2021 New Zealand budget explained

New Zealand budget
Year:2021
Country:New Zealand
Previous Budget:2020 New Zealand budget
Previous Year:2020
Next Budget:2022 New Zealand budget
Next Year:2022
Submitter:Grant Robertson
Presented:20 May 2021
Parliament:53rd
Party:Labour
Potential Gdp:4.5%
Deficit: $15.1 billion
Url:Budget 2021

Budget 2021 is the New Zealand budget for fiscal year 2021/22, presented to the House of Representatives by Finance Minister Grant Robertson on 20 May 2021 as the fourth budget presented by the Sixth Labour Government. This budget occurs after a year of several lockdowns due to the COVID-19 pandemic in New Zealand and focuses on economic recovery.[1]

Background

The budget is for the fiscal year from 1 July 2021 to 30 June 2022. This is the fourth budget of the Sixth Labour Government and the first budget of Labour's second term in office, in which they have a parliamentary majority, making this the first budget where the Labour Party has been the sole party behind the creation of the budget.[2]

The impact of COVID-19 on the economy has led to an increase in government borrowing, with government debt expected to hit NZ$166.2 billion by the end of the 2020/21 fiscal year; before the pandemic it was at $57.7 billion. The 2020/21 fiscal year ends with a forecasted budget deficit of $21.6 billion.[3]

The operating allowance for this budget is $3.8 billion per year.[1]

Major announcements

Education

A total of $1.4 billion will be allocated over four years to operational funding for schools and early learning centres.[1]

Environment

Health

A total of $4.7 billion allocated to health:[1]

Housing

Infrastructure

Welfare

A total of $3.3 billion will be allocated over four years to boost benefit rates.

Forecasts

The deficit is forecast to reach $2.3 billion in fiscal year 2024/25, with Net Core Crown debt forecast to go up by around $100 billion by that time, with a peak of 48% of national GDP in the 2022/23 fiscal year.[1]

Unemployment is forecast to reach around 5.2% in June 2021 before going down to around 4.2% in 2025.[1]

Reactions

Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern stated that the budget sets New Zealand up to recover from COVID-19 and have the country "[be] stronger than when [it] entered the pandemic", a statement echoed by Social Development Minister Carmel Sepuloni. Grant Robertson stated that "this is the biggest lift in benefits in more than a generation", criticising the 1991 budget.[7]

Green Party co-leader Marama Davidson praised the budget for increasing benefits. Māori Party co-leader Debbie Ngarewa-Packer was "cautiously optimistic" about the budget, praising the government for "accept[ing] a need to take a targeted approach rather than a universal one".

National Party and Opposition leader Judith Collins said that the Government "lacks the plan and ambition" in this budget and that it does not offer "any direction for getting the country back on track to prosperity" and that it is "setting New Zealand up to fail". ACT leader David Seymour criticised the budget, saying it "ignore[s] reality" and does not have anything for middle-class New Zealanders.[8]

Children's Commissioner Andrew Becroft praised the budget for being a "very solid, continuing step on our journey of halving child poverty by 2028", but said there was still more to be done.[9] Director of poverty group Council for International Development Josie Pagani says that the budget "deal[s] with some of the inequality", forecasting that this budget will lift 75 thousand children out of poverty, but did not see the changes as drastic.[5] Economic commentator Brad Olsen stated that the budget was "underwhelming" and did not have provisions for economic growth.[5]

Notes and References

  1. News: Budget 2021: What you need to know. Anna. Whyte. 1 News. TVNZ. 20 May 2021. 23 May 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20211130175139/https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/budget-2021-you-need-know. 30 November 2021.
  2. News: Budget 2021: What the Labour Government has promised so far. 1 News. TVNZ. Irra. Lee. 2020-05-19. 2020-05-19.
  3. News: Budget 2021: How much money will be in the Budget?. Stuff. Thomas. Coughlan. 2021-05-17. 2021-05-19.
  4. News: Budget 2021: What you need to know. Radio NZ. 2021-05-21. 2021-05-23.
  5. News: 'Underwhelming' and 'it's a start': Panel reacts to Budget 2021 . NewstalkZB . 2021-05-20 . 2021-05-23.
  6. News: Hudson . Daisy . Budget 2021: Millions for Hillside to build wagons . 23 May 2021 . . 20 May 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210520225635/https://www.odt.co.nz/business/budget-2021-millions-hillside-build-wagons . 20 May 2021. live.
  7. News: Budget 2021: Robertson defends Budget as Collins says it 'sets NZ up to fail' . 2021-05-23 . NewstalkZB . 2021-05-20 .
  8. News: Opposition Parties slate 'La La' Budget; Collins says it's setting NZ 'up to fail' . 2021-05-23 . NZ Herald . NewstalkZB . 2021-05-20 . en-nz.
  9. News: More required post-Budget if NZ wants 'welfare state that really works' – Children's Commissioner . 2021-05-23 . TVNZ . 2020-05-20.