2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:	2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election
Country:	Connecticut
Type:	presidential
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2018 Connecticut gubernatorial election
Previous Year:	2018
Next Election:	2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election
Next Year:	2026
Election Date:	November 8, 2022
Image1:	File:Governor Ned Lamont of Connecticut, official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:	Ned Lamont
Party1:	Democratic Party (United States)
Running Mate1:	Susan Bysiewicz
Popular Vote1:	710,186
Percentage1:	55.97%
Nominee2:	Bob Stefanowski
Party2:	Republican Party (United States)
Running Mate2:	Laura Devlin
Popular Vote2:	546,209
Percentage2:	43.05%
Governor
Before Election:	Ned Lamont
Before Party:	Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:	Ned Lamont
After Party:	Democratic Party (United States)
Alliance1:	Working Families Griebel-Frank for CT Party
Turnout:	57.6% (3.8%)

The 2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Connecticut. Incumbent Democratic Governor Ned Lamont ran for re-election to a second term in office. The race simultaneously took place with the election to the state's Class III Senate seat. This election featured a rematch of the previous 2018 gubernatorial election, pitting Lamont against Republican Bob Stefanowski, who he previously defeated by 3.2% of the vote.^[1] This time Lamont won re-election by a wider margin, becoming the first Democrat to win a gubernatorial election by more than 5 points in the state since 1986.

This was the first time that Tolland County voted Democratic in a gubernatorial election since 1994, Darien since 1912, Wilton since 1884, and New Canaan since 1882.

Democratic convention

Governor

Candidates

Nominee

• Ned Lamont, incumbent governor^[2]

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Nominee

• Susan Bysiewicz, incumbent lieutenant governor

Republican convention

Governor

Candidates

Nominee

• Bob Stefanowski, financial executive and nominee for governor in 2018^{[3] [4]}

Eliminated at convention

• Susan Patricelli Regan^{[5] [6]}

Declined

• Themis Klarides, former Minority Leader of the Connecticut House of Representatives (running for U.S. Senate)^[7]
• Jayme Stevenson, Darien First Selectman and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2018^[8] (running for U.S. House)
• Erin Stewart, Mayor of New Britain and candidate for governor and lieutenant governor in 2018^[9]

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Nominee

• Laura Devlin, state representative

Third-party candidates and independent candidates

Libertarian Party

• Aaron Lewis, founder of The Scribe's Institute
  • Running mate: Kevin Skulczyck

Green Party

• Michelle Louise Bicking, clinical social worker^[10]
  • Running mate: Cassandra Martineau, social justice activist^[10]

Independent Party of Connecticut

In 2022, the Independent Party nominated its own candidate for governor for the first time ever. In every previous gubernatorial election since its creation, the party had always cross-endorsed the Republican nominee.^[11]

• Rob Hotaling, technology and business leader^[12]
  • Running mate: Dr. Stewart “Chip” Beckett, veterinarian, former chairman Capitol Region Council of Governments, Chairman Glastonbury Town Council

Working Families Party

The Working Families Party endorsed Lamont and Bysiewicz, giving them access to an additional ballot line.^[13]

Official designee

• Ned Lamont, incumbent governor
  • Running mate: Susan Bysiewicz, incumbent lieutenant governor

Griebel-Frank for CT Party

The Griebel-Frank for CT Party, which secured 54,741 votes in the 2018 election and is now affiliated with the Forward Party, gained a ballot line for 2022. In September 2022, the party endorsed Lamont and Bysiewicz, giving them access to an unprecedented three ballot lines for the election.^[14]

Official designee

• Ned Lamont, incumbent governor
  • Running mate: Susan Bysiewicz, incumbent lieutenant governor

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
align=left	The Cook Political Report^[15]		October 28, 2022
align=left	Inside Elections^[16]		March 4, 2022
align=left	Sabato's Crystal Ball^[17]		January 26, 2022
align=left	Politico^[18]		August 12, 2022
align=left	RCP^[19]		January 10, 2022
align=left	Fox News^[20]		May 12, 2022
538^[21]		September 20, 2022
Elections Daily^[22]		November 7, 2022

