2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election
Country:Arkansas
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2018
Next Election:2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election
Next Year:2026
Election Date:November 8, 2022
Image1:File:Sarah Huckabee Sanders (53296895183).jpg
Nominee1:Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:571,105
Percentage1:62.96%
Nominee2:Chris Jones
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:319,242
Percentage2:35.20%
Governor
Before Election:Asa Hutchinson
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Sarah Huckabee Sanders
After Party:Republican Party (United States)
Map Size:200px
Turnout:50.81%

The 2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next governor of Arkansas. Incumbent Republican Governor Asa Hutchinson was term-limited and could not seek a third term. Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders, daughter of former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, defeated Democrat Chris Jones to become the first woman ever elected to the office, and was sworn in on January 10, 2023.

Primary elections in Arkansas were held on May 24. Runoff elections for instances where no candidate receives over 50% of the vote were scheduled for June 21. Former White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders won the Republican nomination, while Chris Jones won the Democratic nomination.[1]

Leading up to the Republican primary, Sanders received many endorsements from key Republican figures, including Donald Trump, Mike Pence, incumbent Asa Hutchinson, Arkansas' entire U.S. Congressional delegation, and the majority of Republicans in both state legislative chambers. Her primary victory was not remotely close, as she won every county in the state with at least 70% of the vote.

As Arkansas is a Republican stronghold, her primary victory virtually guaranteed she would win the general election, in which she defeated Jones by 28 points. Jones became the first Democrat to win Washington County since 2010, and Sanders became the first Republican to win majority-Black Crittenden County since her father in 1998, winning the county by one vote. This was the only 2022 election where Washington County voted for the Democratic nominee. This is the first time ever that the Republican Party won three straight gubernatorial elections in the state's history.

Sanders became the first female governor of Arkansas. With the election of Leslie Rutledge as lieutenant governor, Arkansas, along with Massachusetts, became the first two U.S. states to elect both a female governor and female lieutenant governor to serve at the same time.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Leslie
Rutledge
Sarah
Huckabee Sanders
Francis
Washburn
Undecided
Hendrix CollegeMay 2, 2022802 (LV)± 4.3%73%17%10%
Remington Research (R)May 1–2, 20221,622 (LV)± 2.2%80%14%6%
November 9, 2021Rutledge withdraws from the race
Remington Research (R)October 25–26, 2021800 (LV)± 3.5%16%73%11%
Hendrix CollegeMay 26–31, 2021535 (LV)± 5.5%35%43%22%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Results

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

Independents

Candidates

Declared

Write-ins

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[21] March 4, 2022
align=left Inside Elections[22] March 4, 2022
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] January 26, 2022
Politico[24] April 1, 2022
align=left RCP[25] January 10, 2022
align=left Fox News[26] May 12, 2022
538[27] June 30, 2022
Elections Daily[28] November 7, 2022

Polling

Aggregate polls
Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Sarah
Huckabee
Sanders (R)
Chris
Jones (D)
Ricky
Harrington (L)
Undecided
University of ArkansasOctober 13–31, 2022557 (LV)53%34%4%9%
Hendrix CollegeOctober 17–18, 2022835 (LV)± 3.8%51%41%3%5%
Remington Research Group (R) September 14–15, 20221,418 (LV)± 3.4%59%34%3%4%
Hendrix CollegeSeptember 12, 2022835 (LV)± 3.8%51%40%2%7%
Echelon InsightsAugust 31 – September 7, 2022382 (RV)± 7.7%62%32%6%
Remington Research Group (R)February 26–27, 2022827 (LV)± 3.4%58%28%3%10%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders vs. generic Democrat
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
University of ArkansasOctober 12–24, 2021800 (A)± 3.5%46%21%34%
555 (LV)± 4.2%50%23%27%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Huckabee Sanders won all 4 congressional districts.[29]

DistrictHuckabee SandersJonesRepresentative
70.1%27.9%Rick Crawford
55.5%42.8%French Hill
59.6%38.3%Steve Womack
67.9%30.5%Bruce Westerman

