2021 Upper Austrian state election explained

Election Name:2021 Upper Austrian state election
Country:Upper Austria
Flag Year:state
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2015 Upper Austrian state election
Previous Year:2015
Seats For Election:All 56 seats in the Landtag of Upper Austria
29 seats needed for a majority
All 9 seats in the state government
Election Date:26 September 2021
Turnout:76.3% 5.3 pp
Leader1:Thomas Stelzer
Party1:Austrian People's Party (2017)
Last Election1:21 seats, 36.4%
Seats1:22
Seat Change1: 1
Popular Vote1:303,835
Percentage1:37.6%
Swing1: 1.2%
Leader2:Manfred Haimbuchner
Party2:Freedom Party of Austria
Last Election2:18 seats, 30.4%
Seats2:11
Seat Change2: 7
Popular Vote2:159,692
Percentage2:19.8%
Swing2: 10.6%
Leader3:Birgit Gerstorfer
Party3:Social Democratic Party of Austria
Last Election3:11 seats, 18.4%
Seats3:11
Seat Change3: 0
Popular Vote3:150,094
Percentage3:18.6%
Swing3: 0.2%
Leader4:Stefan Kaineder
Party4:The Greens – The Green Alternative
Last Election4:6 seats, 10.3%
Seats4:7
Seat Change4: 1
Popular Vote4:99,496
Percentage4:12.3%
Swing4: 2.0%
Leader5:Joachim Aigner
Party5:MFG – Austria People – Freedom – Fundamental Rights
Last Election5:Did not exist
Seats5:3
Seat Change5: 3
Popular Vote5:50,325
Percentage5:6.2%
Swing5:New party
Leader6:Felix Eypeltauer
Party6:NEOS – The New Austria and Liberal Forum
Last Election6:0 seats, 3.5%
Seats6:2
Seat Change6: 2
Popular Vote6:34,204
Percentage6:4.2%
Swing6: 0.8%
Governor
Before Election:Thomas Stelzer
Before Party:Austrian People's Party
After Election:Thomas Stelzer
After Party:Austrian People's Party

The 2021 Upper Austrian state election was held on 26 September 2021 to elect the members of the Landtag of Upper Austria.[1]

The Austrian People's Party (ÖVP) remained the largest party with small gains. Of the six parties which won seats in the Landtag, the Freedom Party of Austria (FPÖ) was the only one to suffer losses, falling from 31% of votes to 20%. The Social Democratic Party of Austria (SPÖ) recorded minimal change compared to 2015 and remained in third place with 19%, tying the FPÖ with 11 seats. The Greens improved their performance to over 12%. NEOS – The New Austria narrowly passed the electoral threshold and entered the Landtag for the first time with 4%. Unexpectedly, the anti-vaccination MFG party won 6% and three seats.[2]

Background

The Upper Austrian constitution mandates that cabinet positions in the state government (state councillors, German: Landesräte) be allocated between parties proportionally in accordance with the share of votes won by each; this is known as Proporz. As such, the government is a perpetual coalition of all parties that qualify for at least one state councillor. Despite this, parties still establish formal coalitions to organise cabinet positions and ensure a Landtag majority for legislative purposes.

In the 2015 state election, the ÖVP and SPÖ suffered major losses to the FPÖ, which doubled its vote share to 30% and became the second largest party. The ÖVP, lacking a majority in the state council, subsequently signed a working agreement with the FPÖ.

Governor Josef Pühringer resigned in 2017 after 22 years in office. He was succeeded on 6 April by Deputy Governor and fellow ÖVP member Thomas Stelzer, who was elected by the Landtag with 51 of 55 votes.[3]

Electoral system

The 56 seats of the Landtag of Upper Austria are elected via open list proportional representation in a two-step process. The seats are distributed between five multi-member constituencies. For parties to receive any representation in the Landtag, they must either win at least one seat in a constituency directly, or clear a 4 percent state-wide electoral threshold. Seats are distributed in constituencies according to the Hare quota, with any remaining seats allocated using the D'Hondt method at the state level, to ensure overall proportionality between a party's vote share and its share of seats.[4]

Contesting parties

The table below lists parties represented in the previous Landtag.