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of January 10, 2023
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
	Ned Lamont (D)		$25,518,245		$26,087,401		$355,916
	Bob Stefenowski (R)		$12,902,700		$14,498,162		$17,840
Source: Connecticut State Elections Enforcement Commission^[23] ^[24]

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Ned Lamont (D)	Bob Stefanowski (R)	Other	Margin
Real Clear Politics	September 7–21, 2022	September 28, 2022		53.7%	39.3%	7.0%		Lamont +14.4
FiveThirtyEight	May 11 – November 8, 2022	November 8, 2022		52.9%	38.5%	8.6%		Lamont +14.4
270ToWin	October 16–25, 2022	November 8, 2022		51.5%	39.0%	9.5%		Lamont +12.5
Average				52.7%	38.9%	8.4%		Lamont +13.8

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Ned Lamont (D)	Bob Stefanowski (R)	Other	Undecided
Long Island University	October 24–26, 2022	1,004 (A)	± 3.0%		55%	24%	8%	13%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)	October 23–24, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.5%		49%	43%	4%	4%
					50%	46%	–	4%
Quinnipiac University	October 19–23, 2022	1,879 (LV)	± 2.3%		56%	41%	2%	1%
Emerson College	October 19–21, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%		52%	41%	2%	5%
					53%	43%	4%	–
SurveyUSA	October 15–18, 2022	718 (LV)	–		52%	34%	4%	10%
Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R)	October 10–13, 2022	1,200 (LV)	± 2.8%		46%	40%	5%	10%
					50%	43%	–	7%
Western New England University	September 15–21, 2022	766 (RV)	± 3.2%		51%	38%	2%	8%
		626 (LV)	± 4.8%		55%	40%	2%	3%
Quinnipiac University	September 15–19, 2022	1,911 (LV)	± 2.2%		57%	40%	1%	2%
Emerson College	September 7–9, 2022	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%		49%	38%	4%	9%
Quinnipiac University	May 19–23, 2022	1,660 (RV)	± 2.4%		51%	43%	<1%	6%
Emerson College	May 10–11, 2022	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%		51%	38%	–	12%
Sacred Heart University	March 24 – April 11, 2022	1,000 (A)	± 3.0%		48%	30%	0%	22%
Public Policy Polling (D)	October 21–22, 2021	729 (LV)	± 3.6%		52%	36%	–	12%

Ned Lamont vs. Themis Klarides

Ned Lamont vs. generic opponent

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Results

By county

Lamont won six out of all eight counties, while Stefenowski only won two.^[25]

County	Ned Lamont Democratic		Bob Stefenowski Republican		Other parties Independent		Total votes cast
		%		%		%
	Fairfield		185,900		58.8%		128,434		40.6%		2,056		0.6%		316,390
	Hartford		185,124		59.6%		121,948		39.3%		3,313		1.1%		310,385
	Litchfield		36,591		44.8%		44,282		54.2%		858		1.0%		81,731
	Middlesex		41,052		54.9%		32,940		44.0%		830		1.1%		74,822
	New Haven		157,023		54.9%		126,124		44.1%		2,723		1.0%		285,870
	New London		55,174		54.9%		43,902		43.7%		1,353		1.3%		100,429
	Tolland		31,348		52.4%		27,748		46.4%		753		1.3%		59,849
	Windham		18,264		46.3%		20,688		52.5%		474		1.2%		39,426
Totals	710,476	55.97%	546,066	43.05%	12,360	0.98%	1,268,902

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Middlesex (largest town: Middletown)
• Tolland (largest town: Vernon)

By congressional district

Lamont won all 5 congressional districts.^[26]

