="center" 7,448
align="center" align="center" 42.73% align="center" 29,482 align="center" 55.53% align="center" 38,3121.74%1,203 align="center" −12.80% align="center" −8,830 align="center" 68,997
align="center" align="center" 36.45% align="center" 9,622 align="center" 61.24% align="center" 16,1652.30%608 align="center" −24.79% align="center" −6,543 align="center" 26,395
align="center" align="center" 33.23% align="center" 1,701 align="center" 64.49% align="center" 3,3012.29%117 align="center" −31.26% align="center" −1,600 align="center" 5,119
align="center" align="center" 53.19% align="center" 39,269 align="center" 44.86% align="center" 33,1211.95%1,443 align="center" 8.33% align="center" 6,148 align="center" 73,833
align="center" align="center" 32.59% align="center" 7,417 align="center" 65.37% align="center" 14,8792.04%465 align="center" −32.78% align="center" −7,462 align="center" 22,761
align="center" align="center" 60.92% align="center" 383,895 align="center" 37.84% align="center" 238,4481.25%7,862 align="center" 23.08% align="center" 145,447 align="center" 630,205
align="center" align="center" 39.88% align="center" 4,820 align="center" 58.02% align="center" 7,0122.10%254 align="center" −18.14% align="center" −2,192 align="center" 12,086
align="center" align="center" 35.71% align="center" 3,532 align="center" 62.18% align="center" 6,1512.11%209 align="center" −26.47% align="center" −2,619 align="center" 9,892
align="center" align="center" 40.47% align="center" 1,319 align="center" 57.13% align="center" 1,8622.39%78 align="center" −16.66% align="center" −543 align="center" 3,259
align="center" align="center" 30.58% align="center" 3,174 align="center" 67.00% align="center" 6,9542.43%251 align="center" −36.42% align="center" −3,780 align="center" 10,379
align="center" align="center" 33.77% align="center" 1,355 align="center" 63.63% align="center" 2,5532.59%104 align="center" −29.86% align="center" −1,198 align="center" 4,012
align="center" align="center" 38.53% align="center" 4,818 align="center" 59.35% align="center" 7,4222.12%265 align="center" −20.82% align="center" −2,604 align="center" 12,505
align="center" align="center" 40.26% align="center" 58,952 align="center" 58.29% align="center" 85,3611.45%2,119 align="center" −18.03% align="center" −26,409 align="center" 146,432
align="center" align="center" 40.85% align="center" 2,981 align="center" 57.07% align="center" 4,1652.08%152 align="center" −16.22% align="center" −1,184 align="center" 7,298
align="center" align="center" 40.80% align="center" 5,284 align="center" 57.07% align="center" 7,3912.13%276 align="center" −16.27% align="center" −2,107 align="center" 12,951
align="center" align="center" 53.00% align="center" 43,219 align="center" 45.37% align="center" 37,0021.63%1,329 align="center" 7.63% align="center" 6,217 align="center" 81,550
align="center" align="center" 31.73% align="center" 5,967 align="center" 66.33% align="center" 12,4731.94%364 align="center" −34.60% align="center" −6,506 align="center" 18,804
align="center" align="center" 39.27% align="center" 1,527 align="center" 58.23% align="center" 2,2642.49%97 align="center" −18.96% align="center" −737 align="center" 3,888
align="center" align="center" 45.46% align="center" 14,730 align="center" 52.37% align="center" 16,9692.17%703 align="center" −6.91% align="center" −2,239 align="center" 32,402
align="center" align="center" 40.49% align="center" 30,170 align="center" 57.35% align="center" 42,7312.15%1,604 align="center" −16.86% align="center" −12,561 align="center" 74,505
align="center" align="center" 38.35% align="center" 8,402 align="center" 59.60% align="center" 13,0592.05%449 align="center" −21.25% align="center" −4,657 align="center" 21,910
align="center" align="center" 35.06% align="center" 8,418 align="center" 62.81% align="center" 15,0782.13%511 align="center" −27.75% align="center" −6,660 align="center" 24,007
align="center" align="center" 48.08% align="center" 15,347 align="center" 50.04% align="center" 15,9741.88%601 align="center" −1.96% align="center" −627 align="center" 31,922
align="center" align="center" 75.15% align="center" 135,904 align="center" 23.67% align="center" 42,8041.18%2,140 align="center" 51.48% align="center" 93,100 align="center" 180,848
align="center" align="center" 70.86% align="center" 457,601 align="center" 27.95% align="center" 180,4871.18%7,651 align="center" 42.91% align="center" 277,114 align="center" 645,739
align="center" align="center" 37.37% align="center" 5,645 align="center" 60.45% align="center" 9,1312.18%329 align="center" −23.08% align="center" −3,486 align="center" 15,105

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Whitmer won 9 of 13 congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans.[157]

DistrictWhitmerDixonRepresentative
44%54%Jack Bergman
40%58%John Moolenaar
56%43%Peter Meijer (117th Congress)
Hillary Scholten (118th Congress)
50%49%Bill Huizenga
41%57%Tim Walberg
66%32%Debbie Dingell
54%44%Elissa Slotkin
55%43%Dan Kildee
41%58%Lisa McClain
55%43%John James
64%35%Haley Stevens
76%23%Rashida Tlaib
77%22%Shri Thanedar

Analysis

Whitmer led Dixon in most of the polls. Most Republican donors chose not to fund campaign ads for Dixon, causing the TV airwaves to be dominated by ads for Whitmer, which included negative ads against Dixon.[158] Whitmer also spent a lot more in digital advertising compared to Dixon.[159] Abortion rights, which were on the ballot in the same election, were the subject of negative ads against Dixon, who opposed abortion rights.[160] Although aggregate polling had Whitmer up by about 3%, and a last-minute poll by Trafalgar Group had Dixon ahead by 1%, the election was not close. Whitmer defeated Dixon at the same time Michigan voters approved a ballot measure that would guarantee abortion rights in the Michigan constitution.[161] Democrats swept the other statewide partisan races and won control of both the state House and state Senate.[162] This marked the first time Democrats took control of both houses of the Michigan legislature since 1984.[163] Exit polls found that Whitmer won nearly 70% of college-educated White women.[164]

Despite Dixon's loss, she managed to flip Gogebic County in the Upper Peninsula (which had voted for Whitmer in 2018), making this the first election since 1932 where a Democrat won the Michigan governor's mansion without carrying Gogebic County.[165] Conversely, Whitmer flipped the counties of Benzie and Grand Traverse; the last time the Democratic candidate won these counties were 2006 and 1986, respectively.[166]

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

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