NameIdeologyLeader2015 result
Votes (%)SeatsCouncillors
ÖVPAustrian People's Party
Christian democracyThomas Stelzer36.4%
FPÖFreedom Party of Austria
Right-wing populism
Euroscepticism
Manfred Haimbuchner30.4%
SPÖSocial Democratic Party of Austria
Social democracyBirgit Gerstorfer18.4%
GRÜNEThe Greens – The Green Alternative
Green politicsStefan Kaineder10.3%

In addition to the parties already represented in the Landtag, seven parties collected enough signatures to be placed on the ballot.[5] [6]

Lead candidates

PartyCandidateOffices held
ÖVPThomas StelzerGovernor of Upper Austria (since 2017)[7]
Chairman of ÖVP Upper Austria (since 2017)
FPÖManfred HaimbuchnerDeputy Governor of Upper Austria (since 2015)[8]
SPÖBirgit Gerstorfer[9] Chairwoman of SPÖ Upper Austria (since 2016)
State Councillor of Upper Austria (since 2016)[10]
GRÜNEStefan Kaineder[11] Spokesman of The Greens Upper Austria (since 2019)
State Councillor of Upper Austria (since 2020)[12]

Opinion polling

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
ÖVPFPÖSPÖGrüneNEOSMFGLead
2021 state electiondata-sort-value="2021-09-26"26 Sep 202137.619.818.612.34.26.217.8
M & R Marktforschungdata-sort-value="2021-09-22"22 Sep 20215003822181254.516
Research Affairsdata-sort-value="2021-09-16"13–16 Sep 2021400412317115318
GMKdata-sort-value="2021-09-15"September 20214004023.517133316.5
Marketdata-sort-value="2021-09-14"9–14 Sep 2021800382218125416
IFESdata-sort-value="2021-09-10"6–10 Sep 2021838391920135419
Unique Researchdata-sort-value="2021-09-09"6–9 Sep 202180036222013414
M & R Marktforschungdata-sort-value="2021-09-08"6–8 Sep 2021500382318125315
Research Affairsdata-sort-value="2021-09-02"31 Aug-2 Sep 202140040251711515
Spectradata-sort-value="2021-08-31"23–31 Aug 202180040241516316
ARGE Wahlendata-sort-value="2021-08-26"23–26 Aug 202150039241812515
Marketdata-sort-value="2021-08-25"25 Aug 2021?40221812618
Unique Researchdata-sort-value="2021-08-17"10–17 Aug 202180038221812616
Spectradata-sort-value="2021-07-05"21 Jun–5 Jul 202180041241714317
GMKdata-sort-value="2021-06-23"21–23 Jun 20214004222.51711519.5
IFESdata-sort-value="2021-06-11"25 May–11 Jun 202182741172111720
Research Affairsdata-sort-value="2021-05-20"18–20 May 202130038252012413
Unique Researchdata-sort-value="2021-05-06"3–6 May 202180039212112618
GMKdata-sort-value="2021-04-30"April 202140039.521.51813418
Spectradata-sort-value="2021-03-12"4–12 Mar 202180043221714321
M & R Marktforschungdata-sort-value="2020-11-21"27 Oct–6 Nov 202050041.522.518.513.53.519.0
Spectradata-sort-value="2020-07-18"18 Jul 2020?42241515318
IMASdata-sort-value="2019-07-25"25 Jul 20198054125131616
Spectradata-sort-value="2019-07-08"18 Jun–2 Jul 20197004224151418
IFESdata-sort-value="2019-04-29"29 April 20191,00037.523.521.08.514.0
Spectradata-sort-value="2018-12-21"21 Dec 2018?40281710412
Spectradata-sort-value="2018-09-03"23 Aug–3 Sep 20186874129178412
Spectradata-sort-value="2018-04-17"17 Apr 2018?4231176311
ifab/Gallupdata-sort-value="2018-02-16"16 Feb 2018?41.526.520.58.52.515.0
Spectradata-sort-value="2017-11-18"23 Oct–3 Nov 201763842341558
Spectradata-sort-value="2017-07-22"5–17 Jul 201755142341488
M & R Marktforschungdata-sort-value="2017-07-13"13 Jul 201750040.528.517.59.52.512.0
Spectradata-sort-value="2017-02-24"24 Feb 2017?403515915
IMASdata-sort-value="2016-09-10"8 May 2016?3334181141
Spectradata-sort-value="2016-05-08"8 May 2016?3534151221
IMASdata-sort-value="2015-12-27"27 Dec 20151,0003432171342
2015 state electiondata-sort-value="2015-09-27"27 Sep 201536.430.418.410.33.56.0

Results

align=center colspan=9
PartyVotes%+/−Seats+/−+/−
bgcolor=Austrian People's Party (ÖVP)303,83537.61+1.2422+14±0
bgcolor=Freedom Party of Austria (FPÖ)159,69219.77–10.5911–72–1
bgcolor=Social Democratic Party of Austria (SPÖ)150,09418.58+0.2111±02+1
bgcolor=The Greens – The Green Alternative (GRÜNE)99,49612.32+2.007+11±0
bgcolor=MFG – Austria People – Freedom – Fundamental Rights (MFG)50,3256.23New3New0New
bgcolor=NEOS – The New Austria (NEOS)34,2044.23+0.762+20±0
bgcolor=Communist Party of Austria (KPÖ)6,5040.81+0.060±00±0
Best Upper Austria (BESTE)1,9770.24New0New0New
bgcolor=Christian Party of Austria (CPÖ)8630.11–0.250±00±0
Independent Citizens' Movement (UBB)5330.07New0New0New
Referendum (R)2770.05New0New0New
Invalid/blank votes27,348
Total835,24810056090
align=left colspan=2Registered voters/turnout1,094,07476.34–5.29
align=left colspan=9 Source: Upper Austrian Government