District	Ned Lamont Democratic		Bob Stefenowski Republican		Other parties Independent		Total votes cast	Representative
		%		%		%
	1st		103,281		60.83%		64,555		38.02%		1,960		1.15%		169,796		John B. Larson
	2nd		104,030		53.02%		89,650		45.69%		2,517		1.29%		196,197		Joe Courtney
	3rd		108,548		56.42%		82,101		42.66%		1,772		0.92%		192,421		Rosa DeLauro
	4th		96,180		60.29%		62,389		39.10%		979		0.61%		159,548		Jim Himes
	5th		78,655		50.17%		76,554		48.84%		1,550		0.99%		156,759		Jahana Hayes
Totals	710,186	55.97%	546,209	43.05%	12,498	0.98%	1,268,893

See also

• 2022 United States gubernatorial elections

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites

• Ned Lamont (D) for Governor
• Aaron Lewis (L) for Governor
• Bob Stefanowski (R) for Governor
• Michelle Louise Bicking (G) for Governor

Notes and References

1. Web site: Public Reporting . 2022-10-04 . ctemspublic.pcctg.net.
2. Web site: 'I love the job.' Lamont officially announces reelection bid for Connecticut governor. News 12 - The Bronx. November 9, 2021.
3. Web site: Bob Stefanowski to Announce Run for Governor. January 19, 2022. NBCConnecticut.com.
4. Web site: 'Lack of affordability' in CT focus for Stefanowski in second run for governor. Julia. Bergman. January 19, 2022. Connecticut Post.
5. Web site: SUSANFORCT2022. SUSANFORCT2022.
6. Web site: This Week in CT: Lawmakers conclude legislative session during pandemic turnaround. June 13, 2021. wtnh.com.
7. Web site: Themis Klarides announces her run for United States Senate. 2022-01-30. WFSB.
8. Web site: Rennie. Kevin. Dec 18, 2020. Kevin Rennie: If Republicans want to think about beating Ned Lamont in 2022, they need to start with some fresh ideas. live. 2021-03-28. Hartford Courant. https://web.archive.org/web/20201219105030/https://www.courant.com/opinion/op-ed/hc-op-rennie-governor-race-lamont-republicans-20201218-5rhpnzkupnf6xli7d5xgjlbqsu-story.html . December 19, 2020 .
9. Web site: Flood. Bill. March 14, 2021. New Britain Mayor Erin Stewart says she will not run for governor. live. 2021-03-28. Fox61. en-US. https://web.archive.org/web/20210316051408/https://www.fox61.com/article/news/politics/elections/new-britain-mayor-erin-stewart-says-she-will-not-run-for-governor/520-bef99d1c-6466-423f-a624-4fd20bd702ff . March 16, 2021 .
10. Web site: Stuart . Christine . May 19, 2022 . Green Party Nominates Gubernatorial Candidate . CT News Junkie.
11. Web site: Working Families Party Regains Third Line on Connecticut Ballot | Ballot Access News . January 10, 2023 .
12. Web site: Dixon . Ken . August 22, 2022 . Independent's panel rebuffs Stefanowski, sets up caucus fight . CT Insider.
13. Web site: Connecticut Working Families Party endorses Ned Lamont and Susan Bysiewicz for re-election. August 15, 2022. Working Families Party.
14. Web site: Pazniokas . Mark . September 8, 2022 . Minor party endorses Lamont after a pledge for election reform . Connecticut Public.
15. Web site: 2022 Governor Race Ratings . The Cook Political Report . February 4, 2021.
16. Web site: February 19, 2021 . Gubernatorial Ratings . Inside Elections.
17. Web site: 2022 Gubernatorial race ratings . Sabato's Crystal Ball . March 11, 2021.
18. Web site: Connecticut Governor Race 2022. April 1, 2022 . Politico.
19. Web site: January 10, 2022 . 2022 Governor Races. January 10, 2022 . RCP.
20. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . Fox News . May 12, 2022 . May 12, 2022.
21. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . June 30, 2022 . June 30, 2022.
22. Web site: Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings . Szymanski . Joe . Elections Daily . November 7, 2022 . November 28, 2022.
23. Web site: Itemized Campaign Finance Disclosure Statement . CT.gov.
24. Web site: Itemized Campaign Finance Disclosure Statement . CT.gov.
25. Web site: Connecticut Governor election results . Politico.
26. Web site: General Election - Governor - State of Connecticut . CT.gov.