See also

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. News: 2022-05-24 . Arkansas Primary Election Results . en-US . The New York Times . 2022-10-03 . 0362-4331.
  2. Web site: Sarah Sanders Running for Arkansas Governor . . January 25, 2021 . January 25, 2021 . February 1, 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210201194936/https://abc11.com/sarah-huckabee-sanders-governor-arkansas-donald-trump/9996735/ . dead .
  3. Web site: Republican Doc Washburn Enters Arkansas Governors Race . Arkansas Money & Politics . February 15, 2022. February 27, 2022.
  4. News: Brock . Roby . Griffin to exit Governor's race, will seek AG post . February 8, 2021 . Talk Business and Politics . February 8, 2021.
  5. News: Brock. Roby. AG Rutledge enters Lt. Governor's race. Talk Business & Politics. November 9, 2021. November 9, 2021.
  6. News: Brantley . Max . Meet a candidate for attorney general; with a brother in the wings on the other side . April 10, 2021 . Arkansas Times . April 6, 2021.
  7. Web site: Chris Jones, a nuclear engineer and political newcomer, enters Arkansas governor's race. NBC News. June 15, 2021 .
  8. News: Jared . George . Supha Xayprasith-Mays to seek Democratic nomination for governor in 2022 . March 29, 2021 . Talk Business and Politics . March 26, 2021 . James “Rus” Russell has also announced for the Democratic nomination for governor as has Anthony Bland, who ran for Lt. Governor in 2018..
  9. News: A pro-life Democrat enters the governor's race . February 18, 2022 . Magnolia Reporter . February 17, 2022.
  10. News: Brock. Roby. February 7, 2021. Political newcomer James Russell to seek Democratic nomination for Governor in 2022. KATV. Talk Business & Politics. live. August 31, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210627172958/https://katv.com/news/local/political-newcomer-russell-says-he-will-seek-democratic-nomination-for-governor-in-2022. June 27, 2021.
  11. News: Supha Xayprasith-Mays announces run for Arkansas governor in 2022 . March 29, 2021 . KFSM . March 26, 2021.
  12. Web site: September 8, 2021. Arkansas mother, foster care advocate announces run for lieutenant governor. September 9, 2021. KARK. en-US.
  13. GregLeding . 1353528317887049728 . This is some excellent company, Kim, and I appreciate it—but it won't be me. . January 24, 2021.
  14. ClarkeTucker . 1353522776506847232 . Thank you Kim! It's not going to be me. But I do appreciate the support. . January 24, 2021.
  15. Web site: Hale . Tyler . Harrington Declares Intent to Seek Arkansas Governor's Office in 2022 . Arkansas Money and Politics . April 24, 2021 . April 23, 2021.
  16. Web site: Home . Ricky Harrington for Governor . March 31, 2022 . Ricky resides in Pine Bluff..
  17. Web site: Brawner . Steve . Libertarians nominate more than 50, including Harrington for governor . Talk Business and Politics . February 28, 2022 . February 21, 2022.
  18. News: July 20, 2021 . William E. Gates joins crowded Arkansas governor's race . en-US . Southwest Times Record . August 6, 2021.
  19. News: Candidate Information . Arkansas Secretary of State . February 22, 2022.
  20. Web site: Elvis Presley listed among Arkansas gubernatorial candidates. Washington Examiner. February 26, 2022.
  21. Web site: 2022 Governor Race Ratings . The Cook Political Report . February 4, 2021.
  22. News: February 19, 2021 . Gubernatorial Ratings . Inside Elections.
  23. Web site: 2022 Gubernatorial race ratings . Sabato's Crystal Ball . March 11, 2021.
  24. Web site: Arkansas Governor Race 2022. April 1, 2022 . Politico.
  25. Web site: January 10, 2022 . 2022 Governor Races. January 10, 2022 . RCP.
  26. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . Fox News . May 12, 2022 . May 12, 2022.
  27. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . June 30, 2022 . June 30, 2022.
  28. Web site: Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings . Szymanski . Joe . Elections Daily . November 7, 2022 . November 28, 2022.
  29. Web site: 2022 AR GOV and SEN by CD. Google Docs. August 21, 2024.