Results by constituency

ConstituencyÖVPFPÖSPÖGrüneMFGNEOSOthersTotal
seats
Turnout
class=unsortable% class=unsortableclass=unsortable% class=unsortableclass=unsortable% class=unsortableclass=unsortable% class=unsortableclass=unsortable% class=unsortableclass=unsortable% class=unsortableclass=unsortable%
30.3 3 16.8 2 24.2 2 15.9 1 5.2 5.6 2.1 8 68.5
42.5 3 24.7 2 12.9 1 9.0 6.7 3.5 0.8 6 77.1
37.8 5 22.6 3 17.1 2 11.7 1 5.7 4.1 1.1 11 77.2
36.3 3 18.2 1 21.1 2 12.0 1 7.3 4.0 1.2 7 76.7
41.7 4 17.1 1 17.0 1 12.4 1 6.7 3.9 1.2 7 83.0
Remaining seats 4 2 3 3 3 2 17
Total 37.6 22 19.8 11 18.6 11 12.3 7 6.2 3 4.2 2 1.3 56 76.3
Source: Upper Austrian Government

Government formation

Compared to the previous legislative period, the ÖVP gained one state councillor while the FPÖ lost one, for a total of 5 ÖVP (includes the governor Thomas Stelzer), 2 FPÖ, 1 SPÖ, and 1 Greens. Three of the nine councillors will be women, up from zero in 2015. Compared to the previous election, 27 of the 56 members of the Landtag are new.

The ÖVP and FPÖ entered coalition talks after the election. On 20 October, they announced that they had successfully reached an agreement to renew their coalition. The contract was approved by the ÖVP and FPÖ party committees later the same day. The new governing contract emphasised further investment in renewable energy such as hydroelectric, wind, and photovoltaic systems on roofs, as well as more investment into public transportation, cancer research, and general research and development, and building Upper Austria as an economic hub. It also emphasised more traditional right-wing issues such as strengthening integration efforts for newly arrived migrants and offering fewer state benefits for those who refuse to participate.[13]

The newly-elected state parliament convened on 23 October to invest the new government. Governor Stelzer was re-elected with 41 of 55 votes. The ÖVP–FPÖ coalition comprises 33 deputies, of which one member of the ÖVP was absent due to COVID quarantine, indicating that nine members of the opposition voted in favour. As the SPÖ and MFG indicated that they would vote against Stelzer's investiture, these votes likely came from the Greens (7 deputies) and NEOS (2). The new cabinet was also confirmed by the Landtag.[14] [15]

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Two dates for the state election in 2021. 17 August 2020. Heute.at.
  2. Web site: State election 2021: This is how Upper Austria voted. 26 September 2021. de. Oberösterreichische Nachrichten.
  3. Web site: Upper Austria: Stelzer becomes governor with 92.7 percent. 6 April 2017. Der Standard.
  4. Web site: RIS - Upper Austria Landtag election act. Upper Austrian Government.
  5. Web site: 11 parties enter the Upper Austrian state election. 10 August 2021. de. Government of Upper Austria.
  6. Web site: Eleven lists compete in the Upper Austria election. 11 August 2021. de. Wiener Zeitung.
  7. Web site: State of Upper Austria - Governor Thomas Stelzer. 21 March 2021.
  8. Web site: State of Upper Austria - Deputy Governor Manfred Haimbuchner. 21 March 2021.
  9. Web site: SPÖ state party conference: protecting jobs. 28 November 2020. ORF.
  10. Web site: State of Upper Austria - State Councillor Birgit Gerstorfer. 21 March 2021. 18 April 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210418142851/https://www.land-oberoesterreich.gv.at/113205.htm. dead.
  11. Web site: 93.8 percent for Kaineder as the Green top candidate. 27 July 2020. ORF.
  12. Web site: State of Upper Austria - State Councillor Stefan Kaineder. 21 March 2021.
  13. Web site: Black-blue present government program. 21 October 2021. de. ORF.
  14. Web site: New state government is in place. 20 October 2021. de. ORF.
  15. Web site: Thomas Stelzer is elected as Governor. 23 October 2021. de. ORF.